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← Back to GamesDec 23, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northern Illinois by 1.4

Home Win Probability

Fresno State 47%

Market (Bovada)

Fresno State +3

Edge: Fresno State +3 (1.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 23, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois
301001528
Fresno StateFresno State
13000720

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014286-313-313-1013-1320-20
Fresno StateNorthern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FSNIFSNIFSNIFSNIFSNINIFSNIFSNIFSNIFSNIFSFSNINIFSPUNT34ydTO10ydTD325ydFG1663ydTD490ydDOWNS2085ydMISS1368ydPUNT31ydMISS10ydEND1-1ydTD776ydTO3-2ydFG534ydPUNT618ydDOWNS732ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT32ydDOWNS751ydMISS1359ydDOWNS963ydTD325ydTD525ydTD125ydUncategorized4-13yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Illinois and Fresno State
StatisticNorthern IllinoisFresno State
Passing19-3119-29
Pass Yards207211
Rush Yards161117
Total Yards368328
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-163-10
Penalties1-158-58
Possession39:1420:46

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Illinois
passing
Josh Holst
18/30, 182 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Josh Holst
16 CAR, 65 YDS
receiving
Dane Pardridge
3 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Fresno State
passing
Joshua Wood
16/23, 180 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Bryson Donelson
15 CAR, 82 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Mac Dalena
6 REC, 118 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bryson Donelson run for 5 yds to the FRES 30

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

Bryson Donelson run for 1 yd to the FRES 31

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Jayden Mandal run for 3 yds to the FRES 34

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

Fresno State Penalty, False Start (Mose Vavao) to the FRES 29

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nick Verdugo punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 33

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+26 ydsPPA -1.57

Josh Holst pass intercepted Jayden Davis return for 26 yds to the NIU 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.01

Jayden Mandal pass complete to Mac Dalena for 21 yds to the NIU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Bryson Donelson run for 3 yds to the NIU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Bryson Donelson 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the NIU 28

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 10 yds to the NIU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Josh Holst pass complete to Romelo Ware for 9 yds to the NIU 47

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.42

Josh Holst pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.00

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the NIU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Josh Holst pass incomplete to Cam Thompson

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.10

Jaylen Poe run for 9 yds to the FRES 43

3rd & 1Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.42

Josh Holst sacked by Sione Noa for a loss of 1 yard to the FRES 44

4th & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +2.24

Josh Holst pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 3 yds to the FRES 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the FRES 38

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Jaylen Poe run for 1 yd to the FRES 37

3rd & 6Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.69

Josh Holst run for 20 yds to the FRES 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

Justin Lynch run for a loss of 1 yard to the FRES 18

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Josh Holst run for 3 yds to the FRES 15

3rd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Holst pass complete to Gavin Williams for 3 yds to the FRES 12

4th & 5Field Goal Good+29 yds

Kanon Woodill 29 Yd Field Goal

4th & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Austin Bullock kickoff for 61 yds , Jordan Brown return for 16 yds to the FRES 49 Fresno State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jake Boust) to the FRES 10

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.41

Joshua Wood run for 10 yds to the FRES 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.96

Bryson Donelson run for 13 yds to the FRES 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+54 ydsPPA +2.89

Joshua Wood pass complete to Mac Dalena for 54 yds to the NIU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Joshua Wood 13 Yd Run (Dylan Lynch Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Dylan Lynch kickoff for 65 yds , Cam Thompson return for 14 yds to the NIU 14

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the NIU 15

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.28

Telly Johnson Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the NIU 13

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.21

Josh Holst pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 10 yds to the NIU 23

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.00

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the NIU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Telly Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the NIU 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.17

Josh Holst pass complete to La'Don Bryant for 28 yds to the FRES 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaylen Poe run for 3 yds to the FRES 44

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FRES 41

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the FRES 40

4th & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +2.29

Josh Holst pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 6 yds to the FRES 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the FRES 33

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Josh Holst pass complete to Telly Johnson Jr. for 2 yds to the FRES 31

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Josh Holst run for 2 yds to the FRES 29

4th & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.87

Josh Holst pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 14 yds to the FRES 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Josh Holst pass complete to Jake Appleget for 9 yds to the FRES 6

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.26

Jaylen Poe run for 2 yds to the FRES 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FRES 1

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Josh Holst pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Telly Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the FRES 1

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Telly Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the FRES 1

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Joshua Wood run for 4 yds to the FRES 5

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Bryson Donelson run for 3 yds to the FRES 8

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.62

Joshua Wood pass complete to Jordan Brown for 10 yds to the FRES 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Joshua Wood pass complete to Mac Dalena for 1 yd to the FRES 19

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Joshua Wood pass complete to Elijah Gilliam for 8 yds to the FRES 27

3rd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.06

Joshua Wood pass complete to Lyndon Ravare for 6 yds to the FRES 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.24

Joshua Wood pass complete to Jordan Brown for 13 yds to the FRES 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Joshua Wood pass complete to Elijah Gilliam for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.37

Joshua Wood run for 15 yds to the NIU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Fresno State Penalty, False Start (Jacob Spomer) to the NIU 40

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Joshua Wood pass incomplete to Lyndon Ravare

2nd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Joshua Wood pass complete to Jordan Brown for 9 yds to the NIU 31

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Joshua Wood pass incomplete to Johnathan Arceneaux

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+49 yds

Dylan Lynch 49 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Josh Holst pass incomplete to Grayson Barnes

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Josh Holst pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 1 yd to the NIU 32

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Gavin Williams run for no gain to the NIU 32

4th & 9Blocked Punt+1 yds

Tom Foley punt blocked by Kosi Aginat 0 yards to the NIU32, recovered by FRESNOST Foreman, Korey at NIU25, Foreman, Korey for 1 yard to the NIU24 (blocked by Agina, Kosi). Korey Foreman return for 1 yd to the NIU 24

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Dylan Lynch 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.77

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 23

0th & 10End of Half-1 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Dylan Lynch kickoff for 53 yds , Isaiah Bragg return for 12 yds to the NIU 24

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.10

Jaylen Poe run for 13 yds to the NIU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.70

Josh Holst pass complete to Jake Appleget for 20 yds to the FRES 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jaylen Poe run for 1 yd to the FRES 42

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Jaylen Poe run for 4 yds to the FRES 38

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Holst, Josh pass incomplete to Bryant, La'Don, PENALTY FRESNOST pass interference (Mouzon, Loyall) 15 yards to the FRESNOST23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NIU.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Josh Holst pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.04

Josh Holst sacked by Jairus Satele for a loss of 3 yards to the FRES 26

3rd & 13Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +4.12

Grayson Barnes 26 Yd pass from Josh Holst (Kanon Woodill Kick)

3rd & 13Kickoff Return (Offense)+36 yds

Austin Bullock kickoff for 57 yds , Mac Dalena return for 36 yds to the FRES 44

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Bryson Donelson run for 3 yds to the FRES 47

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

Fresno State Penalty, False Start (Toreon Penright) to the FRES 42

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Jayden Mandal pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Interception Return+11 ydsPPA -0.33

Jayden Mandal pass intercepted Nate Valcarcel return for 11 yds to the NIU 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.11

Josh Holst pass complete to Dane Pardridge for 21 yds to the FRES 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

Holst, Josh pass incomplete to Bragg, Isaiah, PENALTY FRESNOST pass interference (Miller, RL) 10 yards to the FRESNOST20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NIU.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FRES 17

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Telly Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the FRES 17

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Josh Holst pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+34 yds

Kanon Woodill 34 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Bryson Donelson run for 8 yds to the FRES 33

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Bryson Donelson run for no gain to the FRES 33

3rd & 2Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Jayden Mandal pass complete to Lyndon Ravare for 2 yds to the FRES 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Jayden Mandal pass incomplete to Richie Anderson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.70

Jayden Mandal pass complete to Bryson Donelson for 8 yds to the FRES 43

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Bryson Donelson run for no gain to the FRES 43

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Clay Lawrence punt for 31 yds, downed at the NIU 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Josh Holst pass incomplete to George Dimopoulos

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.08

Josh Holst pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 15 yds to the NIU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.97

Josh Holst run for 11 yds to the FRES 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Josh Holst pass incomplete to Dane Pardridge

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Josh Holst pass complete to Gavin Williams for 1 yd to the FRES 47

3rd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Josh Holst run for 5 yds to the FRES 42

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.45

Josh Holst pass incomplete to Grayson Barnes

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.13

Joshua Wood sacked by Pierce Oppong for a loss of 6 yards to the FRES 36

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Joshua Wood pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Joshua Wood pass complete to Mac Dalena for 5 yds to the FRES 41

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Clay Lawrence punt for 59 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Josh Holst run for 5 yds to the NIU 25

2nd & 5Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.82

Josh Holst run for a loss of 3 yards to the NIU 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Josh Holst pass incomplete to Andrew McElroy

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 52 yds, downed at the FRES 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.91

Joshua Wood pass complete to Mac Dalena for 21 yds to the FRES 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Joshua Wood pass complete to Jordan Brown for 6 yds to the NIU 47

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Joshua Wood pass incomplete to Jordan Brown

3rd & 4Penalty+15 yds

Wood, Joshua pass incomplete to Brown, Jordan, PENALTY NIU roughing passer (O'Malley, Devonte) 15 yards to the NIU32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN FRESNOST.

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Joshua Wood pass complete to Elijah Gilliam for 2 yds to the NIU 30

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Joshua Wood run for 7 yds to the NIU 23

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Joshua Wood run for no gain to the NIU 23

4th & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.48

Joshua Wood pass incomplete to Richie Anderson

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Josh Holst run for 5 yds to the NIU 28

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the NIU 31

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Gavin Williams run for 4 yds to the NIU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Holst run for 4 yds to the NIU 39

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Josh Holst run for 3 yds to the NIU 42

3rd & 3Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.04

Josh Holst pass complete to Gavin Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the NIU 40

4th & 5Penalty+5 yds

Holst, Josh pass incomplete, PENALTY FRESNOST offside (Foreman, Korey) 5 yards to the NIU45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NIU.

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.14

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 16 yds to the FRES 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.82

Josh Holst run for 9 yds to the FRES 30

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FRES 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 9 yds to the FRES 18

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

Josh Holst run for a loss of 1 yard to the FRES 19

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaylen Poe run for 1 yd to the FRES 18

4th & 1Field Goal Missed+35 yds

Kanon Woodill 35 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bryson Donelson run for 5 yds to the FRES 25

2nd & 5Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.29

Bryson Donelson run for 23 yds to the FRES 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Joshua Wood run for 4 yds to the NIU 48

2nd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.29

Joshua Wood pass complete to Mac Dalena for 16 yds to the NIU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Bryson Donelson run for 5 yds to the NIU 27

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.21

Bryson Donelson run for 10 yds to the NIU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Bryson Donelson run for 2 yds to the NIU 15

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Joshua Wood run for a loss of 2 yards to the NIU 17

3rd & 10Field Goal Missed+35 yds

Dylan Lynch 35 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Joshua Wood pass complete to Bryson Donelson for 11 yds to the NIU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Joshua Wood pass complete to Richie Anderson for 5 yds to the NIU 9

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.47

Bryson Donelson 9 Yd pass from Joshua Wood (Dylan Lynch Kick)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.68

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FRES 27

2nd & 12Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Josh Holst pass complete to Dane Pardridge for 13 yds to the FRES 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Josh Holst run for 8 yds to the FRES 6

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Josh Holst pass incomplete to Grayson Barnes

3rd & 2Penalty+3 yds

Dimopoulos, George pass incomplete to Tewes, Tristen, PENALTY FRESNOST holding (Davis, Jayden) 3 yards to the FRESNOST3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NIU.

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Grayson Barnes 3 Yd pass from Josh Holst (Kanon Woodill Kick)

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Dane Pardridge 25 Yd pass from George Dimopoulos (George Dimopoulos Pass to Josh Holst for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Joshua Wood pass incomplete to Lyndon Ravare

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Joshua Wood run for 1 yd to the NIU 24

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Joshua Wood pass incomplete

4th & 9Sack-14 ydsPPA -2.56

Joshua Wood sacked by Jordan Hansen for a loss of 14 yards to the NIU 38

Situational Analysis

Northern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
42%
31 plays
2nd
17%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
31%
13 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
33%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
58%
24 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
63%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play