Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 12, 2024Week 7

House Prediction

Model Margin

Columbia by 7.6

Home Win Probability

Wagner 31%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Wagner +14.5

Edge: Wagner +14.5 (7.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Columbia
14100024
Wagner
06006

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-140-246-24
WagnerColumbia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20COLWAGCOLWAGCOLWAGCOLWAGCOLWAGCOLWAGCOLWAGWAGCOLWAGCOLWAGCOLWAGCOLWAGCOLTD775ydPUNT36ydPUNT68ydPUNT41ydTD552ydPUNT8-5ydTD567ydDOWNS49ydFG713ydPUNT38ydPUNT42ydTD649ydPUNT519ydEND531ydDOWNS729ydPUNT512ydPUNT717ydPUNT611ydTO516ydPUNT32ydDOWNS1051ydPUNT516ydTO1575ydUncategorized35yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Columbia and Wagner
StatisticColumbiaWagner
Passing9-1825-39
Pass Yards76207
Rush Yards228115
Total Yards304322
Turnovers02
3rd Down7-156-16
Penalties4-307-55
Possession28:5931:01

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Columbia
passing
Chase Goodwin
9/18, 76 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Joey Giorgi
16 CAR, 111 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Braden Dougherty
2 REC, 40 YDS, 1 TD
Wagner
passing
Jacob Cady
25/39, 207 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jacob Cady
10 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
Jaylen Bonelli
11 REC, 114 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Giorgi,Joey rush right (Reilly,Justin;Liverpool,Jorel).

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Joey Giorgi run for 11 yds to the COLU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Joey Giorgi run for 2 yds to the COLU 38

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

pass incomplete to Titus Evans

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.50

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Edan Stagg for 9 yds to the COLU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +1.45

Malcolm Terry II run for 31 yds to the WAG 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Joey Giorgi run for 22 yds for a TD (Hugo Merry KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Hugo Merry kickoff for 61 yds , Sam Martin return for 13 yds to the WAG 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Rickey Spruill run for 3 yds to the WAG 20

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Rickey Spruill run for 3 yds to the WAG 23

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Jake Cady pass incomplete to Jaylen Bonelli, broken up by Carter McFadden

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Bailey Marzola punt for 60 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Joey Giorgi run for 6 yds to the COLU 23

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Joey Giorgi run for 2 yds to the COLU 25

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

Chase Goodwin run for 3 yds to the COLU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.01

Malcolm Terry II run for a loss of 2 yards to the COLU 26

2nd & 12Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.34

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Edan Stagg for a loss of 1 yard to the COLU 25

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

pass incomplete to Malcolm Terry II

4th & 13Punt0 yds

William Hughes punt for 38 yds

1st & 9Pass Incompletion-5 ydsPPA -1.88

Jake Cady pass incomplete to Jaylen Bonelli Wagner Penalty, illegal shift (Chase Stafford) to the WAG 32

1st & 14Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Andre Hines Jr. run for 7 yds to the WAG 39

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.04

Andre Hines Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the WAG 38

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Jake Cady pass incomplete to Teree McDonald, broken up by Aaron Brebnor

4th & 8Punt+24 yds

Bailey Marzola punt for 43 yds , Carter McFadden returns for 24 yds to the COLU 38 Wagner Penalty, illegal formation (Abdoul Idriss) to the COLU 48

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.15

Joey Giorgi run for 9 yds to the WAG 43

2nd & 1Rush+29 ydsPPA +0.31

Joey Giorgi run for 29 yds to the WAG 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Malcolm Terry II run for 1 yd to the WAG 13

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Malcolm Terry II run for 1 yd to the WAG 12

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.04

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Braden Dougherty for 12 yds for a TD (Hugo Merry KICK)

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Bailey Marzola punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jeremiah Colclough run for 1 yd to the WAG 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Jake Cady pass complete to Teree McDonald for 1 yd to the WAG 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.77

Jake Cady pass complete to Teree McDonald for 8 yds to the WAG 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Jake Cady pass complete to Jaylen Bonelli for 2 yds to the WAG 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion-15 ydsPPA -1.48

pass incomplete to Jaylen Bonelli Wagner Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Brandon Sneh) to the WAG 22

2nd & 23Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jake Cady run for a loss of 3 yards to the WAG 19

3rd & 26Pass Incompletion+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Jake Cady pass incomplete to Teree McDonald Columbia Penalty, off-side (Joshua Powell) to the WAG 24

3rd & 21Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jake Cady sacked by Ayden Baker for a loss of 4 yards to the WAG 20 Jake Cady fumbled, recovered by WAG Devan Taylor , return for 0 yards

1st & 46Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.04

Joey Giorgi run for 1 yd to the COLU 33

2nd & 45Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.41

Malcolm Terry II run for 19 yds to the WAG 48

3rd & 26Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +4.34

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Braden Dougherty for 28 yds to the WAG 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Griffin Johnson run for 9 yds to the WAG 11

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +1.99

Griffin Johnson run for 11 yds for a TD (Hugo Merry KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Hugo Merry kickoff for 65 yds , Sam Martin return for 16 yds to the WAG 16

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.65

Rickey Spruill run for a loss of 4 yards to the WAG 12

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

Rickey Spruill run for 3 yds to the WAG 15

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.23

Jake Cady pass complete to Sekou Kamau for 10 yds to the WAG 25

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA +0.04

Hines,Andre rush middle (Powell,Joshua;Corniello,Ben).

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Cole Freeman run for 6 yds to the WAG 19

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Malcolm Terry II run for 3 yds to the WAG 16

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.10

Malcolm Terry II run for 1 yd to the WAG 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Malcolm Terry II run for 3 yds to the WAG 12

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Malcolm Terry II run for 1 yd to the WAG 11

3rd & 6Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Chase Goodwin sacked by Jorel Liverpool and Franklin Simms for a loss of 1 yard to the WAG 12

4th & 7Field Goal Good+31 yds

Hugo Merry 31 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jake Cady pass complete to Teree McDonald for 5 yds to the WAG 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Rickey Spruill run for 3 yds to the WAG 33

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Cooper,Malik rush middle (McDonald,Hayden;Martin,John).

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Bailey Marzola punt for 67 yds

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.53

Malcolm Terry II run for 19 yds to the COLU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.62

Chase Goodwin sacked by Logan Barnes and Jorel Liverpool for a loss of 3 yards to the COLU 36

2nd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Edan Stagg for 5 yds to the COLU 41

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Columbia Penalty, false start (Braden Dougherty) to the COLU 36

3rd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)-14 ydsPPA -0.43

Chase Goodwin sacked by Jalin Justice for a loss of 14 yards to the COLU 22 Chase Goodwin fumbled, recovered by COLU Noah Jordan , return for 0 yards

4th & 27Punt0 yds

William Hughes punt for 27 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jake Cady pass complete to Jaylen Bonelli for 4 yds to the COLU 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jake Cady pass complete to Mark Didio for 5 yds to the COLU 40

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Andre Hines Jr. run for 1 yd to the COLU 39 Columbia Penalty, illegal use of hands (Joshua Powell) to the COLU 29

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Jake Cady pass complete to Mark Didio for 9 yds to the COLU 20

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.11

Jaylen Bonelli 20 Yd pass from Jake Cady (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-62 yds

Jake Cady pass incomplete to Teree McDonald, broken up by Anthony Roussos

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Joey Giorgi run for 5 yds to the COLU 30

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.23

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Edan Stagg for 10 yds to the COLU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

pass incomplete to Braden Dougherty

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

pass incomplete to Edan Stagg

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Edan Stagg for 4 yds to the COLU 44

4th & 6Punt0 yds

William Hughes punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.32

Rickey Spruill run for 16 yds to the WAG 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Jake Cady pass complete to Teree McDonald for 9 yds to the WAG 47

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.42

Jake Cady pass incomplete to Jeremiah Colclough, broken up by Rocco Milia

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.40

Jake Cady run for 6 yds to the COLU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Jake Cady pass incomplete to Christian Tait

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

pass incomplete to Jeremiah Colclough

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jake Cady pass complete to Jaylen Bonelli for 4 yds to the WAG 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.75

Jake Cady pass complete to Malik Cooper for 18 yds to the WAG 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Derek Burrell run for 5 yds to the COLU 48

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Malik Cooper run for 2 yds to the COLU 46

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jake Cady pass incomplete to Malik Cooper, broken up by Hayden McDonald

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

pass incomplete to Jaylen Bonelli

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Joey Giorgi run for 2 yds to the COLU 48

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.45

Joey Giorgi run for 8 yds to the WAG 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

pass incomplete to Jordan Kelley

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Malcolm Terry II run for 2 yds to the WAG 42

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

pass incomplete to Edan Stagg

4th & 8Punt0 yds

William Hughes punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Andre Hines Jr. run for 4 yds to the WAG 14

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Andre Hines Jr. run for 3 yds to the WAG 17

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.70

Jake Cady pass complete to Jaylen Bonelli for 5 yds to the WAG 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-10 ydsPPA -1.05

Jake Cady pass incomplete to Derek Burrell, broken up by Hayden McDonald Wagner Penalty, Offensive holding (Devan Taylor) to the WAG 12

1st & 20Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.02

Jake Cady pass complete to Jaylen Bonelli for 15 yds to the WAG 27

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

pass incomplete to Derek Burrell

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jake Cady pass incomplete to Chase Stafford, broken up by Cobe Crews

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Bailey Marzola punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Cole Freeman run for 5 yds to the COLU 41

2nd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.42

Malcolm Terry II run for a loss of 2 yards to the COLU 39

3rd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.77

Cole Freeman run for 13 yds to the WAG 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Cole Freeman run for a loss of 1 yard to the WAG 49

2nd & 11Rush-9 ydsPPA -2.05

Griffin Johnson run for 1 yd to the COLU 48 Columbia Penalty, Offensive holding (John Iannuzzi) to the COLU 42

3rd & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Jordan Kelley for 5 yds to the COLU 47

4th & 15Punt0 yds

William Hughes punt for 53 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sekou Kamau run for 5 yds to the WAG 25

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Sekou Kamau run for 6 yds to the WAG 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Jake Cady run for 7 yds to the WAG 38

2nd & 3Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.52

Jake Cady pass complete to Rickey Spruill for a loss of 2 yards to the WAG 36

3rd & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jake Cady pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Chase Goodwin pass incomplete to Titus Evans, broken up by Zachary Ricci

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Joey Giorgi run for 2 yds to the WAG 48

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

pass incomplete to Jordan Kelley

4th & 8Punt0 yds

William Hughes punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.41

Jake Cady run for 10 yds to the WAG 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Jake Cady pass complete to Jaylen Bonelli for 8 yds to the WAG 28

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.44

Jake Cady pass complete to Jaylen Bonelli for 8 yds to the WAG 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Jake Cady pass complete to Rickey Spruill for a loss of 1 yard to the WAG 35

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jake Cady pass complete to Mark Didio for 4 yds to the WAG 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.92

Jake Cady pass complete to Mark Didio for 15 yds to the COLU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Rickey Spruill run for a loss of 2 yards to the COLU 48

2nd & 12Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Cady,Jake rush right.

3rd & 12Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.89

Jake Cady pass complete to Malik Cooper for 9 yds to the COLU 39

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.87

Jake Cady pass incomplete to Chase Stafford, broken up by Anthony Roussos

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Joey Giorgi run for 8 yds to the COLU 47

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Joey Giorgi run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Titus Evans for 4 yds to the WAG 46

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Joey Giorgi run for 1 yd to the WAG 45

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

pass incomplete to Titus Evans

4th & 5Punt0 yds

William Hughes punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jake Cady pass complete to Jaylen Bonelli for 5 yds to the WAG 18

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

pass incomplete to Jeremiah Colclough

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.08

Jake Cady pass complete to Teree McDonald for 3 yds to the WAG 21

4th & 2Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.00

Jake Cady pass complete to Jaylen Bonelli for 3 yds to the WAG 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.02

Cady,Jake rush , PENALTY WAG illegal shift (Didio, Jr.,Mark) 5 yards to the WAG29. Wagner Penalty, illegal shift (Mark Didio) to the WAG 19

1st & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.80

Andre Hines Jr. run for 10 yds to the WAG 29

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.81

Jake Cady run for 6 yds to the WAG 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Andre Hines Jr. run for 7 yds to the WAG 42

2nd & 3Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -2.11

Jake Cady pass complete to Mark Didio for no gain to the WAG 42 Wagner Penalty, illegal shift (Jaylen Bonelli) to the WAG 37

2nd & 8Rush-10 ydsPPA -1.39

Cady,Jake rush , out-of-bounds, PENALTY WAG holding (Sneh,Brandon) 10 yards to the WAG47. Wagner Penalty, Offensive holding (Brandon Sneh) to the WAG 27

2nd & 18Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jake Cady run for 4 yds to the WAG 31

3rd & 14Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.82

Jake Cady run for 13 yds to the WAG 44

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.30

Jake Cady run for 4 yds to the WAG 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +1.48

Jake Cady pass complete to Jaylen Bonelli for 40 yds to the COLU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.47

Jake Cady pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Rocco Milia run for 2 yds to the COLU 38

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Chase Goodwin run for 3 yds to the COLU 41

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +2.03

Chase Goodwin run for 6 yds to the WAG 20 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Columbia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
22%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
4th

Wagner

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
46%
26 plays
100%
3 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
6 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
20%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
4th
60%
5 plays