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← Back to GamesAug 30, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tulsa by 15.5

Home Win Probability

Tulsa 82%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Tulsa -37.5

Edge: Northwestern State +37.5 (22.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Aug 30, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northwestern State
14001428
TulsaTulsa
142771462

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256700-714-721-1434-1448-1456-2862-28
TulsaNorthwestern State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NSTULNSTULNSNSTULTULNSTULNSTULNSTULNSTULNSTULNSNSNSTULNSTULTD275ydPUNT32ydPUNT523ydTD780ydTD47ydPUNT5-13ydTD828ydTD973ydPUNT74ydTD241ydPUNT30ydTD552ydPUNT3-9ydTD765ydEND1-4ydTD775ydPUNT518ydDOWNS1051ydPUNT68ydTD212ydTD776ydTD1073ydPUNT39ydEND452yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northwestern State and Tulsa
StatisticNorthwestern StateTulsa
Passing9-1923-30
Pass Yards112299
Rush Yards114323
Total Yards226622
Turnovers01
3rd Down3-129-13
Penalties3-355-45
Possession28:3031:30

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northwestern State
passing
Quaterius Hawkins
4/5, 57 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kennieth Lacy
7 CAR, 72 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Amaaz Eugene
2 REC, 34 YDS
defense
Tulsa
passing
Kirk Francis
23/30, 299 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Lloyd Avant
11 CAR, 64 YDS
receiving
Zion Steptoe
5 REC, 88 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kennieth Lacy run for no gain to the NWST 25

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.78

Kennieth Lacy run for 75 yds for a TD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Anthony Watkins run for 2 yds to the TLSA 23

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Anthony Watkins run for 4 yds to the TLSA 27

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Kirk Francis pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Angus Davies punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NWST 23

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

JT Fayard run for 5 yds to the NWST 28

2nd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.93

JT Fayard pass complete to Chance Newman for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

JT Fayard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

JT Fayard pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

JT Fayard pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+4 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 38 yds , Kamdyn Benjamin returns for 4 yds to the TLSA 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Bill Jackson run for 1 yd to the TLSA 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Kirk Francis pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.74

Kirk Francis pass complete to Zion Steptoe for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Bill Jackson run for 14 yds to the TLSA 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Lloyd Avant run for 2 yds to the TLSA 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.75

Kirk Francis pass complete to Zion Steptoe for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Kamdyn Benjamin 36 Yd pass from Kirk Francis (Seth Morgan Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.03

JT Fayard pass complete to Amaaz Eugene for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Chance Newman run for no gain to the NWST 37

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ray Mckneely-Harris run for 5 yds to the NWST 32

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

JT Fayard pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt+66 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 34 yds , Kamdyn Benjamin returns for 66 yds for a TD (Seth Morgan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Ray Mckneely-Harris run for 12 yds to the NWST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Kennieth Lacy run for 1 yd to the NWST 36

2nd & 11Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kennieth Lacy run for 4 yds to the NWST 32 Kennieth Lacy fumbled, recovered by NWST Kennieth Lacy

3rd & 15Pass Reception-15 ydsPPA -0.27

JT Fayard pass complete to Ray Mckneely-Harris Northwestern State Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the NWST 22

3rd & 25Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.07

JT Fayard run for 10 yds to the NWST 12

4th & 35Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Kamdyn Benjamin at the NWST 42

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.55

Jacob Emmers run for 15 yds to the NWST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Anthony Watkins run for 3 yds to the NWST 24

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Kirk Francis run for 2 yds to the NWST 22

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.99

Kirk Francis pass complete to Braylin Presley for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Kirk Francis pass incomplete

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TLS False Start 5 yards from NSU07 to NSU12. NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Cooper Legas run for 2 yds to the NWST 14

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Kirk Francis pass incomplete

4th & 14Blocked Field Goal+74 yds

Seth Morgan 32 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Cam Hardy for a TD , Antonio Hall return for 74 yds for a TD (Reed Honshtein KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Bill Jackson run for 4 yds to the TLSA 31

2nd & 6Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.71

Kirk Francis pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin

3rd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.01

Kirk Francis pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Kirk Francis pass complete to Bill Jackson

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.95

Bill Jackson run for 1 yd to the TLSA 44

3rd & 6Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.78

Kirk Francis pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Lloyd Avant run for 4 yds to the NWST 37

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Kirk Francis pass complete to Jeremiah Ballard for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.79

Jeremiah Ballard 29 Yd pass from Kirk Francis (Seth Morgan Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.99

Zay Davis run for 9 yds to the NWST 25

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Zay Davis run for no gain to the NWST 25

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.57

JT Fayard run for 1 yd to the NWST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NSU False Start (Cedillo,Guadalupe) 5 yards from NSU26 to NSU21. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Penalty+15 yds

Tulsa Penalty, Targeting (Chris Thompson Jr.) to the NWST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Chance Newman run for 3 yds to the NWST 22

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Zay Davis run for 2 yds to the NWST 20

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

JT Fayard pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+13 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 34 yds , Kamdyn Benjamin returns for 13 yds to the NWST 41

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Cardell Williams run for 8 yds to the NWST 33

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +2.59

Anthony Watkins run for 33 yds for a TD (Seth Morgan PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

JT Fayard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.20

Kennieth Lacy run for no gain to the NWST 15

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

JT Fayard pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+2 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 39 yds , Kamdyn Benjamin returns for 2 yds to the TLSA 48

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Bill Jackson run for 8 yds to the NWST 44

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Bill Jackson run for 4 yds to the NWST 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(05:41) No Huddle-Shotgun Francis,Kirk pass complete short right to McGary,Luke caught at NSU25, for 15 yards to the NSU25, End Of Play PENALTY TLS Holding (Steptoe,Zion) 10 yards from NSU40 to NSU50. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Kirk Francis pass complete to Luke McGary

2nd & 17Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.93

Kirk Francis pass complete to Grayson Tempest for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Connor Vaughn 20 Yd pass from Kirk Francis (Seth Morgan Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.32

JT Fayard pass complete to Kareame Cotton Jr.

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

JT Fayard pass incomplete

3rd & 12Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.34

JT Fayard sacked by Justin Lohrenz for a loss of 7 yards to the NWST 26

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kamdyn Benjamin at the TLSA 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kirk Francis pass complete to Braylin Presley

2nd & 6Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.53

Kirk Francis pass complete to Zion Steptoe for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Lloyd Avant run for 2 yds to the NWST 30

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Kirk Francis pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Kirk Francis pass complete to Braylin Presley

4th & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.32

Kirk Francis pass complete to Braylin Presley for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Connor Vaughn 14 Yd pass from Kirk Francis (Seth Morgan Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kennieth Lacy run for 4 yds to the NWST 10

0th & 10End of Half-4 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Kirk Francis pass complete to Zion Steptoe for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Anthony Watkins run for 2 yds to the TLSA 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.04

Kirk Francis pass complete to Ethan Hall

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.27

Kirk Francis pass complete to Zion Steptoe for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bill Jackson run for 5 yds to the NWST 37

2nd & 5Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.60

Bill Jackson run for 18 yds to the NWST 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+19 ydsPPA +2.60

Braylin Presley run for 19 yds for a TD (Seth Morgan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

JT Fayard run for 2 yds to the NWST 33

2nd & 12Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.46

Chance Newman run for 14 yds to the NWST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Kennieth Lacy run for 6 yds to the TLSA 47

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Zay Davis run for no gain to the TLSA 47

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

JT Fayard pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.59

Lloyd Avant run for 16 yds to the TLSA 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Lloyd Avant run for 5 yds to the TLSA 26

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.81

Lloyd Avant run for 7 yds to the TLSA 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY TLS False Start (Li'o Marks,Tautai) 5 yards from TLS33 to TLS28. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Kirk Francis pass complete to Braylin Presley

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Kirk Francis pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.92

Kirk Francis run for 15 yds to the TLSA 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(05:30) Shotgun Ellison Jr.,Viron rush left for 10 yards gain to the NSU41 (Williams,Christian) PENALTY TLS Holding (Vaughn,Connor) 10 yards from TLS49 to TLS39. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Kirk Francis pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin

2nd & 15Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.13

Lloyd Avant run for 10 yds to the NWST 46

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Lloyd Avant run for 2 yds to the NWST 44

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.39

Kirk Francis pass incomplete

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.39

Kirk Francis pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Zay Davis run for 8 yds to the TLSA 48

2nd & 2Penalty-15 yds

(02:38) Shotgun Fayard,JT pass incomplete deep middle to Kitt-Denton,Myles thrown to TLS17 PENALTY NSU Chop Block (Lacy,Kennieth) 15 yards from TLS48 to NSU37. NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Zay Davis run for 1 yd to the NWST 38

3rd & 16Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.83

JT Fayard pass complete to Amaaz Eugene for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

JT Fayard run for no gain to the TLSA 40

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Quaterius Hawkins run for 2 yds to the TLSA 42

3rd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Zay Davis run for 6 yds to the TLSA 48

4th & 18Punt+36 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Quaterius Hawkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.83

Myles Kitt-Denton 12 Yd pass from Quaterius Hawkins (Reed Honshtein Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return Touchdown+100 yds

Lloyd Avant 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Seth Morgan Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.38

Quaterius Hawkins pass complete to Kareame Cotton Jr. for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Zay Davis run for 5 yds to the NWST 46

2nd & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Quaterius Hawkins pass complete to Kareame Cotton Jr.

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.69

Quaterius Hawkins pass complete to Ty Moore for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Zay Davis run for 6 yds to the TLSA 30

2nd & 4Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.08

Zay Davis run for 26 yds to the TLSA 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

C. Newman run for 4 yds for a TD (R. Honshtein KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Viron Ellison Jr. run for 11 yds to the TLSA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Cooper Legas run for 9 yds to the TLSA 47

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.10

Viron Ellison Jr. run for 5 yds to the NWST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Lloyd Avant run for 5 yds to the NWST 43

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Lloyd Avant run for 1 yd to the NWST 42

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.57

Lloyd Avant run for 10 yds to the NWST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Viron Ellison Jr. run for 3 yds to the NWST 29

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Viron Ellison Jr. run for 1 yd to the NWST 28

3rd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.93

Viron Ellison Jr. run for 6 yds to the NWST 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

C. Williams run for 22 yds for a TD (S. Morgan KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ray Mckneely-Harris run for 1 yd to the NWST 26

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Ray Mckneely-Harris run for no gain to the NWST 26

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Quaterius Hawkins run for 8 yds to the NWST 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Grayson Tempest at the TLSA 15

1st & 10Rush+41 ydsPPA +3.21

Cam Crooks run for 41 yds to the NWST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Cam Crooks run for 6 yds to the NWST 38

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Cardell Williams run for 1 yd to the NWST 37

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.96

Cardell Williams run for 4 yds to the NWST 33 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Northwestern State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
21 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
67%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
4th

Tulsa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
65%
31 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
14%
7 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
83%
6 plays
80%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
33%
3 plays