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← Back to GamesNov 7, 2024Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Western Michigan by 5.3

Home Win Probability

Western Michigan 62%

Market (Bovada)

Western Michigan +2

Edge: Western Michigan +2 (7.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois
02121042
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
777728

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-07-77-1414-1421-2821-3528-42
Western MichiganNorthern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NIWMNIWMNIWMNIWMNIWMNIWMWMWMNIWMNIWMNIWMNIPUNT38ydPUNT35ydPUNT34ydTD265ydTO277ydTO1356ydTD531ydPUNT725ydTD886ydTD975ydTD1260ydEND14ydTD438ydTO21ydTD635ydTO659ydTD571ydTD960ydMISS1242ydDOWNS819ydEND512yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Illinois and Western Michigan
StatisticNorthern IllinoisWestern Michigan
Passing13-1714-28
Pass Yards156179
Rush Yards255211
Total Yards411390
Turnovers13
3rd Down6-102-10
Penalties4-375-50
Possession29:2430:36

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Illinois
passing
Ethan Hampton
13/16, 156 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Telly Johnson Jr.
23 CAR, 141 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Trayvon Rudolph
6 REC, 74 YDS
defense
Western Michigan
passing
Hayden Wolff
14/27, 179 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jaden Nixon
12 CAR, 95 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Kenneth Womack
4 REC, 51 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 36

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.52

Ethan Hampton run for 7 yds to the NIU 43

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Antario Brown run for no gain to the NIU 43

4th & 2Punt+7 yds

Tom Foley punt for 27 yds , Jordin Parker returns for 7 yds to the WMU 37

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.92

Hayden Wolff sacked by Devonte O'Malley for a loss of 7 yards to the WMU 30

2nd & 17Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.92

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 12 yds to the WMU 42

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Ryan Millmore punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 16

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the NIU 19

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jordin Parker at the WMU 35

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMU 34

2nd & 11Rushing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +6.42

Jaden Nixon run for 66 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Palmer Domschke kickoff for 58 yds , Cam Thompson return for 14 yds to the NIU 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.41

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 28 yds to the NIU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+49 ydsPPA -3.08

Antario Brown run for 49 yds to the WMU 2 Antario Brown fumbled, recovered by WMU Bilhal Kone B. Kone return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Hayden Wolff run for 4 yds to the WMU 6

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.42

Jalen Buckley run for 10 yds to the WMU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.15

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 17 yds to the WMU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.03

Jalen Buckley run for 8 yds to the WMU 41

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.03

Jaden Nixon run for 3 yds to the WMU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Jaden Nixon run for 8 yds to the NIU 48

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Jaden Nixon run for 1 yd to the NIU 47

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.07

Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the NIU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jalen Buckley run for no gain to the NIU 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 2 yds to the NIU 44

3rd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the NIU 42

4th & 6Penalty-15 yds

Ryan Millmore pass intercepted by Santana Banner, returrned 29 yards to the WMU 46. WMU Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the WMU 31

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.26

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 14 yds to the WMU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Trayvon Rudolph run for 7 yds to the WMU 10

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WMU 8

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.48

Ethan Hampton run for 2 yds to the WMU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds to the WMU 30

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.93

Jalen Buckley run for 7 yds to the WMU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jalen Buckley run for 6 yds to the WMU 43

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.64

Jaden Nixon run for 5 yds to the WMU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.80

Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMU 45

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

3rd & 13Penalty+5 yds

Northern Illinois Penalty, Offsides (Skyler Gill-Howard) to the 50 yard line

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Ryan Millmore punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Trayvon Rudolph run for 6 yds to the NIU 20

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Ethan Hampton run for 2 yds to the NIU 22

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.77

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the NIU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

HAMPTON, Ethan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for BARNES, Grayson thrown to the WMU32. PENALTY WMU Pass Interference on KONE, Bilhal enforced 15 yards to the NIU41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the NIU 42

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.10

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Brock Lampe for 13 yds to the WMU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds to the WMU 38

2nd & 3Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +0.76

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 31 yds to the WMU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 7 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.46

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 28 yds to the NIU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 7 yds to the NIU 40

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the NIU 38

4th & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.03

Jalen Buckley run for 12 yds to the NIU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Kenneth Womack run for 3 yds to the NIU 23

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the NIU 21

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 7 yds to the NIU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +2.55

Jaden Nixon run for 14 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Palmer Domschke kickoff for 44 yds , Brock Lampe return for 19 yds to the NIU 40

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the NIU 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.67

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Gavin Williams for 9 yds to the WMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.07

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Dane Pardridge for 9 yds to the WMU 40

2nd & 1Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA -0.21

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 7 yds to the WMU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 9 yds to the WMU 24

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.22

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the WMU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 6 yds to the WMU 17

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.05

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 12 yds to the WMU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Gavin Williams for 5 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Austin Bullock kickoff for 40 yds , August Johanningsmeier return for no gain to the WMU 25

0th & 6End of Half-4 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jalen Buckley run for 4 yds to the WMU 29

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+61 yds

Austin Bullock kickoff for 64 yds , Jaden Nixon return for 61 yds to the NIU 38

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Jalen Buckley run for 7 yds to the NIU 31

2nd & 3Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.12

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 17 yds to the NIU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+12 yds

WOLFF, Hayden pass to the left incomplete intended for WOMACK, Kenneth thrown to the NIU0. PENALTY NIU Pass Interference on DOLPHIN, Jaden enforced 12 yards to the NIU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the NIU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Broc Lowry run for 1 yd for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+91 yds

Cam Thompson 91 Yd Kickoff Return (Kanon Woodill Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Austin Bullock kickoff for 45 yds , Zahir Abdus-Salaam return for 10 yds to the WMU 30

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the WMU 31

2nd & 9Pass Interception Return+8 ydsPPA -0.59

Hayden Wolff pass intercepted Jaden Dolphin return for 8 yds to the WMU 35

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Northern Illinois Penalty, False Start (Cam Thompson) to the WMU 40

1st & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 12 yds to the WMU 28

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WMU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 7 yds to the WMU 18

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.17

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 11 yds to the WMU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.13

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WMU 2

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Gavin Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Austin Bullock kickoff for 56 yds , Jaden Nixon return for 14 yds to the WMU 23

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.81

Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMU 21

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Malique Dieudonne for 6 yds to the WMU 27

3rd & 6Penalty+15 yds

WOLFF, Hayden pass to the right incomplete thrown to the WMU40. PENALTY NIU Pass Interference on BANNER, Santana enforced 15 yards to the WMU42 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.09

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 13 yds to the NIU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

NIXON, Jaden rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the NIU42 (GILL-HOWARD, Skyler). PENALTY WMU Holding on WEST, Addison enforced 10 yards from the NIU45 to the WMU45 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.03

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordin Parker for 35 yds to the NIU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WOLFF, Hayden pass deep up the middle complete for 19 yards to SAMBUCCI, Anthony caught at the NIU1 and advanced to the NIU1, End of Play. PENALTY WMU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on GIDEON, Jacob enforced 5 yards from the NIU20 to the NIU25 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.21

Jalen Buckley run for 7 yds to the NIU 18

2nd & 8Pass Interception Return+24 ydsPPA -4.18

Hayden Wolff pass intercepted Nate Valcarcel return for 24 yds to the NIU 29

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.23

Gavin Williams run for 25 yds to the WMU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 9 yds to the WMU 37

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.31

Gavin Williams run for 5 yds to the WMU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 6 yds to the WMU 26

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.65

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 26 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Austin Bullock kickoff for 46 yds , Zahir Abdus-Salaam return for 21 yds to the WMU 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 6 yds to the WMU 46

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.74

Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the WMU 48

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.40

Jalen Buckley run for 4 yds to the NIU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 11 yds to the NIU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.46

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 19 yds to the NIU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 8 yds to the NIU 10

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

Jaden Nixon run for no gain to the NIU 10

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.03

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Mareyohn Hrabowski for 10 yds for a TD (Luka Zurak KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Luka Zurak kickoff for 48 yds , Dane Pardridge return for 15 yds to the NIU 32

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 1 yd to the NIU 33

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the NIU 36

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.17

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Gavin Williams for 8 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.96

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 8 yds to the WMU 48

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.29

Telly Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the WMU 48

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.22

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WMU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the WMU 42

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 5 yds to the WMU 37

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

JOHNSON JR., Telly rush up the middle for no gain to the WMU37 (WILLIS, Donald). PENALTY Before the snap, WMU Illegal Substitution enforced 5 yards from the WMU37 to the WMU32 and results in a 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the WMU 31

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 2 yds to the WMU 29

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WMU 26

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+43 yds

Kanon Woodill 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds to the WMU 31

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

4th & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.23

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 8 yds to the WMU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jordin Parker for 6 yds to the WMU 45

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.23

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the WMU 43

2nd & 8Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Telly Johnson Jr. run for 13 yds to the WMU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

[NH] Kneel down by TEAM at WMU31 (team loss of 1).

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

[NH] Kneel down by TEAM at WMU32 (team loss of 1).

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.21

[NH] Kneel down by TEAM at WMU33 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Northern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
56%
25 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
9 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
80%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
4th

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
60%
25 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
60%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays