Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 12, 2024Week 7
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Bowling Green by 4.1

Home Win Probability

Bowling Green 56%

Market (Bovada)

Bowling Green -3

Edge: Bowling Green -3 (1.1 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois
3301117
Bowling GreenBowling Green
70007

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40140-37-37-67-147-17
Bowling GreenNorthern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NIBGNIBGNIBGNIBGNIBGNIBGNIBGNIBGNIBGNIBGNIBGNIFG1046ydTD575ydDOWNS736ydMISS837ydPUNT31ydPUNT32ydPUNT720ydTO10ydMISS43ydPUNT34ydFG1354ydPUNT43ydEND212ydMISS1359ydPUNT620ydPUNT3-7ydTD746ydDOWNS844ydFG1259ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT34ydTO720ydEND3-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Illinois and Bowling Green
StatisticNorthern IllinoisBowling Green
Passing15-2110-23
Pass Yards10898
Rush Yards173107
Total Yards281205
Turnovers02
3rd Down6-171-13
Penalties4-455-40
Possession34:4425:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Illinois
passing
Josh Holst
10/14, 89 YDS
rushing
Gavin Williams
29 CAR, 102 YDS
receiving
Andrew McElroy
5 REC, 47 YDS
defense
Bowling Green
passing
Connor Bazelak
8/14, 88 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Terion Stewart
13 CAR, 64 YDS
receiving
Jamal Johnson
3 REC, 43 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 1 yd to the NIU 26

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the NIU 28

3rd & 7Penalty+10 yds

(13:38) Shotgun Hampton,Ethan pass incomplete short left to Barnes,Grayson thrown to NIU40 PENALTY BGSU Holding (Brown,CJ) 10 yards from NIU28 to NIU38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Gavin Williams run for 11 yds to the NIU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Bowling Green Penalty, (15 Yards) to the BGSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the BGSU 33

2nd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.00

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 12 yds to the BGSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Gavin Williams run for 5 yds to the BGSU 26

2nd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Gavin Williams run for 5 yds to the BGSU 21

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.39

Ethan Hampton sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the BGSU 29

4th & 18Field Goal Good+46 yds

Kanon Woodill 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.94

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 36 yds to the NIU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +0.62

Terion Stewart run for 28 yds to the NIU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Terion Stewart run for no gain to the NIU 11

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +3.11

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 11 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Gavin Williams run for 8 yds to the NIU 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.21

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Justin Lynch for 5 yds to the NIU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Gavin Williams run for 14 yds to the BGSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.31

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Gavin Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Dane Pardridge for 2 yds to the BGSU 47

3rd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Ethan Hampton run for 6 yds to the BGSU 41

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -1.67

Ethan Hampton run for 2 yds to the BGSU 39

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Rahkeem Smith run for 5 yds to the BGSU 44

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.98

Terion Stewart run for 7 yds to the NIU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Connor Bazelak run for 11 yds to the NIU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 11 yds to the NIU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 3 yds to the NIU 24

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+42 yds

Jackson Kleather 42 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Josh Holst pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Josh Holst run for 1 yd to the NIU 25

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 34 yds , Rahkeem Smith returns for no gain to the BGSU 41

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BGSU 40

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 6 yds to the BGSU 46

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the BGSU 43

4th & 8Punt0 yds

John Henderson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 17

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the NIU 20

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the NIU 23

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Ethan Hampton run for 3 yds to the NIU 26

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.25

Ethan Hampton run for 3 yds to the NIU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.83

Ahmir Smith run for no gain to the NIU 29

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.28

Ethan Hampton run for 8 yds to the NIU 37

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.77

Connor Bazelak sacked by Roy Williams for 0 yards to the BGSU 10 Connor Bazelak fumbled, recovered by NIU Jalonnie Williams , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the BGSU 8

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Ethan Hampton run for 1 yd to the BGSU 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Josh Holst pass incomplete

4th & 7Blocked Field Goal0 yds

Kanon Woodill 24 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Ali Saad (07:43) Woodill,Kanon field goal attempt from 24 yards NO GOOD blocked by Saad,Ali (H: Foley,Tom, LS: Hatfield,Isaac), clock 07:40 recovered by NIU Woodill,Kanon at BGSU14 Woodill,Kanon return for loss of 3 yards to the BGSU17 (Horne,Brock), TURNOVER ON DOWNS. , Kanon Woodill return for no gain to the BGSU 17

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Terion Stewart run for 9 yds to the BGSU 26

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the BGSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.43

Connor Bazelak sacked by Jalonnie Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the BGSU 21

2nd & 18Punt0 yds

John Henderson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 42

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Josh Holst run for 2 yds to the NIU 44

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Holst run for 4 yds to the NIU 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.80

Josh Holst pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 5 yds to the BGSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Josh Holst pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 5 yds to the BGSU 42

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.70

Gavin Williams run for 12 yds to the BGSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the BGSU 23

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Josh Holst pass complete to Cam Thompson for 4 yds to the BGSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Gavin Williams run for no gain to the BGSU 19

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.08

Josh Holst run for 14 yds to the BGSU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the BGSU 4

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the BGSU 6

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Holst pass complete to Gavin Williams for 2 yds to the BGSU 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Kanon Woodill 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Jaison Patterson run for 11 yds to the BGSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -2.09

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the BGSU 45

3rd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.83

Connor Bazelak sacked by Skyler Gill-Howard for a loss of 7 yards to the BGSU 38

4th & 18Punt0 yds

John Henderson punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 26

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.86

Gavin Williams run for 10 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the NIU 38

0th & 10End of Half+2 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+27 yds

Austin Bullock kickoff for 65 yds , Rahkeem Smith return for 27 yds to the BGSU 27

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Rahkeem Smith run for 1 yd to the BGSU 28

2nd & 9Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BGSU False Start (Burns,Jake) 5 yards from BGSU28 to BGSU23. NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Penalty0 yds

Bowling Green Penalty, (Yards) declined

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 14Rush+23 ydsPPA +3.16

John Henderson run for 23 yds to the BGSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.38

Connor Bazelak sacked by Cade Haberman for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 45

2nd & 11Penalty0 yds

PENALTY BGSU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness offsetting NIU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness offsetting. NO PLAY.

2nd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.43

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 16 yds to the NIU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Terion Stewart run for 8 yds to the NIU 31

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the NIU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 10 yds to the NIU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

(11:05) No Huddle-Shotgun Stewart,Terion rush left for 8 yards loss to the NIU27 (Fuhrman,Christian; Knighten,Amariyun) PENALTY NIU Face Mask (Prophete,Jashon) 10 yards from NIU19 to NIU09, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Jaison Patterson run for 7 yds to the NIU 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Harold Fannin Jr. run for no gain to the NIU 2

3rd & 2Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.86

Connor Bazelak sacked by Skyler Gill-Howard for a loss of 7 yards to the NIU 9

4th & 9Penalty-5 yds

(08:50) Long,Zach field goal attempt from 27 yards nullified by penaltyGOOD (H: Kenner,Travis, LS: Carlson,George), clock 08:50 PENALTY BGSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from NIU09 to NIU14. NO PLAY.

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Zach Long 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Josh Holst pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.25

Josh Holst pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 7 yds to the NIU 27

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.17

Josh Holst run for 5 yds to the NIU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the NIU 39

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.20

Gavin Williams run for no gain to the NIU 39

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Justin Lynch run for 1 yd to the NIU 40

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Rahkeem Smith at the BGSU 16

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

(05:19) No Huddle-Shotgun Stewart,Terion rush middle for 10 yards gain to the BGSU26 (Valcarcel,Nate) PENALTY BGSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from BGSU16 to BGSU11. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.08

Terion Stewart run for no gain to the BGSU 11

3rd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.02

Lucian Anderson III run for 2 yds to the BGSU 9

4th & 17Punt0 yds

John Henderson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the BGSU 46

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the BGSU 44

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.54

Gavin Williams run for 7 yds to the BGSU 37

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.63

Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the BGSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ahmir Smith run for 5 yds to the BGSU 29

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

Ahmir Smith run for 1 yd to the BGSU 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.06

Josh Holst pass complete to Cam Thompson for 8 yds to the BGSU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Josh Holst 22 Yd Run (Grayson Barnes Pass to Isaac Hatfield for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Austin Bullock kickoff for 65 yds , Rahkeem Smith return for 25 yds to the BGSU 25

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Lucian Anderson III run for no gain to the BGSU 25

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Terion Stewart run for no gain to the BGSU 25

3rd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Terion Stewart run for 5 yds to the BGSU 30

4th & 5Penalty+15 yds

(12:54) Henderson,John punt 30 yards to the NIU40 fair catch by Pardridge,Dane at NIU40 PENALTY NIU Leaping (Tierney,Ethan) 15 yards from BGSU30 to BGSU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Lucian Anderson III pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

(12:44) No Huddle-Shotgun Anderson III,Lucian pass incomplete deep left to Pegues,Justin thrown to NIU33 PENALTY NIU Pass Interference (Hansen,Jordan) 15 yards from BGSU45 to NIU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Lucian Anderson III pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Terion Stewart run for 5 yds to the NIU 35

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the NIU 32

4th & 2Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -2.67

Lucian Anderson III pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 1 yd to the NIU 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Josh Holst pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Gavin Williams run for no gain to the NIU 31

3rd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.89

Josh Holst pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 16 yds to the NIU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Gavin Williams run for 6 yds to the BGSU 47

2nd & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.86

Josh Holst pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 15 yds to the BGSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the BGSU 33

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Josh Holst run for no gain to the BGSU 33

3rd & 11Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.00

Josh Holst pass complete to Cam Thompson for 23 yds to the BGSU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Gavin Williams run for no gain to the BGSU 10

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the BGSU 9

3rd & 9Penalty-5 yds

(06:31) Shotgun Holst,Josh pass complete short right to Thompson,Cam caught at BGSU00, for 0 yards to the BGSU09 PENALTY NIU Illegal Formation 5 yards from BGSU09 to BGSU14. NO PLAY.

3rd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Josh Holst pass complete to Andrew McElroy for 4 yds to the BGSU 10

4th & 10Field Goal Good+27 yds

Kanon Woodill 27 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Austin Bullock kickoff for 57 yds , Jaison Patterson return for 19 yds to the BGSU 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Lucian Anderson III pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Lucian Anderson III pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.22

Lucian Anderson III sacked by Devonte O'Malley for a loss of 2 yards to the BGSU 25

4th & 12Punt0 yds

John Henderson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dane Pardridge at the NIU 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the NIU 43

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Gavin Williams run for 2 yds to the NIU 45

3rd & 5Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.91

Josh Holst sacked by Joseph Sipp Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the NIU 44

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Rahkeem Smith at the BGSU 17

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the BGSU 18

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Lucian Anderson III run for 2 yds to the BGSU 20

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Lucian Anderson III pass incomplete

4th & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.43

Lucian Anderson III run for 8 yds to the BGSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Lucian Anderson III pass complete to Finn Hogan for 9 yds to the BGSU 37

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.35

Lucian Anderson III pass incomplete

3rd & 1Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.11

Lucian Anderson III pass intercepted Nate Valcarcel return for no gain to the BGSU 25

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Kneel down by NIU at BGSU26 for loss of 1 yard.

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.84

Kneel down by NIU at BGSU27 for loss of 1 yard.

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Kneel down by NIU at BGSU28 for loss of 1 yard.

Situational Analysis

Northern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
39%
28 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
25%
12 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Bowling Green

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
44%
25 plays
2nd
0%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
40%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play