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← Back to GamesNov 9, 2024Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Morehead State by 1.8

Home Win Probability

Davidson 44%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Davidson -7

Edge: Morehead State +7 (8.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 9, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Morehead State
770014
Davidson
1437731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-014-714-1424-1431-14
DavidsonMorehead State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DAVMSDAVMSDAVMSDAVMSDAVMSDAVMSMSDAVMSDAVMSDAVMSDAVTD675ydTO10ydTD431ydTD975ydPUNT526ydPUNT630ydPUNT1126ydTD188ydTO631ydPUNT3-5ydFG1240ydTD2-4ydPUNT35ydPUNT3-13ydPUNT5-1ydDOWNS1345ydTO532ydTD1797ydDOWNS4-7ydEND1-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Morehead State and Davidson
StatisticMorehead StateDavidson
Passing13-256-9
Pass Yards20594
Rush Yards-13314
Total Yards192408
Turnovers31
3rd Down2-811-19
Penalties5-3510-94
Possession17:0742:53

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Morehead State
passing
Carter Cravens
13/25, 205 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Isaac Stopke
8 CAR, 16 YDS
receiving
Nate Garnett
6 REC, 124 YDS, 1 TD
Davidson
passing
Luke Durkin
6/8, 94 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Mari Adams
23 CAR, 129 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Brody Reina
2 REC, 47 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Mari Adams run for 2 yds to the DAV 27

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Andrew Frazier run for 7 yds to the DAV 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

Mari Adams run for 4 yds to the DAV 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Mari Adams run for 3 yds to the DAV 41

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Mari Adams run for 4 yds to the DAV 45

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +5.53

Mari Adams run for 55 yds for a TD (Adam Zouagui KICK)

No play data available
1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Mason Sheron run for 2 yds to the MORE 29

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mason Sheron run for no gain to the MORE 29

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Jaleel Sales run for 1 yd to the MORE 28

4th & 7Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +4.58

Luke Durkin pass complete to Brody Reina for 28 yds for a TD (Adam Zouagui KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 13 yds to the MORE 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Isaac Stopke run for 2 yds to the MORE 40

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 3 yds to the MORE 43

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.43

Carter Cravens pass complete to Nate Garnett for 11 yds to the DAV 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Isaac Stopke run for 3 yds to the DAV 43

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Isaac Stopke run for 3 yds to the DAV 40

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.58

Carter Cravens pass complete to Bradley West for 16 yds to the DAV 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+12 yds

PENALTY DAV Personal Foul (Kindles,Darryn) 12 yards from DAV24 to DAV12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 1 yd to the DAV 11

2nd & 9Penalty+9 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Cravens,Carter pass incomplete short right to Garnett Jr.,Nathan thrown to DAV00 PENALTY DAV Pass Interference (Hill,Amare) 9 yards from DAV11 to DAV02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Chance Harris run for 2 yds for a TD (Thomas Schwartz V KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Thomas Schwartz V kickoff for 64 yds , Dante Sellari return for 23 yds to the DAV 24

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Mari Adams run for 7 yds to the DAV 31

2nd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.19

Andrew Frazier run for 13 yds to the DAV 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Mari Adams run for no gain to the DAV 44

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Andrew Frazier run for 5 yds to the DAV 49

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Will Jones run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Adam Zouagui punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Isaac Stopke run for 4 yds to the MORE 5

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Isaac Stopke run for 4 yds to the MORE 9

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY DAV Offside (Kindles,Darryn) 5 yards from Eagles09 to Eagles14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.14

Carter Cravens pass complete to Nate Garnett for 18 yds to the MORE 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Nate Garnett

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Isaac Stopke run for 1 yd to the MORE 31

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Bradley West

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the DAV 36

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Mason Sheron run for 1 yd to the DAV 37

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Mason Sheron run for 5 yds to the DAV 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +2.17

Luke Durkin pass complete to Andrew Frazier for 9 yds to the MORE 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Mari Adams run for 1 yd to the MORE 48

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.48

Mari Adams run for 9 yds to the MORE 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Mari Adams run for 2 yds to the MORE 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Luke Durkin pass complete to Andrew Frazier for 6 yds to the MORE 31

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.56

Mason Sheron run for 3 yds to the MORE 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Shotgun Durkin,Luke rush left for 22 yards gain to the Eagles06 (Sweeney III,Richard) PENALTY DAV Holding (Turner,Liam) 10 yards from Eagles28 to Eagles38. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Mason Sheron run for no gain to the MORE 38

2nd & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Luke Durkin run for no gain to the MORE 38

3rd & 20Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Jaleel Sales run for no gain to the MORE 38

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Adam Zouagui punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MORE 12

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+88 ydsPPA +6.73

Carter Cravens pass complete to Nate Garnett for 88 yds for a TD (Thomas Schwartz V KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mari Adams run for no gain to the DAV 25

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Mari Adams run for 6 yds to the DAV 31

3rd & 4Rush+15 ydsPPA +2.43

Luke Durkin run for 15 yds to the DAV 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Mari Adams run for 2 yds to the DAV 48

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Mari Adams run for 3 yds to the MORE 49

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -1.73

Mari Adams run for 5 yds to the MORE 44 Mari Adams fumbled, recovered by MORE Richard Sweeney III

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Ryan Upp

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Nate Garnett

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Cravens,Carter pass complete short right to Louis,James caught at Eagles42, for 28 yards to the DAV28 (Hudson,Dixon) PENALTY Eagles Illegal Formation 5 yards from Eagles44 to Eagles39. NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Eagles False Start (Ziegler,Jacob) 5 yards from Eagles39 to Eagles34. NO PLAY.

3rd & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Carter Cravens pass complete to James Louis for 5 yds to the MORE 39

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Dante Sellari at the DAV 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Luke Durkin pass incomplete to Brody Reina

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Davidson Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the DAV 28

2nd & 16Penalty-10 yds

Shotgun Durkin,Luke pass complete short left to Frazier,Andrew caught at DAV33, for 12 yards to the DAV40, out of bounds at DAV40 PENALTY DAV Holding (Valiant,Sam) 10 yards from DAV28 to DAV18. NO PLAY.

2nd & 26Rush0 ydsPPA -0.04

Mason Sheron run for no gain to the DAV 18

3rd & 26Rush+27 ydsPPA +3.10

Mason Sheron run for 27 yds to the DAV 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Andrew Frazier run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Andrew Frazier run for 4 yds to the MORE 46

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.14

Mason Sheron run for 6 yds to the MORE 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.56

Luke Durkin pass complete to Brody Reina for 19 yds to the MORE 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.07

run for 5 yds to the MORE 26 fumbled, recovered by DAV Luke Durkin

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Luke Durkin pass incomplete

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Luke Durkin pass incomplete to Andrew Frazier

4th & 15Field Goal Good+43 yds

Adam Zouagui 43 yd FG GOOD

0th & 15End of Half-39 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Adam Zouagui kickoff for 61 yds , Chance Harris return for no gain to the MORE 4

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Isaac Stopke run for 1 yd to the MORE 3

2nd & 11Fumble Return Touchdown0 ydsPPA -6.76

Dixon Hudson 0 Yd Fumble Return (Adam Zouagui Kick)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY Eagles UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Upp,Ryan) 15 yards from DAV35 to DAV50. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Isaac Stopke run for 2 yds to the MORE 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 3 yds to the MORE 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Nate Garnett

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dante Sellari at the DAV 35

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

Shotgun Adams,Mari rush right for 3 yards gain to the DAV38 (McClelland,Matthew) PENALTY DAV Holding (Berry,Christian) 10 yards from DAV35 to DAV25. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Luke Durkin run for 3 yds to the DAV 22

2nd & 23Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mari Adams run for 4 yds to the DAV 26

3rd & 19Penalty-13 yds

Shotgun Frazier,Andrew rush left for 12 yards gain to the DAV38 (Shaffner,Kenneth) PENALTY DAV Personal Foul (Luther,Tom) 13 yards from DAV26 to DAV13. NO PLAY.

3rd & 32Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.01

Mari Adams run for 9 yds to the DAV 22

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Adam Zouagui punt for 15 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Carter Cravens pass complete to Nate Garnett for 3 yds to the DAV 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Carter Cravens pass complete to Nate Garnett for 5 yds to the DAV 29

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Cravens,Carter rush left for 3 yards gain to the DAV26 (Rawlins,Julian; McLaughlin,Sabin) PENALTY DAV Offside (Miller,Ashton) 5 yards from DAV29 to DAV24, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Chance Harris run for 1 yd to the DAV 23

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Carter Cravens pass complete to Nate Garnett for a loss of 1 yard Nate Garnett fumbled, recovered by MORE Nate Garnett

3rd & 10Sack-14 ydsPPA -3.19

Carter Cravens sacked by Dixon Hudson for a loss of 14 yards to the DAV 38

4th & 24Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Dante Sellari at the DAV 11

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Mason Sheron run for 4 yds to the DAV 15

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Mason Sheron run for 4 yds to the DAV 19

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.59

Mason Sheron run for 3 yds to the DAV 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Mari Adams run for 3 yds to the DAV 25

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Mari Adams run for 5 yds to the DAV 30

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.41

Mason Sheron run for 7 yds to the DAV 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Mason Sheron run for 3 yds to the DAV 40

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Mason Sheron run for 6 yds to the DAV 46

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.01

Mason Sheron run for 1 yd to the DAV 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Mason Sheron run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Mason Sheron run for 5 yds to the MORE 45

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Mason Sheron run for 1 yd to the MORE 46

4th & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -1.22

Mason Sheron run for 2 yds to the MORE 44

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Bradley West

2nd & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +2.96

Carter Cravens pass complete to Ryan Upp for 40 yds to the DAV 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Eagles False Start (Orta,Xavier) 5 yards from DAV16 to DAV21. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Penalty+10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Cravens,Carter sacked for loss of 1 yard to the DAV22 (Miller,Ashton) PENALTY DAV Holding (Magee,TJ) 10 yards from DAV21 to DAV11, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Nate Garnett

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.23

Carter Cravens sacked by Ashton Miller for a loss of 8 yards to the DAV 19

3rd & 18Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Eagles False Start (Kleint,Trevon) 5 yards from DAV19 to DAV24. NO PLAY.

3rd & 23Interception0 ydsPPA -1.98

Carter Cravens pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Mari Adams run for 1 yd to the DAV 4

2nd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.10

Luke Durkin pass complete to Langston Green for 21 yds to the DAV 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Mari Adams run for 2 yds to the DAV 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Mari Adams run for 1 yd to the DAV 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.02

Luke Durkin pass complete to Christian Berry for 11 yds to the DAV 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Mari Adams run for 3 yds to the DAV 40

2nd & 7Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.38

Andrew Frazier run for 7 yds to the DAV 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Mason Sheron run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.27

Mason Sheron run for 9 yds to the MORE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Mason Sheron run for 6 yds to the MORE 35

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Mason Sheron run for 4 yds to the MORE 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Mason Sheron run for 3 yds to the MORE 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Andrew Frazier run for 2 yds to the MORE 30

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Luke Durkin run for 8 yds to the MORE 22

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.85

Mason Sheron run for 2 yds to the MORE 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Andrew Frazier run for 5 yds to the MORE 15

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.54

Mason Sheron run for 15 yds for a TD (Adam Zouagui KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Trevon Kleint

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Trevon Kleint

3rd & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.25

Carter Cravens sacked by Mikah Kent for a loss of 7 yards to the MORE 18

4th & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.37

Carter Cravens pass incomplete to Ryan Upp

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.60

Kneel down by Davidson at Eagles21 for loss of 3 yards.

Situational Analysis

Morehead State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
19%
16 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
20%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Davidson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
23%
26 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
71%
17 plays
0%
4 plays
3rd
88%
8 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play