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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2024Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisville by 8.1

Home Win Probability

Louisville 67%

Market (Bovada)

Louisville -7.5

Edge: Louisville -7.5 (0.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
PittsburghPittsburgh
00729
LouisvilleLouisville
101710037

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-017-024-034-037-737-9
LouisvillePittsburgh

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PITLOUPITLOUPITLOUPITLOUPITLOUPITLOUPITLOUPITLOUPITLOUPITLOUPITLOUPITLOUTO968ydFG1057ydPUNT519ydTD582ydDOWNS525ydTD650ydDOWNS724ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT3-2ydDOWNS866ydTO20ydTD115ydPUNT39ydFG1042ydEND11ydTD375ydPUNT929ydPUNT521ydTD875ydFG837ydPUNT39ydSAF21ydTO743ydEND1580yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Pittsburgh and Louisville
StatisticPittsburghLouisville
Passing19-3517-28
Pass Yards190293
Rush Yards75214
Total Yards265507
Turnovers30
3rd Down4-127-12
Penalties4-457-65
Possession25:3434:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Pittsburgh
passing
Nate Yarnell
11/23, 96 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Desmond Reid
19 CAR, 59 YDS
receiving
Konata Mumpfield
4 REC, 51 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Louisville
passing
Tyler Shough
17/28, 293 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Isaac Brown
13 CAR, 93 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Chris Bell
2 REC, 101 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Desmond Reid run for 4 yds to the PITT 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Eli Holstein pass complete to Desmond Reid for 4 yds to the PITT 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Desmond Reid run for 3 yds to the PITT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.05

Eli Holstein pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 26 yds to the LOU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the LOU 37

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.93

Eli Holstein run for 9 yds to the LOU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Eli Holstein pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.08

Eli Holstein pass complete to Desmond Reid for 21 yds to the LOU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.80

Eli Holstein pass intercepted, touchback. Stanquan Clark return for no gain

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Tyler Shough pass complete to Cataurus Hicks for 11 yds to the LOU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.47

Isaac Brown run for a loss of 6 yards to the LOU 25

2nd & 16Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.41

Tyler Shough pass complete to Duke Watson for 16 yds to the LOU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tyler Shough pass complete to Kris Hughes for 3 yds to the LOU 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.08

Tyler Shough pass complete to Cataurus Hicks for 20 yds to the PITT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.31

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 11 yds to the PITT 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Isaac Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 26

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Tyler Shough pass complete to Cataurus Hicks for 3 yds to the PITT 23

4th & 8Field Goal Good+41 yds

Brock Travelstead 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Desmond Reid run for 14 yds to the PITT 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.24

Desmond Reid run for 14 yds to the LOU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.96

Eli Holstein sacked by Ashton Gillotte for a loss of 4 yards to the PITT 49

2nd & 14Penalty-10 yds

(05:18) REID, Desmond rush up the middle for a gain of 28 yards to the LOU23 (PERRY, Ben), clock 05:09. PENALTY PIT Holding on MOORE, Terrence enforced 10 yards from the PIT49 to the PIT39 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

3rd & 24Penalty+5 yds

(04:49) YARNELL, Nate pass short to the right complete for 10 yards to MUMPFIELD, Konata to the PIT49 (PURYEAR, Ramon;NICHOLSON, Tahveon), clock 04:43. PENALTY LOU Offsides on LOGAN, Tramel enforced 5 yards from the PIT39 to the PIT44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 38 yds , Ja'Corey Brooks returns for no gain to the LOU 18

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.83

Tyler Shough pass complete to Nate Kurisky for 23 yds to the LOU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+47 ydsPPA +2.13

Isaac Brown run for 47 yds to the PITT 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Isaac Brown run for 7 yds to the PITT 5

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Isaac Brown run for 4 yds to the PITT 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Isaac Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the PITT 26

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

(01:10) YARNELL, Nate pass short up the middle incomplete intended for REID, Desmond broken up by QUINN, T.J. at the PIT30; QB hurried by TELL, Dezmond, clock 01:06. PENALTY LOU Roughing the Passer on TELL, Dezmond enforced 15 yards from the PIT26 to the PIT41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Desmond Reid run for no gain to the PITT 41

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Desmond Reid for 6 yds to the PITT 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Derrick Davis Jr. run for no gain to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.08

Duke Watson run for 22 yds to the PITT 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.71

Tyler Shough pass complete to Cataurus Hicks for 12 yds to the PITT 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Duke Watson run for 1 yd to the PITT 15

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.18

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 15 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.53

Desmond Reid run for a loss of 6 yards to the PITT 19

3rd & 16Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 22 yds to the PITT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -2.08

Desmond Reid run for a loss of 6 yards to the PITT 35

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

3rd & 16Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.03

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 14 yds to the PITT 49

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

1st & 10Penalty-13 yds

Louisville Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Tyler Shough) to the LOU 38

2nd & 23Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

3rd & 23Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.21

Tyler Shough pass complete to Isaac Brown for 9 yds to the LOU 47

4th & 14Punt+3 yds

Brady Hodges punt for 38 yds , Desmond Reid returns for 3 yds to the PITT 33

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the PITT 34

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.42

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Desmond Reid for a loss of 3 yards to the PITT 31

4th & 12Punt+15 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 51 yds , Ja'Corey Brooks returns for 15 yds to the LOU 33

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Maurice Turner run for no gain to the LOU 33

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.92

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 31 yds to the PITT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.55

Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 33 yds to the PITT 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Donald Chaney run for 2 yds to the PITT 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Duane Martin run for no gain to the PITT 1

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Maurice Turner run for no gain to the PITT 1

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA +0.23

Nate Yarnell pass intercepted Stanquan Clark return for no gain to the PITT 15

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Isaac Brown run for 15 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Nick Keller kickoff for 64 yds , Kenny Johnson return for 26 yds to the PITT 27

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

Desmond Reid run for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 25

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.94

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 11 yds to the PITT 36

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Nate Yarnell run for no gain to the PITT 36

4th & 1Punt+22 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 47 yds , Ja'Corey Brooks returns for 22 yds to the LOU 39

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Duke Watson run for 2 yds to the LOU 41

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Duke Watson run for 5 yds to the LOU 46

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.83

Duke Watson run for 7 yds to the PITT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 11 yds to the PITT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.55

Duke Watson run for 1 yd to the PITT 35

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Tyler Shough pass complete to Cataurus Hicks for 4 yds to the PITT 31

3rd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Tyler Shough run for 9 yds to the PITT 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Isaac Brown run for 3 yds to the PITT 19

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

3rd & 7Field Goal Good+36 yds

Brock Travelstead 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the PITT 26

0th & 9End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Isaac Brown run for 7 yds to the LOU 32

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +6.47

Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 68 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Nate Yarnell run for 1 yd to the PITT 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Desmond Reid run for 3 yds to the PITT 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.60

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 6 yds to the PITT 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Desmond Reid run for a loss of 1 yard to the PITT 34

2nd & 11Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.86

Desmond Reid run for 9 yds to the PITT 43

3rd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.01

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 11 yds to the LOU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Desmond Reid run for no gain to the LOU 46

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Isaac Brown run for 1 yd to the LOU 21

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the LOU 26

2nd & 4Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.85

Isaac Brown run for 9 yds to the LOU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Isaac Brown run for 6 yds to the LOU 41

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Isaac Brown run for no gain to the LOU 41

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Carter Schwartz punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Desmond Reid run for 18 yds to the PITT 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Jake Overman for 4 yds to the PITT 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.49

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 14 yds to the LOU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Desmond Reid run for 5 yds to the LOU 34

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

(04:53) YARNELL, Nate pass deep to the right incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Nahki broken up by PERRY, Ben at the LOU4; QB hurried by TELL, Dezmond, clock 04:47. PENALTY LOU Pass Interference on PERRY, Ben enforced 15 yards to the LOU19 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.65

Nate Yarnell run for 11 yds to the LOU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 8 yds for a TD (Ben Sauls KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Keyjuan Brown run for 5 yds to the LOU 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.17

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.52

Tyler Shough pass complete to Cataurus Hicks for 13 yds to the PITT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Pittsburgh Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (15 Yards) to the PITT 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.65

Tyler Shough sacked by Francis Brewu for a loss of 2 yards to the PITT 26

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Keyjuan Brown run for 3 yds to the PITT 23

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+40 yds

Brock Travelstead 40 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Brock Travelstead kickoff for 62 yds , Kenny Johnson return for 20 yds to the PITT 23

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Desmond Reid run for no gain to the PITT 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.29

David Lynch pass complete to Juelz Goff for 7 yds to the PITT 30

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

David Lynch run for 2 yds to the PITT 32

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Caleb Junko punt for 67 yds, downed at the LOU 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Donald Chaney run for 1 yd to the LOU 2

2nd & 9Safety-2 ydsPPA -1.81

Donald Chaney run for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETY

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

David Lynch pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+10 yds

(12:18) LYNCH, David pass to the left incomplete intended for OVERMAN, Jake thrown to the PIT50, clock 12:14. PENALTY LOU Holding on MCDONALD, Tamarion enforced 10 yards from the PIT35 to the PIT45 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.18

David Lynch pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 17 yds to the LOU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.39

David Lynch sacked by Ashton Gillotte for a loss of 3 yards to the LOU 41

2nd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

David Lynch pass complete to Jake Overman for 6 yds to the LOU 35

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

David Lynch pass complete to Allen Bryant for 5 yds to the LOU 30

4th & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.50

David Lynch pass complete to Kenny Johnson for 8 yds to the LOU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.35

David Lynch pass intercepted Corey Thornton return for no gain to the LOU 6

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Duke Watson run for 1 yd to the LOU 7

2nd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.70

Duke Watson run for 12 yds to the LOU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.53

Duke Watson run for no gain to the LOU 19

2nd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.20

Tyler Shough pass complete to Nate Kurisky for 10 yds to the LOU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Duke Watson run for 7 yds to the LOU 36

2nd & 3Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.02

Duke Watson run for 11 yds to the LOU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Maurice Turner run for 6 yds to the PITT 47

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.43

Maurice Turner run for 5 yds to the PITT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Maurice Turner run for 9 yds to the PITT 33

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Louisville Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the PITT 38

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Maurice Turner run for 2 yds to the PITT 36

3rd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.20

Keyjuan Brown run for 10 yds to the PITT 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Keyjuan Brown run for 4 yds to the PITT 22

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.23

Keyjuan Brown run for 10 yds to the PITT 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

(01:04) Kneel down by TEAM at PIT13 (team loss of 1), clock 00:59.

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.42

(00:32) Kneel down by TEAM at PIT14 (team loss of 1), clock 00:27.

Situational Analysis

Pittsburgh

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
24%
29 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
60%
10 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
33%
3 plays

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
45%
31 plays
2nd
67%
3 plays
50%
6 plays
55%
11 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play