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← Back to GamesOct 26, 2024Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota State by 38.7

Home Win Probability

Murray State 2%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Murray State +35

Edge: North Dakota State -35 (3.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota State
212110759
Murray State
03036

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-70-210-283-283-353-423-526-59
Murray StateNorth Dakota State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDSMSNDSMSMSNDSMSNDSMSNDSMSMSNDSMSNDSMSNDSMSNDSMSNDSMSNDSMSTD675ydMISS1449ydTD174ydTD32ydMISS842ydTD760ydFG1069ydTD342ydTO838ydTD780ydMISS742ydTO10ydTD530ydTO20ydFG712ydDOWNS944ydPUNT3-6ydTO625ydPUNT517ydDOWNS620ydDOWNS620ydFG4-2ydTD1275ydEND39yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing North Dakota State and Murray State
StatisticNorth Dakota StateMurray State
Passing14-2018-33
Pass Yards269192
Rush Yards190116
Total Yards459308
Turnovers05
3rd Down5-96-16
Penalties6-504-40
Possession29:0031:00

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

North Dakota State
passing
Nathan Hayes
9/15, 141 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
CharMar Brown
13 CAR, 97 YDS, 3 TD
receiving
Bryce Lance
4 REC, 108 YDS, 3 TD
Murray State
passing
Jayden Johannsen
13/22, 139 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
Q'Darryius Jennings
7 CAR, 36 YDS
receiving
J'Kalon Carter
4 REC, 70 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Barika Kpeenu run for 17 yds to the NDSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

CharMar Brown run for 10 yds to the MUR 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.78

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 15 yds to the MUR 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.31

CharMar Brown run for 15 yds to the MUR 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 11 yds to the MUR 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

CharMar Brown run for 7 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Kywon Morgan run for 2 yds to the MUR 27

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jawaun Northington run for 3 yds to the MUR 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Caden Jumper for 9 yds to the MUR 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

JOHANNSEN, Jayden pass deep to the left incomplete intended for CARTER, J'Kalon thrown to the NDS40. PENALTY NDS Offsides on ZENZEN, Hunter enforced 5 yards from the MUR39 to the MUR44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.48

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Jawaun Northington for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Jayden Johannsen run for 1 yd to the NDSU 49

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jawaun Northington run for 4 yds to the NDSU 45

3rd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.69

Jawaun Northington run for 5 yds to the NDSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.43

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kade Neely for 12 yds to the NDSU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jayden Johannsen run for 5 yds to the NDSU 23

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.13

Jayden Johannsen run for 8 yds to the NDSU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Q'Daryius Jennings run for no gain to the NDSU 15

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.46

Q'Daryius Jennings run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDSU 16

3rd & 11Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.61

Jayden Johannsen sacked by Kody Huisman and Loshiaka Roques for a loss of 10 yards to the NDSU 26

4th & 21Field Goal Missed+43 yds

James London 43 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+74 ydsPPA +6.01

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 74 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Jayden Johannsen run for 2 yds to the MUR 27

3rd & 8Interception Return Touchdown+34 ydsPPA -6.99

Enock Sibomana 34 Yd Interception Return (Griffin Crosa Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Eli Ozick kickoff for 47 yds , Jawaun Northington return for no gain to the MUR 18

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.85

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 18 yds to the MUR 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Jayden Johannsen run for 2 yds to the MUR 38

2nd & 8Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.50

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 20 yds to the NDSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Kywon Morgan run for 2 yds to the NDSU 40

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Jawaun Northington run for no gain to the NDSU 40

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.02

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+57 yds

James London 57 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Murray State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the MUR 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

TK Marshall run for 7 yds to the MUR 36

2nd & 3Penalty+5 yds

Murray State Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the MUR 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

CharMar Brown run for 3 yds to the MUR 28

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.44

CharMar Brown run for 11 yds to the MUR 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.53

Cam Miller pass complete to Tyler Terhark for 11 yds to the MUR 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

CharMar Brown run for 3 yds to the MUR 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

CharMar Brown 3 Yd Run (Griffin Crosa Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Q'Daryius Jennings run for no gain to the MUR 25

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jayden Johannsen run for no gain to the MUR 25

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

JOHANNSEN, Jayden pass to the left incomplete intended for CARTER, J'Kalon thrown to the MUR39. PENALTY NDS Offsides on ROQUES, Loshiaka enforced 5 yards from the MUR25 to the MUR30 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the NDSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.75

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 16 yds to the NDSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.27

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to JK Carter for 16 yds to the NDSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jayden Johannsen run for 1 yd to the NDSU 13

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 4 yds to the NDSU 9

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 3 yds to the NDSU 6

4th & 2Field Goal Good+24 yds

James London 24 Yd Field Goal

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

James London kickoff for 7 yds , Jawaun Northington return for no gain to the MUR 42

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Barika Kpeenu run for 1 yd to the MUR 41

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

MILLER, Cam pass deep up the middle incomplete intended for LANCE, Bryce thrown to the MUR5. PENALTY MUR Pass Interference on REED, KaVan enforced 15 yards to the MUR26 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.65

CharMar Brown run for 9 yds to the MUR 17

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.07

Bryce Lance 17 Yd pass from Cam Miller (Griffin Crosa Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Q'Daryius Jennings for 7 yds to the MUR 32

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.72

Jawaun Northington run for 8 yds to the MUR 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the MUR 42

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.62

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kylan Galbreath for 7 yds to the MUR 49

3rd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.34

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kywon Morgan for 6 yds to the NDSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Kylan Galbreath for 9 yds to the NDSU 36

2nd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.20

Jayden Johannsen run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDSU 37

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Barika Kpeenu run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDSU 19

2nd & 11Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.84

Nathan Hayes pass complete to Chris Harris for 27 yds to the NDSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.37

Barika Kpeenu run for 24 yds to the MUR 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Nathan Hayes pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.83

Barika Kpeenu run for 17 yds to the MUR 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

KPEENU, Barika rush up the middle for no gain to the MUR13 (SUGICK, Terion). PENALTY MUR Offsides on SUGICK, Terion enforced 5 yards from the MUR13 to the MUR8 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

CharMar Brown run for 2 yds to the MUR 6

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.24

Bryce Lance 6 Yd pass from Nathan Hayes (Griffin Crosa Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Q'Daryius Jennings for 4 yds to the MUR 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Jayden Johannsen run for 8 yds to the MUR 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Jayden Johannsen pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +2.82

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 21 yds to the NDSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Jayden Johannsen pass complete to Q'Daryius Jennings for 9 yds to the NDSU 33

2nd & 1Blocked Field Goal+51 yds

James London 51 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by

0th & 1End of Half-20 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

No play data available
1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

CharMar Brown run for 3 yds to the MUR 27

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

HAYES, Nathan pass deep to the right incomplete intended for LANCE, Bryce thrown to the MUR0. PENALTY NDS Holding on ROCK, Jake enforced 10 yards from the MUR27 to the MUR37 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.16

CharMar Brown run for 28 yds to the MUR 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Nathan Hayes pass incomplete

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.29

Nathan Hayes pass complete to Jackson Williams for 8 yds to the MUR 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

CharMar Brown 1 Yd Run (Griffin Crosa Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jawaun Northington run for 1 yd to the MUR 26

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jameson Holcomb run for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 25 Jameson Holcomb fumbled, recovered by NDSU Austin Altepeter A. Altepeter return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

TK Marshall run for 1 yd to the MUR 24

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.88

Barika Kpeenu run for a loss of 2 yards to the MUR 26

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.38

Nathan Hayes pass complete to Chris Harris for 12 yds to the MUR 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

TK Marshall run for 1 yd to the MUR 13

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Nathan Hayes pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Nathan Hayes pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+31 yds

Eli Ozick 31 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Jameson Holcomb sacked by Keenan Wilson for a loss of 6 yards to the MUR 19

2nd & 16Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.15

Jawaun Northington run for a loss of 2 yards to the MUR 17

3rd & 18Penalty+5 yds

HOLCOMB, Jameson pass short to the right incomplete intended for NEELY, Kade thrown to the MUR21. PENALTY NDS Offsides on LARSON, Logan enforced 5 yards from the MUR17 to the MUR22 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 13Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.40

Jameson Holcomb pass complete to Marcus Floyd Jr. for 28 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Jameson Holcomb run for 6 yds to the NDSU 44

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.36

Jameson Holcomb pass complete to Jawaun Northington for 5 yds to the NDSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Kywon Morgan run for 2 yds to the NDSU 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jameson Holcomb pass complete to Kywon Morgan for 6 yds to the NDSU 31

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jameson Holcomb pass incomplete

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.76

Jameson Holcomb pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

TK Marshall run for no gain to the NDSU 31

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

TK Marshall run for 1 yd to the NDSU 32

3rd & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.43

Nathan Hayes sacked by Kevon Haigler for a loss of 7 yards to the NDSU 25

4th & 16Blocked Punt+9 yds

null punt blocked by blocked by Punt by STEINDORF, Kaedin at the NDS25 is blocked by GUILLORY, Esteban, recovered by MUR JACKSON, James at the NDS34, returned 9 yards to the NDS25 (LARSON, Logan), clock 04:34. , returns for 9 yds to the NDSU 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Jameson Holcomb pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.60

Kywon Morgan run for 11 yds to the NDSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Kywon Morgan run for 7 yds to the NDSU 7

2nd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Kywon Morgan run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDSU 8

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jawaun Northington run for 2 yds to the NDSU 6

4th & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -4.07

Jameson Holcomb run for 6 yds Jameson Holcomb fumbled, recovered by NDSU Will Steil W. Steil return for 0 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Peder Haugo run for no gain to the NDSU 20

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.80

Nathan Hayes run for 16 yds to the NDSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Nathan Hayes pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Peder Haugo run for 1 yd to the NDSU 37

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Nathan Hayes pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Kywon Morgan run for 7 yds to the NDSU 20

2nd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.21

Jim Ogle pass complete to Rykin Maxwell for 13 yds to the NDSU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Kywon Morgan run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDSU 8

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Jim Ogle pass complete to Kywon Morgan for 1 yd to the NDSU 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jim Ogle pass incomplete

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.79

Jim Ogle pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Peder Haugo run for 4 yds to the NDSU 11

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.53

Nathan Hayes pass complete to Jackson Williams for 9 yds to the NDSU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Peder Haugo run for 3 yds to the NDSU 23

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Peder Haugo run for no gain to the NDSU 23

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Nathan Hayes run for 6 yds to the NDSU 29

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.05

Kaedin Steindorf run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDSU 27

1st & 10Rush-6 ydsPPA -1.38

Jawaun Northington run for a loss of 6 yards to the NDSU 33

2nd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jawaun Northington run for 4 yds to the NDSU 29

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Jim Ogle pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Good+47 yds

James London 47 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Peder Haugo run for 2 yds to the NDSU 27

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Peder Haugo run for no gain to the NDSU 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.25

Nathan Hayes pass complete to John Gores for 13 yds to the NDSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

Peder Haugo run for no gain to the NDSU 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.23

Nathan Hayes pass complete to Jackson Williams for 38 yds to the MUR 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.13

Jackson Williams run for 22 yds North Dakota State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the MUR 25

1st & 13Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.00

Peder Haugo run for a loss of 4 yards to the MUR 29

2nd & 17Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Peder Haugo run for 1 yd to the MUR 28

3rd & 16Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.19

Nathan Hayes pass complete to Peder Haugo for 19 yds to the MUR 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Peder Haugo run for no gain to the MUR 9

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Peder Haugo run for no gain to the MUR 9

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +3.01

John Gores 9 Yd pass from Nathan Hayes (Griffin Crosa Kick)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Tyrell Campbell run for 1 yd to the MUR 26

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Tyrell Campbell run for 6 yds to the MUR 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Tyrell Campbell run for 2 yds to the MUR 34

Situational Analysis

North Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
43%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
42%
12 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
50%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Murray State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
31%
29 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
47%
17 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play