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← Back to GamesAug 31, 2024Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisville by 1.6

Home Win Probability

Louisville 52%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Louisville -38.5

Edge: Austin Peay +38.5 (36.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Aug 31, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Austin Peay
00000
LouisvilleLouisville
102821362

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014284256703-010-017-024-031-038-045-059-062-0
LouisvilleAustin Peay

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUAPLOUAPLOUAPLOUAPLOUAPLOUAPLOUAPAPLOUAPLOUAPLOUAPAPLOUAPLOUAPLOUFG762ydPUNT3-2ydTD533ydPUNT68ydTD954ydPUNT620ydTD590ydPUNT513ydTD335ydPUNT726ydPUNT734ydTO319ydTD213ydEND13ydPUNT3-7ydPUNT30ydPUNT613ydTD177ydPUNT3-2ydPUNT33ydTD3-5ydPUNT33ydTD324ydPUNT68ydFG1159ydPUNT39ydEND572yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Austin Peay and Louisville
StatisticAustin PeayLouisville
Passing14-2427-34
Pass Yards72278
Rush Yards34293
Total Yards106571
Turnovers20
3rd Down4-154-10
Penalties1-54-30
Possession29:1030:50

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Austin Peay
passing
Austin Smith
11/16, 53 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
La'Vell Wright
7 CAR, 23 YDS
receiving
Jaden Barnes
3 REC, 30 YDS
defense
Louisville
passing
Tyler Shough
18/24, 232 YDS, 4 TD
rushing
Isaac Brown
5 CAR, 123 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ja'Corey Brooks
7 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Maurice Turner run for 21 yds to the LOU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.37

Tyler Shough pass complete to Chris Bell for 24 yds to the APSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.21

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 11 yds to the APSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Maurice Turner run for no gain to the APSU 19

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Maurice Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the APSU 21

3rd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.41

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 8 yds to the APSU 13

4th & 4Field Goal Good+30 yds

Brock Travelstead 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Mason Garcia pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Mason Garcia pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.20

Mason Garcia sacked by Tamarion McDonald for a loss of 2 yards to the APSU 23

4th & 12Punt+29 yds

Dominik Stadlman punt for 39 yds , Quincy Riley returns for 29 yds to the APSU 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.27

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 12 yds to the APSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Tyler Shough pass complete to Jamari Johnson for 12 yds to the APSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 9 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

O'Shaan Allison run for 1 yd to the APSU 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Mason Garcia pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 7 yds to the APSU 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the APSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mason Garcia run for 5 yds to the APSU 41

2nd & 5Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.56

Mason Garcia sacked by Tamarion McDonald for a loss of 3 yards to the APSU 38

3rd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.65

Mason Garcia sacked by Ashton Gillotte for a loss of 5 yards to the APSU 33

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Dominik Stadlman punt for 21 yds, downed at the LOU 46

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Keyjuan Brown run for 8 yds to the APSU 46

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Keyjuan Brown run for 7 yds to the APSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

Keyjuan Brown run for 7 yds to the APSU 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.02

Tyler Shough pass complete to Jamari Johnson for 8 yds to the APSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Tyler Shough pass complete to Isaac Brown for 9 yds to the APSU 15

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.48

Isaac Brown run for 4 yds to the APSU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 2 yds to the APSU 9

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Isaac Brown run for 5 yds to the APSU 4

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.64

Keyjuan Brown run for 4 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

La'Vell Wright run for no gain to the APSU 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Mason Garcia pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+5 yds

Louisville Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the APSU 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.88

Mason Garcia pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 9 yds to the APSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Mason Garcia pass complete to Romon Copeland Jr. for 3 yds to the APSU 42

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

La'Vell Wright run for 3 yds to the APSU 45

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Mason Garcia pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Dominik Stadlman punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Quincy Riley at the LOU 10

1st & 10Rush+36 ydsPPA +2.61

Isaac Brown run for 36 yds to the LOU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.41

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 20 yds to the APSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Isaac Brown run for 1 yd to the APSU 33

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +3.44

Tyler Shough pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 33 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

O'Shaan Allison run for 2 yds to the APSU 27

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.58

Mason Garcia run for 11 yds to the APSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.27

O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 1 yard to the APSU 37

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Mason Garcia pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Mason Garcia run for 1 yd to the APSU 38

4th & 10Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by Devin Neal blocked by Devin Neal (08:48) Punt by STADLMAN, Dominik at the APU38 is blocked by NEAL, Devin, recovered by LOU FOSTER, JR., Dan at the APU35, returned 0 yards to the APU35, End of Play, clock 08:44. , returns for no gain to the APSU 35

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Maurice Turner run for 8 yds to the APSU 27

2nd & 2Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA -0.22

Tyler Shough pass complete to Cataurus Hicks for 6 yds to the APSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.63

Tyler Shough pass complete to Mark Redman for 21 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Austin Smith run for 1 yd to the APSU 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Austin Smith pass complete to Jaden Barnes for 14 yds to the APSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

La'Vell Wright run for 3 yds to the APSU 43

2nd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.58

Austin Smith run for 10 yds to the LOU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Austin Smith pass complete to La'Vell Wright for 2 yds to the LOU 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Austin Smith pass complete to La'Vell Wright for 1 yd to the LOU 44

3rd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.69

Austin Smith sacked by Jared Dawson for a loss of 5 yards to the LOU 49

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Dominik Stadlman punt for 49 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.73

Tyler Shough pass complete to Ja'Corey Brooks for 21 yds to the LOU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Tyler Shough pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 6 yds to the LOU 47

3rd & 4Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.49

Tyler Shough pass complete to Jr. Donald Chaney for 17 yds to the APSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Tyler Shough pass incomplete

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.33

Tyler Shough sacked by Dion Hunter for a loss of 10 yards to the APSU 46

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Brady Hodges punt for 46 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.05

Austin Smith pass complete to Jade Kneeland for 14 yds to the APSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Austin Smith pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for 5 yds to the APSU 39

2nd & 5Pass Interception Return+29 ydsPPA -1.77

Austin Smith pass intercepted T.J. Capers return for 29 yds to the APSU 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Tyler Shough pass complete to Maurice Turner for 8 yds to the APSU 5

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.09

Tyler Shough pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 5 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

La'Vell Wright run for 3 yds to the APSU 28

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 1 yard to the APSU 24

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

La'Vell Wright run for 3 yds to the APSU 27

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.37

Austin Smith sacked by Tramel Logan for a loss of 9 yards to the APSU 18

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Dominik Stadlman punt for 39 yds , Quincy Riley returns for no gain to the LOU 32

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Keyjuan Brown run for no gain to the LOU 32

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.51

Pierce Clarkson pass complete to Kris Hughes for no gain to the LOU 32

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.25

Pierce Clarkson pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Carter Schwartz punt for 48 yds, downed at the APSU 20

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Austin Smith pass complete to Malik Bowen-Sims for a loss of 2 yards to the APSU 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.69

Austin Smith pass complete to Malik Bowen-Sims for 11 yds to the APSU 29

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.70

La'Vell Wright run for 1 yd to the APSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.45

Austin Smith sacked by Thor Griffith for a loss of 7 yards to the APSU 23

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Austin Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 17Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.18

La'Vell Wright run for 10 yds to the APSU 33

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Dominik Stadlman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Isaac Brown at the LOU 23

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+77 ydsPPA +6.21

Isaac Brown run for 77 yds for a TD (Brock Travelstead KICK)

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

O'Shaan Allison run for a loss of 2 yards to the APSU 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.33

Austin Smith pass complete to O'Shaan Allison for a loss of 3 yards to the APSU 20

3rd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.03

O'Shaan Allison run for 3 yds to the APSU 23

4th & 12Punt+9 yds

Dominik Stadlman punt for 49 yds , Isaac Brown returns for 9 yds to the LOU 37

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.99

Pierce Clarkson sacked by Davion Hood for a loss of 8 yards to the LOU 29

2nd & 18Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Pierce Clarkson pass complete to Jaleel Skinner for 4 yds to the LOU 33

3rd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Pierce Clarkson pass complete to Keyjuan Brown for 7 yds to the LOU 40

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Carter Schwartz punt for 33 yds, downed at the APSU 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Austin Smith pass complete to La'Vell Wright for 2 yds to the APSU 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.67

Austin Smith pass complete to Malik Bowen-Sims for 11 yds to the APSU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack0 ydsPPA -1.12

Austin Smith sacked for a loss of 18 yards Austin Smith fumbled, recovered by LOU Ramon Puryear , return for 0 yards for a TD (Cooper Ranvier KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Nick Keller kickoff for 63 yds , Kaden Williams return for 16 yds to the APSU 18

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Austin Peay Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the APSU 13

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Austin Smith pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Austin Smith pass incomplete

3rd & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.06

Austin Smith run for 8 yds to the APSU 21

4th & 7Blocked Punt0 yds

punt blocked by Jr. Dan Foster blocked by Jr. Dan Foster (01:32) Punt by STADLMAN, Dominik at the APU21 is blocked by FOSTER, JR., Dan, recovered by LOU BROWN, Keyjuan at the APU24, returned 0 yards to the APU24, End of Play, clock 01:29. , returns for no gain to the APSU 24

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Duke Watson run for 1 yd to the APSU 23

2nd & 9Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.82

Duke Watson run for 16 yds to the APSU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Duke Watson run for 7 yds for a TD (Nick Keller KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Kaden Williams run for 7 yds to the APSU 32

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Kaden Williams run for 2 yds to the APSU 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Kaden Williams run for 1 yd to the APSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Kaden Williams run for no gain to the APSU 35

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.76

Austin Smith pass complete to DJ Carter for a loss of 2 yards to the APSU 33

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Austin Smith pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Dominik Stadlman punt for 47 yds , Isaac Brown returns for no gain to the LOU 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bailey Harrison pass complete to Izayah Cummings for 5 yds to the LOU 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Bailey Harrison pass complete to Ahmari Huggins-Bruce for 9 yds to the LOU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Keyjuan Brown run for no gain to the LOU 34

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.68

Bailey Harrison pass complete to Antonio Meeks for 8 yds to the LOU 42

3rd & 2Rush+24 ydsPPA +2.71

Keyjuan Brown run for 24 yds to the APSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.30

Keyjuan Brown run for 13 yds to the APSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-14 ydsPPA -2.56

Bailey Harrison pass complete to Antonio Meeks for a loss of 4 yards to the APSU 25 Louisville Penalty, Offensive Holding (Kris Hughes) to the APSU 25

1st & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Keyjuan Brown run for 2 yds to the APSU 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Bailey Harrison pass complete to Kris Hughes for 4 yds to the APSU 19

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Louisville Penalty, Delay Of Game (TEAM) to the APSU 24

3rd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Bailey Harrison pass complete to Keyjuan Brown for 3 yds to the APSU 21

4th & 10Field Goal Good+38 yds

Brock Travelstead 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Kaden Williams run for 8 yds to the APSU 33

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Kaden Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the APSU 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kaden Williams run for 2 yds to the APSU 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Dominik Stadlman punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Isaac Brown at the LOU 27

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.63

Duke Watson run for 7 yds to the LOU 34

2nd & 3Rush+58 ydsPPA +2.98

Duke Watson run for 58 yds to the APSU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Deuce Adams run for 1 yd to the APSU 7

2nd & 7Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.47

Duke Watson run for a loss of 3 yards to the APSU 10

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.29

Travis Egan run for 9 yds to the APSU 1

Situational Analysis

Austin Peay

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
23%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
17%
6 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
4 plays
40%
5 plays
4th

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
58%
31 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
6 plays
100%
1 play
55%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th