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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2024Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Elon by 14.6

Home Win Probability

Elon 77%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Elon -6

Edge: Elon -6 (8.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western Carolina
0371424
Elon
707317

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-314-314-1014-1817-24
ElonWestern Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WCELOWCELOWCELOWCELOWCELOWCELOWCELOWCELOWCELOWCELOWCELOWCELOELOWCPUNT924ydTD376ydPUNT619ydPUNT32ydPUNT3-1ydTO961ydFG1394ydPUNT32ydPUNT410ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT30ydTO876ydMISS663ydTD375ydPUNT39ydDOWNS5-16ydTD214ydPUNT38ydPUNT32ydPUNT1034ydDOWNS1479ydPUNT36ydTD954ydMISS739ydFG961ydEND1-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Carolina and Elon
StatisticWestern CarolinaElon
Passing23-3619-30
Pass Yards254285
Rush Yards116139
Total Yards370424
Turnovers02
3rd Down7-172-11
Penalties5-405-45
Possession27:4432:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Carolina
passing
Cole Gonzales
23/36, 254 YDS
rushing
Branson Adams
14 CAR, 81 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Calvin Jones
6 REC, 98 YDS
Elon
passing
Matthew Downing
19/30, 285 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
TJ Thomas Jr.
14 CAR, 101 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chandler Brayboy
3 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Calvin Jones for 11 yds to the WCU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Branson Adams run for 5 yds to the WCU 41

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Branson Adams run for 1 yd to the WCU 42

3rd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.74

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Branson Adams for 4 yds to the WCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Branson Adams run for 5 yds to the ELON 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.67

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Calvin Jones for 5 yds to the ELON 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Branson Adams for 5 yds to the ELON 39

2nd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.54

Cole Gonzales sacked by Kahmari Brown for a loss of 7 yards to the ELON 46

3rd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Western Carolina Penalty, False Start (Caleb Carter) to the WCU 49

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete

4th & 17Punt+4 yds

Stephen Brantley punt for 31 yds , DJ Hamilton returns for 4 yds to the ELON 24

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.39

Chandler Brayboy run for 16 yds to the ELON 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

TJ Thomas Jr. run for 2 yds to the ELON 42

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+58 ydsPPA +5.44

Matthew Downing pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for 58 yds for a TD (Jack Berkowitz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Branson Adams run for 8 yds to the WCU 33

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Branson Adams run for 1 yd to the WCU 34

3rd & 1Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.64

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Calvin Jones for 9 yds to the WCU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Cole Gonzales run for 1 yd to the WCU 44

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Stephen Brantley punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

TJ Thomas Jr. run for 2 yds to the ELON 11

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.21

TJ Thomas Jr. run for no gain to the ELON 11

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.09

Matthew Downing pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Jeff Yurk punt for 51 yds , AJ Colombo returns for no gain to the WCU 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Cole Gonzales sacked by Brandon Tyson for a loss of 1 yard to the WCU 34

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Stephen Brantley punt for 47 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.92

Matthew Downing pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 13 yds to the ELON 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Rushawn Baker run for no gain to the ELON 32

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.60

Matthew Downing pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Rushawn Baker run for 8 yds to the WCU 42

2nd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.63

Rushawn Baker run for a loss of 2 yards to the WCU 44

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.73

Matthew Downing pass complete to Jamarien Dalton for 11 yds to the WCU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Rushawn Baker run for 4 yds to the WCU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.34

Matthew Downing pass complete to Dylan Magazu for 9 yds to the WCU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.38

Matthew Downing pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.47

Branson Adams run for 15 yds to the WCU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Branson Adams run for 5 yds to the WCU 23

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.63

Branson Adams run for 6 yds to the WCU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Branson Adams run for 9 yds to the WCU 38

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.37

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.63

Cole Gonzales run for 8 yds to the WCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Marlin Cochran run for 3 yds to the WCU 49

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.32

Cole Gonzales run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCU 48

3rd & 8Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.40

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Calvin Jones for 41 yds to the ELON 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Marlin Cochran run for 2 yds to the ELON 9

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Cole Gonzales run for 6 yds to the ELON 3

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Marlin Cochran run for no gain to the ELON 3

4th & 2Field Goal Good+20 yds

Christian Lowery 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Elon Penalty, False Start (Cazeem Moore) to the ELON 25

1st & 15Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.54

TJ Thomas Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the ELON 23

2nd & 17Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.29

Matthew Downing pass complete to Isaiah Fuhrmann for 9 yds to the ELON 32

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Matthew Downing pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+10 yds

Jeff Yurk punt for 58 yds , AJ Colombo returns for 10 yds to the WCU 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ Colombo for 10 yds to the WCU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-9 ydsPPA -1.53

Cole Gonzales sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the WCU 21 Cole Gonzales fumbled, recovered by WCU Cole Gonzales , return for 0 yards

2nd & 19Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Brayden Blackmon for 4 yds to the WCU 25

3rd & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Corey Reddick Jr. run for 5 yds to the WCU 30

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Stephen Brantley punt for 56 yds, downed at the ELON 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Matthew Downing pass complete to Rushawn Baker for 2 yds to the ELON 16

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Rushawn Baker run for 1 yd to the ELON 17

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.23

Matthew Downing sacked by Caleb Fisher for a loss of 8 yards to the ELON 9

4th & 15Punt+12 yds

Jeff Yurk punt for 57 yds , AJ Colombo returns for 12 yds to the WCU 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Cole Gonzales pass complete to James Randle for 5 yds to the ELON 49

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.19

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

Western Carolina Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WCU 46

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Stephen Brantley punt for 44 yds, downed at the ELON 10

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

TJ Thomas Jr. run for 4 yds to the ELON 14

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

TJ Thomas Jr. run for no gain to the ELON 14

3rd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.09

Matthew Downing pass complete to TJ Thomas Jr. for 11 yds to the ELON 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.61

Matthew Downing pass complete to Jamarien Dalton for 18 yds to the ELON 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Matthew Downing run for 6 yds to the ELON 49

2nd & 4Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.26

Matthew Downing run for 21 yds to the WCU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.28

Matthew Downing pass complete to Jamarien Dalton for 18 yds to the WCU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-2 ydsPPA -4.47

Matthew Downing pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for a loss of 2 yards fumbled, forced by Ken Moore Jr., recovered by WCU Bo Simpson-Nealy B. Simpson-Nealy return for 0 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.90

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Calvin Jones for 26 yds to the WCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.66

Branson Adams run for 22 yds to the ELON 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

Cole Gonzales run for a loss of 2 yards to the ELON 40

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

(00:24) GONZALES, Cole pass short to the right complete for 5 yards to YOUNG, Jake caught at the ELO35 and advanced to the ELO35, End of Play, clock 00:22. PENALTY Before the snap, WCU Illegal Formation enforced 5 yards from the ELO40 to the ELO45. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.59

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Branson Adams for 17 yds to the ELON 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Jake Young for 5 yds to the ELON 23

2nd & 5Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Christian Lowery 40 yd FG MISSED

0th & 5End of Half-54 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

TJ Thomas Jr. run for 9 yds to the ELON 34

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

TJ Thomas Jr. run for 6 yds to the ELON 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+60 ydsPPA +4.76

TJ Thomas Jr. run for 60 yds for a TD (Jack Berkowitz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Corey Reddick Jr. run for 1 yd to the WCU 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Cole Gonzales pass complete to De'Andre Tamarez for 6 yds to the WCU 34

3rd & 3Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Corey Reddick Jr. for 2 yds to the WCU 36

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Stephen Brantley punt for 34 yds

1st & 10Rush+35 ydsPPA +2.72

Chandler Brayboy run for 35 yds to the WCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

TJ Thomas Jr. run for no gain to the WCU 35

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Elon Penalty, False Start (Kevin Burkett) to the WCU 40

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

TJ Thomas Jr. run for no gain to the WCU 40

3rd & 15Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.39

Matthew Downing sacked by Jeno Junius Jr. and Ugo Nosike for a loss of 6 yards to the WCU 46

4th & 21Rush-40 ydsPPA +0.04

run for a loss of 40 yards to the ELON 14

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.61

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Jake Young for 13 yds to the ELON 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Branson Adams 1 Yd Run (Christian Lowery Kick)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Rushawn Baker run for 5 yds to the ELON 35

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Rushawn Baker run for no gain to the ELON 35

3rd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Matthew Downing run for 3 yds to the ELON 38

4th & 2Punt+12 yds

Jeff Yurk punt for 52 yds , AJ Colombo returns for 12 yds to the WCU 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Branson Adams run for 2 yds to the WCU 24

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Stephen Brantley punt for 38 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Matthew Downing pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.61

Matthew Downing pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 12 yds to the ELON 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

TJ Thomas Jr. run for 5 yds to the ELON 40

2nd & 5Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.29

TJ Thomas Jr. run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.11

Rushawn Baker run for no gain to the 50 yard line

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Elon Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brayden Walker) to the ELON 41

2nd & 19Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Matthew Downing run for 3 yds to the ELON 44

3rd & 16Penalty+15 yds

(00:54) DOWNING, Matthew pass deep up the middle intercepted by PIERRE-LOUIS, Jhamari at the WCU34 intended for DALTON, Jamarien. Pierre-Louis return for 48 yards to the ELO18 (WALKER, Brayden), clock 00:55. PENALTY WCU Pass Interference on SUDIPO, Mateo enforced 15 yards to the WCU41 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.88

Rushawn Baker run for no gain to the WCU 41

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.47

Rushawn Baker run for a loss of 2 yards to the WCU 43

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Matthew Downing pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Jeff Yurk punt for 43 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Corey Reddick Jr. run for 5 yds to the WCU 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.02

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Corey Reddick Jr. for 20 yds to the WCU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Calvin Jones for 6 yds to the ELON 49

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.47

Corey Reddick Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.23

Cole Gonzales pass complete to De'Andre Tamarez for 11 yds to the ELON 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Corey Reddick Jr. run for 2 yds to the ELON 37

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Corey Reddick Jr. run for 1 yd to the ELON 36

3rd & 7Penalty+10 yds

GONZALES, Cole pass short up the middle incomplete intended for REDDICK JR., Corey thrown to the ELO35, clock 11:02. PENALTY ELO Holding on PATIERNO, Marco enforced 10 yards from the ELO36 to the ELO26 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ Colombo for 7 yds to the ELON 19

3rd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.40

Cole Gonzales run for 9 yds to the ELON 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Cole Gonzales run for 6 yds to the ELON 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Marlin Cochran run for 3 yds to the ELON 1

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.53

Cole Gonzales run for a loss of 3 yards to the ELON 4 Cole Gonzales fumbled, recovered by WCU Cole Gonzales C. Gonzales return for 0 yds

4th & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -4.02

Cole Gonzales run for 3 yds to the ELON 1

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Matthew Downing run for 1 yd to the ELON 2

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

TJ Thomas Jr. run for 5 yds to the ELON 7

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Matthew Downing pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt+9 yds

Jeff Yurk punt for 56 yds , AJ Colombo returns for 9 yds to the WCU 46

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.94

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Jake Young for 13 yds to the ELON 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.64

Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ Colombo for 22 yds to the ELON 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Branson Adams run for 1 yd to the ELON 18

2nd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ Colombo for 4 yds to the ELON 14

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ Colombo for 8 yds to the ELON 6 for a 1ST down

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Branson Adams run for no gain to the ELON 6

4th & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +3.13

Cole Gonzales run for 6 yds for a TD (Christian Lowery KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Matthew Downing pass complete to Rushawn Baker for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.52

Matthew Downing sacked by Caleb Fisher for a loss of 7 yards to the ELON 43

2nd & 17Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.49

Matthew Downing pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 25 yds to the WCU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Matthew Downing pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.03

Rushawn Baker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCU 33

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Matthew Downing pass complete to Onuma Dieke for 7 yds to the WCU 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.87

Matthew Downing pass complete to Jamarien Dalton for 21 yds to the ELON 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Matthew Downing pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Matthew Downing pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Matthew Downing pass complete to TJ Thomas Jr. for 6 yds to the WCU 49

4th & 4Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.42

Matthew Downing pass complete to Chandler Brayboy for 23 yds to the WCU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Matthew Downing pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.63

Matthew Downing pass complete to TJ Thomas Jr. for 11 yds to the WCU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Matthew Downing pass incomplete

2nd & 10Field Goal Good+33 yds

Jack Berkowitz 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Cole Gonzales run for a loss of 2 yards to the ELON 48

Situational Analysis

Western Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
61%
31 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
33%
9 plays
33%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Elon

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
42%
31 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play