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← Back to GamesSep 9, 2023Week 2
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Samford by 12.3

Home Win Probability

Western Carolina 20%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 9, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Samford
70007
Western Carolina
7133730

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-717-720-7
Western CarolinaSamford

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WCWCSAMWCSAMWCSAMSAMWCSAMWCSAMWCSAMWCSAMWCSAMWCTD1059ydDOWNS1472ydTD797ydTD1076ydPUNT37ydPUNT412ydTO820ydDOWNS572ydFG1569ydDOWNS1027ydFG220ydPUNT1130ydFG1384ydPUNT37ydPUNT39ydPUNT521ydTD1071ydDOWNS744ydUncategorized955yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Samford and Western Carolina
StatisticSamfordWestern Carolina
Passing21-3429-35
Pass Yards315262
Rush Yards46284
Total Yards361546
Turnovers10
3rd Down6-137-13
Penalties4-554-35
Possession18:5141:09

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Samford
passing
Michael Hiers
21/34, 315 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Jay Stanton
7 CAR, 26 YDS
receiving
Ty King
3 REC, 96 YDS
Western Carolina
passing
Cole Gonzales
29/35, 262 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Desmond Reid
27 CAR, 170 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
AJ Colombo
5 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Desmond Reid run for 10 yds to the SAM 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-10 ydsPPA -2.93

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Ajay Belanger Western Carolina Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WCU 41

1st & 20Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Cole Gonzales run for 2 yds to the WCU 43

2nd & 18Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.53

Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ Colombo for 24 yds to the SAM 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.27

Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ Colombo for 12 yds to the SAM 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Desmond Reid run for 9 yds to the SAM 12

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.19

Cole Gonzales run for 5 yds to the SAM 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Corey Washington for 1 yd to the SAM 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30
3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.82

Censere Lee 6 Yd pass from Cole Gonzales (Richard McCollum Kick)

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -4.21

Cole Gonzales run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAM 3

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Desmond Reid run for 10 yds to the WCU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01
2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Desmond Reid run for 9 yds to the WCU 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Desmond Reid run for 2 yds to the WCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.83

Desmond Reid run for 11 yds to the SAM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.45

Cole Gonzales run for 10 yds to the SAM 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.24

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Ajay Belanger for 10 yds to the SAM 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Desmond Reid, broken up by Josiah Cotton

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Desmond Reid run for 3 yds to the SAM 20

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.74

Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ Colombo for 10 yds to the SAM 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Western Carolina Penalty, false start (Derek Simmons) to the SAM 15

1st & 15Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.50

Cole Gonzales run for 11 yds to the SAM 4

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Desmond Reid run for 2 yds to the SAM 2

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Cole Gonzales run for 1 yd to the SAM 1

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Michael Hiers pass complete to Michael Vice for 8 yds for a TD (Wilson Beaverstock KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

pass incomplete to Chandler Smith

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.09

Jay Stanton run for 1 yd to the SAM 4

3rd & 9Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.65

Michael Hiers pass complete to Ty King for 37 yds to the SAM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.00

Michael Hiers pass complete to Ty King for 36 yds to the WCU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Jay Stanton run for 9 yds to the WCU 14

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.29

Jay Stanton run for 6 yds to the WCU 8 for a 1ST down

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.74

Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ Colombo for 21 yds for a TD (Richard McCollum KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cole Gonzales run for 5 yds to the WCU 29

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.72

Branson Adams run for 5 yds to the WCU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.72

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Branson Adams for 19 yds to the SAM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Branson Adams run for 6 yds to the SAM 41

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.28

Cole Gonzales run for 5 yds to the SAM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

pass incomplete to AJ Colombo

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Ajay Belanger for 7 yds to the SAM 29

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.63

Desmond Reid run for 4 yds to the SAM 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Desmond Reid for 4 yds to the SAM 21

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Michael Hiers pass complete to Peyton Ringer for 7 yds to the SAM 31

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

pass incomplete to D.J. Rias

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Michael Hiers pass incomplete to R.J. Starkey, broken up by Hayward McQueen Jr.

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Desmond Reid run for 11 yds to the SAM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to Calvin Jones, broken up by Devin Smith

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Desmond Reid run for 5 yds to the SAM 35

3rd & 5Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.88

Desmond Reid run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAM 39 Western Carolina Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) to the SAM 39

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Stephen Brantley punt for 36 yds

2nd & 20Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+16 ydsPPA -0.06

Michael Hiers run for 16 yds to the WCU 49 Michael Hiers fumbled, recovered by WCU Jayelin Davis

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Michael Hiers pass complete to R.J. Starkey for 8 yds to the SAM 23

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Michael Hiers pass complete to Chandler Smith for 8 yds to the SAM 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

pass incomplete to Chandler Smith

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jay Stanton run for 3 yds to the SAM 34

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.44

Michael Hiers pass complete to R.J. Starkey for 11 yds to the SAM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

pass incomplete to Qadir Ismail

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion-10 ydsPPA -1.76

Michael Hiers pass incomplete to Chandler Smith Samford Penalty, Offensive holding (Luke Byrne) to the SAM 35

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.91

pass incomplete to Chandler Smith

1st & 10Pass Reception+67 ydsPPA +4.14

Michael Hiers pass complete to D.J. Rias for 67 yds to the WCU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete to Ty King

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76
3rd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Michael Hiers pass complete to Chandler Smith

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Richard McCollum 23 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Censere Lee for 9 yds to the WCU 34

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Desmond Reid run for 6 yds to the WCU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Cole Gonzales run for 5 yds to the WCU 45

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +1.46

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to David White Jr. for a 1ST down Samford Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Kourtlan Marsh) to the SAM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Desmond Reid run for 1 yd to the SAM 39

2nd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Cole Gonzales pass complete to David White Jr. for 3 yds to the SAM 36

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Cole Gonzales pass complete to David White Jr. for 2 yds to the SAM 34

4th & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.13

Cole Gonzales pass complete to AJ Colombo for 12 yds to the SAM 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Desmond Reid run for 3 yds to the SAM 19

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to AJ Colombo Samford Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) to the SAM 19

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.45

Desmond Reid run for 11 yds to the SAM 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Desmond Reid run for 2 yds to the SAM 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30
3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Cole Gonzales pass incomplete to AJ Colombo, broken up by Noah Martin

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Paxton Robertson kickoff for 63 yds , D.J. Rias return for 15 yds to the SAM 17

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.95

Jay Stanton run for 1 yd to the WCU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.36

Michael Hiers sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the SAM 45

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

pass incomplete to Chandler Smith

3rd & 16Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.92

Michael Hiers pass complete to D.J. Rias for 11 yds to the WCU 44

4th & 5Sack-12 ydsPPA -1.15

Michael Hiers sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the SAM 44

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Jay Stanton run for 6 yds to the SAM 23

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

pass incomplete to Michael Vice

3rd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.24

Michael Hiers pass complete to Chandler Smith for 18 yds to the SAM 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

pass incomplete to E. Jai Mason

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.08

Michael Hiers pass complete to D.J. Rias for 9 yds to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.73

Cole Gonzales run for 20 yds to the SAM 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+11 yds

Paxton Robertson kickoff for 60 yds , D.J. Rias return for 11 yds to the SAM 16

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 39 yds , AJ Colombo returns for no gain to the WCU 15

4th & 1Field Goal Good+18 yds

Richard McCollum 18 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Paxton Robertson kickoff for 51 yds , Damonta Witherspoon return for no gain to the SAM 14

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 40 yds

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Stephen Brantley punt for 33 yds

3rd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Mychael Hamilton run for 7 yds to the SAM 40

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 31 yds

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Desmond Reid 2 Yd Run (Richard McCollum Kick)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Desmond Reid run for 7 yds to the WCU 36

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.11

Desmond Reid run for 12 yds to the WCU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Desmond Reid run for 6 yds to the SAM 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.78

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Ajay Belanger for 14 yds to the SAM 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Censere Lee for 7 yds to the SAM 25

2nd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA -0.03

Desmond Reid run for 13 yds to the SAM 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Desmond Reid run for 9 yds to the SAM 3

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56
3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.26

Branson Adams run for 1 yd to the SAM 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Paxton Robertson kickoff for 65 yds , Ty King return for 22 yds to the SAM 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.00

Michael Hiers pass complete to Ty King for 23 yds to the SAM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.18

Michael Hiers pass complete to Thomas D'Armond for 17 yds to the WCU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.43

Michael Hiers pass complete to Chandler Smith for 15 yds to the WCU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.63

Michael Hiers sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the WCU 25

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Michael Hiers pass incomplete to Brendan Jenkins, broken up by CJ Williams

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Corey Washington for 9 yds to the WCU 43

2nd & 1Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Corey Washington for 3 yds to the WCU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Censere Lee for 8 yds to the SAM 46

2nd & 2Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.50

Branson Adams run for 18 yds to the SAM 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Corey Washington for 1 yd to the SAM 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Cole Gonzales pass complete to Corey Washington for 7 yds to the SAM 20

3rd & 2Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.64

Branson Adams run for 18 yds to the SAM 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Penalty-5 yds

Western Carolina Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the SAM 7

Situational Analysis

Samford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
59%
17 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

Western Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
65%
31 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
43%
7 plays
63%
8 plays
63%
8 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
80%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play