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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Samford by 5.6

Home Win Probability

Samford 62%

Market (Caesars Sportsbook (Colorado))

Samford -6.5

Edge: Chattanooga +6.5 (0.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Chattanooga
132131047
Samford
3147024

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-73-133-2010-2710-3417-3424-3724-4024-47
SamfordChattanooga

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20CHASAMSAMCHASAMCHASAMCHASAMCHASAMCHASAMCHASAMCHASAMCHASAMSAMCHATD875ydTD10ydFG1140ydPUNT34ydMISS1025ydTD572ydTD853ydTD875ydDOWNS717ydTD652ydTD1075ydEND12ydTD575ydFG953ydPUNT721ydMISS947ydTO323ydFG949ydTD1147ydDOWNS1067ydEND730yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Chattanooga and Samford
StatisticChattanoogaSamford
Passing21-2633-48
Pass Yards323299
Rush Yards106174
Total Yards429473
Turnovers03
3rd Down7-128-16
Penalties4-2910-104
Possession32:4327:17

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Chattanooga
passing
Chase Artopoeus
21/26, 323 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Ailym Ford
18 CAR, 53 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jamoi Mayes
4 REC, 114 YDS
Samford
passing
Michael Hiers
33/48, 299 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Jay Stanton
13 CAR, 73 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chandler Smith
8 REC, 87 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the UTC 26

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.52

Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 10 yds to the UTC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Sam Phillips for 9 yds to the UTC 45

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.44

Chase Artopoeus pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.19

Ailym Ford run for 3 yds to the UTC 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Ailym Ford run for no gain to the UTC 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Sam Phillips for 5 yds to the SAM 47

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+47 ydsPPA +5.08

Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Tyler Smith for 47 yds for a TD (Jude Kelley KICK)

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.76

Michael Hiers pass intercepted for a TD Samford Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (-15 Yards) to the SAM 0 (Jude Kelley PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.98

Michael Hiers pass complete to Chandler Smith for 13 yds to the UTC 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Michael Hiers run for 5 yds to the UTC 37

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Michael Hiers run for 3 yds to the UTC 34

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.66

Michael Hiers run for 3 yds to the UTC 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Michael Hiers pass complete to Brendan Jenkins for 4 yds to the UTC 27

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Michael Hiers pass complete to Iaan Cousin for 10 yds to the UTC 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Jay Stanton run for 9 yds to the UTC 8

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Michael Hiers run for 3 yds to the UTC 15

2nd & 1Penalty-10 yds

STANTON, Jay rush to the left for no gain to the UTC8 (MITCHELL, Alex). PENALTY SAM Holding on FRAZIER, Cooper enforced 10 yards from the UTC8 to the UTC18 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 8Field Goal Good+33 yds

Henry Bishop 33 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Ailym Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTC 24

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ailym Ford run for 5 yds to the UTC 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Chase Artopoeus pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Clayton Crile punt for 24 yds , Chandler Smith returns for no gain to the SAM 47

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Michael Hiers pass complete to Michael Ryan for 2 yds to the SAM 49

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Michael Hiers pass complete to Iaan Cousin for 7 yds to the UTC 46

4th & 3Penalty+5 yds

Chattanooga Penalty, Offsides (Jeremiah Katt) to the UTC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Chattanooga Penalty, Offsides (Ailym Ford) to the UTC 36

1st & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.44

Mychael Hamilton run for 8 yds to the UTC 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.78

Mychael Hamilton run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTC 30

2nd & 12Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.98

Michael Hiers pass complete to Chandler Smith for 15 yds to the UTC 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-14 yds

Samford Penalty, Face mask (14 yards) (-14 Yards) to the UTC 29

1st & 24Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.84

Michael Hiers pass complete to Michael Ryan for no gain to the UTC 29

2nd & 24Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

3rd & 24Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Michael Hiers pass complete to E. Jai Mason for 1 yd to the UTC 28

2nd & 8Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.45

Michael Hiers sacked by Marlon Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the SAM 47

4th & 23Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Wilson Beaverstock 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+62 ydsPPA +3.34

Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 62 yds to the SAM 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Gino Appleberry run for 3 yds to the SAM 7

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Gino Appleberry run for 4 yds to the SAM 3

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Gino Appleberry run for 1 yd to the SAM 2

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Gino Appleberry run for 2 yds for a TD (Jude Kelley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Michael Hiers pass complete to Brendan Jenkins for 6 yds to the UTC 47

2nd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Michael Hiers pass complete to Chandler Smith for 8 yds to the UTC 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jay Stanton run for 3 yds to the UTC 36

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.54

Michael Hiers pass complete to Brendan Jenkins for 8 yds to the UTC 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Michael Hiers pass complete to E. Jai Mason for 6 yds to the UTC 22

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Jay Stanton run for 1 yd to the UTC 21

3rd & 3Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.98

Michael Hiers pass complete to Ty King for 21 yds for a TD (Wilson Beaverstock KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Sam Phillips for 7 yds to the UTC 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.33

Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Sam Phillips for 4 yds to the UTC 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Chase Artopoeus pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Camden Overton for 5 yds to the UTC 41

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

Samford Penalty, Targeting on COTTON, Josiah enforced (Josiah Cotton) to the SAM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.41

Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Sam Phillips for 14 yds to the SAM 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.22

Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Jay Gibson for 21 yds to the SAM 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Ailym Ford run for 3 yds for a TD (Jude Kelley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Michael Hiers pass complete to R.J. Starkey for 6 yds to the SAM 41

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Samford Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SAM 36

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Michael Hiers pass complete to Iaan Cousin for 5 yds to the SAM 41

3rd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.91

Michael Hiers pass complete to Michael Ryan for 6 yds to the SAM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Damonta Witherspoon run for 6 yds to the UTC 47

4th & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Michael Hiers pass complete to Damonta Witherspoon for a loss of 1 yard to the UTC 48

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Ailym Ford run for 8 yds to the SAM 44

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Ailym Ford run for 4 yds to the SAM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ailym Ford run for 5 yds to the SAM 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.40

Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Javin Whatley for 10 yds to the SAM 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Gino Appleberry run for 5 yds to the SAM 20

2nd & 5Penalty0 yds

ARTOPOEUS, Chase pass up the middle incomplete intended for MAYES, Jamoi thrown to the SAM5. PENALTY SAM Pass Interference on POLLARD, Dontae enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the SAM5 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Ailym Ford run for 5 yds for a TD (Jude Kelley KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Jay Stanton run for 15 yds to the SAM 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Michael Hiers pass complete to Ty King for 7 yds to the SAM 47

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.81

Jay Stanton run for 12 yds to the UTC 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jay Stanton run for 3 yds to the UTC 38

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.79

Michael Hiers pass complete to Ty King for 13 yds to the UTC 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.15

Jay Stanton run for 11 yds to the UTC 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

HIERS, Michael pass to the left incomplete intended for VICE, Michael thrown to the UTC3. PENALTY Before the snap, SAM Illegal Formation on BROWN, Zach enforced 5 yards from the UTC14 to the UTC19. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jay Stanton run for 2 yds to the UTC 17

2nd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.60

Michael Hiers pass complete to Chandler Smith for 14 yds to the UTC 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jay Stanton run for 3 yds for a TD (Wilson Beaverstock KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Chase Artopoeus run for 2 yds to the UTC 27

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.52

Michael Hiers pass complete to Chandler Smith for 17 yds to the SAM 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.30

Mychael Hamilton run for 9 yds to the UTC 49

2nd & 1Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.54

Michael Hiers run for 23 yds to the UTC 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Mychael Hamilton run for 5 yds to the UTC 21

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +2.64

Chandler Smith run for 21 yds for a TD (Wilson Beaverstock KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Sam Phillips for 6 yds to the UTC 22

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Ailym Ford run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTC 21

3rd & 5Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.07

Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Sam Phillips for 6 yds to the UTC 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Ailym Ford run for 6 yds to the UTC 33

2nd & 4Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.57

Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Sam Phillips for 31 yds to the SAM 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Chase Artopoeus pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Sam Phillips for 3 yds to the SAM 33

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Ailym Ford run for 2 yds to the SAM 31

4th & 5Field Goal Good+48 yds

Jude Kelley 48 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Michael Hiers pass complete to Iaan Cousin for 3 yds to the SAM 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Michael Hiers pass complete to Chandler Smith for 4 yds to the SAM 32

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Samford Penalty, False Start (Chris Noble) to the SAM 27

3rd & 8Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.06

Michael Hiers pass complete to Chandler Smith for 11 yds to the SAM 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Michael Hiers pass complete to E. Jai Mason for 10 yds to the SAM 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.33

Michael Hiers sacked by Ben Brewton and Jamarr Jones for a loss of 6 yards to the SAM 42

2nd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jay Stanton run for 4 yds to the SAM 46

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Will Thorley punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jamoi Mayes at the UTC 18

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Gino Appleberry run for 4 yds to the UTC 22

2nd & 6Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.09

Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 33 yds to the SAM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Jamoi Mayes for 9 yds to the SAM 36

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.98

Ailym Ford run for no gain to the SAM 36

3rd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.68

Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Sam Phillips for 6 yds to the SAM 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Chase Artopoeus pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.96

Chase Artopoeus run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAM 31

3rd & 11Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.78

Chase Artopoeus sacked by Joseph Mera for a loss of 4 yards to the SAM 35

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+52 yds

Clayton Crile 52 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Michael Hiers pass complete to Brendan Jenkins for 5 yds to the SAM 40

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Jay Stanton run for 7 yds to the SAM 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA -2.90

Michael Hiers pass complete to Ty King for 11 yds Ty King fumbled, recovered by UTC Bo Spearman

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ailym Ford run for 5 yds to the UTC 47

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Gino Appleberry run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.54

Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Sam Phillips for 7 yds to the SAM 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Camden Overton for 5 yds to the SAM 38

2nd & 5Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +0.70

Chase Artopoeus pass complete to Jay Gibson for 23 yds to the SAM 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Ailym Ford run for 1 yd to the SAM 14

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Ailym Ford run for 2 yds to the SAM 12

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Chase Artopoeus run for 3 yds to the SAM 9

4th & 4Field Goal Good+26 yds

Jude Kelley 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.18

Michael Hiers run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAM 34

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

3rd & 11Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Mychael Hamilton run for 6 yds to the SAM 40

4th & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.55

Michael Hiers run for 5 yds to the SAM 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Mychael Hamilton run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.27

Michael Hiers pass complete to R.J. Starkey for 17 yds to the UTC 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Michael Hiers run for 1 yd to the UTC 32

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Mychael Hamilton run for 6 yds to the UTC 26

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.51

Mychael Hamilton run for 3 yds to the UTC 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Michael Hiers pass complete to Chandler Smith for 5 yds to the UTC 18

2nd & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -4.41

Michael Hiers pass intercepted for a TD (Jude Kelley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +3.37

Michael Hiers pass complete to Carson Goold for 31 yds to the UTC 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Jay Stanton run for 2 yds to the UTC 42

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

HIERS, Michael pass deep to the left complete for 42 yards to STARKEY, R.J. caught at the UTC12 and advanced to the UTC0, TOUCHDOWN SAM, score nullified by penalty (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY SAM Holding on NOBLE, Chris enforced 10 yards from the UTC42 to the SAM48 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 18Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.77

Michael Hiers pass complete to E. Jai Mason for 13 yds to the UTC 39

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Michael Hiers pass complete to Brendan Jenkins for 2 yds to the UTC 9

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Jay Stanton run for 1 yd to the UTC 8

4th & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.75

Michael Hiers pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.46

Gino Appleberry run for 12 yds to the UTC 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Gino Appleberry run for 6 yds to the UTC 26

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Gino Appleberry run for 3 yds to the UTC 29

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.70

Chase Artopoeus run for 1 yd to the UTC 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Gino Appleberry run for 5 yds to the UTC 35

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.83

Ailym Ford run for 5 yds to the UTC 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

[NH] Kneel down by ARTOPOEUS, Chase at UTC38 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Chattanooga

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
59%
27 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
63%
8 plays
43%
7 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
80%
5 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Samford

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
52%
31 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
50%
8 plays
33%
9 plays
43%
7 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
83%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play