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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Richmond by 18

Home Win Probability

Stony Brook 14%

Market (Caesars Sportsbook (Colorado))

Stony Brook +13

Edge: Richmond -13 (5.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Richmond
0107320
Stony Brook
370919

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-03-310-1010-1716-17
Stony BrookRichmond

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20RICSBRICSBRICSBRICSBRICSBRICSBRICSBRICSBSBRICSBRICSBRICSBRICRICSBPUNT1138ydPUNT545ydTO37ydFG46ydTO3-2ydTO2-9ydPUNT35ydPUNT417ydPUNT421ydTO35ydFG6-1ydPUNT414ydTD357ydTD575ydTO554ydEND1-1ydPUNT437ydPUNT37ydPUNT34ydPUNT34ydDOWNS48ydTD561ydPUNT3-1ydTD512ydTO11ydUncategorized10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Richmond and Stony Brook
StatisticRichmondStony Brook
Passing5-169-15
Pass Yards78126
Rush Yards17189
Total Yards249215
Turnovers52
3rd Down3-120-9
Penalties2-209-61
Possession26:4321:56

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Richmond
passing
Jackson Hardy
4/12, 71 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Savon Smith
15 CAR, 81 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Nick DeGennaro
2 REC, 63 YDS, 1 TD
Stony Brook
passing
Casey Case
9/15, 126 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Shakhi Carson
10 CAR, 38 YDS
receiving
Anthony Johnson
3 REC, 49 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.87

Savon Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the RICH 20

2nd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.51

Jackson Hardy pass complete to Jerry Garcia Jr. for 10 yds to the RICH 30

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.32

Jackson Hardy run for 5 yds to the RICH 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jackson Hardy run for 5 yds to the RICH 40

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Jackson Hardy pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.10

Jackson Hardy pass complete to Landon Ellis for 7 yds to the RICH 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Savon Smith run for no gain to the RICH 47

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.01

Jackson Hardy run for 12 yds to the STBK 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Savon Smith run for 2 yds to the STBK 39

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Savon Smith run for no gain to the STBK 39

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Jackson Hardy pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Aaron Trusler punt for 24 yds, downed at the STBK 15

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.28

Casey Case pass complete to Cole Bunicci for 19 yds to the STBK 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.86

Shakhi Carson run for 21 yds to the RICH 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Roland Dempster run for 6 yds to the RICH 39

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Shakhi Carson run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICH 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Casey Case pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 37 yds, downed at the RICH 3

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Savon Smith run for no gain to the RICH 3

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.13

Savon Smith run for 7 yds to the RICH 10

3rd & 3Interception0 ydsPPA +0.09

Jackson Hardy pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Roland Dempster run for no gain to the RICH 12

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Casey Case pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Ross Tallarico run for 6 yds to the RICH 6

4th & 4Field Goal Good+24 yds

Spencer Biscoe 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Milan Howard run for no gain to the RICH 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Jackson Hardy pass complete to Milan Howard for a loss of 2 yards to the RICH 23

3rd & 12Interception0 ydsPPA +0.21

Jackson Hardy pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Roland Dempster run for 3 yds to the RICH 18

2nd & 7Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.39

Casey Case sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the RICH 30

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jackson Hardy run for 4 yds to the RICH 34

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Milan Howard run for 1 yd to the RICH 35

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Milan Howard run for no gain to the RICH 35

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Aaron Trusler punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Casey Case pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 13 yds to the STBK 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Johnny Martin run for 7 yds to the STBK 49

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

Casey Case pass incomplete

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

(14:21) CASE, Casey pass up the middle complete for 19 yards to JOHNSON, Anthony caught at the RCH39 and advanced to the RCH32; QB hurried by BYRD, Camden (MORRIS-WALKER, Quantraill), clock 14:17. PENALTY SBU Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass on BUNICCI, Cole enforced 5 yards from the SBU49 to the SBU44 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Casey Case pass complete to Jayden Cook for 2 yds to the STBK 46

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 20 yds, downed at the RICH 34

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.72

Savon Smith run for 19 yds to the STBK 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Savon Smith run for 2 yds to the STBK 45

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Jackson Hardy pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Jackson Hardy pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Aaron Trusler punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Nick Chimienti at the STBK 10

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Roland Dempster run for 2 yds to the STBK 12

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Roland Dempster run for 3 yds to the STBK 15

3rd & 5Interception0 ydsPPA +0.11

Casey Case pass intercepted

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jackson Hardy run for no gain to the STBK 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Savon Smith run for no gain to the STBK 1

3rd & 1Penalty0 yds

(09:30) SMITH, Savon rush up the middle for a loss of 3 yards, SMITH, Savon fumbled at SBU2 , recovered by RCH SMITH, Savon at the SBU4, returned 0 yards to the SBU4, End of Play, clock 09:19. PENALTY SBU Personal Foul on HOYLE, Jalen enforced half the distance from the goal, 1 yards from the SBU3 to the SBU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 1Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.27

Jackson Hardy sacked by Jalen Hoyle for a loss of 2 yards to the STBK 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Savon Smith run for 1 yd to the STBK 2

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jackson Hardy pass incomplete

4th & 2Field Goal Good+19 yds

Andrew Lopez 19 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +1.90

Ross Tallarico run for 22 yds to the STBK 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.93

Shakhi Carson run for a loss of 4 yards to the STBK 40

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Casey Case pass incomplete

3rd & 14Penalty-5 yds

Stony Brook Penalty, False Start (Anthony Johnson) to the STBK 35

3rd & 19Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.11

Casey Case pass complete to Jayden Cook for 1 yd to the STBK 36

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 21 yds, downed at the RICH 43

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.90

Jackson Hardy sacked by Anthony Williams and Anthony Ferrelli for a loss of 4 yards to the RICH 39

2nd & 14Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Milan Howard run for 5 yds to the RICH 44

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+56 ydsPPA +6.33

Jackson Hardy pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for 56 yds for a TD (Andrew Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(03:57) CASE, Casey pass to the left incomplete intended for FREEMAN, Jayce broken up by JOSEPH, Jared at the SBU39, clock 03:55. PENALTY RCH Pass Interference on RANKIN JR., Angelo enforced 15 yards to the SBU40 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.14

Shakhi Carson run for 13 yds to the RICH 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Roland Dempster run for 8 yds to the RICH 39

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Johnny Martin run for 4 yds to the RICH 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Shakhi Carson run for 1 yd to the RICH 34

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+34 ydsPPA +3.50

Casey Case pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 34 yds for a TD (Spencer Biscoe KICK)

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.25

Jackson Hardy run for 14 yds to the RICH 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Jackson Hardy run for 12 yds to the STBK 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.59

Jackson Hardy run for 10 yds to the STBK 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jackson Hardy run for 3 yds to the STBK 35

2nd & 7Penalty+15 yds

(00:33) HARDY, Jackson pass deep to the right incomplete intended for DEGENNARO, Nick thrown to the SBU2, clock 00:29. PENALTY SBU Pass Interference on HOYLE, Jalen enforced 15 yards to the SBU20 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -4.38

Jackson Hardy pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

(00:14) [NH] Kneel down by SBU at SBU21 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(14:55) CARSON, Shakhi rush to the left for a gain of 16 yards to the SBU43 (WHEELER, Tristan), out of bounds, clock 14:51. PENALTY SBU Holding on MELENDEZ, Kollin enforced 10 yards from the SBU27 to the SBU17 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 20Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.83

Casey Case pass complete to Cal Redman for 41 yds to the RICH 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Johnny Martin run for no gain to the RICH 42

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-6 ydsPPA -2.18

Casey Case run for a loss of 6 yards to the RICH 48 Casey Case fumbled, recovered by STBK Casey Case

3rd & 16Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.41

Casey Case pass complete to Ross Tallarico for 12 yds to the RICH 36

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 34 yds, downed at the RICH 2

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.28

Savon Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICH 1

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Savon Smith run for 1 yd to the RICH 2

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.05

Ashten Snelsire pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for 7 yds to the RICH 9

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Aaron Trusler punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Ross Tallarico at the RICH 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Roland Dempster run for 2 yds to the RICH 43

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Casey Case pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Casey Case pass complete to Ross Tallarico for 2 yds to the RICH 41

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 36 yds, downed at the RICH 5

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Milan Howard run for 3 yds to the RICH 8

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

Milan Howard run for 1 yd to the RICH 9

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Ashten Snelsire pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Aaron Trusler punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Ross Tallarico at the RICH 47

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Shakhi Carson run for 6 yds to the RICH 41

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Shakhi Carson run for 1 yd to the RICH 40

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Casey Case run for 2 yds to the RICH 38

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -2.25

Shakhi Carson run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICH 39

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Milan Howard run for 6 yds to the RICH 45

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Ashten Snelsire run for 8 yds to the STBK 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Stony Brook Penalty, Offsides (Dyshier Clary) to the STBK 42

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Milan Howard run for 4 yds to the STBK 38

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Milan Howard run for 2 yds to the STBK 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Savon Smith run for 36 yds for a TD (Andrew Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ross Tallarico run for 5 yds to the STBK 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Casey Case pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 2 yds to the STBK 27

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

Stony Brook Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the STBK 22

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

Stony Brook Penalty, False Start (Kollin Melendez) to the STBK 17

3rd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.04

Shakhi Carson run for 2 yds to the STBK 19

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Clayton Taylor punt for 38 yds, downed at the RICH 43

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ashten Snelsire run for no gain to the RICH 43

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.15

Savon Smith run for 12 yds to the STBK 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Ashten Snelsire pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Savon Smith run for 5 yds to the STBK 40

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Richmond Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the STBK 45

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -1.46

Ashten Snelsire pass intercepted for a TD (Spencer Biscoe PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+1 ydsPPA -1.66

Milan Howard run for 1 yd to the RICH 35 Milan Howard fumbled, recovered by STBK Rodney Faulk

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.69

Shakhi Carson run for no gain to the RICH 35

Situational Analysis

Richmond

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play
32%
22 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
4th

Stony Brook

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
53%
19 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play