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← Back to GamesSep 30, 2023Week 5
Stetson
24
-Final
34
Marist
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Marist by 0.3

Home Win Probability

Marist 48%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Marist +2.5

Edge: Marist +2.5 (2.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 30, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Stetson
7143024
Marist
71410334

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-714-721-1428-2131-2434-24
MaristStetson

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STEMARSTEMARSTEMARSTEMARSTEMARSTEMARSTEMARSTEMARSTEMARSTEMARSTEPUNT38ydTD167ydTD684ydPUNT35ydMISS1458ydPUNT518ydPUNT542ydTD1280ydTD337ydTD966ydTD467ydTD374ydFG543ydFG1263ydMISS823ydTO1177ydTO311ydFG617ydDOWNS49ydDOWNS1028ydEND19yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stetson and Marist
StatisticStetsonMarist
Passing20-2711-19
Pass Yards291219
Rush Yards73306
Total Yards364525
Turnovers21
3rd Down3-114-11
Penalties5-428-75
Possession24:3435:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stetson
passing
Matt O'Connor
20/27, 291 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Devon Brewer
14 CAR, 49 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jalon Warthen-Carr
6 REC, 98 YDS
Marist
passing
Brock Bagozzi
11/19, 219 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Amin Woods
38 CAR, 232 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Matt Stianche
3 REC, 121 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Devon Brewer run for 3 yds to the STET 37

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Devon Brewer run for 4 yds to the STET 41

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Devon Brewer run for 1 yd to the STET 42

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Marshall Golick punt for 25 yds, downed at the MRST 33

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+67 ydsPPA +5.43

Amin Woods run for 67 yds for a TD (Chase Gardi KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Chase Gardi kickoff for 65 yds , return for no gain to the STET 16

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

O'CONNOR, Matt pass to the right incomplete intended for FELICIANO, Aanjay broken up by VOKOLOS, Angelo at the STE11. PENALTY MAR Roughing the Passer on VOKOLOS, Angelo enforced 15 yards from the STE16 to the STE31 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Devon Brewer run for 2 yds to the STET 33

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.61

Matt O'Connor run for 9 yds to the STET 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Matt O'Connor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +3.01

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Jalon Warthen-Carr for 33 yds to the MRST 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

BREWER, Devon rush up the middle for a gain of 1 yard to the MAR24 (DUTTON, Dominic). PENALTY MAR Offsides enforced 5 yards from the MAR25 to the MAR20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.81

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Gabe Atkin for 18 yds to the MRST 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Devon Brewer 2 Yd Run (Daniel Holbrook Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Amin Woods run for 2 yds to the MRST 37

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Amin Woods run for 3 yds to the MRST 40

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Joe Neubecker punt for 46 yds, downed at the STET 14

1st & 10Penalty-8 yds

BREWER, Devon rush up the middle for a gain of 8 yards to the STE22 (COFFINDAFFER, Kyle;COMESTRO, Anthony). PENALTY STE Holding on STALEY, Chad enforced half the distance from the goal, 7 yards from the STE14 to the STE7 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Matt O'Connor pass incomplete

2nd & 17Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Devon Brewer run for 2 yds to the STET 9

3rd & 15Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.11

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Gabe Atkin for 26 yds to the STET 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.97

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Aanjay Feliciano for 10 yds to the STET 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Devon Brewer run for no gain to the STET 45

2nd & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.39

Matt O'Connor sacked by Brendan Pacheco for a loss of 4 yards to the STET 41

3rd & 14Penalty0 yds

O'CONNOR, Matt pass short up the middle complete for 17 yards to WARTHEN-CARR, Jalon caught at the STE42 and advanced to the MAR42, out of bounds. PENALTY STE Holding declined STE Ineligible Receiver Downfield on Pass enforced 5 yards from the STE41 to the STE36 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

3rd & 19Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.68

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Donovan Shepard for 19 yds to the MRST 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.90

Donovan Shepard run for a loss of 4 yards to the MRST 49

2nd & 14Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Donovan Shepard run for 4 yds to the MRST 45

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.64

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Gabe Atkin for 12 yds to the MRST 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.72

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Charlie King for 9 yds to the MRST 24

2nd & 1Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.30

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Jalon Warthen-Carr for a loss of 4 yards to the MRST 28

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Matt O'Connor pass incomplete

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Daniel Holbrook 45 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Amin Woods run for 7 yds to the MRST 35

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.26

Amin Woods run for 3 yds to the MRST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Tristan Shannon run for 1 yd to the MRST 39

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Brock Bagozzi run for 7 yds to the MRST 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Joe Neubecker punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jaylon Johnson at the STET 11

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.49

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Jalon Warthen-Carr for 11 yds to the STET 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

O'CONNOR, Matt pass deep to the right incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Ronnel broken up by SMITH, Isaiah at the MAR36. PENALTY MAR Pass Interference on SMITH, Isaiah enforced 15 yards to the STE37 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.04

Matt O'Connor run for 11 yds to the STET 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Donovan Shepard run for 4 yds to the MRST 48

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Donovan Shepard run for 1 yd to the MRST 47

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Matt O'Connor pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Marshall Golick punt for 27 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Amin Woods run for 3 yds to the MRST 23

3rd & 7Pass Reception+67 ydsPPA +4.54

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Matt Stianche for 77 yds for a 1ST down Marist Penalty, Illegal Block (Will Downes) to the STET 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Amin Woods run for 9 yds to the STET 34

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Amin Woods run for 3 yds to the STET 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Max Jackson run for 3 yds to the STET 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.66

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Trevor Sterry for no gain to the STET 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

4th & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.01

Brock Bagozzi run for 12 yds to the STET 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+12 ydsPPA +1.21

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Max Mazzella for 12 yds Max Mazzella fumbled, recovered by MRST for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Max Jackson 3 Yd Run (Chase Gardi Kick)

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +0.47

Devon Brewer run for 20 yds to the MRST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Devon Brewer run for 1 yd to the MRST 16

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.84

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Donovan Shepard for 16 yds for a TD (Daniel Holbrook KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Amin Woods run for 2 yds to the MRST 36

2nd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.94

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Amin Woods for 12 yds to the MRST 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Marist Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MRST 43

1st & 15Penalty-10 yds

BAGOZZI, Brock scrambles to the left for a gain of 15 yards to the STE42 (LEREW, Nicholas), out of bounds. PENALTY MAR Holding on GIWA, Ibrahim enforced 10 yards from the MAR43 to the MAR33 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Tristan Shannon run for 7 yds to the MRST 40

2nd & 18Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.71

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Tristan Shannon for 27 yds to the STET 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.27

Amin Woods run for 12 yds to the STET 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Amin Woods run for 3 yds to the STET 18

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Amin Woods run for 3 yds to the STET 15

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.46

Amin Woods run for 6 yds to the STET 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Jackson Willette for 9 yds for a TD (Chase Gardi KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.15

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Jalon Warthen-Carr for 12 yds to the STET 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.04

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Devon Brewer for 14 yds to the MRST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.50

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Aanjay Feliciano for 14 yds to the MRST 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Gabe Atkin for 27 yds for a TD (Daniel Holbrook KICK)

0th & 0End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Amin Woods run for 5 yds to the MRST 31

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.65

Amin Woods run for 1 yd to the MRST 32

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+68 ydsPPA +6.57

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Matt Stianche for 68 yds for a TD (Chase Gardi KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +2.09

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Jalon Warthen-Carr for 37 yds to the MRST 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Matt O'Connor run for no gain to the MRST 23

2nd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.35

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Gabe Atkin for 8 yds to the MRST 15

3rd & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.72

Kaleb Costner run for a loss of 2 yards to the MRST 17

4th & 4Field Goal Good+34 yds

Daniel Holbrook 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Amin Woods run for 8 yds to the MRST 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.80

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Max Mazzella for 11 yds to the MRST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Amin Woods run for 5 yds to the MRST 49

2nd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Will Downes for 12 yds to the STET 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Amin Woods run for 8 yds to the STET 31

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Max Jackson run for 3 yds to the STET 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Max Jackson run for 3 yds to the STET 25

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.35

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Matt Stianche for 9 yds to the STET 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Amin Woods run for 1 yd to the STET 15

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Amin Woods run for 3 yds to the STET 12

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Daniel Holbrook kickoff for 54 yds , return for no gain to the MRST 25

4th & 6Field Goal Good+30 yds

Chase Gardi 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jalon Warthen-Carr run for 1 yd to the MRST 37

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Devon Brewer run for 2 yds to the MRST 35

3rd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Devon Brewer run for 1 yd to the MRST 34

4th & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.45

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Ronnel Johnson for 17 yds to the MRST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Matt O'Connor run for 5 yds to the MRST 12

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.37

Devon Brewer run for no gain to the MRST 12

3rd & 5Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.77

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Donovan Shepard for a loss of 3 yards to the MRST 15

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Daniel Holbrook 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Amin Woods run for 9 yds to the MRST 29

2nd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.06

Amin Woods run for 5 yds to the MRST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Brock Bagozzi run for 9 yds to the MRST 43

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Amin Woods run for 3 yds to the MRST 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Tristan Shannon run for 5 yds to the STET 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.30

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Jackson Willette for 14 yds to the STET 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.56

Amin Woods run for 8 yds to the STET 27

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.17

Amin Woods run for 10 yds to the STET 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Max Jackson run for 9 yds to the STET 8

2nd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+5 ydsPPA -5.04

Max Jackson run for 5 yds to the STET 8 Max Jackson fumbled, recovered by STET Nikkem Reynolds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Devon Brewer run for 8 yds to the STET 16

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Matt O'Connor pass incomplete

3rd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -0.07

Devon Brewer run for 3 yds to the STET 19 Devon Brewer fumbled, recovered by MRST Camron Ball

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Amin Woods run for 4 yds to the STET 15

2nd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.43

Amin Woods run for 8 yds to the STET 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Amin Woods run for 1 yd to the STET 6

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Amin Woods run for 4 yds to the STET 2

4th & 2Field Goal Good+20 yds

Chase Gardi 20 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Matt O'Connor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Donovan Shepard for 6 yds to the STET 35

3rd & 4Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.61

Matt O'Connor sacked by Jack Imbt for a loss of 1 yard to the STET 34

4th & 5Interception0 ydsPPA +0.02

Matt O'Connor pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.18

Amin Woods run for a loss of 2 yards to the STET 40

2nd & 12Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Amin Woods run for 4 yds to the STET 36

3rd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Brock Bagozzi run for 7 yds to the STET 29

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.20

Amin Woods run for 2 yds to the STET 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Amin Woods run for 5 yds to the STET 22

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.13

Amin Woods run for 9 yds to the STET 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Amin Woods run for 4 yds to the STET 9

2nd & 6Penalty-5 yds

Marist Penalty, False Start (Dan Lozano) to the STET 14

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Amin Woods run for 4 yds to the STET 10

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Amin Woods run for 4 yds to the STET 6

4th & 3Rush-4 ydsPPA -4.02

Amin Woods run for a loss of 4 yards to the STET 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.83

Matt O'Connor pass complete to Jalon Warthen-Carr for 9 yds to the STET 19

Situational Analysis

Stetson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
57%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
63%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
2 plays

Marist

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
50%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
25%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
40%
10 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play