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← Back to GamesNov 11, 2023Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Davidson by 20.4

Home Win Probability

Morehead State 12%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Morehead State +14

Edge: Davidson -14 (6.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 11, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Davidson
377017
Morehead State
02614747

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842560-312-326-1026-1740-1747-17
Morehead StateDavidson

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DAVMSDAVMSDAVMSDAVMSDAVMSDAVMSDAVMSDAVMSMSDAVMSDAVMSDAVMSDAVMSDAVMSDAVMSDAVMSPUNT54ydDOWNS524ydFG1545ydPUNT614ydDOWNS48ydTD332ydTO414ydTD127ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT3-15ydPUNT415ydTD469ydTO10ydTD127ydTD1376ydEND1-1ydMISS645ydTD876ydPUNT32ydDOWNS49ydTD125ydTO421ydTD344ydTO719ydTD252ydTO453ydPUNT510ydTO629ydPUNT38ydDOWNS515ydEND3-10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Davidson and Morehead State
StatisticDavidsonMorehead State
Passing16-3410-16
Pass Yards115240
Rush Yards263118
Total Yards378358
Turnovers60
3rd Down7-162-9
Penalties5-605-35
Possession35:4124:19

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Davidson
passing
Coulter Cleland
12/27, 83 YDS, 1 TD, 5 INT
rushing
Mari Adams
15 CAR, 122 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Brody Reina
2 REC, 27 YDS
Morehead State
passing
Bryce Patterson
10/16, 240 YDS, 6 TD
rushing
James Louis
12 CAR, 107 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ryan Upp
5 REC, 140 YDS, 3 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Nathan Hazlett kickoff for 57 yds , Kellyn West return for 17 yds to the DAV 25

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Mari Adams run for 6 yds to the DAV 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.69

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Clarence Freeman IV for 6 yds to the DAV 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Mari Adams run for a loss of 1 yard to the DAV 36

2nd & 11Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.73

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Mark McCurdy for a loss of 2 yards to the DAV 34

3rd & 13Fumble Recovery (Own)-5 ydsPPA -0.31

Coulter Cleland sacked by Luke Bauer for a loss of 5 yards to the DAV 29 Coulter Cleland fumbled, recovered by DAV , return for 0 yards

4th & 18Punt+26 yds

Tristan Allen punt for 36 yds Davidson Penalty, Defensive holding (Tristan Allen) to the MORE 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Bryce Patterson pass complete to Ryan Upp for 15 yds to the DAV 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

James Louis run for 6 yds to the DAV 34

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Morehead State Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the DAV 39

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

James Louis run for 8 yds to the DAV 31

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Bryce Patterson pass incomplete, broken up by Julian Rawlins

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.89

Bryce Patterson run for no gain to the DAV 31

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Mason Sheron run for 3 yds to the DAV 34

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Aaron Maione run for 8 yds to the DAV 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Coulter Cleland pass incomplete to Aaron Maione

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Aaron Maione run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Coulter Cleland run for 2 yds to the MORE 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Coulter Cleland pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Coulter Cleland run for 9 yds to the MORE 39

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.71

Mason Sheron run for 3 yds to the MORE 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Mark McCurdy run for 6 yds to the MORE 30

2nd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.72

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Aaron Maione for no gain to the MORE 30

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.78

Mason Sheron run for 4 yds to the MORE 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Coulter Cleland pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Mason Sheron run for 2 yds to the MORE 24

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Coulter Cleland pass incomplete, broken up by Cooper Krezek

4th & 8Field Goal Good+41 yds

Adam Zouagui 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Adam Zouagui kickoff for 59 yds , Kyle Daly return for 17 yds to the MORE 23

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Morehead State Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MORE 18

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.26

James Louis run for 7 yds to the MORE 25

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Bryce Patterson run for 3 yds to the MORE 28

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.38

Bryce Patterson pass complete to Bradley West for 5 yds to the MORE 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Bryce Patterson pass incomplete to Bradley West

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

James Louis run for 4 yds to the MORE 37

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Bryce Patterson pass incomplete to Bradley West

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Aaron Maione at the DAV 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Mari Adams run for 4 yds to the DAV 28

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Coulter Cleland run for 2 yds to the DAV 30

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Mari Adams run for 2 yds to the DAV 32

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.07

Coulter Cleland run for no gain to the DAV 32

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.90

Bryce Patterson sacked by Darryn Kindles for a loss of 7 yards to the DAV 39 Bryce Patterson fumbled, recovered by MORE Bryce Patterson , return for 0 yards

2nd & 17Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.50

James Louis run for 13 yds to the DAV 26

3rd & 4Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +3.28

Bryce Patterson pass complete to Harrison Cohen for 26 yds for a TD (Nathan Hazlett PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Nathan Hazlett kickoff for 65 yds , Trey Messer return for 18 yds to the DAV 18

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.05

Mason Sheron run for 9 yds to the DAV 27

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Mason Sheron run for 2 yds to the DAV 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Mason Sheron run for 3 yds to the DAV 32

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return+9 ydsPPA -0.88

Coulter Cleland pass intercepted Kaleb Lyons return for 9 yds to the DAV 27

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Bryce Patterson pass complete to Kyle Daly for 27 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Nathan Hazlett kickoff for 62 yds , Kellyn West return for 21 yds to the DAV 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Aaron Maione for 6 yds to the DAV 30

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.14

Coulter Cleland run for a loss of 3 yards to the DAV 27

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.40

Mark McCurdy sacked by Kaleb Lyons for a loss of 8 yards to the DAV 19

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Tristan Allen punt for 29 yds for a 1ST down , Ryan Upp returns for no gain to the DAV 19 for a 1ST down Morehead State Penalty, illegal defense (15 Yards) to the DAV 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Bryce Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the DAV 34

2nd & 11Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.55

Bryce Patterson run for a loss of 3 yards to the DAV 37

3rd & 14Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.93

Bryce Patterson sacked by Julian Rawlins and Grant Reeder for a loss of 11 yards to the DAV 48

4th & 25Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.78

Coulter Cleland run for 11 yds to the DAV 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.33

Mark McCurdy run for a loss of 4 yards to the DAV 27

2nd & 14Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.32

Coulter Cleland sacked by Keenan Wolf and Paul O'Brien for a loss of 2 yards to the DAV 25

3rd & 16Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.23

Luke Durkin pass complete to Maxwell Weaver for 10 yds to the DAV 35

4th & 6Punt+1 yds

Tristan Allen punt for 35 yds , Ryan Upp returns for 1 yd to the MORE 31

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

James Louis run for 5 yds to the MORE 36

2nd & 5Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Bryce Patterson run for 9 yds to the MORE 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Bryce Patterson pass complete to James Louis for 15 yds to the DAV 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.19

James Louis run for 40 yds for a TD (Nathan Hazlett KICK)

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+12 ydsPPA -0.92

Coulter Cleland pass intercepted Kaleb Lyons return for 12 yds to the DAV 27

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Bryce Patterson pass complete to Trevon Kleint for 27 yds for a TD (Nathan Hazlett KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Nathan Hazlett kickoff for 65 yds , Kellyn West return for 24 yds to the DAV 24

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Mason Sheron run for 4 yds to the DAV 28

2nd & 6Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.93

Coulter Cleland run for a loss of 5 yards to the DAV 23

3rd & 11Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.72

Mason Sheron run for 20 yds to the DAV 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Coulter Cleland pass incomplete, broken up by Matthew McClelland

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.54

Mason Sheron run for 2 yds to the DAV 45

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.68

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Mark McCurdy for 10 yds to the MORE 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Coulter Cleland pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.63

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Mark McCurdy for 14 yds to the MORE 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Coulter Cleland pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.81

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Brody Reina for 11 yds to the MORE 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.57

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Aaron Maione for 14 yds to the MORE 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Coulter Cleland pass incomplete to Aaron Maione

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Kellyn West for 6 yds for a TD (Adam Zouagui KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+2 yds

Adam Zouagui kickoff for 45 yds , Kyle Daly return for 2 yds to the MORE 22

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORE 21

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

2nd & 11Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Adam Zouagui kickoff for 59 yds , Kyle Daly return for 25 yds to the MORE 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.13

Bryce Patterson pass complete to Ryan Upp for 24 yds to the DAV 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.66

James Louis run for 15 yds to the DAV 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Bryce Patterson run for 2 yds to the DAV 28

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

James Louis run for 4 yds to the DAV 24

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Bryce Patterson pass incomplete to Trevon Kleint

4th & 4Field Goal Missed+41 yds

Nathan Hazlett 41 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+57 ydsPPA +3.54

Mari Adams run for 57 yds to the MORE 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Mari Adams run for 2 yds to the MORE 17

2nd & 8Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

Coulter Cleland run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORE 18

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.33

Mark McCurdy run for 8 yds to the MORE 10

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.55

Mari Adams run for 1 yd to the MORE 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Mari Adams run for 6 yds to the MORE 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Mari Adams run for 1 yd to the MORE 2 Morehead State Penalty, illegal participation (1 Yards) to the MORE 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Mari Adams run for 1 yd for a TD (Adam Zouagui KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Adam Zouagui kickoff for 59 yds , James Louis return for 20 yds to the MORE 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Bryce Patterson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Bryce Patterson run for 7 yds to the MORE 33

3rd & 3Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.81

Bryce Patterson run for a loss of 5 yards to the MORE 28

4th & 8Punt+56 yds

Kip Warren punt for 46 yds, downed at the DAV 26 Davidson Penalty, Offensive holding (Mason Sheron) to the DAV 16

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Mason Sheron run for 3 yds to the DAV 19

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Coulter Cleland run for 4 yds to the DAV 23

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Mason Sheron run for 2 yds to the DAV 25

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA +0.04

Mason Sheron run for no gain to the DAV 25

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Bryce Patterson pass complete to Ryan Upp for 25 yds for a TD (Nathan Hazlett KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Nathan Hazlett kickoff for 65 yds , Trey Messer return for 21 yds to the DAV 21

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Mari Adams run for 2 yds to the DAV 23

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.85

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Brody Reina for 16 yds to the DAV 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Mari Adams run for 3 yds to the DAV 42

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.72

Coulter Cleland pass intercepted Keenan Wolf return for no gain to the DAV 44

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

James Louis run for 4 yds to the DAV 40

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

B. Patterson pass incomplete to R. Upp, PENALTY DAV personal foul 15 yards to the DAV25, 1ST DOWN MOR, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

James Louis run for no gain to the DAV 25

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +3.15

Bryce Patterson pass complete to Ryan Upp for 25 yds for a TD (Nathan Hazlett KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Nathan Hazlett kickoff for 63 yds , Trey Messer return for 18 yds to the DAV 20

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Aaron Maione for 3 yds to the DAV 23

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Coulter Cleland pass incomplete to Brody Reina

3rd & 7Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.63

Coulter Cleland run for 10 yds to the DAV 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Coulter Cleland pass incomplete to Aaron Maione

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.62

Coulter Cleland pass complete to Aaron Maione for a loss of 1 yard to the DAV 32

3rd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Coulter Cleland run for 7 yds to the DAV 39

4th & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.19

Coulter Cleland pass intercepted Kaleb Lyons return for no gain to the MORE 48

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

James Louis run for 1 yd to the MORE 49

2nd & 9Passing Touchdown+51 ydsPPA +4.91

Bryce Patterson pass complete to Ryan Upp for 51 yds for a TD (Nathan Hazlett KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Sox Lee kickoff for 60 yds , Trey Messer return for 24 yds to the DAV 41 Davidson Penalty, illegal block (Mason Sheron) to the DAV 19

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Mari Adams run for 6 yds to the DAV 25

2nd & 4Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.68

Coulter Cleland run for 30 yds to the MORE 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.71

Mari Adams run for 17 yds to the MORE 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+40 ydsPPA -4.24

Coulter Cleland pass intercepted Jihad McCall return for 26 yds to the MORE 2 Morehead State Penalty, personal foul (14 Yards) to the MORE 14

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Evan Roach run for 3 yds to the MORE 17

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Evan Roach run for 11 yds to the MORE 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.10

Bryce Patterson run for a loss of 3 yards to the MORE 25

2nd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.29

Evan Roach run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORE 24

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

Bryce Patterson pass incomplete to Kyle Daly

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Aaron Maione at the DAV 43

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Luke Durkin pass complete to Clarence Freeman IV for 3 yds to the DAV 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Luke Durkin pass complete to Kellyn West for 5 yds to the MORE 49

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.25

Mason Sheron run for 3 yds to the MORE 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.67

Luke Durkin pass complete to Clarence Freeman IV for 14 yds to the MORE 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Sam Valor run for 4 yds to the MORE 28

2nd & 6Pass Interception Return+31 ydsPPA -4.07

Luke Durkin pass intercepted Jihad McCall return for 31 yds to the MORE 37

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Chance Harris run for 6 yds to the MORE 43

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Chance Harris run for 3 yds to the MORE 46

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.24

Chance Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the MORE 45

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the DAV 35

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Mari Adams run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Sam Valor run for 4 yds to the MORE 46

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Luke Durkin pass incomplete to Will Cox

3rd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.56

Sam Valor run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Luke Durkin pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush-8 ydsPPA -2.66

Jackson Lanier run for 2 yds to the DAV 48 Morehead State Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the MORE 42

1st & 18Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Jackson Lanier run for no gain to the MORE 42

2nd & 18Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.60

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MORE 40

Situational Analysis

Davidson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
34%
35 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
33%
9 plays
47%
15 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
60%
5 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Morehead State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
23 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
63%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play