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← Back to GamesOct 28, 2023Week 9
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota State by 33.8

Home Win Probability

North Dakota State 96%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

North Dakota State -32.5

Edge: North Dakota State -32.5 (1.3 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 28, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Murray State
03306
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota State
2177338

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-028-028-335-638-6
North Dakota StateMurray State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDSMSNDSMSNDSMSNDSMSNDSMSNDSMSMSMSNDSMSNDSMSNDSMSNDSMSNDSTD565ydPUNT39ydTD1077ydTO10ydTD429ydPUNT34ydDOWNS717ydPUNT32ydTD857ydFG1140ydPUNT622ydEND1-1ydTD3-6ydFG1363ydTO531ydDOWNS635ydPUNT737ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT421ydDOWNS76ydFG4-2ydPUNT35ydEND3-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Murray State and North Dakota State
StatisticMurray StateNorth Dakota State
Passing15-2720-28
Pass Yards108202
Rush Yards56175
Total Yards164377
Turnovers11
3rd Down2-137-14
Penalties8-809-69
Possession28:2831:32

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Murray State
passing
DJ Williams
15/26, 108 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jawaun Northington
9 CAR, 37 YDS
receiving
Michael Fox
4 REC, 27 YDS
North Dakota State
passing
Cam Miller
18/24, 192 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Cam Miller
6 CAR, 55 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Zach Mathis
8 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.05

Cam Miller run for 25 yds to the MUR 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.64

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 8 yds to the MUR 32

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.17

TK Marshall run for 6 yds to the MUR 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Cam Miller pass complete to Jake Lippe for 11 yds to the MUR 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +2.56

Cam Miller run for 15 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jawaun Northington run for 3 yds to the MUR 25

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

DJ Williams pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

DJ Williams pass complete to Cole Rusk for 6 yds to the MUR 31

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Orion Phillips punt for 46 yds , returns for no gain to the NDSU 23

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NDSU 18

1st & 15Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.57

TaMerik Williams run for 9 yds to the NDSU 27

2nd & 6Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Cam Miller pass complete to TaMerik Williams for 9 yds to the NDSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NDSU 31

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.54

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 9 yds to the NDSU 40

3rd & 6Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.54

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 32 yds to the MUR 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 4 yds to the MUR 24

2nd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.29

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 14 yds to the MUR 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Barika Kpeenu run for 1 yd to the MUR 9

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.74

Cam Miller run for 9 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

DJ Williams pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

TK Marshall run for 3 yds to the MUR 26

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MUR 31

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Cam Miller run for 1 yd to the MUR 30

3rd & 11Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.92

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 22 yds to the MUR 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 8 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Jawaun Northington run for no gain to the MUR 14

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.43

DJ Williams run for 9 yds to the MUR 23

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Murray State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the MUR 18

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

DJ Williams pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Orion Phillips punt for 41 yds , Jayden Price returns for no gain to the MUR 18 North Dakota State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Loshiaka Roques) to the MUR 43

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

RaJa Nelson run for 3 yds to the MUR 40

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

TaMerik Williams run for 6 yds to the MUR 34

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.49

Cole Payton run for 2 yds to the MUR 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Cole Payton pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Barika Kpeenu run for 5 yds to the MUR 27

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Barika Kpeenu run for 2 yds to the MUR 25

4th & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.13

TaMerik Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 2 yds to the MUR 28

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

DJ Williams pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Orion Phillips punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.37

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 19 yds to the MUR 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

TaMerik Williams run for 3 yds to the MUR 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Cam Miller pass complete to TaMerik Williams for 4 yds to the MUR 31

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.68

Barika Kpeenu run for 3 yds to the MUR 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Cole Payton pass complete to Jacob Streit for 6 yds to the MUR 22

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

NELSON, RaJa rush to the left for a gain of 22 yards to the MUR0, TOUCHDOWN NDS, score nullified by penalty, clock 07:57 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY NDS Holding on LIPPE, Jake enforced 10 yards from the MUR22 to the MUR32 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 14Penalty+15 yds

MILLER, Cam pass deep to the right incomplete intended for NELSON, RaJa broken up by COLLINS, Marco at the MUR0. PENALTY MUR Pass Interference on COLLINS, Marco enforced 15 yards to the MUR17 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

TK Marshall run for 2 yds to the MUR 15

2nd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.36

Cam Miller pass complete to Hunter Brozio for no gain to the MUR 15

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+15 ydsPPA +3.13

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 15 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

DJ Williams pass complete to Taylor Shields for 8 yds to the MUR 33

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.70

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 10 yds to the MUR 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

DJ Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +2.01

DJ Williams run for 10 yds to the NDSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

DJ Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jawaun Northington run for 5 yds to the NDSU 42

3rd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.80

DJ Williams pass complete to Michael Fox for 13 yds to the NDSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

WILLIAMS, DJ pass deep to the right complete for 29 yards to NORTHINGTON, Jawaun caught at the NDS4 and advanced to the NDS0, TOUCHDOWN MUR, score nullified by penalty, clock 03:00 (Play was confirmed after review). PENALTY MUR Personal Foul on JONES, DJ enforced 15 yards from the NDS29 to the NDS44 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -1.38

DJ Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the NDSU 47 DJ Williams fumbled, recovered by MUR Cortezz Jones [SG] QB Keeper WILLIAMS, DJ rush to the right for a loss of 3 yards, WILLIAMS, DJ fumbled at NDS43 forced by KOPP, Logan, recovered by MUR JONES, Cortezz at the NDS47, returned 0 yards to the NDS47, End of Play.

2nd & 28Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

DJ Williams pass complete to Cortezz Jones for 6 yds to the NDSU 41

3rd & 22Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

DJ Williams run for 6 yds to the NDSU 35

4th & 16Field Goal Good+53 yds

James London 53 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cam Miller run for 5 yds to the NDSU 30

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

MILLER, Cam pass to the right complete for 8 yards to MATHIS, Zach caught at the NDS38 and advanced to the NDS38 (COLLINS, Marco), out of bounds. PENALTY NDS Holding on KUBAS, Jake enforced 10 yards from the NDS30 to the NDS20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.21

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 8 yds to the NDSU 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.98

Cam Miller pass complete to Eli Green for 10 yds to the NDSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.03

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 9 yds to the NDSU 47

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Cam Miller run for no gain to the NDSU 47

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Michael Fox at the MUR 15

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.44

Kneel down by WILLIAMS, DJ at MUR14 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Drew Klein kickoff for 58 yds , return for no gain to the MUR 16

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

DJ Williams run for no gain to the MUR 16

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.24

Jawaun Northington run for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 15

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

DJ Williams pass incomplete

4th & 11Penalty-5 yds

Murray State Penalty, False Start (DJ Williams) to the MUR 10

4th & 16Punt Return Touchdown+66 ydsPPA -6.61

Jayden Price 66 Yd Punt Return (Griffin Crosa Kick)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Drew Klein kickoff for 61 yds , return for no gain to the MUR 16

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.72

Jawaun Northington run for 23 yds to the MUR 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.56

DJ Williams pass complete to Jawaun Northington for 19 yds to the NDSU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 4 yds to the NDSU 38

2nd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.58

DJ Williams pass complete to Golden Eke for 8 yds to the NDSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.30

DJ Williams pass complete to Michael Fox for 2 yds to the NDSU 28

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.57

Q'Daryius Jennings run for 15 yds to the NDSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

DJ Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jawaun Northington run for no gain to the NDSU 13

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jawaun Northington run for no gain to the NDSU 1

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

Murray State Penalty, False Start (Cortezz Jones) to the NDSU 6

2nd & 6Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.55

DJ Williams sacked by Logan Kopp and Loshiaka Roques for a loss of 4 yards to the NDSU 10

3rd & 10Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.42

DJ Williams sacked by Will Mostaert for a loss of 11 yards to the NDSU 21

4th & 21Field Goal Good+39 yds

Matt Maldonado 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +3.05

TaMerik Williams run for 26 yds to the MUR 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

TaMerik Williams run for 3 yds to the MUR 45

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+2 ydsPPA -1.84

Cam Miller pass complete to Zach Mathis for 2 yds Zach Mathis fumbled, recovered by MUR Charles Alberty [SG] MILLER, Cam pass to the right complete for 2 yards to MATHIS, Zach caught at the MUR35, MATHIS, Zach fumbled at MUR35 forced by ALBERTY, Charles, recovered by MUR ALBERTY, Charles at the MUR43, returned 0 yards to the MUR43, End of Play, clock 04:14.

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.85

DJ Williams pass complete to Jacob Bell for 10 yds to the NDSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Roughing the Passer on GULLEY, Marcus enforced (Marcus Gulley) to the NDSU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jayden Stinson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Jawaun Northington run for 7 yds to the NDSU 22

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.65

Jawaun Northington run for no gain to the NDSU 22

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.34

DJ Williams pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Barika Kpeenu run for no gain to the NDSU 22

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.15

Barika Kpeenu run for 6 yds to the NDSU 28

3rd & 4Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.59

Cam Miller pass complete to Carson Williams for 8 yds to the NDSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.73

RaJa Nelson run for 20 yds to the MUR 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

TaMerik Williams run for 3 yds to the MUR 41

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 41 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

DJ Williams pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.42

DJ Williams sacked by Marcus Gulley for a loss of 8 yards to the MUR 12

3rd & 18Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.01

DJ Williams pass complete to Taylor Shields for 4 yds to the MUR 16

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Orion Phillips punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.09

Barika Kpeenu run for 12 yds to the MUR 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.86

Barika Kpeenu run for 1 yd to the MUR 48

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Barika Kpeenu run for 4 yds to the MUR 44

3rd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Cole Payton pass complete to Zach Mathis for 4 yds to the MUR 40

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.83

DJ Williams pass complete to Taylor Shields for 9 yds to the MUR 19

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Q'Daryius Jennings run for no gain to the MUR 19

3rd & 1Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA +0.44

DJ Williams pass complete to Cole Rusk for 2 yds to the MUR 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Q'Daryius Jennings run for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 20

2nd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

DJ Williams pass complete to Michael Fox for 4 yds to the MUR 24

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.11

DJ Williams pass complete to Cole Rusk for 6 yds to the MUR 30

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-14 ydsPPA -0.07

run for a loss of 14 yards to the MUR 16 fumbled, recovered by MUR Cortezz Jones [SG] MUR rush up the middle for a loss of 14 yards, fumbled at MUR25 , recovered by MUR JONES, Cortezz at the MUR16, returned 0 yards to the MUR16, End of Play; MUR turnover on downs, clock 05:26.

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Kelly Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 17

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.53

Kelly Watson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 18

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Peter Anderson pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Good+36 yds

Griffin Crosa 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Cortezz Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the MUR 24

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Cortezz Jones run for 5 yds to the MUR 29

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Cortezz Jones run for 1 yd to the MUR 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Orion Phillips punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Braylon Henderson at the NDSU 28

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Kelly Watson run for no gain to the NDSU 28

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.59

Kelly Watson run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDSU 24

3rd & 14Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.06

Kelly Watson run for 2 yds to the NDSU 26

Situational Analysis

Murray State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
25%
20 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
10 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play

North Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
40%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
50%
12 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
67%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play