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← Back to GamesNov 22, 2023Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Bowling Green by 1.6

Home Win Probability

Western Michigan 47%

Market (Bovada)

Western Michigan +3

Edge: Western Michigan +3 (1.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 22, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Bowling GreenBowling Green
10213034
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
030710

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-30-100-170-240-313-3410-34
Western MichiganBowling Green

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BGWMBGWMBGWMBGWMWMBGWMBGWMWMBGWMBGWMBGWMFG758ydTO37ydTD135ydPUNT518ydPUNT511ydPUNT37ydTO520ydTD632ydPUNT73ydTD543ydPUNT35ydTD968ydFG845ydPUNT6-3ydFG926ydDOWNS1252ydMISS1361ydTD1580ydPUNT518ydEND17yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Bowling Green and Western Michigan
StatisticBowling GreenWestern Michigan
Passing19-2817-27
Pass Yards228123
Rush Yards132135
Total Yards360258
Turnovers12
3rd Down3-106-16
Penalties4-253-20
Possession30:1529:45

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Bowling Green
passing
Connor Bazelak
18/26, 217 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Taron Keith
13 CAR, 66 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Harold Fannin
8 REC, 99 YDS
defense
Western Michigan
passing
Hayden Wolff
17/27, 123 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Jalen Buckley
18 CAR, 85 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kenneth Womack
8 REC, 44 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Ta'ron Keith run for 10 yds to the BGSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.06

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 11 yds to the BGSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.58

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 35 yds to the WMU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Austin Osborne for 3 yds to the WMU 16

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 4 yds to the WMU 12

3rd & 3Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BGS False Start (Padgett,Alex) 5 yards from WMU12 to WMU17. NO PLAY.

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Odieu Hiliare

4th & 8Field Goal Good+35 yds

Alan Anaya 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 4 yds to the WMU 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 3 yds to the WMU 32

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.53

Hayden Wolff pass intercepted Darius Lorfils return for no gain to the WMU 35

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.53

Hayden Wolff pass intercepted Darius Lorfils return for no gain to the WMU 35

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Jaylon Tillman 35 Yd pass from Connor Bazelak (Alan Anaya Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Jack Sauder kickoff for 61 yds , Leroy Thomas return for 25 yds to the WMU 40 Western Michigan Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the WMU 16

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the WMU 18

2nd & 8Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.95

Hayden Wolff run for 9 yds to the WMU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.05

Hayden Wolff sacked by Dontrez Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the WMU 24

2nd & 13Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 3 yds to the WMU 27

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Hayden Wolff run for 7 yds to the WMU 34

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Carson Voss punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jhaylin Embry at the BGSU 20

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Carson Voss punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jhaylin Embry at the BGSU 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Ta'ron Keith run for 1 yd to the BGSU 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.90

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaison Patterson for 17 yds to the BGSU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Ta'ron Keith

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Ta'ron Keith run for 2 yds to the BGSU 40

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.83

Connor Bazelak sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the BGSU 31

4th & 17Punt+43 yds

Jackson Kleather punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMU 26 Western Michigan Penalty, Running Into The Kicker (Yards) declined

4th & 17Punt+43 yds

Jackson Kleather punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMU 26 Western Michigan Penalty, Running Into The Kicker (Yards) declined

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jalen Buckley run for no gain to the WMU 26

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Jalen Buckley

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.16

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Blake Bosma for 7 yds to the WMU 33

4th & 3Punt+3 yds

Carson Voss punt for 42 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 3 yds to the BGSU 28

4th & 3Punt+3 yds

Carson Voss punt for 42 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 3 yds to the BGSU 28

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Camden Orth run for 5 yds to the BGSU 33

2nd & 5Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.10

Camden Orth run for 8 yds to the BGSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Camden Orth run for 4 yds to the BGSU 37

2nd & 14Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.24

Camden Orth pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 11 yds to the BGSU 48

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.74

Camden Orth pass intercepted Anthony Romphf return for no gain to the WMU 17

3rd & 3Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -1.74

Camden Orth pass intercepted Anthony Romphf return for no gain to the WMU 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jalen Buckley run for 4 yds to the WMU 21

2nd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.66

Jalen Buckley run for 17 yds to the WMU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 7 yds to the WMU 45

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.04

Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the WMU 44

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.84

Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds to the WMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+53 ydsPPA -10.08

Jordan Oladokun 53 Yd Interception Return (Alan Anaya Kick)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 11 yds to the WMU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the WMU 38

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the WMU 42

3rd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.74

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the WMU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Anthony Sambucci run for 9 yds to the WMU 37

2nd & 19Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.46

Hayden Wolff sacked by Dierre Kelly for a loss of 4 yards to the WMU 33

3rd & 23Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.11

Hayden Wolff sacked by Jordan Porter for a loss of 5 yards to the WMU 28

4th & 28Punt0 yds

Carson Voss punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMU 43

4th & 28Punt0 yds

Carson Voss punt for 15 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMU 43

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Ta'ron Keith run for 11 yds to the WMU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.31

Connor Bazelak run for 17 yds to the WMU 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.67

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 10 yds to the WMU 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Ta'ron Keith run for 2 yds to the WMU 3

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Odieu Hiliare 3 Yd pass from Connor Bazelak (Alan Anaya Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the WMU 27

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the WMU 28

3rd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Hayden Wolff run for 2 yds to the WMU 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Cameron Peasley punt for 37 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for no gain to the BGSU 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.04

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 23 yds to the WMU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Ta'ron Keith run for 1 yd to the WMU 46

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.19

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Andrew Bench for 10 yds to the WMU 36

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.59

Ta'ron Keith run for 1 yd to the WMU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 12 yds to the WMU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Ta'ron Keith run for 10 yds to the WMU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 6 yds to the WMU 7

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.36

Ta'ron Keith 7 Yd Run (Alan Anaya Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Hayden Wolff run for 4 yds to the WMU 29

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Kenneth Womack

3rd & 6Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.83

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 19 yds to the WMU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Leroy Thomas

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-7 ydsPPA -1.82

Hayden Wolff sacked by Jordan Porter for a loss of 7 yards to the WMU 41 Hayden Wolff fumbled, recovered by WMU Hayden Wolff , return for 0 yards

3rd & 17Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.07

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 13 yds to the BGSU 46

4th & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.09

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 16 yds to the BGSU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+48 yds

Palmer Domschke 48 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Jack Sauder kickoff for 46 yds , Blake Bosma return for 5 yds to the WMU 24

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 8 yds to the WMU 32

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Jalen Buckley

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.02

Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the WMU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Blake Bosma

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Austin Hence

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.46

Hayden Wolff sacked by Patrick Day for a loss of 8 yards to the WMU 26

4th & 18Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY WMU False Start (Romphf,Anthony) 5 yards from WMU26 to WMU21. NO PLAY.

4th & 23Punt+26 yds

Cameron Peasley punt for 38 yds , Jhaylin Embry returns for 26 yds to the WMU 33

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Ta'ron Keith run for no gain to the WMU 33

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.73

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 10 yds to the WMU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Connor Bazelak run for 6 yds to the WMU 17

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.04

Jaison Patterson run for 7 yds to the WMU 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Odieu Hiliare run for 3 yds to the WMU 13

2nd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 6 yds to the WMU 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Odieu Hiliare

4th & 7Field Goal Good+25 yds

Alan Anaya 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Austin Hence for 8 yds to the WMU 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.89

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 12 yds to the WMU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Kenneth Womack

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Jalen Buckley for 7 yds to the BGSU 48

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.45

Hayden Wolff run for 4 yds to the BGSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 3 yds to the BGSU 41

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 6 yds to the BGSU 35

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.56

Jalen Buckley run for 3 yds to the BGSU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Hayden Wolff pass incomplete to Jalen Buckley

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 5 yds to the BGSU 27

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the BGSU 23

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -3.48

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for no gain to the BGSU 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 11 yds to the BGSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 5 yds to the BGSU 39

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ta'ron Keith run for 4 yds to the BGSU 43

3rd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.84

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 11 yds to the WMU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Jaison Patterson run for 7 yds to the WMU 39

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.04

Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the WMU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Austin Osborne

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Ta'ron Keith run for 9 yds to the WMU 26

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.39

Ta'ron Keith run for 10 yds to the WMU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BGS False Start (Gazarek,Levi) 5 yards from WMU16 to WMU21. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Odieu Hiliare

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete to Harold Fannin Jr.

3rd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Austin Osborne for 5 yds to the WMU 16

4th & 10Field Goal Missed+34 yds

Alan Anaya 34 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 1 yd to the WMU 21

2nd & 9Rush+20 ydsPPA +2.20

Jalen Buckley run for 20 yds to the WMU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds to the WMU 46

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.79

Jalen Buckley run for 5 yds to the BGSU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.83

CJ Hester run for 15 yds to the BGSU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the BGSU 32

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Jalen Buckley run for 2 yds to the BGSU 30

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY BGS Offside (Miles,Davonte) 5 yards from BGS30 to BGS25. NO PLAY.

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Jalen Buckley run for no gain to the BGSU 25

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.97

Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the BGSU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 4 yds to the BGSU 20

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the BGSU 18

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Jalen Buckley run for 1 yd to the BGSU 17

4th & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Leroy Thomas for 8 yds to the BGSU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY WMU False Start (West,Addison) 5 yards from BGS09 to BGS14. NO PLAY.

1st & 14Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.14

Hayden Wolff pass complete to Kenneth Womack for 2 yds to the BGSU 16

2nd & 16Rushing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.18

Jalen Buckley run for 16 yds for a TD (Palmer Domschke KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

Palmer Domschke kickoff for 54 yds , Jhaylin Embry return for 14 yds to the BGSU 25

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jamal Johnson run for 7 yds to the BGSU 32

2nd & 3Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.81

Jamal Johnson run for 9 yds to the BGSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Camden Orth run for 5 yds to the BGSU 46

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.71

Jamal Johnson run for 2 yds to the BGSU 48

3rd & 3Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Orth,Camden rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WMU45 (Wilson,Logan) PENALTY BGS Holding (Burns,Jake) 10 yards from BGS48 to BGS38. NO PLAY.

3rd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jamal Johnson run for 5 yds to the BGSU 43

4th & 8Punt+12 yds

Jackson Kleather punt for 39 yds , Zahir Abdus-Salaam returns for 12 yds to the WMU 30

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 7 yds to the WMU 37

Situational Analysis

Bowling Green

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
69%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
25 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
45%
11 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
67%
3 plays
100%
1 play