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← Back to GamesSep 23, 2023Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Tulsa by 1

Home Win Probability

Northern Illinois 49%

Market (Bovada)

Northern Illinois -4

Edge: Tulsa +4 (5.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 23, 2023

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
TulsaTulsa
2731022
Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois
077014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-914-914-1214-22
Northern IllinoisTulsa

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TULNITULNITULNITULNITULNITULNINITULNITULNITULNITULNITULTULNITULNITULPUNT3-16ydDOWNS48ydTO2-3ydMISS848ydTO1274ydSAF2-6ydTD850ydTD2075ydPUNT36ydTO10ydPUNT3-3ydEND1-1ydPUNT510ydPUNT522ydPUNT436ydTO34ydTD233ydPUNT37ydDOWNS519ydFG610ydPUNT511ydTD976ydFG730ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT526ydTO1157ydEND1-7yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tulsa and Northern Illinois
StatisticTulsaNorthern Illinois
Passing8-2017-29
Pass Yards102128
Rush Yards179167
Total Yards281295
Turnovers33
3rd Down6-155-14
Penalties3-295-38
Possession27:4832:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tulsa
passing
Cardell Williams
8/20, 102 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Anthony Watkins
23 CAR, 91 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kamdyn Benjamin
4 REC, 53 YDS
defense
Northern Illinois
passing
Ethan Hampton
13/23, 97 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Justin Lynch
8 CAR, 84 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Grayson Barnes
3 REC, 40 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cardell Williams pass incomplete to Braylin Presley

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Cardell Williams pass incomplete to Braylin Presley

3rd & 10Sack-16 ydsPPA -0.28

Cardell Williams sacked by Nevaeh Sanders for a loss of 16 yards to the TLSA 9

4th & 26Punt0 yds

Angus Davies punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kacper Rutkiewicz at the NIU 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 6 yds to the TLSA 45

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the TLSA 43

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Brock Lampe run for no gain to the TLSA 43

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.62

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Kacper Rutkiewicz

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Anthony Watkins run for 3 yds to the TLSA 40

2nd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA -0.79

Cardell Williams pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Davis Patterson for 9 yds to the TLSA 48

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the TLSA 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Billy Dozier run for 5 yds to the TLSA 40

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Justin Lynch run for 1 yd to the TLSA 14

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Kacper Rutkiewicz run for 5 yds to the TLSA 9

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Rocky Lombardi pass incomplete to Gavin Williams

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+26 yds

Jake Seibert 26 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jordan Ford run for 3 yds to the TLSA 23

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Jordan Ford run for 4 yds to the TLSA 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.09

Cardell Williams pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 4 yds to the TLSA 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Jordan Ford run for 7 yds to the TLSA 38

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.17

Jordan Ford run for no gain to the TLSA 38

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.44

Cardell Williams run for 3 yds to the TLSA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Cardell Williams pass incomplete to Marquis Shoulders

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.38

Cardell Williams pass complete to Devan Williams for 15 yds to the NIU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.30

Cardell Williams sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard line

2nd & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Braylin Presley run for 5 yds to the NIU 45

3rd & 11Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.05

Cardell Williams pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 26 yds to the NIU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+13 ydsPPA -4.40

Jordan Ford run for 13 yds to the NIU 6 Jordan Ford fumbled, recovered by NIU James Ester

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 7

2nd & 9Safety0 ydsPPA -1.86

Rocky Lombardi run for 7 yds for a SAFETY Rocky Lombardi fumbled, recovered by NIU Rocky Lombardi for a SAFETY

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Anthony Watkins run for 6 yds to the NIU 44

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Anthony Watkins run for 2 yds to the NIU 42

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.12

Anthony Watkins run for 6 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.33

Cardell Williams pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 12 yds to the NIU 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Anthony Watkins run for 4 yds to the NIU 20

2nd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.40

Cardell Williams run for 12 yds to the NIU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Anthony Watkins run for 7 yds to the NIU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Anthony Watkins run for 1 yd for a TD (Chase Meyer KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the NIU 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the NIU 34

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Brock Lampe run for 5 yds to the NIU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY TULSA Offside (Anderson,Joseph) 5 yards from NIU39 to NIU44. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -1.39

Antario Brown run for no gain to the NIU 44

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Gavin Williams run for 3 yds to the NIU 47

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.35

Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the TLSA 47

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the TLSA 44

3rd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.54

Ethan Hampton run for 6 yds to the TLSA 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NIU False Start (Lippe,J.J.) 5 yards from TULSA38 to TULSA43. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 6 yds to the TLSA 37

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.74

Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the TLSA 36

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.75

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Kacper Rutkiewicz for 12 yds to the TLSA 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Antario Brown run for 8 yds to the TLSA 16

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Antario Brown run for no gain to the TLSA 16

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the TLSA 15

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.58

Ethan Hampton run for 1 yd to the TLSA 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NIU False Start (Lippe,J.J.) 5 yards from TULSA14 to TULSA19. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Kacper Rutkiewicz

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Gavin Williams

3rd & 15Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.85

Gavin Williams run for 13 yds to the TLSA 6

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.93

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 6 yds for a TD (Jake Seibert KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Kanon Woodill kickoff for 55 yds , Kamdyn Benjamin return for 18 yds to the TLSA 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Anthony Watkins run for 1 yd to the TLSA 29

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Anthony Watkins run for 5 yds to the TLSA 34

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Cardell Williams pass incomplete to Kamdyn Benjamin

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Angus Davies punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kacper Rutkiewicz at the NIU 24

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.85

Ethan Hampton pass intercepted

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.99

Cardell Williams sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the NIU 43

2nd & 16Penalty-10 yds

(00:54) No Huddle-Shotgun Gary,Tahj rush left for 1 yard gain to the NIU42 (Prophete,Jashon; Finley,Jacob) PENALTY TULSA Holding (Herbert,Kai-Leon) 10 yards from NIU43 to TULSA47. NO PLAY.

2nd & 26Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Anthony Watkins run for 2 yds to the TLSA 49

3rd & 24Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.67

Anthony Watkins run for 11 yds to the NIU 40

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Angus Davies punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Kacper Rutkiewicz at the NIU 15

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.50

E. Hampton takes a knee

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph

2nd & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.83

Antario Brown run for 13 yds to the NIU 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Antario Brown run for 2 yds to the NIU 36

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Christion Carter for 6 yds to the NIU 42

3rd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+7 ydsPPA +2.24

Ethan Hampton run for 7 yds to the NIU 35 Ethan Hampton fumbled, recovered by NIU Ethan Hampton

4th & 13Punt+9 yds

Tom Foley punt for 42 yds , Kamdyn Benjamin returns for 9 yds to the TLSA 32

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Anthony Watkins run for 5 yds to the TLSA 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.41

Cardell Williams pass complete to Kamdyn Benjamin for 11 yds to the TLSA 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Anthony Watkins run for 4 yds to the NIU 48

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Anthony Watkins run for 5 yds to the TLSA 47

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Cardell Williams pass complete to Jordan Ford for 7 yds to the NIU 46

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Angus Davies punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Kacper Rutkiewicz at the NIU 12

1st & 10Rush+30 ydsPPA +2.17

Justin Lynch run for 30 yds to the NIU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Antario Brown run for no gain to the NIU 42

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Davis Patterson for 6 yds to the NIU 48

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Christion Carter

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TLSA 36

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Anthony Watkins run for 1 yd to the TLSA 37

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Anthony Watkins run for 3 yds to the TLSA 40

3rd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cardell Williams pass intercepted

3rd & 6Interception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cardell Williams pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Justin Lynch run for 4 yds to the TLSA 29

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +2.96

Justin Lynch run for 29 yds for a TD (Kanon Woodill KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Kanon Woodill kickoff for 59 yds , Jordan Ford return for 15 yds to the TLSA 21

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Cardell Williams run for 6 yds to the TLSA 27

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Cardell Williams pass incomplete to Kamdyn Benjamin

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Jordan Ford run for 1 yd to the TLSA 28

4th & 3Punt+23 yds

Angus Davies punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NIU 9 , Kacper Rutkiewicz returns for 23 yds to the NIU 49 Northern Illinois Penalty, Illegal Block (Grayson Barnes) to the NIU 9

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.38

Justin Lynch run for 10 yds to the NIU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Antario Brown run for 1 yd to the NIU 18

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.20

Justin Lynch run for 7 yds to the NIU 25

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Rocky Lombardi pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 3 yds to the NIU 28

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.02

Rocky Lombardi run for no gain to the NIU 28

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Anthony Watkins run for 6 yds to the NIU 22

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.02

Anthony Watkins run for 5 yds to the NIU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Cardell Williams pass incomplete to Anthony Watkins

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.30

Anthony Watkins run for 1 yd to the NIU 18

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cardell Williams pass incomplete to Kamdyn Benjamin

4th & 11Field Goal Good+36 yds

Chase Meyer 36 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Michael Slaba kickoff for 41 yds , Drew Cassens return for no gain to the NIU 24

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Justin Lynch run for 5 yds to the NIU 29

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.91

Antario Brown run for 7 yds to the NIU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Antario Brown run for 4 yds to the NIU 40

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.99

Justin Lynch run for no gain to the NIU 40

3rd & 6Penalty-15 yds

(12:48) No Huddle-Shotgun Williams,Gavin rush right for 4 yards gain to the NIU44 (Anderson,Joseph) PENALTY NIU Personal Foul 15 yards from NIU40 to NIU25. NO PLAY.

3rd & 21Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.14

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 10 yds to the NIU 35

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kamdyn Benjamin at the TLSA 24

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Cardell Williams pass incomplete to Marquis Shoulders

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Bill Jackson run for 2 yds to the TLSA 26

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.28

Cardell Williams pass complete to Devan Williams for 14 yds to the TLSA 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.28

Bill Jackson run for 15 yds to the NIU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.60

Cardell Williams pass complete to Devan Williams for 13 yds to the NIU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Cardell Williams pass incomplete to Ethan Hall

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.35

Anthony Watkins run for 7 yds to the NIU 25

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.55

Tahj Gary run for 8 yds to the NIU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.58

Tahj Gary run for 17 yds for a TD (Chase Meyer KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Michael Slaba kickoff for 52 yds , Trayvon Rudolph return for 21 yds to the NIU 34 Trayvon Rudolph fumbled, recovered by TLSA Cam Crooks

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.27

Tahj Gary run for 11 yds to the NIU 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Tahj Gary run for 8 yds to the NIU 15

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.33

Tahj Gary run for 4 yds to the NIU 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tahj Gary run for 4 yds to the NIU 7

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Tahj Gary run for 2 yds to the NIU 9

3rd & 8Penalty+5 yds

(05:03) No Huddle-Shotgun Williams,Cardell pass incomplete short right to Williams,Devan broken up by Prophete,Jashon PENALTY NIU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from NIU09 to NIU04. NO PLAY.

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Cardell Williams pass incomplete to Marquis Shoulders

4th & 3Field Goal Good+22 yds

Chase Meyer 22 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Michael Slaba kickoff for 54 yds , Trayvon Rudolph return for 23 yds to the NIU 34

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Gavin Williams run for 1 yd to the NIU 33

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Davis Patterson

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Kacper Rutkiewicz

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Tom Foley punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kamdyn Benjamin at the TLSA 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Anthony Watkins run for 2 yds to the TLSA 27

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.97

Anthony Watkins run for 15 yds to the TLSA 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.69

Anthony Watkins run for 7 yds to the TLSA 49

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.02

Tahj Gary run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Cardell Williams run for 1 yd to the NIU 49

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Angus Davies punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Kacper Rutkiewicz at the NIU 13

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.42

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Jalen Johnson for 7 yds to the NIU 20

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Ethan Hampton run for 6 yds to the NIU 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 5 yds to the NIU 31

2nd & 5Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.90

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 17 yds to the NIU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Gavin Williams for 4 yds to the TLSA 48

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.07

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Davis Patterson for 7 yds to the TLSA 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.67

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Gavin Williams for 1 yd to the TLSA 40

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.10

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 10 yds to the TLSA 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Jalen Johnson

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.63

Ethan Hampton pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-7 ydsPPA -0.94

C. Williams takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Tulsa

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
30 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
43%
7 plays
44%
9 plays
33%
3 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
0%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
4th

Northern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
40%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
43%
7 plays
38%
8 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
100%
1 play
67%
3 plays
4th
50%
4 plays