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← Back to GamesNov 26, 2022Week 13

House Prediction

Model Margin

Richmond by 12.8

Home Win Probability

Richmond 78%

Market (consensus)

Richmond -22

Edge: Davidson +22 (9.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 26, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Davidson
00000
Richmond
10177741

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-010-017-024-034-041-0
RichmondDavidson

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20DAVRICDAVRICDAVRICDAVRICDAVRICDAVRICRICDAVRICDAVRICDAVRICPUNT518ydTD869ydPUNT3-8ydFG517ydPUNT31ydPUNT30ydPUNT627ydTD1069ydDOWNS1048ydTD872ydTO772ydFG1060ydTD962ydPUNT35ydPUNT414ydPUNT520ydTD1070ydDOWNS1123ydDOWNS1029yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Davidson and Richmond
StatisticDavidsonRichmond
Passing7-1329-32
Pass Yards103267
Rush Yards123215
Total Yards226482
Turnovers10
3rd Down2-1210-15
Penalties2-202-20
Possession26:3333:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Davidson
passing
Jayden Waddell
7/13, 103 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Dylan Sparks
15 CAR, 38 YDS
receiving
Aaron Maione
1 REC, 47 YDS
Richmond
passing
Reece Udinski
28/31, 246 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Milan Howard
12 CAR, 73 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Nick DeGennaro
6 REC, 62 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Andrew Lopez kickoff for 60 yds , Aaron Maione return for 15 yds to the David 20

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Dylan Sparks run for 9 yds to the David 29

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Dylan Sparks run for 2 yds to the David 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Dylan Sparks run for 3 yds to the David 34

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Dylan Sparks run for 2 yds to the David 36

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Dylan Sparks run for 2 yds to the David 38

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Alexander Donald punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Savon Smith at the Richm 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.36

Reece Udinski pass complete to Leroy Henley for 9 yds to the Richm 40

2nd & 1Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.40

Reece Udinski pass complete to Jasiah Williams for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Reece Udinski pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for 10 yds to the David 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Reece Udinski pass complete to Jasiah Williams for 2 yds to the David 38

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Aaron Dykes run for 2 yds to the David 36

3rd & 6Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.59

Reece Udinski pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for 18 yds to the David 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Reece Udinski pass complete to Jasiah Williams for 6 yds to the David 12

2nd & 4Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.41

Aaron Dykes run for 12 yds for a TD, (Andrew Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Coy Williams run for 2 yds to the David 11

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.21

Aaron Maione run for no gain to the David 11

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Maxwell Weaver for 5 yds to the David 16

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Alexander Donald punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Savon Smith at the David 49

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Alexander Donald punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Savon Smith at the David 34

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.32

Aaron Dykes run for 14 yds to the David 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Aaron Dykes run for 2 yds to the David 18

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Aaron Dykes

3rd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Reece Udinski pass complete to Aaron Dykes for 1 yd to the David 17

4th & 7Field Goal Good+35 yds

Andrew Lopez 35 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Dylan Sparks run for 3 yds to the David 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Dylan Sparks run for 1 yd to the David 29

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Jayden Waddell run for 3 yds to the David 26

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Alexander Donald punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Richm 33

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Savon Smith run for no gain to the Richm 33

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.43

Reece Udinski run for 7 yds to the Richm 40

3rd & 3Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.24

Reece Udinski sacked by Mikah Kent for a loss of 7 yards to the Richm 33

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Aaron Trusler punt for 63 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the David 4

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Coy Williams run for 3 yds to the David 7

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.17

Dylan Sparks run for 1 yd to the David 8

3rd & 6Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.45

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Mark McCurdy for 21 yds to the David 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Dylan Sparks run for 6 yds to the David 35

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Dylan Sparks run for no gain to the David 35

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Own)+4 ydsPPA +1.55

run for 4 yds to the David 31 fumbled, recovered by David Dylan Sparks

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Alexander Donald punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Savon Smith at the Richm 31

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Aaron Dykes run for 12 yds to the Richm 43 RICHMOND Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Richm 29

1st & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Aaron Dykes run for 2 yds to the Richm 31

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Reece Udinski pass complete to Jakob Herres for 6 yds to the Richm 37

3rd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.28

Reece Udinski pass complete to Leroy Henley for 11 yds to the Richm 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Aaron Dykes run for 8 yds to the David 44

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.01

Aaron Dykes run for 5 yds to the David 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Reece Udinski pass complete to Aaron Dykes for 5 yds to the David 34

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Aaron Dykes run for 4 yds to the David 30

3rd & 1Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.44

Reece Udinski pass complete to Jakob Herres for 5 yds to the David 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Reece Udinski pass complete to Jakob Herres for 25 yds for a TD, (Andrew Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Maxwell Weaver for 8 yds to the David 33

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Jayden Waddell run for 6 yds to the David 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Coy Williams run for 3 yds to the David 42

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jayden Waddell run for 3 yds to the Richm 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.04

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Brody Reina for 9 yds to the Richm 39

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.32

Coy Williams run for 4 yds to the Richm 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jayden Waddell run for 5 yds to the Richm 30

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Dylan Sparks run for 3 yds to the Richm 27

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Jayden Waddell pass incomplete to Mark McCurdy

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.09

Jayden Waddell pass incomplete to Maxwell Weaver

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Reece Udinski pass complete to Jasiah Williams for 8 yds to the Richm 36

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Jakob Herres

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.35

Reece Udinski run for 4 yds to the Richm 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Reece Udinski pass complete to Ja'Vion Griffin for 6 yds to the Richm 46

2nd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.59

Reece Udinski pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for 5 yds to the David 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.79

Reece Udinski pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for 14 yds to the David 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Reece Udinski pass complete to Ja'Vion Griffin for 5 yds to the David 30

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.89

Reece Udinski pass complete to Jerry Garcia Jr. for 30 yds for a TD, (Andrew Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Andrew Lopez kickoff for 58 yds , Aaron Maione return for 13 yds to the David 20

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Aaron Maione run for 2 yds to the David 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +4.11

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Aaron Maione for 47 yds to the Richm 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Dylan Sparks run for 1 yd to the Richm 34

2nd & 9Rush+26 ydsPPA +1.18

Aaron Maione run for 26 yds to the Richm 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Bradyn Oakley run for 2 yds to the Richm 6

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Jayden Waddell run for 2 yds to the Richm 8

3rd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -4.05

Jayden Waddell pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.62

Aaron Dykes run for 13 yds to the Richm 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Reece Udinski pass complete to Jakob Herres for 6 yds to the Richm 30

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.16

Reece Udinski pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for 11 yds to the Richm 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Reece Udinski pass complete to Nick DeGennaro for 4 yds to the Richm 45

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Reece Udinski pass complete to Aaron Dykes for 1 yd to the Richm 46

3rd & 5Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.43

Reece Udinski pass complete to Leroy Henley for 12 yds to the David 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.67

Reece Udinski pass complete to Jakob Herres for 8 yds to the David 34

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Reece Udinski pass incomplete to Aaron Dykes

3rd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.72

Reece Udinski pass complete to Leroy Henley for 5 yds to the David 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Good+46 yds

Jake Larson 46 yd FG GOOD

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Caden Bonoffski kickoff for 27 yds , Nick DeGennaro return for no gain to the Richm 38

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.54

Milan Howard run for 18 yds to the David 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Milan Howard run for 2 yds to the David 42

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Milan Howard run for 6 yds to the David 36

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.74

Milan Howard run for 3 yds to the David 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Milan Howard run for no gain to the David 33

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Milan Howard run for 4 yds to the David 29

3rd & 6Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.07

Milan Howard run for 12 yds to the David 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.89

Milan Howard run for 13 yds to the David 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Milan Howard run for 4 yds for a TD, (Andrew Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Dylan Sparks run for 4 yds to the David 29

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Dylan Sparks run for 3 yds to the David 32

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Dylan Sparks run for 2 yds to the David 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Alexander Donald punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Savon Smith at the Richm 36

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.46

Dante Black run for 16 yds to the David 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Dante Black run for 2 yds to the David 46

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Black,Dante rush middle for 2 yards gain to the Dav44 (Carter,Daniel) PENALTY Rich Holding (Gouveia,Keith) 10 yards from Dav46 to Rich44. NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Dante Black run for 2 yds to the Richm 42

3rd & 20Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.25

Reece Udinski pass complete to Jasiah Williams for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Aaron Trusler punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bernard Turner Jr. run for 5 yds to the David 25

2nd & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.15

Jayden Waddell run for 11 yds to the David 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jayden Waddell pass incomplete to Lucas Raber

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Bernard Turner Jr. run for 4 yds to the David 40

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Jayden Waddell pass incomplete to Brody Reina

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Alexander Donald punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Savon Smith at the Richm 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Reece Udinski pass complete to Jerry Garcia Jr. for 4 yds to the Richm 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.56

Reece Udinski pass complete to Jerry Garcia Jr. for 11 yds to the Richm 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Milan Howard run for 6 yds to the David 49

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -1.23

Milan Howard run for no gain to the David 49

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.71

Kyle Wickersham run for 5 yds to the David 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.75

Kyle Wickersham pass complete to Noah Washington for 21 yds to the David 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Dante Black run for 4 yds to the David 19

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Kyle Wickersham run for 1 yd to the David 18

3rd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.15

Kyle Wickersham run for 13 yds to the David 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +1.88

Milan Howard run for 5 yds for a TD, (Andrew Lopez KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Aris Hilliard run for 6 yds to the David 31

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Mason Sheron run for 1 yd to the David 30

3rd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.69

Aris Hilliard run for 7 yds to the David 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Dav False Start 5 yards from Dav37 to Dav32. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.63

Bradyn Oakley run for no gain to the David 32

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Maxwell Weaver for 5 yds to the David 37

3rd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.60

Jayden Waddell run for 9 yds to the David 46

4th & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.42

Aris Hilliard run for 5 yds to the Richm 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-12 ydsPPA -3.12

Jayden Waddell sacked by Marlem Louis for a loss of 12 yards to the David 39

2nd & 22Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Jayden Waddell pass complete to Maxwell Weaver for 8 yds to the David 47

3rd & 14Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

Aaron Maione run for 1 yd to the David 48

4th & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Jayden Waddell pass incomplete to Brody Reina

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

Jacob Huhn run for 7 yds to the David 41

2nd & 3Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.34

Jacob Huhn run for 12 yds to the David 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Jacob Huhn run for 1 yd to the David 28

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.51

Jacob Huhn run for 1 yd to the David 27

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jacob Huhn run for 3 yds to the David 24

4th & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.43

Jacob Huhn run for 7 yds to the David 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jacob Huhn run for 4 yds to the David 13

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.28

Jacob Huhn run for 1 yd to the David 12

3rd & 5Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.64

Kneel down by Richmond at Dav14 for loss of 2 yards.

4th & 7Rush-5 ydsPPA -3.48

Kneel down by Richmond at Dav19 for loss of 5 yards.

Situational Analysis

Davidson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
39%
18 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
14%
7 plays
100%
3 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Richmond

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
63%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
10 plays
43%
7 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
80%
5 plays
86%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play