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← Back to GamesNov 5, 2022Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Morehead State by 5.6

Home Win Probability

Morehead State 61%

Market (consensus)

Morehead State +3

Edge: Morehead State +3 (8.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 5, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Marist
01471031
Morehead State
0140721

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-714-1421-2121-2821-31
Morehead StateMarist

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MARMSMARMSMARMSMARMSMARMSMARMSMARMSMARMSMARMSMARMSMARMSMARMSMARPUNT36ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT38ydDOWNS733ydPUNT1050ydPUNT38ydTD359ydPUNT520ydPUNT615ydTD1388ydTD00ydTD1075ydEND33ydMISS1045ydPUNT830ydPUNT514ydTD555ydTD1465ydPUNT621ydPUNT35ydTD469ydDOWNS48ydFG46ydDOWNS4-8ydEND3-8yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Marist and Morehead State
StatisticMaristMorehead State
Passing21-3017-32
Pass Yards232182
Rush Yards87163
Total Yards319345
Turnovers00
3rd Down4-147-19
Penalties6-455-35
Possession28:2331:37

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Marist
passing
Brock Bagozzi
21/30, 232 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne
11 CAR, 69 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Brett Landis
3 REC, 72 YDS
Morehead State
passing
Colin Parachek
17/32, 182 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
James Louis
32 CAR, 122 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Kenny Lewis Jr.
2 REC, 48 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Amin Woods run for 4 yds to the Mrist 29

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Amin Woods run for 2 yds to the Mrist 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Dominic Donohue punt for 32 yds, downed at the MorSt 37

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

James Louis run for 1 yd to the MorSt 38

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.55

James Louis run for 7 yds to the MorSt 45

3rd & 2Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.86

Colin Parachek sacked by Aaron Acosta for a loss of 11 yards to the MorSt 34

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mrist 18

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne run for 6 yds to the Mrist 24

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne run for 2 yds to the Mrist 26

3rd & 2Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.43

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne for no gain to the Mrist 26

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Dominic Donohue punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MOREHEAD ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MorSt 45

1st & 15Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.28

Colin Parachek run for 14 yds to the Mrist 41

2nd & 1Penalty-5 yds

MOREHEAD ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Mrist 46

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

James Louis run for 1 yd to the Mrist 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.18

Colin Parachek pass complete to Nick Dottore for 20 yds to the Mrist 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Colin Parachek pass incomplete to Matt Guilfoil

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

James Louis run for 4 yds to the Mrist 21

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

MARIST Penalty, Defensive offside (Clayborne Fields III) to the Mrist 16

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Zavier Lomax run for no gain to the Mrist 16

4th & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -3.83

Zavier Lomax run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mrist 17

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne run for 5 yds to the Mrist 22

2nd & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.60

Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne run for 17 yds to the Mrist 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne run for 7 yds to the Mrist 46

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.76

Amin Woods run for 2 yds to the Mrist 48

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.15

Amin Woods run for 3 yds to the MorSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Amin Woods run for no gain to the MorSt 49

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.81

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Scott Scherzer for 12 yds to the MorSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.75

Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne run for no gain to the MorSt 37

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Brandon Lombana for 4 yds to the MorSt 33

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Dominic Donohue punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MorSt 4

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

James Louis run for 1 yd to the MorSt 5

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.14

James Louis run for no gain to the MorSt 5

3rd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.07

Colin Parachek pass complete to Michael Armour for 7 yds to the MorSt 12

4th & 2Punt+6 yds

Kip Warren punt for 53 yds , Clayborne Fields III returns for 6 yds to the Mrist 41

1st & 10Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +2.00

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Matt Stianche for 36 yds to the MorSt 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Brandon Lombana for 6 yds to the MorSt 17

2nd & 4Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.47

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Scott Scherzer for 17 yds for a TD, (Luke Paladino KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Dominic Donohue kickoff for 62 yds , Gunnison Bloodgood return for 16 yds to the MorSt 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Colin Parachek pass complete to Zavier Lomax for 5 yds to the MorSt 24

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Zavier Lomax run for 6 yds to the MorSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.99

Colin Parachek run for a loss of 1 yard to the MorSt 29

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

James Louis run for 4 yds to the MorSt 33

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Colin Parachek pass complete to Gunnison Bloodgood for 6 yds to the MorSt 39

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 21 yds, downed at the Mrist 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Brett Landis for 6 yds to the Mrist 46

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.99

Amin Woods run for 1 yd to the Mrist 47

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.66

Brock Bagozzi run for 5 yds to the MorSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete to Brett Landis, broken up by Kaleb Lyons

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.32

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne for 3 yds to the MorSt 45

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Dominic Donohue punt for 33 yds, downed at the MorSt 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Colin Parachek pass incomplete to James Louis

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

James Louis run for 2 yds to the MorSt 14

3rd & 8Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.95

Colin Parachek pass complete to Kenny Lewis Jr. for 31 yds to the MorSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

James Louis run for 4 yds to the MorSt 49

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

James Louis run for 3 yds to the Mrist 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.86

Colin Parachek pass complete to Christian Graves for 12 yds to the Mrist 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

MARIST Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Clayborne Fields III) to the Mrist 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Colin Parachek run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mrist 22

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.54

Colin Parachek pass incomplete to Kenny Lewis Jr.

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Colin Parachek pass incomplete to James Louis, broken up by Arthur Pinckney

4th & 11Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.79

Colin Parachek pass complete to Gunnison Bloodgood for 18 yds to the Mrist 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.52

James Louis run for 1 yd to the Mrist 3

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Colin Parachek pass incomplete to Kenny Lewis Jr., broken up by Isaiah Smith

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

James Louis run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nathan Hazlett KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return Touchdown+94 yds

Sox Lee kickoff for 59 yds , Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne return for 94 yds for a TD, (Luke Paladino KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

James Louis run for 6 yds to the MorSt 31

2nd & 4Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.09

Colin Parachek run for 10 yds to the MorSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MOREHEAD ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MorSt 36

1st & 15Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.52

Colin Parachek pass complete to Michael Armour for 14 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 1Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.33

Colin Parachek run for 14 yds to the Mrist 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Colin Parachek pass complete to Michael Armour for 3 yds to the Mrist 33

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.60

James Louis run for 12 yds to the Mrist 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.63

Colin Parachek pass complete to James Louis for 9 yds to the Mrist 12

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Colin Parachek run for 3 yds to the Mrist 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Colin Parachek run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mrist 10

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Colin Parachek pass complete to Christian Graves for 10 yds for a TD, (Nathan Hazlett KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Sox Lee kickoff for 46 yds , Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne return for 15 yds to the Mrist 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete to Matt Stianche

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete to Brett Landis

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Amin Woods run for 3 yds to the Mrist 37

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

4th & 7Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Dominic Donohue kickoff for 50 yds , Lukas Reynolds return for 18 yds to the MorSt 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Colin Parachek pass complete to Gunnison Bloodgood for 9 yds to the MorSt 42

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.43

Colin Parachek run for no gain to the MorSt 42

3rd & 1Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.79

James Louis run for 10 yds to the Mrist 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.56

James Louis run for 7 yds to the Mrist 41

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.59

James Louis run for 2 yds to the Mrist 39

3rd & 1Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.07

Colin Parachek pass complete to Kenny Lewis Jr. for 17 yds to the Mrist 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Colin Parachek pass incomplete to Jeremiah Scott

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Colin Parachek pass incomplete to Gunnison Bloodgood

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Colin Parachek pass incomplete to Matt Guilfoil

4th & 10Blocked Field Goal+39 yds

Nathan Hazlett 39 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Isaiah Smith return for no gain to the Mrist 21

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne run for 1 yd to the Mrist 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Brandon Lombana for 2 yds to the Mrist 24

3rd & 7Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.76

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne for 21 yds to the Mrist 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Brock Bagozzi run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mrist 46 Brock Bagozzi fumbled, recovered by Mrist Brock Bagozzi , return for 6 yds to the Mrist 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.79

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Amin Woods for 10 yds to the MorSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MARIST Penalty, Offensive holding (Clayborne Fields III) to the Mrist 46

1st & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Amin Woods for 7 yds to the MorSt 47

2nd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete to Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne, broken up by Sese Aumavae

3rd & 13Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.86

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Amin Woods for a loss of 2 yards to the MorSt 49

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Dominic Donohue punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MorSt 14

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.66

James Louis run for 8 yds to the MorSt 22

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.30

James Louis run for 8 yds to the MorSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.86

Colin Parachek pass incomplete to Kenny Lewis Jr.

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Colin Parachek run for 3 yds to the MorSt 33

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Colin Parachek pass incomplete to Matt Guilfoil

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

MOREHEAD ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MorSt 28

4th & 12Punt+13 yds

Kip Warren punt for 40 yds , Clayborne Fields III returns for 13 yds to the Mrist 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Will Downes for 4 yds to the Mrist 49

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Amin Woods run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.94

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Amin Woods for no gain Amin Woods fumbled, forced by Sese Aumavae, recovered by Mrist Amin Woods , return to the 50 yard line

4th & 5Penalty+15 yds

MOREHEAD ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the MorSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.51

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Brett Landis for 32 yds to the MorSt 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne run for 3 yds for a TD, (Luke Paladino KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.06

James Louis run for 11 yds to the MorSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

MARIST Penalty, Defensive offside (Clayborne Fields III) to the Mrist 49

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

James Louis run for 4 yds to the Mrist 45

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.26

James Louis run for 4 yds to the Mrist 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Colin Parachek pass complete to Christian Graves for 8 yds to the Mrist 33

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.85

James Louis run for no gain to the Mrist 33

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.63

Colin Parachek run for 3 yds to the Mrist 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

James Louis run for 3 yds to the Mrist 27

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

James Louis run for 2 yds to the Mrist 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Colin Parachek pass incomplete to Michael Armour

4th & 5Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.54

Colin Parachek run for 11 yds to the Mrist 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Colin Parachek pass complete to James Louis for 6 yds to the Mrist 8

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Colin Parachek pass incomplete to Michael Armour

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

James Louis run for 1 yd to the Mrist 7

4th & 3Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +3.01

Colin Parachek pass complete to Christian Graves for 7 yds for a TD, (Nathan Hazlett KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Sox Lee kickoff for 45 yds , Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne return for 12 yds to the Mrist 32

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

MARIST Penalty, illegal participation (Clayborne Fields III) to the Mrist 27

1st & 15Penalty-5 yds

MARIST Penalty, false start (Clayborne Fields III) to the Mrist 22

1st & 20Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.33

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Brandon Lombana for 14 yds to the Mrist 36

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.87

Amin Woods run for no gain to the Mrist 36

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.17

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Brandon Lombana for 8 yds to the Mrist 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.26

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Matt Stianche for 9 yds to the MorSt 47

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.31

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.19

Amin Woods run for no gain to the MorSt 47

4th & 1Punt+11 yds

Dominic Donohue punt for 41 yds , Kenny Lewis Jr. returns for 11 yds to the MorSt 17

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

James Louis run for 4 yds to the MorSt 21

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.38

James Louis run for 1 yd to the MorSt 22

3rd & 5Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.24

Colin Parachek pass complete to Zavier Lomax for no gain to the MorSt 22

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 47 yds, downed at the Mrist 31

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Brock Bagozzi run for 4 yds to the Mrist 35

2nd & 6Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.40

Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne run for 22 yds to the MorSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +0.93

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Brett Landis for 34 yds to the MorSt 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Brock Bagozzi pass complete to Wyatt McMahon for 9 yds for a TD, (Luke Paladino KICK)

1st & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+26 yds

Dominic Donohue kickoff for 65 yds , Gunnison Bloodgood return for 26 yds to the MorSt 26

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

James Louis run for 3 yds to the MorSt 29

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

James Louis run for 4 yds to the MorSt 33

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

James Louis run for 2 yds to the MorSt 35

4th & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)-1 ydsPPA -0.24

James Louis run for a loss of 1 yard to the MorSt 34 James Louis fumbled, forced by Jack Imbt, recovered by MorSt Colin Parachek

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Brock Bagozzi pass incomplete to Matt Stianche

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne run for 4 yds to the MorSt 30

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Glenmour Leonard-Osbourne run for 2 yds to the MorSt 28

4th & 4Field Goal Good+46 yds

Luke Paladino 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Colin Parachek pass incomplete to Kenny Lewis Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Colin Parachek pass incomplete to Kyle Daly

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Colin Parachek pass incomplete to Gunnison Bloodgood

4th & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA +0.29

Colin Parachek sacked by Aaron Acosta for a loss of 8 yards to the MorSt 17

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.58

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the MorSt 20

2nd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.68

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MorSt 21

3rd & 14Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.71

TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the MorSt 25

Situational Analysis

Marist

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
52%
21 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
38%
8 plays
29%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
4th

Morehead State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
38%
24 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
25%
8 plays
33%
6 plays
27%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
63%
8 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
0%
1 play
4th
33%
3 plays
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
100%
1 play