Skip to main content
← Back to GamesNov 5, 2022Week 10
Stetson
48
-Final
56
Davidson
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Davidson by 25.4

Home Win Probability

Davidson 91%

Market (William Hill (New Jersey))

Davidson -19.5

Edge: Davidson -19.5 (5.9 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 5, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QOTFinal
Stetson
713147748
Davidson
10714101556

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842567-010-710-1417-1724-2031-2738-3441-3441-41
DavidsonStetson

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20STEDAVSTEDAVSTEDAVSTEDAVSTEDAVSTEDAVDAVSTEDAVSTEDAVSTEDAVSTEDAVSTEDAVSTEDAVSTEDAVPUNT3-7ydTD950ydPUNT38ydFG664ydTD561ydPUNT618ydTD1167ydTO4-3ydFG48ydTD875ydFG858ydEND19ydTD973ydTD475ydTD370ydPUNT529ydPUNT3-9ydTD363ydTD966ydPUNT33ydFG824ydPUNT37ydPUNT740ydTD570ydPUNT31ydEND38ydTD525yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Stetson and Davidson
StatisticStetsonDavidson
Passing22-417-12
Pass Yards426160
Rush Yards105350
Total Yards531510
Turnovers01
3rd Down6-179-17
Penalties11-1189-70
Possession21:3938:21

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Stetson
passing
Brady Meitz
21/40, 379 YDS, 6 TD
rushing
Kaderris Roberts
9 CAR, 60 YDS
receiving
Connor Becker
2 REC, 87 YDS, 1 TD
Davidson
passing
Luke Durkin
7/12, 160 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Mark McCurdy
10 CAR, 111 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Lucas Raber
3 REC, 89 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Kaderris Roberts run for 1 yd to the Stets 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Kaleb Costner

3rd & 9Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.22

Brady Meitz sacked by Jonathan Hammond for a loss of 8 yards to the Stets 13

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Marshall Golick punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Dylan Sparks run for 4 yds to the Stets 46

2nd & 6Penalty+15 yds

STETSON Penalty, Personal Foul (Davion Maxwell) to the Stets 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Sparks,Dylan rush left for 0 yards to the STE29 (Ensley,Javeon) PENALTY STE Offside (Reid,Fermon) 5 yards from STE29 to STE24. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.52

Dylan Sparks run for 5 yds to the Stets 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mark McCurdy run for 4 yds to the Stets 15

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Dylan Sparks run for 7 yds to the Stets 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Dylan Sparks run for 4 yds to the Stets 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Dylan Sparks run for 3 yds to the Stets 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Dylan Sparks run for no gain to the Stets 1

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.79

Dylan Sparks 1 Yd Run (Caden Bonoffski Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Brady Meitz pass complete to Jalen Mason for 2 yds to the Stets 40

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Jalen Leary run for 2 yds to the Stets 42

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jalen Leary run for 4 yds to the Stets 46

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Marshall Golick punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.55

Coy Williams run for 11 yds to the David 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+49 ydsPPA +3.40

Luke Durkin pass complete to Lucas Raber for 49 yds to the Stets 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Williams,Coy rush middle for 2 yards gain to the STE25 (Lewis,Tyler) PENALTY DAV False Start (Payne,Tyler) 5 yards from STE27 to STE32. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Luke Durkin run for 5 yds to the Stets 27

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Aaron Maione run for 4 yds to the Stets 23

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Aris Hilliard run for 5 yds to the Stets 18

4th & 1Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Durkin,Luke rush middle for 18 yards gain to the STE00, End Of Play PENALTY DAV False Start (Harris,Kase) 5 yards from STE18 to STE23. NO PLAY.

4th & 6Field Goal Good+40 yds

Caden Bonoffski 40 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Michael Carley

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Meitz,Brady pass complete short left to Roberts,Kaderris for 5 yards to the STE44 (Carter,Daniel) PENALTY STE Holding 10 yards from STE39 to STE29. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Brady Meitz pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 2 yds to the Stets 31

3rd & 18Rush+37 ydsPPA +4.35

Kaderris Roberts run for 37 yds to the David 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Kaderris Roberts run for no gain to the David 32

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +3.48

Quinton Lane 32 Yd pass from Brady Meitz (Cameron Gillis Kick)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Luke Durkin run for 4 yds to the David 18

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Mark McCurdy run for 4 yds to the David 22

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.63

Luke Durkin run for 2 yds to the David 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

DAVIDSON Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the David 9

2nd & 25Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.09

Mark McCurdy run for 11 yds to the David 20

3rd & 14Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.35

Luke Durkin pass complete to Bradyn Oakley for 12 yds to the David 32

4th & 2Punt0 yds

Braden Cole punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Michael Martinez at the Stets 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Brady Meitz pass complete to Michael Carley for 2 yds to the Stets 31

2nd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Brady Meitz pass complete to Kaderris Roberts for 2 yds to the Stets 33

3rd & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.51

Brady Meitz pass complete to Michael Martinez for 23 yds to the David 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.77

Brady Meitz pass complete to Michael Carley for 22 yds to the David 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Michael Carley

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Nazeviah Burris

3rd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Brady Meitz pass complete to Quinton Lane for 11 yds to the David 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Devon Brewer run for no gain to the David 11

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Kaleb Costner

3rd & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.24

Brady Meitz pass complete to Connor Becker for 8 yds to the David 3

4th & 2Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.87

Quinton Lane 3 Yd pass from Brady Meitz (Cameron Gillis Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Dylan Sparks run for 3 yds to the David 26

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Dylan Sparks run for 4 yds to the David 30

3rd & 3Rush+32 ydsPPA +3.47

Luke Durkin run for 42 yds to the DAVIDSON 28 DAVIDSON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Aaron Maione) to the David 20

3rd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA +0.27

Luke Durkin pass intercepted

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.68

Brady Meitz sacked by Julian Rawlins for a loss of 2 yards to the David 27

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Brady Meitz pass complete to Kaleb Costner for 6 yds to the David 21

3rd & 6Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Meitz,Brady pass incomplete short right to Mason,Jalen PENALTY STE Holding (Costner,Kaleb) 10 yards from DAV21 to DAV31. NO PLAY.

3rd & 16Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.61

Devon Brewer run for 14 yds to the David 17

4th & 2Field Goal Good+34 yds

Cameron Gillis 34 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Luke Durkin run for 5 yds to the David 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Dylan Sparks run for 4 yds to the David 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Dylan Sparks run for 1 yd to the David 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Luke Durkin pass incomplete to Clarence Freeman IV

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.50

Luke Durkin pass complete to Bradyn Oakley for 16 yds to the Stets 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Dylan Sparks run for 3 yds to the Stets 46

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Luke Durkin pass incomplete to Maxwell Weaver

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+46 ydsPPA +5.26

Mark McCurdy 46 Yd pass from Luke Durkin (Caden Bonoffski Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Brady Meitz pass complete to Quinton Lane for 6 yds to the Stets 32

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Devon Brewer run for 3 yds to the Stets 35

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.98

Devon Brewer run for 2 yds to the Stets 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.48

Jalen Mason pass complete to Nazeviah Burris for 47 yds to the David 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Michael Carley

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Michael Martinez

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Quinton Lane

4th & 10Field Goal Good+33 yds

Cameron Gillis 33 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Dylan Sparks run for 9 yds to the David 34

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.98

Coy Williams run for 11 yds to the David 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Coy Williams run for 6 yds to the David 44

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.63

Aaron Maione run for 5 yds to the David 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.99

Aaron Maione run for 2 yds to the DAVIDSON 49 for a 1ST down STETSON Penalty, Personal Foul (Jordan Williams) to the Stets 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Coy Williams run for 4 yds to the Stets 30

2nd & 6Penalty+13 yds

STETSON Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Jordan Williams) to the Stets 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Coy Williams run for 2 yds to the Stets 11

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.77

Bradyn Oakley run for 10 yds to the Stets 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Coy Williams 1 Yd Run (Caden Bonoffski Kick)

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Kaderris Roberts run for 12 yds to the Stets 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Kaderris Roberts run for 3 yds to the Stets 34

2nd & 13Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.73

Brady Meitz sacked by Jonathan Hammond for a loss of 8 yards to the Stets 26

3rd & 21Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY STE False Start (Martinez,Michael) 5 yards from STE26 to STE21. NO PLAY.

3rd & 26Passing Touchdown+79 ydsPPA +7.37

Connor Becker 79 Yd pass from Brady Meitz (Cameron Gillis Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Dylan Sparks run for 2 yds to the David 32

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Mark McCurdy run for 2 yds to the David 34

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+66 ydsPPA +6.64

Mark McCurdy 66 Yd Run (Caden Bonoffski Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Nazeviah Burris

2nd & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +3.09

Brady Meitz pass complete to Jalon Warthen-Carr for 27 yds to the David 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Brady Meitz pass complete to Kaderris Roberts for 2 yds to the David 46

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Brady Meitz pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Michael Martinez

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Marshall Golick punt for 32 yds , Aaron Maione returns for no gain to the David 14

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.42

Coy Williams run for no gain to the David 14

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Luke Durkin run for 6 yds to the David 8

3rd & 16Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Luke Durkin pass complete to Aris Hilliard for 3 yds to the David 5

4th & 19Punt+7 yds

Braden Cole punt for 50 yds , Michael Martinez returns for 7 yds to the Stets 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Jalon Warthen-Carr

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Devon Brewer run for 3 yds to the Stets 40

3rd & 7Penalty+5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Meitz,Brady pass complete short left to Lane,Quinton for 5 yards to the STE45 (Hill,Amare), out of bounds PENALTY DAV Offside (Hammond,Jonathan) 5 yards from STE40 to STE45. NO PLAY.

3rd & 2Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +5.38

Mason Proch 55 Yd pass from Brady Meitz (Cameron Gillis Kick)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Dylan Sparks run for 6 yds to the David 40

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Dylan Sparks run for 3 yds to the David 43

3rd & 1Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.25

Mason Sheron run for 18 yds to the Stets 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Bernard Turner Jr. run for 5 yds to the Stets 34

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Coy Williams run for 4 yds to the Stets 30

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.37

Coy Williams run for 2 yds to the Stets 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Coy Williams run for 4 yds to the Stets 24

2nd & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.55

Coy Williams run for no gain to the Stets 24 Coy Williams fumbled, recovered by David Coy Williams

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+24 ydsPPA +3.36

Lucas Raber 24 Yd pass from Luke Durkin (Caden Bonoffski Kick)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Kaderris Roberts run for 3 yds to the Stets 35

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.77

Kaderris Roberts run for no gain to the Stets 35

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Michael Carley

4th & 7Punt+36 yds

Marshall Golick punt for 46 yds , Aaron Maione returns for 36 yds to the Stets 45

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Dylan Sparks run for 6 yds to the Stets 39

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.20

Aris Hilliard run for 4 yds to the Stets 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Dylan Sparks run for 6 yds to the Stets 29

2nd & 4Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.04

Dylan Sparks run for 4 yds to the Stets 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Mason Sheron run for 1 yd to the Stets 24

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Luke Durkin run for 2 yds to the Stets 26

3rd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Bernard Turner Jr. run for 5 yds to the Stets 21

4th & 6Field Goal Good+38 yds

Caden Bonoffski 38 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Kaderris Roberts run for 7 yds to the Stets 40

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.22

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Quinton Lane

3rd & 3Penalty0 yds

STETSON Penalty, Offensive Holding (Fermon Reid) declined

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Marshall Golick punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the David 6

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Coy Williams run for 1 yd to the David 7

2nd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.93

Luke Durkin pass complete to Lucas Raber for 16 yds to the David 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.57

Mark McCurdy run for 7 yds to the David 30

2nd & 3Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Coy Williams run for 10 yds to the David 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Mark McCurdy run for 3 yds to the David 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Luke Durkin pass incomplete to Lucas Raber

3rd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Dylan Sparks run for 3 yds to the David 46

4th & 4Punt+2 yds

Braden Cole punt for 41 yds for a 1ST down , Michael Martinez returns for 2 yds to the Stets 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Brady Meitz pass complete to Kaderris Roberts for 6 yds to the Stets 36

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Kaderris Roberts run for 3 yds to the Stets 39

3rd & 1Penalty-15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Meitz,Brady pass incomplete short right to Lane,Quinton broken up by Hammond,Jonathan PENALTY STE Chop Block (Costner,Kaleb) 15 yards from STE39 to STE24. NO PLAY.

3rd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.04

Brady Meitz run for 6 yds to the Stets 30

4th & 10Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +4.42

Brady Meitz pass complete to Jalen Mason for 40 yds to the David 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +2.81

Michael Carley 30 Yd pass from Brady Meitz (Cameron Gillis Kick)

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.00

Luke Durkin sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the David 23

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Mark McCurdy run for 4 yds to the David 27

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Luke Durkin pass incomplete to Clarence Freeman IV

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Braden Cole punt for 41 yds , Michael Martinez returns for no gain to the Stets 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Kaderris Roberts

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Brady Meitz pass incomplete to Michael Carley

3rd & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Meitz,Brady pass incomplete short middle to Proch,Mason QB hurried by Rawlins,Julian PENALTY STE Holding (Staley,Chad) 10 yards from STE37 to STE27. NO PLAY.

3rd & 20Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.94

Jalen Leary run for 18 yds to the Stets 45

0th & 20End of Regulation0 yds

End of 4th Quarter

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY DAV False Start (Payne,Tyler) 5 yards from STE03 to STE03. NO PLAY.

Situational Analysis

Stetson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
22 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
18%
11 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
43%
7 plays
100%
5 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

Davidson

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
43%
28 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
1 play
40%
10 plays
40%
10 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play