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← Back to GamesNov 2, 2022Week 10
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Bowling Green by 9.4

Home Win Probability

Bowling Green 74%

Market (consensus)

Bowling Green -5

Edge: Bowling Green -5 (4.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 2, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
00639
Bowling GreenBowling Green
067013

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40143-06-013-013-613-9
Bowling GreenWestern Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WMBGWMBGWMBGWMBGWMBGWMBGWMBGWMBGWMBGWMBGWMBGWMBGPUNT416ydPUNT629ydPUNT39ydPUNT629ydPUNT38ydTO313ydTO10ydFG719ydDOWNS49ydTO69ydPUNT47ydFG1070ydEND622ydTD317ydTO952ydPUNT30ydTD965ydTO1073ydPUNT36ydPUNT58ydFG1061ydPUNT36ydDOWNS868ydEND311yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Michigan and Bowling Green
StatisticWestern MichiganBowling Green
Passing16-2723-31
Pass Yards191161
Rush Yards127128
Total Yards318289
Turnovers23
3rd Down5-154-14
Penalties4-405-50
Possession29:5030:10

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Michigan
passing
Treyson Bourguet
16/27, 191 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Sean Tyler
26 CAR, 93 YDS
receiving
Corey Crooms
8 REC, 151 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Bowling Green
passing
Matt McDonald
23/31, 161 YDS
rushing
Jaison Patterson
10 CAR, 56 YDS
receiving
Odieu Hilaire
9 REC, 51 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Mason Lawler kickoff for 65 yds , Sean Tyler return for 20 yds to the WMich 20

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.14

Sean Tyler run for 15 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the WMich 36

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.68

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for no gain to the WMich 36

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Zahir Abdus-Salaam

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jake Rogers at the BwGrn 20

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Ta'ron Keith run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 21

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.25

Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 10 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.42

Ta'ron Keith run for 15 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

Ta'ron Keith run for no gain to the BwGrn 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.94

Matt McDonald pass complete to Jamal Johnson for no gain to the BwGrn 46

3rd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Matt McDonald pass complete to Levi Gazarek for 3 yds to the BwGrn 49

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Sami Sir punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 6 yds to the WMich 29

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 29

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jake Rogers at the BwGrn 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Matt McDonald pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 10 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -2.12

Matt McDonald sacked by Marshawn Kneeland for a loss of 7 yards to the BwGrn 33

2nd & 17Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.40

Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 22 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.96

Jamal Johnson run for 9 yds to the WMich 36

2nd & 1Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.80

Matt McDonald sacked by Braden Fiske for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 44

3rd & 9Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 3 yds to the WMich 41

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Sami Sir punt for 38 yds, downed at the WMich 3

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.22

Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the WMich 4

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 9

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.10

Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 11

4th & 2Punt+12 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 39 yds , Jake Rogers returns for 12 yds to the WMich 38

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd to the WMich 37

2nd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.60

Jaison Patterson run for 8 yds to the WMich 29

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 ydsPPA -3.91

Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the WMich 25 Jaison Patterson fumbled, recovered by WMich Keni-H Lovely

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+39 ydsPPA -0.92

Treyson Bourguet pass intercepted Chris Bacon return for 39 yds to the WMich 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 1 yd to the WMich 24

2nd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 5 yds to the WMich 19

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.48

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 9 yds to the WMich 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 2 yds to the WMich 8

2nd & 0Penalty-5 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 13

2nd & 13Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Matt McDonald pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 7 yds to the WMich 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden, broken up by Dorian Jackson

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Mason Lawler 24 yd FG GOOD

4th & 6Kickoff Return (Offense)+35 yds

Mason Lawler kickoff for 57 yds , Sean Tyler return for 35 yds to the WMich 43

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the WMich 47

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 5 yds to the BwGrn 48

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.18

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for no gain to the BwGrn 48

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.30

Treyson Bourguet run for no gain to the BwGrn 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian Sims

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Jamal Johnson run for 8 yds to the WMich 44

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

McDonald, Matt pass complete to Sims, Christian for 15 yards to the WESTMICH29, PENALTY BOWLGREEN illegal shift 5 yards to the WESTMICH49, NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.30

Matt McDonald pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 8 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Ta'ron Keith run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 42

2nd & 11Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.26

CJ Lewis sacked by Keni-H Lovely for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 43

3rd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Matt McDonald run for 1 yd to the WMich 42 Matt McDonald fumbled, recovered by WMich

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.37

Sean Tyler run for 18 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard line

1st & 20Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 6 yds to the BwGrn 44

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Blake Bosma

3rd & 14Penalty-10 yds

Bourguet, Treyson pass complete to Tyler, Sean for 9 yards to the BOWLGREEN35, PENALTY WESTMICH illegal block 10 yards to the WESTMICH46, NO PLAY.

3rd & 24Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 49

4th & 21Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 51 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -0.70

Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 18

2nd & 12Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.23

Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 6 yds to the BwGrn 24 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Aaron Wofford) to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 45

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.23

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian Sims

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.07

Matt McDonald run for 8 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +1.06

Ta'ron Keith run for 32 yds to the WMich 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.62

Ta'ron Keith run for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 19

2nd & 14Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 5 yds to the WMich 14

3rd & 9Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 4 yds to the WMich 10

4th & 5Field Goal Good+28 yds

Mason Lawler 28 yd FG GOOD

4th & 5Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Mason Lawler kickoff for 54 yds , Sean Tyler return for 18 yds to the WMich 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 31

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Blake Bosma

3rd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.04

Treyson Bourguet run for 8 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.97

Treyson Bourguet sacked by Karl Brooks and Demetrius Hardamon for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 33

2nd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the WMich 37

3rd & 12Rush+14 ydsPPA +3.12

Sean Tyler run for 14 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST down

0th & 12End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+83 yds

Nick Mihalic kickoff for 65 yds , Ta'ron Keith return for 83 yds to the WMich 17

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the WMich 11

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the WMich 8

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.53

Harold Fannin Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD, (Mason Lawler KICK)

3rd & 1Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Mason Lawler kickoff for 52 yds , Sean Tyler return for 15 yds to the WMich 28

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 33

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.80

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 5 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.43

Sean Tyler run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 36

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 4 yds to the WMich 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +2.48

Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 8 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.14

Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 48 Sean Tyler fumbled, recovered by WMich

2nd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.34

Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 7 yds to the BOWLGREEN 45 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 29

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+9 ydsPPA -3.76

Sean Tyler run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 20 Sean Tyler fumbled, forced by Darren Anders, recovered by BwGrn Darren Anders

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Jamal Johnson run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 21

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.35

Matt McDonald run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 20

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Odieu Hiliare

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Sami Sir punt for 45 yds, downed at the WMich 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Corey Crooms, broken up by Jordan Anderson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Corey Crooms, broken up by DJ Taylor

3rd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +2.93

Treyson Bourguet run for 14 yds to the WMich 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 49

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.61

Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 49

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Treyson Bourguet run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 46

4th & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +2.77

Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Nate Anderson for 5 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 39

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+39 ydsPPA +3.71

Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 39 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed)

2nd & 8Kickoff Return (Offense)+19 yds

Palmer Domschke kickoff for 58 yds , Ta'ron Keith return for 19 yds to the BwGrn 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 8 yds to the BwGrn 34

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.12

Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 4 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

Jaison Patterson run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.91

Matt McDonald pass complete to CJ Lewis for 15 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Ta'ron Keith run for 1 yd to the WMich 35

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian Sims, broken up by Zaire Barnes

4th & 9Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +3.07

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 26 yds to the WMich 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the WMich 5

2nd & 0Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+4 yds

Christian Sims run for 4 yds Christian Sims fumbled, recovered by WMich Zaire Barnes

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Sean Tyler run for 6 yds to the WMich 26

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Anthony Sambucci

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Nate Anderson

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 42 yds, downed at the BwGrn 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 9 yds to the BwGrn 41

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Ta'ron Keith run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BwGrn 35

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Ta'ron Keith

2nd & 20Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 5 yds to the BwGrn 40

3rd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Ta'ron Keith run for no gain to the BwGrn 40

4th & 15Punt+11 yds

Sami Sir punt for 46 yds , Anthony Sambucci returns for 11 yds to the WMich 25

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 13 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, False Start (Jack Sherwin) to the WMich 33

1st & 15Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the WMich 38

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Treyson Bourguet run for 2 yds to the WMich 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.01

Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Sean Tyler for no gain to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Roughing Passer (Demetrius Hardamon) to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 42

2nd & 7Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +1.49

Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 34 yds to the BwGrn 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 3 yds to the BwGrn 5

2nd & 5Rush-9 ydsPPA -0.99

Sean Tyler run for a loss of 9 yards to the BwGrn 14

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Corey Crooms

4th & 14Field Goal Good+31 yds

Palmer Domschke 31 yd FG GOOD

4th & 16Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Palmer Domschke kickoff for 46 yds , Rocco Hicks return for 13 yds to the BwGrn 32

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 1 yd to the BwGrn 33

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Ta'ron Keith run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 38

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Sami Sir punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Anthony Sambucci at the WMich 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 4 yds to the WMich 14

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Sean Tyler run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 13

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 12 yds to the WMich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+48 ydsPPA +3.34

Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Corey Crooms for 48 yds to the BwGrn 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Corey Crooms

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Jehlani Galloway

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Treyson Bourguet run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 19

4th & 2Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -3.61

Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 24

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.43

Jaison Patterson run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 33

Situational Analysis

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
26%
23 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
40%
5 plays
42%
12 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
75%
8 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Bowling Green

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
26 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
9 plays
83%
6 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play