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← Back to GamesOct 8, 2022Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Bowling Green by 1.5

Home Win Probability

Bowling Green 58%

Market (consensus)

Bowling Green +2

Edge: Bowling Green +2 (3.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 8, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BuffaloBuffalo
17147038
Bowling GreenBowling Green
00707

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-70-100-170-317-38
Bowling GreenBuffalo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BUFBGBUFBGBUFBGBUFBGBUFBGBUFBGBUFBGBUFBGBGBUFBGBGBUFBGBUFBGBUFBGBUFTD875ydTO619ydFG732ydPUNT3-3ydTD248ydPUNT35ydTO3-2ydTO630ydDOWNS1584ydPUNT618ydPUNT3-5ydTO132ydTD399ydPUNT3-7ydTD954ydEND323ydPUNT35ydPUNT4-7ydTD978ydTD775ydPUNT617ydDOWNS1357ydPUNT532ydPUNT412ydPUNT618ydDOWNS527ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Buffalo and Bowling Green
StatisticBuffaloBowling Green
Passing13-2021-43
Pass Yards186281
Rush Yards28099
Total Yards466380
Turnovers14
3rd Down5-143-14
Penalties9-9712-117
Possession32:4727:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Buffalo
passing
Cole Snyder
12/19, 171 YDS
rushing
Michael Washington
16 CAR, 155 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Jamari Gassett
2 REC, 49 YDS
defense
Shaun Dolac
1 TFL, 2 PD
Bowling Green
passing
Matt McDonald
21/42, 281 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jaison Patterson
3 CAR, 42 YDS
receiving
CJ Lewis
4 REC, 82 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+3 yds

Mason Lawler kickoff for 43 yds , Robbie Mangas return for 3 yds to the Buff 25

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the Buff 28

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.23

Ron Cook Jr. run for 8 yds to the Buff 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +2.31

Cole Snyder pass complete to Quian Williams for 33 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Ron Cook Jr. run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Mike Washington run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 22

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.20

Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.40

Cole Snyder run for 18 yds to the BwGrn 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Ron Cook Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Cavon Croom

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jamal Johnson run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 26

3rd & 9Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +3.15

Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 23 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Levi Gazarek

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Jamal Johnson

3rd & 15Interception0 ydsPPA -0.24

Matt McDonald pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Cole Snyder run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 35

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Mike Washington run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 34

3rd & 4Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.22

Mike Washington run for 20 yds to the BwGrn 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 11

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Cole Snyder run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 6

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.90

Cole Snyder run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 8

4th & 4Field Goal Good+26 yds

Alex McNulty 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Alex McNulty kickoff for 60 yds , Ta'ron Keith return for 17 yds to the BwGrn 22

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Jamal Johnson run for no gain to the BwGrn 22

2nd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.39

Matt McDonald sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 19

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to CJ Lewis

4th & 13Punt+10 yds

Sami Sir punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 48 , Quian Williams returns for 10 yds to the BwGrn 48

1st & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +2.75

Cole Snyder pass complete to Jamari Gassett for 47 yds to the BwGrn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jaison Patterson run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 18

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Sami Sir punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 47

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Mike Washington run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 49

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Robbie Mangas

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jamal Johnson run for 5 yds to the Buff 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.39

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 35 yds to the Buff 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Jamal Johnson run for 1 yd to the Buff 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Levi Gazarek

4th & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+19 ydsPPA -3.79

Mason Lawler run for 9 yds Mason Lawler fumbled, recovered by Buff Keyshawn Cobb BUFFALO Penalty, Illegal Block (Elijah Blades) to the Buff 15

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.93

Ron Cook Jr. run for 15 yds to the Buff 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Cole Snyder pass complete to Cole Harrity for 6 yds to the Buff 36

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.95

Ron Cook Jr. run for 8 yds to the Buff 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the Buff 43 Ron Cook Jr. fumbled, recovered by Buff Ron Cook Jr.

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.78

Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 8 yds to the BwGrn 49

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Cole Harrity

4th & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +2.62

Robbie Mangas run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.75

Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 43

2nd & 9Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.40

Quian Williams pass complete to Cole Snyder for 15 yds to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.10

Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 21 yds to the BwGrn 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Ron Cook Jr. run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Ron Cook Jr. run for no gain to the BwGrn 1

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Trevor Borland

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -4.21

Mike Washington run for no gain to the BwGrn 1

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.26

Matt McDonald run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Matt McDonald run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 11

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Matt McDonald run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 15

3rd & 7Penalty+10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun McDonald,Matt pass incomplete short middle to Hiliare,Odieu, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UB Pass Interference (Cobb,Keyshawn) 10 yards from BGSU15 to BGSU25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaison Patterson run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 30

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 5 yds to the BwGrn 30

3rd & 5Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun McDonald,Matt pass complete deep left to Keith,Ta'ron for 15 yards to the BGSU45 (Offord,Caleb) PENALTY BGSU Holding offsetting UB Holding offsetting. NO PLAY.

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Matt McDonald run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Sami Sir punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Quian Williams at the Buff 34

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+10 ydsPPA +0.97

run for 10 yds to the Buff 24 fumbled, recovered by Buff Al-Jay Henderson

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Justin Marshall

3rd & 20Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Al-Jay Henderson run for 5 yds to the Buff 29

4th & 15Punt+42 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 33 , Jhaylin Embry returns for 42 yds to the Buff 33

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+32 ydsPPA -4.10

Jaison Patterson run for 32 yds to the Buff 1 Jaison Patterson fumbled, recovered by Buff Marcus Fuqua

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Cole Snyder run for 2 yds to the Buff 3

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Mike Washington run for 5 yds to the Buff 8

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+92 ydsPPA +7.11

Mike Washington run for 92 yds for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Matt McDonald run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 15 Matt McDonald fumbled, recovered by Buff Matt Mcdonald

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian Sims

3rd & 20Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 3 yds to the BwGrn 18

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Sami Sir punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Quian Williams at the Buff 46

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.79

Al-Jay Henderson run for 7 yds to the BOWLGREEN 47 BUFFALO Penalty, Offensive Holding (Jamari Gassett) to the Buff 40

1st & 16Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Al-Jay Henderson run for 5 yds to the Buff 45

2nd & 11Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.16

Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 11 yds to the BwGrn 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Cole Snyder pass complete to Al-Jay Henderson for 2 yds to the BwGrn 42

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.19

Cole Snyder pass complete to Justin Marshall for 11 yds to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Cole Snyder run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 22

1st & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.11

Cole Snyder sacked by Anthony Hawkins for a loss of 10 yards to the BwGrn 21

2nd & 20Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.69

Cole Snyder pass complete to Boobie Curry for 20 yds to the BwGrn 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Mike Washington run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian Sims

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Jamal Johnson

3rd & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +3.45

Jamal Johnson run for 23 yds to the Buff 46 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Alex McNulty kickoff for 61 yds , Ta'ron Keith return for 22 yds to the BwGrn 26

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Jamal Johnson run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 30

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.57

Jamal Johnson run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 31

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Cavon Croom

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Sami Sir punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Buff 32

1st & 18Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Snyder,Cole rush right for 8 yards gain to the UB40, End Of Play PENALTY UB Holding (Doty,Tyler) 10 yards from UB32 to UB22. NO PLAY.

1st & 28Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.35

Ron Cook Jr. run for 11 yds to the Buff 33

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Robbie Mangas

3rd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Robbie Mangas

4th & 17Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 48 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.75

Matt McDonald pass complete to Andrew Bench for 11 yds to the BwGrn 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.34

Matt McDonald pass complete to Andrew Bench for 27 yds to the Buff 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Matt McDonald pass complete to Odieu Hiliare for 4 yds to the Buff 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.81

Matt McDonald pass complete to CJ Lewis for 17 yds to the Buff 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to CJ Lewis

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.00

Matt McDonald pass complete to Tyrone Broden for 16 yds to the Buff 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Tyrone Broden

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jamal Johnson run for 3 yds to the Buff 3

3rd & 3Fumble Return Touchdown+97 ydsPPA -11.38

James Patterson 97 Yd Fumble Return (Alex McNulty Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Matt McDonald pass complete to CJ Lewis for 26 yds to the Buff 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.06

Matt McDonald pass complete to CJ Lewis for 24 yds to the Buff 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 5 yds to the Buff 20

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Matt McDonald run for 5 yds to the Buff 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Ta'ron Keith run for 4 yds to the Buff 11

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Odieu Hiliare

3rd & 6Passing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.91

Matt McDonald pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 11 yds for a TD, (Mason Lawler KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Mike Washington run for 3 yds to the Buff 33

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Mike Washington run for 6 yds to the Buff 39

3rd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.64

Mike Washington run for 8 yds to the Buff 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.15

Mike Washington run for no gain to the Buff 47

2nd & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Snyder,Cole pass complete deep left to Johnson,Marlyn for 12 yards to the BGSU41 (Lorfils,Darius) PENALTY UB Holding (Bessent,Desmond) 10 yards from UB47 to UB37. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Cole Snyder pass complete to Ron Cook Jr. for 10 yds to the Buff 47

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Cole Snyder pass incomplete to Marlyn Johnson

4th & 10Punt+9 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 43 yds , Jake Rogers returns for 9 yds to the BwGrn 19

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Christian Sims

2nd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.36

Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 12 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Matt McDonald pass complete to Christian Sims for 8 yds to the BwGrn 39

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Matt McDonald run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.09

Matt McDonald pass complete to CJ Lewis for 15 yds to the Buff 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 5 yds to the Buff 35

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Matt McDonald pass complete to Cavon Croom for 9 yds to the Buff 26 for a 1ST down

2nd & 25Penalty+15 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Jahmin Muse) to the Buff 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to CJ Lewis

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to Odieu Hiliare

3rd & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.61

Matt McDonald sacked by Ibrahim Kante for a loss of 9 yards to the Buff 32

4th & 19Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.76

Matt McDonald run for 8 yds to the Buff 24

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.56

Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the Buff 25

2nd & 9Rush+28 ydsPPA +3.09

Ron Cook Jr. run for 28 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Ron Cook Jr. run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 46

2nd & 9Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.49

Cole Snyder sacked by DJ Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 48

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Mike Washington run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 44

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 44 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.89

Matt McDonald sacked by Max Michel for a loss of 7 yards to the BwGrn 13

2nd & 17Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.37

Matt McDonald pass complete to Ta'ron Keith for 12 yds to the BwGrn 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Matt McDonald pass incomplete to CJ Lewis

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Sami Sir punt for 61 yds

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Mike Washington run for 6 yds to the Buff 13

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Mike Washington run for 2 yds to the Buff 15

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.46

Al-Jay Henderson run for 3 yds to the Buff 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.51

Al-Jay Henderson run for no gain to the Buff 18

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Al-Jay Henderson run for 3 yds to the Buff 21

3rd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Al-Jay Henderson run for 4 yds to the Buff 25

4th & 3Punt+1 yds

Anthony Venneri punt for 38 yds , Jake Rogers returns for 1 yd to the BwGrn 38

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.02

Nick Mosley run for 13 yds to the BOWLGREEN 49 for a 1ST down BUFFALO Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Keyshawn Cobb) to the Buff 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Nick Mosley run for 4 yds to the Buff 30

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Nick Mosley run for 1 yd to the Buff 29

3rd & 5Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.17

Camden Orth sacked by George Wolo for a loss of 6 yards to the Buff 35

4th & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

Camden Orth pass incomplete to Griffin Little

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.32

Kneel down by Buffalo at UB33 for loss of 2 yards.

2nd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

Kneel down by Buffalo at UB32 for loss of 1 yards.

Situational Analysis

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play
31%
26 plays
100%
2 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
80%
10 plays
50%
8 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
4th
50%
2 plays

Bowling Green

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
2 plays
50%
26 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
8 plays
44%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
17%
6 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays