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← Back to GamesSep 17, 2022Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Pittsburgh by 1.2

Home Win Probability

Western Michigan 40%

Market (consensus)

Western Michigan +10

Edge: Western Michigan +10 (8.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 17, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
PittsburghPittsburgh
10371434
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
337013

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-33-136-166-2013-2713-34
Western MichiganPittsburgh

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PITWMPITWMWMWMPITWMPITWMPITWMPITWMPITWMPITWMPITWMPITFG1146ydPUNT34ydPUNT518ydTD10ydPUNT30ydFG522ydFG874ydFG952ydMISS1067ydPUNT3-5ydEND1-5ydTO511ydPUNT3-6ydTO1237ydTD780ydTD375ydTD1274ydPUNT3-8ydTD867ydPUNT37ydEND2-2yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Pittsburgh and Western Michigan
StatisticPittsburghWestern Michigan
Passing9-127-19
Pass Yards179130
Rush Yards23850
Total Yards417180
Turnovers13
3rd Down5-102-11
Penalties4-302-11
Possession38:3621:24

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Pittsburgh
passing
Nate Yarnell
9/12, 179 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Israel Abanikanda
31 CAR, 133 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jared Wayne
3 REC, 94 YDS
defense
Western Michigan
passing
Jack Salopek
6/18, 99 YDS, 3 INT
rushing
La'Darius Jefferson
7 CAR, 35 YDS
receiving
Anthony Sambucci
1 REC, 44 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Nick Mihalic kickoff for 63 yds , Israel Abanikanda return for 22 yds to the Pitt 24

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Israel Abanikanda run for 11 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Israel Abanikanda run for 3 yds to the Pitt 38

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the Pitt 40

3rd & 5Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.85

C'Bo Flemister run for 17 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY PIT False Start 5 yards from WMU43 to WMU48. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Israel Abanikanda run for 3 yds to the WMich 45

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Nate Yarnell run for 1 yd to the WMich 46

3rd & 13Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY PIT Delay Of Game (Yarnell,Nate) 5 yards from WMU46 to PIT49. NO PLAY.

3rd & 18Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +3.82

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 19 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Israel Abanikanda run for 3 yds to the WMich 35

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Israel Abanikanda run for 3 yds to the WMich 32

3rd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the WMich 30

4th & 8Field Goal Good+48 yds

Ben Sauls 48 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Ben Sauls kickoff for 40 yds , Sean Tyler return for no gain to the WMich 25

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for 1 yd to the WMich 24

3rd & 11Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY PIT Offside (Baldonado,Habakkuk) 5 yards from WMU24 to WMU29. NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Corey Crooms

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 46 yds , Konata Mumpfield returns for no gain to the Pitt 23

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 46 yds , Konata Mumpfield returns for no gain to the Pitt 23

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the Pitt 25

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.48

Israel Abanikanda run for 11 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Israel Abanikanda run for no gain to the Pitt 36

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Israel Abanikanda run for 4 yds to the Pitt 40

3rd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

Vincent Davis run for 1 yd to the Pitt 41

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Sam Vander Haar punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 24

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Sam Vander Haar punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 24

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+22 ydsPPA -7.85

Marquis Williams 22 Yd Interception Return (Ben Sauls Kick)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the WMich 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Blake Bosma

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Jehlani Galloway

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 36 yds , Jaylon Barden returns for no gain to the Pitt 36 Jaylon Barden fumbled, recovered by WMich Boone Bonnema

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +0.45

Jack Salopek pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 21 yds to the Pitt 15 for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive Holding (C'Bo Flemister) declined for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Sean Tyler

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the Pitt 14

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to A.J. Abbott

4th & 9Field Goal Good+32 yds

Palmer Domschke 32 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Penalty-13 yds

Mihalic,Nick kickoff 60 yards to the PIT05 Abanikanda,Israel return 13 yards to the PIT18 (Nobles,Joshua) PENALTY PIT Holding offsetting WMU Personal Foul offsetting. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Nick Mihalic kickoff for 62 yds , Israel Abanikanda return for 18 yds to the Pitt 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.67

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Jared Wayne for 20 yds to the Pitt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.67

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Jared Wayne for 20 yds to the Pitt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.04

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Jared Wayne for 39 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Israel Abanikanda run for 7 yds to the WMich 13

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.01

Israel Abanikanda run for 5 yds to the WMich 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Israel Abanikanda run for 4 yds to the WMich 4

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Israel Abanikanda run for 1 yd to the WMich 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete to Jared Wayne

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 yds

Ben Sauls 23 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Corey Crooms

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.12

La'Darius Jefferson run for 16 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the WMich 43

2nd & 8Penalty+15 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Salopek,Jack pass incomplete short right to Galloway,Jehlani PENALTY PIT Pass Interference (Woods,A.J.) 15 yards from WMU43 to PIT42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the Pitt 37

2nd & 5Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.52

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 13 yds to the Pitt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 9 yds to the Pitt 33 Mareyohn Hrabowski fumbled, recovered by WMich Mareyohn Hrabowski

2nd & 19Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Jack Salopek pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 8 yds to the Pitt 25

3rd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Jack Salopek run for 2 yds to the Pitt 23

4th & 9Field Goal Good+40 yds

Palmer Domschke 40 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Nick Mihalic kickoff for 61 yds , Israel Abanikanda return for 20 yds to the Pitt 24

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.89

Vincent Davis run for 8 yds to the Pitt 32

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.01

Vincent Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

C'Bo Flemister run for 3 yds to the Pitt 38

2nd & 7Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.96

Vincent Davis run for 14 yds to the WMich 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd to the WMich 49

2nd & 11Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +2.45

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Jared Wayne for 35 yds to the WMich 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Vincent Davis run for 4 yds to the WMich 10

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Israel Abanikanda run for 1 yd to the WMich 9

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete to Gavin Bartholomew

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+27 yds

Ben Sauls 27 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY WMU False Start (Deatherage,Dylan) 5 yards from WMU20 to WMU15. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Jack Salopek run for no gain to the WMich 15

2nd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.11

Jack Salopek run for no gain to the WMich 15

3rd & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.05

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for no gain to the WMich 15

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jaylon Barden at the Pitt 40

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jaylon Barden at the Pitt 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Israel Abanikanda for 5 yds to the Pitt 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Israel Abanikanda for 5 yds to the Pitt 35

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Ben Sauls kickoff for 65 yds , Sean Tyler return for 12 yds to the WMich 12

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to La'Darius Jefferson

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.11

Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the WMich 14

3rd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.01

Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for 9 yds to the WMich 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Sean Tyler run for no gain to the WMich 23

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.15

Jack Salopek pass intercepted

2nd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.15

Jack Salopek pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Israel Abanikanda run for 3 yds to the Pitt 31

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

Nate Yarnell pass incomplete to Israel Abanikanda

3rd & 7Sack-9 ydsPPA -0.52

Nate Yarnell sacked by Ryan Selig for a loss of 9 yards to the Pitt 22

4th & 16Punt+12 yds

Sam Vander Haar punt for 42 yds , Zahir Abdus-Salaam returns for 12 yds to the WMich 48

4th & 16Punt+12 yds

Sam Vander Haar punt for 42 yds , Zahir Abdus-Salaam returns for 12 yds to the WMich 48

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.15

La'Darius Jefferson run for 9 yds to the Pitt 43

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the Pitt 35

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the Pitt 36

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Sean Tyler run for 4 yds to the Pitt 32

4th & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.51

Sean Tyler run for 2 yds to the Pitt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 1 yd to the Pitt 29

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 4 yds to the Pitt 25

3rd & 5Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.12

Jack Salopek pass complete to Corey Crooms for 18 yds to the Pitt 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the Pitt 7

2nd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.94

Jack Salopek sacked by SirVocea Dennis for a loss of 8 yards to the Pitt 15

3rd & 15Interception0 ydsPPA -3.46

Jack Salopek pass intercepted, touchback.

3rd & 15Interception0 ydsPPA -3.46

Jack Salopek pass intercepted, touchback.

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the Pitt 22

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the Pitt 24

3rd & 6Penalty+6 yds

Shotgun Yarnell,Nate pass incomplete short middle to Bartholomew,Gavin, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WMU Pass Interference (Ware,Delano) 6 yards from PIT24 to PIT30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Bub Means for 18 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.15

C'Bo Flemister run for 9 yds to the WMich 43

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+37 ydsPPA +1.55

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Gavin Bartholomew for 37 yds to the WMich 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.69

Israel Abanikanda 4 Yd Run (Ben Sauls Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+44 ydsPPA +3.24

Jack Salopek pass complete to Anthony Sambucci for 44 yds to the Pitt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Sean Tyler run for no gain to the Pitt 31

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +3.42

A.J. Abbott 31 Yd pass from Anthony Sambucci (Palmer Domschke Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Nick Mihalic kickoff for 54 yds , Israel Abanikanda return for 15 yds to the Pitt 26

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Israel Abanikanda run for 5 yds to the Pitt 31

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Israel Abanikanda run for 5 yds to the Pitt 31

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Israel Abanikanda run for 4 yds to the Pitt 35

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.08

Daniel Carter run for 3 yds to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.94

Nate Yarnell pass complete to Konata Mumpfield for 10 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Israel Abanikanda run for 6 yds to the WMich 46

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the WMich 44

3rd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.07

Israel Abanikanda run for 3 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Israel Abanikanda run for 8 yds to the WMich 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Israel Abanikanda run for 3 yds to the WMich 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Vincent Davis run for 3 yds to the WMich 27

2nd & 7Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.93

Vincent Davis run for 21 yds to the WMich 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Konata Mumpfield 6 Yd pass from Nate Yarnell (Ben Sauls Kick)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to La'Darius Jefferson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jack Salopek pass incomplete to Corey Crooms

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.25

Jack Salopek sacked by Solomon DeShields for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 17

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jaylon Barden at the Pitt 33

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Israel Abanikanda run for 1 yd to the Pitt 34

2nd & 9Rush+23 ydsPPA +2.87

Israel Abanikanda run for 23 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.48

Israel Abanikanda run for 11 yds to the WMich 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Vincent Davis run for 3 yds to the WMich 29

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.53

Vincent Davis run for 17 yds to the WMich 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Vincent Davis run for 5 yds to the WMich 7

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Vincent Davis run for 4 yds to the WMich 3

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.47

Daniel Carter 3 Yd Run (Ben Sauls Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+24 yds

Ben Sauls kickoff for 64 yds , Sean Tyler return for 24 yds to the WMich 25

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 2 yds to the WMich 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Zahir Abdus-Salaam run for 2 yds to the WMich 29

3rd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 3 yds to the WMich 32

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 34 yds , Jaylon Barden returns for no gain to the Pitt 34

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 34 yds , Jaylon Barden returns for no gain to the Pitt 34

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.14

Nate Yarnell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 33

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

Nate Yarnell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 32

Situational Analysis

Pittsburgh

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
2 plays
56%
32 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
25%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
56%
9 plays
25%
4 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
19 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
17%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
25%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play