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← Back to GamesSep 25, 2022Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Hawai'i by 1.3

Home Win Probability

New Mexico State 43%

Market (consensus)

New Mexico State -4.5

Edge: Hawai'i +4.5 (5.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 25, 2022

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Hawai'iHawai'i
737926
New Mexico StateNew Mexico State
14217345

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-714-721-1028-1035-1042-1742-2045-20
New Mexico StateHawai'i

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20HAWNMSHAWNMSHAWNMSHAWNMSHAWNMSHAWNMSHAWNMSHAWNMSHAWNMSHAWNMSHAWTD875ydTD775ydPUNT33ydTD864ydPUNT611ydTD470ydFG990ydPUNT35ydPUNT39ydTD868ydDOWNS737ydTD872ydEND1-1ydPUNT30ydPUNT415ydTD840ydTD1275ydTO10ydFG1551ydFG835ydUncategorized773yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Hawai'i and New Mexico State
StatisticHawai'iNew Mexico State
Passing22-398-15
Pass Yards26181
Rush Yards150357
Total Yards411438
Turnovers01
3rd Down4-166-11
Penalties6-398-69
Possession32:4727:13

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Hawai'i
passing
Brayden Schager
22/39, 261 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Dedrick Parson
16 CAR, 69 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Caleb Phillips
8 REC, 138 YDS
defense
New Mexico State
passing
Gavin Frakes
8/14, 81 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Star Thomas
11 CAR, 144 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Justice Powers
2 REC, 47 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.15

Brayden Schager pass complete to James Phillips for 24 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.11

Brayden Schager pass complete to Dior Scott for 6 yds to the NEWMEXST 45 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Syrus Dumas) to the NMxSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Dedrick Parson run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 25

2nd & 5Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.17

Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 9 yds to the NMxSt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Dedrick Parson run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 9

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.38

Dedrick Parson run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Dedrick Parson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Gavin Frakes pass complete to Jonathan Brady for 8 yds to the NMxSt 33

2nd & 2Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.40

Jamoni Jones run for 18 yds to the Hawa 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.75

Ahmonte Watkins run for 13 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Gavin Frakes pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Jonathan Brady run for 7 yds to the Hawa 29

3rd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Star Thomas run for 2 yds to the Hawa 27

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +3.79

Star Thomas run for 27 yds for a TD, (Brett Money KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 3 yds to the Hawa 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+1 yds

Ben Falck punt for 37 yds , Lawrence Dixon returns for 1 yd to the NMxSt 36

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jamoni Jones run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 41

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jamoni Jones run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 44

3rd & 2Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.99

Gavin Frakes pass complete to Bryce Childress for 11 yds to the Hawa 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.00

Jamoni Jones run for no gain to the Hawa 45

2nd & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.71

Gavin Frakes run for 17 yds to the Hawa 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Jamoni Jones run for 3 yds to the Hawa 25

2nd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Star Thomas run for 5 yds to the Hawa 20

3rd & 2Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.86

Gavin Frakes run for 20 yds for a TD, (Brett Money KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 4 yds to the Hawa 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Nasjzae Bryant-Lelei run for 4 yds to the Hawa 33

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.44

Brayden Schager run for 6 yds to the Hawa 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 6 yds to the Hawa 45

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.23

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.64

Brayden Schager sacked by Chris Ojoh for a loss of 4 yards to the Hawa 36

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Matthew Shipley punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Lawrence Dixon at the NMxSt 30

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

HAWAII Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 40

1st & 10Rush+57 ydsPPA +3.15

Star Thomas run for 57 yds to the Hawa 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Gavin Frakes run for 8 yds to the Hawa 5

2nd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.63

Jamoni Jones run for 2 yds to the Hawa 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Jamoni Jones run for 3 yds for a TD, (Brett Money KICK)

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+39 yds

Brett Money kickoff for 39 yds , Jalen Perdue return for 39 yds to the NEWMEXST 26 HAWAII Penalty, Offensive Holding (JoJo Forest) to the Hawa 4

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.32

Dedrick Parson run for 11 yds to the Hawa 15 for a 1ST down

2nd & 6Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.44

Dedrick Parson run for 16 yds to the Hawa 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Tylan Hines run for 8 yds to the Hawa 43

2nd & 2Rush+36 ydsPPA +1.57

Tylan Hines run for 36 yds to the NMxSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

SCHAGER, Brayden pass to the left incomplete intended for MURRAY, Jordan thrown to the NMS0. PENALTY NMS Pass Interference on DUMAS, Syrus enforced half the distance from the goal, 15 yards to the NMS6 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.62

Dedrick Parson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 8

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

HAWAII Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 10

1st & 15Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.40

Brayden Schager pass complete to James Phillips for 9 yds to the Hawa 19

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Brayden Schager run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+23 yds

Matthew Shipley 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Ahmonte Watkins run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 28

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.36

Ahmonte Watkins run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Gavin Frakes pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

punt for 54 yds, downed at the Hawa 16

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Tylan Hines run for 1 yd to the Hawa 17

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 8 yds to the Hawa 25

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Tylan Hines run for no gain to the Hawa 25

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Matthew Shipley punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Lawrence Dixon at the NMxSt 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jonathan Brady run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 35

2nd & 7Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.13

Gavin Frakes pass complete to Jamoni Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the NMxSt 31

3rd & 11Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.79

Gavin Frakes pass complete to Justice Powers for 28 yds to the Hawa 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Star Thomas run for 7 yds to the Hawa 34

2nd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.15

Star Thomas run for 13 yds to the Hawa 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Gavin Frakes pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.81

Gavin Frakes pass complete to Justice Powers for 19 yds to the Hawa 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jamoni Jones 2 Yd Run (Brett Money Kick)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Brayden Schager run for 2 yds to the Hawa 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.67

Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 28 yds to the NMxSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 7 yds to the NMxSt 28

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.89

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.67

run for 18 yds to the NMxSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Gavin Frakes pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

HAWAII Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Hawa 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

run for 3 yds to the Hawa 11

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

run for 2 yds to the Hawa 9

3rd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.88

Gavin Frakes pass complete to Star Thomas for 8 yds to the Hawa 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jamoni Jones run for no gain to the Hawa 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Gavin Frakes pass complete to Thomaz Whitford for 1 yd for a TD, (Brett Money KICK)

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Brett Money kickoff for 64 yds , Jalen Perdue return for 18 yds to the Hawa 19

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Star Thomas run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 30

2nd & 5Penalty-10 yds

JONES, Jamoni rush to the left for a gain of 6 yards to the NMS36, out of bounds. PENALTY NMS Holding on VAIPULU, AJ enforced 10 yards from the NMS30 to the NMS20 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 15Penalty-5 yds

NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, False Start (TEAM) to the NMxSt 15

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Gavin Frakes pass incomplete

3rd & 20Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.08

Gavin Frakes pass complete to Chris Bellamy for 10 yds to the NMxSt 25

4th & 10Punt+4 yds

Josh Carlson punt for 50 yds , Dior Scott returns for 4 yds to the Hawa 29

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.02

Dedrick Parson run for 11 yds to the Hawa 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 4 yds to the Hawa 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt+37 yds

Matthew Shipley punt for 33 yds , Lawrence Dixon returns for 37 yds to the Hawa 40

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ahmonte Watkins run for 5 yds to the Hawa 35

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Star Thomas run for 3 yds to the Hawa 32

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.66

Star Thomas run for 6 yds to the Hawa 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Star Thomas run for 8 yds to the Hawa 18

2nd & 2Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.04

Star Thomas run for 11 yds to the Hawa 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Ahmonte Watkins run for 4 yds to the Hawa 3

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Gavin Frakes run for 2 yds to the Hawa 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Ahmonte Watkins run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brett Money KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jordan Johnson run for 4 yds to the Hawa 29

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.04

Jordan Johnson run for 7 yds to the Hawa 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Dedrick Parson run for 6 yds to the Hawa 42

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.18

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

HAWAII Penalty, False Start (Jalen Walthall) to the Hawa 37

3rd & 9Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +3.10

Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 16 yds to the NMxSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Dedrick Parson run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 46

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.42

Brayden Schager pass complete to Jordan Murray for 10 yds to the NMxSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.36

Brayden Schager pass complete to Dior Scott for 14 yds to the NMxSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

HAWAII Penalty, False Start (Jalen Walthall) to the NMxSt 27

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

2nd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Brayden Schager pass complete to Dior Scott for 4 yds to the NMxSt 23

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Brayden Schager pass complete to Dior Scott for 7 yds to the NMxSt 16

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.40

Brayden Schager pass complete to Jalen Walthall for 16 yds for a TD, (Matthew Shipley KICK)

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Gavin Frakes pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Brayden Schager pass complete to Dedrick Parson for 6 yds to the Hawa 43

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.20

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +2.79

Brayden Schager pass complete to James Phillips for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Dedrick Parson run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 47

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.38

Jordan Johnson run for 12 yds to the NMxSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.39

Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 7 yds to the NMxSt 28

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Dedrick Parson run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 27

4th & 2Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.39

Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 16 yds to the NMxSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Dedrick Parson run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 7

2nd & 6Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.65

Tylan Hines run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMxSt 12

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

4th & 11Field Goal Good+30 yds

Matthew Shipley 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Tim Gans run for 1 yd to the Hawa 42

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.17

Tim Gans run for 9 yds to the Hawa 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Tim Gans run for no gain to the Hawa 33

2nd & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.11

Tim Gans run for 24 yds to the Hawa 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Penalty-5 yds

NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Hawa 14

1st & 14Rush0 ydsPPA -0.26

Tim Gans run for no gain to the Hawa 14

2nd & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Gavin Frakes run for 6 yds to the Hawa 8

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Diego Pavia pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+26 yds

Brett Money 26 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Tylan Hines run for a loss of 1 yard to the Hawa 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+40 ydsPPA +3.87

Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 40 yds to the NMxSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.36

Brayden Schager pass complete to Caleb Phillips for 14 yds to the NMxSt 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jordan Johnson run for no gain to the NMxSt 22

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, Offsides (5 Yards) to the NMxSt 17

2nd & 5Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.00

Brayden Schager run for a loss of 5 yards to the NMxSt 22

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Brayden Schager run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 15

4th & 3Penalty+13 yds

SCHAGER, Brayden pass to the right incomplete intended for MURRAY, Jordan. PENALTY NMS Pass Interference on SCULARK, BJ enforced 13 yards to the NMS2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Brayden Schager pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Hawai'i

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
48%
25 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
3 plays
30%
10 plays
38%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
71%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays

New Mexico State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
3 plays
45%
22 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
83%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
67%
9 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play