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← Back to GamesNov 24, 2021Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Northern Illinois by 1.7

Home Win Probability

Northern Illinois 50%

Market (consensus)

Northern Illinois +7

Edge: Northern Illinois +7 (8.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 24, 2021

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western MichiganWestern Michigan
7217742
Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois
0701421

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-217-287-3514-3521-42
Northern IllinoisWestern Michigan

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NIWMNIWMNIWMNIWMWMNIWMNIWMNIWMNIWMNINIWMNIWMTO444ydTD1172ydPUNT517ydPUNT3-4ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT1063ydTD196ydTD384ydTD336ydPUNT57ydTD979ydEND24ydDOWNS638ydPUNT35ydDOWNS860ydPUNT3-9ydTD855ydTD245ydMISS610ydTD480ydTD473ydEND1173yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Michigan and Northern Illinois
StatisticWestern MichiganNorthern Illinois
Passing21-264-10
Pass Yards33823
Rush Yards298268
Total Yards636291
Turnovers12
3rd Down9-140-7
Penalties5-302-20
Possession41:5818:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Michigan
passing
Kaleb Eleby
21/26, 338 YDS, 5 TD
rushing
Sean Tyler
17 CAR, 115 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Skyy Moore
12 REC, 206 YDS, 4 TD
defense
A.J. Thomas
1 TFL, 2 PD
Northern Illinois
passing
Ethan Hampton
4/10, 23 YDS
rushing
Jevyon Ducker
13 CAR, 104 YDS
receiving
Miles Joiner
1 REC, 14 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+10 yds

Nick Mihalic kickoff for 47 yds , Drew Cassens return for 10 yds to the NoIll 28

1st & 10Rush+47 ydsPPA +3.16

Jay Ducker run for 47 yds to the WMich 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.46

Clint Ratkovich run for 1 yd to the WMich 24

3rd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Ethan Hampton run for 4 yds to the WMich 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy Moore

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 31

3rd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.98

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 8 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.38

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 16 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 8 yds to the NoIll 37

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the NoIll 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Sean Tyler run for 6 yds to the NoIll 28

2nd & 4Rush+23 ydsPPA +0.82

Sean Tyler run for 23 yds to the NoIll 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

La'Darius Jefferson run for 1 yd to the NoIll 4

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the NoIll 1

3rd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Brett Borske for 1 yd for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Nick Mihalic kickoff for 35 yds , Tristen Tewes return for 5 yds to the NoIll 35

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Ethan Hampton run for 9 yds to the NoIll 44

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.24

Jay Ducker run for 9 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 4 yds to the NoIll 49

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Ethan Hampton run for 3 yds to the WMich 48

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 12

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 3 yds to the WMich 15

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

La'Darius Jefferson run for no gain to the WMich 15

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.20

Kaleb Eleby sacked by Devonte O'Malley for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 8

4th & 14Punt+6 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 57 yds , Trayvon Rudolph returns for 6 yds to the NoIll 41

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Antario Brown run for 6 yds to the NoIll 35

2nd & 16Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Antario Brown run for 3 yds to the NoIll 38

3rd & 13Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Clint Ratkovich run for 2 yds to the NoIll 40

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 58 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.21

Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the WMich 3

2nd & 9Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.49

Jaxson Kincaide run for 10 yds to the WMich 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.34

Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the WMich 14

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the WMich 17

3rd & 6Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.51

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 36 yds to the NoIll 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Sean Tyler run for 8 yds to the NoIll 39

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.06

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 6 yds to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Sean Tyler run for no gain to the NoIll 33

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

La'Darius Jefferson run for 2 yds to the NoIll 35

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Jaylen Hall

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Nick Mihalic punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Trayvon Rudolph at the NoIll 4

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+96 ydsPPA +6.94

Clint Ratkovich run for 96 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

John Richardson kickoff for 64 yds , Sean Tyler return for 15 yds to the WMich 16

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +2.11

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 27 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Jaxson Kincaide run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Passing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +3.78

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 50 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Eleby,Kaleb pass incomplete to Crooms,Corey broken up by Brown,C.J. PENALTY NIU Pass Interference (Brown,C.J.) 15 yards from NIU36 to NIU21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the NoIll 18

2nd & 7Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.70

Sean Tyler run for 12 yds to the NoIll 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 6 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the NoIll 35

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.38

Jay Ducker run for 9 yds to the NoIll 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Clint Ratkovich run for 2 yds to the NoIll 42

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY NIU False Start 5 yards from NIU42 to NIU37. NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the NoIll 38

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph

4th & 16Punt+5 yds

Matt Ference punt for 46 yds , Bryce Nunnelly returns for 5 yds to the WMich 21

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 4 yds to the WMich 25

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.54

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for no gain to the WMich 25

3rd & 6Rush+26 ydsPPA +3.20

La'Darius Jefferson run for 26 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Eleby,Kaleb pass incomplete to Crooms,Corey PENALTY WMU Ineligible Downfield on Pass 5 yards from NIU49 to WMU46. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 6 yds to the NoIll 48

2nd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.65

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 13 yds to the NoIll 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy Moore

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the NoIll 34

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Brett Borske for 5 yds to the NoIll 29

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+29 ydsPPA +4.31

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 29 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Nick Mihalic kickoff for 40 yds , Clint Ratkovich return for 8 yds to the NoIll 33

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jay Ducker run for no gain to the NoIll 33

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jay Ducker run for 4 yds to the NoIll 37

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Sean Tyler run for 7 yds to the WMich 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.93

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 22 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Sean Tyler run for 3 yds to the NoIll 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Corey Crooms

3rd & 7Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Sean Tyler run for 5 yds to the NoIll 38

4th & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -2.10

Sean Tyler run for 1 yd to the NoIll 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 4 yds to the NoIll 41

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the NoIll 42

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 58 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 8 yds to the WMich 28

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.80

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 1 yd to the WMich 29

3rd & 1Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.85

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 25 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.86

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 22 yds to the NoIll 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

La'Darius Jefferson run for 3 yds to the NoIll 21

2nd & 7Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.20

Kaleb Eleby sacked by Michael Kennedy for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 26

3rd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 6 yds to the NoIll 20

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.19

Kaleb Eleby pass incomplete to Skyy Moore

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.91

Ethan Hampton sacked by Ryan Selig for a loss of 8 yards to the NoIll 12

2nd & 18Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.05

Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the NoIll 11

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.02

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 45

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jaxson Kincaide run for 1 yd to the WMich 44

2nd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.33

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 10 yds to the NoIll 46

3rd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.14

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 6 yds to the NoIll 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.53

Jaxson Kincaide run for 17 yds to the NoIll 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.13

Sean Tyler run for 10 yds to the NoIll 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Corey Crooms run for 6 yds to the NoIll 7

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Sean Tyler run for no gain to the NoIll 7

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY WMU False Start 5 yards from NIU07 to NIU12. NO PLAY.

3rd & 9Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.09

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Skyy Moore for 12 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+23 yds

Nick Mihalic kickoff for 33 yds , Mason Blakemore return for 23 yds to the WMich 45

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jay Ducker run for 1 yd to the WMich 44

2nd & 9Rushing Touchdown+44 ydsPPA +4.25

Antario Brown run for 44 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.66

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Tristen Tewes for 9 yds to the WMich 18

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Ethan Hampton pass incomplete to Trayvon Rudolph

3rd & 1Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY WMU Offside 5 yards from WMU18 to WMU13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Antario Brown run for 5 yds to the WMich 18

2nd & 15Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.43

Ethan Hampton sacked by Ali Fayad for a loss of 10 yards to the WMich 28

3rd & 25Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.28

Jay Ducker run for 11 yds to the WMich 17

4th & 14Field Goal Missed+35 yds

John Richardson 35 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Jaylen Hall for 38 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.57

Sean Tyler run for 16 yds to the NoIll 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.19

Kaleb Eleby pass complete to Corey Crooms for 14 yds to the NoIll 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Sean Tyler run for 12 yds for a TD, (Parker Sampson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Nick Mihalic kickoff for 51 yds , Clint Ratkovich return for 13 yds to the NoIll 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.27

Ethan Hampton pass complete to Miles Joiner for 14 yds to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jay Ducker run for 2 yds to the NoIll 43

2nd & 8Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.10

Jay Ducker run for 16 yds to the WMich 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+41 ydsPPA +3.24

Antario Brown run for 41 yds for a TD, (John Richardson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+9 yds

John Richardson kickoff for 51 yds , Skyy Moore return for 9 yds to the WMich 44 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the WMich 13

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

La'Darius Jefferson run for 5 yds to the WMich 18

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY WMU False Start 5 yards from WMU18 to WMU13. NO PLAY.

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

La'Darius Jefferson run for 4 yds to the WMich 17

3rd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.19

La'Darius Jefferson run for 10 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.84

La'Darius Jefferson run for 20 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 6 yds to the NoIll 47

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Jaxson Kincaide run for 3 yds to the NoIll 44

3rd & 1Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.40

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 17 yds to the NoIll 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Jaxson Kincaide run for 4 yds to the NoIll 23

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 6 yds to the NoIll 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Mareyohn Hrabowski run for 4 yds to the NoIll 13

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.44

run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 14

Situational Analysis

Western Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
59%
32 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
29%
7 plays
27%
11 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
100%
4 plays
100%
3 plays
80%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays

Northern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
47%
17 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
4 plays
0%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
20%
5 plays
4th