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← Back to GamesSep 26, 2020Week 4
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Pittsburgh by 9.7

Home Win Probability

Pittsburgh 72%

Market (consensus)

Pittsburgh -2.5

Edge: Pittsburgh -2.5 (7.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 26, 2020

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
LouisvilleLouisville
7103020
PittsburghPittsburgh
1373023

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-013-013-713-1020-1723-1723-20
PittsburghLouisville

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PITLOUPITLOUPITLOUPITLOUPITLOUPITLOUPITLOULOUPITLOUPITLOUPITLOUPITLOUPITLOUPITFG848ydPUNT3-13ydFG42ydPUNT3-2ydTD1260ydTD175ydPUNT827ydFG1168ydTO11ydTD221ydTD875ydPUNT3-3ydPUNT512ydEND2-8ydTO2-3ydFG825ydPUNT58ydPUNT35ydFG1158ydTO959ydTO28ydDOWNS936ydPUNT36ydPUNT414ydTO517ydEND2-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Louisville and Pittsburgh
StatisticLouisvillePittsburgh
Passing9-2123-38
Pass Yards107220
Rush Yards116156
Total Yards223376
Turnovers32
3rd Down1-119-19
Penalties3-226-46
Possession24:4435:16

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Louisville
passing
Malik Cunningham
9/21, 107 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Javian Hawkins
13 CAR, 78 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chatarius Atwell
4 REC, 37 YDS, 1 TD
defense
Pittsburgh
passing
Kenny Pickett
23/38, 220 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Vincent Davis
14 CAR, 47 YDS
receiving
Jordan Addison
7 REC, 77 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Vincent Davis run for 20 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.16

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for no gain to the Pitt 45

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Kenny Pickett run for 3 yds to the Pitt 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.07

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 25 yds to the Lvile 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Vincent Davis

4th & 10Field Goal Good+45 yds

Alex Kessman 45 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-12 yds

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 37 yards to the UP38, out-of-bounds (Jason Pinnock), PENALTY UL pass interference (Dez Fitzpatrick) 12 yards to the UL13, NO PLAY.

1st & 22Fumble Recovery (Own)-3 ydsPPA -0.13

Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 11 Javian Hawkins fumbled, forced by Rashad Weaver, recovered by Lvile Javian Hawkins

2nd & 24Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the Lvile 14

3rd & 21Penalty+5 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, offside defense (Patrick Jones II) to the Lvile 19

3rd & 16Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.09

Malik Cunningham sacked by Patrick Jones II for a loss of 7 yards to the Lvile 12

4th & 23Punt+21 yds

Logan Lupo punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 25 , Jordan Addison returns for 21 yds to the Lvile 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jordan Addison

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

Vincent Davis run for no gain to the Lvile 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.48

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 2 yds to the Lvile 23

4th & 8Field Goal Good+41 yds

Alex Kessman 41 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.25

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for no gain to the Lvile 23

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.11

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Logan Lupo punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jordan Addison at the Pitt 40

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.40

A.J. Davis run for 17 yds to the Lvile 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

A.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the Lvile 41

2nd & 8Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.27

Kenny Pickett sacked by Dorian Etheridge for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 42

3rd & 9Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.34

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 13 yds to the Lvile 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

A.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the Lvile 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

A.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the Lvile 25

3rd & 6Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.83

Kenny Pickett pass complete to A.J. Davis for 8 yds to the Lvile 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

DJ Turner run for 2 yds to the Lvile 15

2nd & 8Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Israel Abanikanda run for 8 yds to the Lvile 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Israel Abanikanda run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir Mack, broken up by Kei'Trel Clark

3rd & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.95

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 8 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+75 ydsPPA +6.08

Javian Hawkins run for 75 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 20

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Israel Abanikanda run for 7 yds to the Pitt 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 5 yds to the Pitt 32

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.71

Israel Abanikanda run for 8 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.79

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Israel Abanikanda for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 36

2nd & 14Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.71

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-12 ydsPPA -3.08

Vincent Davis run for a loss of 12 yards to the Pitt 38

2nd & 22Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.33

Vincent Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 36

3rd & 24Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.82

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Vincent Davis for 16 yds to the Lvile 48

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 12

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Malik Cunningham run for 4 yds to the Lvile 16

2nd & 6Penalty+11 yds

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick, PENALTY UP pass interference (Jason Pinnock) 11 yards to the UL27, 1ST DOWN UL, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.17

Hassan Hall run for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 22

2nd & 15Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +2.74

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 22 yds to the Lvile 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the Lvile 45

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Hassan Hall, broken up by Damar Hamlin

3rd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.91

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 12 yds to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.78

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 27 yds to the Pitt 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Pitt 16

2nd & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.60

Malik Cunningham sacked by SirVocea Dennis and Patrick Jones II for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 18

3rd & 12Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.12

Malik Cunningham sacked by David Green for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 20

4th & 14Field Goal Good+38 yds

James Turner 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-8 ydsPPA -0.61

Kenny Pickett run for a loss of 8 yards to the Pitt 21 Kenny Pickett fumbled, forced by Yasir Abdullah, recovered by Lvile Jared Goldwire

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.39

Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Pitt 21

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.02

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 21 yds for a TD Timeout LOUISVILLE, clock 06:51 (James Turner KICK)

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Kenny Pickett run for 15 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to DJ Turner

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.76

Vincent Davis run for no gain to the Pitt 40

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +3.16

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 15 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Vincent Davis for 4 yds to the Lvile 41

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Vincent Davis run for 4 yds to the Lvile 37

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Vincent Davis rush for 12 yards to the UL25 (Isaiah Hayes), PENALTY UP illegal motion (Daniel Moraga) 5 yards to the UL42, NO PLAY.

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.62

Kenny Pickett pass complete to DJ Turner for 2 yds to the Lvile 40

4th & 5Passing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +5.49

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 40 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick

3rd & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.21

Malik Cunningham sacked by Phil Campbell III and Rashad Weaver for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 22

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Logan Lupo punt for 55 yds, downed at the Pitt 23

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 8 yds to the Pitt 31

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.20

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Vincent Davis for 5 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kenny Pickett run for 4 yds to the Pitt 40

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete, broken up by Marlon Character

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (Jordan Addison) to the Pitt 35

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir Mack, broken up by Jared Goldwire

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 25

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Lvile 25

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.56

Malik Cunningham sacked by Patrick Jones II for a loss of 8 yards to the Lvile 17

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.96

Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 22

2nd & 13Pass Interception Return+11 ydsPPA +0.03

Malik Cunningham pass intercepted Marquis Williams return for 11 yds to the Lvile 49

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Vincent Davis run for 4 yds to the Lvile 45

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jared Wayne

3rd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.15

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Daniel Moraga for 13 yds to the Lvile 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.28

Kenny Pickett run for 14 yds to the Lvile 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jordan Addison

2nd & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-8 ydsPPA -1.71

Kenny Pickett sacked by Yasir Abdullah for a loss of 8 yards to the Lvile 28 Kenny Pickett fumbled, recovered by Pitt Vincent Davis , return for 0 yards

3rd & 20Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Vincent Davis for 4 yds to the Lvile 24

4th & 16Field Goal Good+42 yds

Alex Kessman 42 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 23

2nd & 12Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.91

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 14 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Lvile 39

2nd & 8Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.17

Malik Cunningham sacked by Patrick Jones II and Cam Bright for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 36

3rd & 11Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.39

Malik Cunningham sacked by Rashad Weaver for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 33

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Logan Lupo punt for 42 yds, downed at the Pitt 25

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Israel Abanikanda run for no gain to the Pitt 25

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Israel Abanikanda run for 5 yds to the Pitt 30

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jared Wayne, broken up by Isaiah Hayes

4th & 5Punt+7 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 51 yds , Rodjay Burns returns for 7 yds to the Lvile 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell, broken up by Damar Hamlin

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Javian Hawkins run for 4 yds to the Lvile 30

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Javian Hawkins for 4 yds to the Lvile 34

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 29

4th & 7Rush+31 ydsPPA +4.00

Tabarius Peterson run for 31 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Javian Hawkins run for 4 yds to the Pitt 36

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.90

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Malik Cunningham run for 5 yds to the Pitt 31

4th & 1Penalty+15 yds

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell (A.J. Woods), PENALTY UP pass interference (A.J. Woods) 15 yards to the UP16, 1ST DOWN UL, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.38

Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Pitt 16

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell

4th & 10Field Goal Good+34 yds

James Turner 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 9 yds to the Pitt 29

2nd & 1Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.43

Vincent Davis run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Vincent Davis run for 4 yds to the Lvile 46

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.90

Vincent Davis run for 1 yd to the Lvile 45

3rd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.79

Kenny Pickett pass complete to DJ Turner for 7 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.41

Vincent Davis run for 14 yds to the Lvile 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Kenny Pickett run for 6 yds to the Lvile 18

2nd & 4Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.81

Vincent Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 21

3rd & 7Pass Interception Return+40 ydsPPA -3.71

Kenny Pickett pass intercepted C.J. Avery return for 40 yds to the Lvile 45

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.94

Hassan Hall run for 8 yds to the Pitt 47

2nd & 2Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.67

Malik Cunningham pass intercepted Damar Hamlin return for no gain to the Pitt 32

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Israel Abanikanda run for 2 yds to the Pitt 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Taysir Mack, broken up by Kei'Trel Clark

3rd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.94

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Israel Abanikanda run for 5 yds to the Lvile 45

2nd & 5Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.64

Israel Abanikanda run for 7 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.61

Kenny Pickett sacked by Dorian Etheridge for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 42 Kenny Pickett fumbled, recovered by Pitt Kenny Pickett , return for 0 yards

2nd & 14Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Tre Tipton for 4 yds to the Lvile 38

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 6 yds to the Lvile 32

4th & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.41

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to DJ Turner

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (Robbie Bell) to the Lvile 27

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.32

Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Lvile 29

2nd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Malik Cunningham run for 6 yds to the Lvile 35

3rd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Malik Cunningham pass complete to N/A for 3 yds to the Lvile 38

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Logan Lupo punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jordan Addison at the Pitt 24

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +1.58

DJ Turner run for 18 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.72

Vincent Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 39

2nd & 13Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.66

Vincent Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 38

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.26

Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jordan Addison

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Kirk Christodoulou punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 17

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.68

Malik Cunningham run for 11 yds to the Lvile 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 4 yds to the Lvile 32

3rd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.25

Malik Cunningham run for 2 yds to the Lvile 34

4th & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.03

Malik Cunningham pass intercepted Jason Pinnock return for no gain to the Lvile 39

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 40

2nd & 11Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.46

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 42

Situational Analysis

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
21%
19 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
0%
1 play
11%
9 plays
67%
6 plays
3rd
33%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play

Pittsburgh

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
31 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
25%
12 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
75%
4 plays
60%
10 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays