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← Back to GamesSep 29, 2019Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Fresno State by 15.3

Home Win Probability

New Mexico State 15%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 29, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Fresno StateFresno State
7176030
New Mexico StateNew Mexico State
037717

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-70-1710-2410-3017-30
New Mexico StateFresno State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NMSFSNMSFSNMSFSNMSFSNMSFSNMSFSNMSNMSFSNMSFSNMSFSNMSFSNMSFSNMSFSNMSFSPUNT36ydTD1282ydPUNT427ydPUNT411ydPUNT30ydPUNT32ydMISS739ydPUNT3-1ydPUNT3-8ydTD179ydPUNT37ydFG1359ydTD652ydFG723ydTO26ydTD431ydPUNT617ydPUNT3-2ydFG739ydTO36ydFG525ydDOWNS1468ydPUNT33ydTD948ydPUNT837ydTO26ydEND522yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Fresno State and New Mexico State
StatisticFresno StateNew Mexico State
Passing20-3126-47
Pass Yards147210
Rush Yards239105
Total Yards386315
Turnovers13
3rd Down5-142-14
Penalties3-253-22
Possession36:0123:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Fresno State
passing
Jorge Reyna
20/31, 147 YDS
rushing
Jalen Cropper
5 CAR, 118 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Emoryie Edwards
8 REC, 70 YDS
defense
Justin Rice
0.5 TFL, 2 PD
New Mexico State
passing
Josh Adkins
26/46, 210 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
rushing
Jason Huntley
9 CAR, 82 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Tony Nicholson
6 REC, 81 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Josh Adkins pass complete to Jason Huntley for a loss of 1 yard to the NMxSt 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Josh Adkins pass complete to Jason Huntley for 7 yds to the NMxSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Josh Adkins pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Payton Theisler punt for 51 yds, downed at the FrsSt 18

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Derrion Grim run for 6 yds to the FrsSt 24

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.61

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Jamal Glaspie for 7 yds to the FrsSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Emoryie Edwards for 7 yds to the FrsSt 38

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.74

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Zane Pope for 8 yds to the FrsSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the FrsSt 46

3rd & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.87

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Keric Wheatfall for 10 yds to the NMxSt 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.50

Ronnie Rivers run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 37

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.01

Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+25 ydsPPA +0.58

Jalen Cropper run for 25 yds to the NMxSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Keric Wheatfall, broken up by Jared Phipps

2nd & 8Rushing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.68

Josh Hokit run for 8 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.89

Josh Adkins pass complete to Tony Nicholson for 21 yds to the NMxSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Josh Adkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Adkins pass complete to Christian Gibson for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.56

Josh Adkins pass complete to OJ Clark for 2 yds to the FrsSt 48

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Payton Theisler punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 14

1st & 10Penalty0 yds

REYNA, Jorge pass incomplete to WHEATFALL, K., PENALTY NMSU holding off-setting, PENALTY FS pass interference off-setting, NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.80

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Jalen Cropper for 14 yds to the FrsSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ronnie Rivers run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 33

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.97

Ronnie Rivers run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 32

3rd & 6Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.59

Jorge Reyna sacked by Cedric Wilcots II for a loss of 7 yards to the FrsSt 25

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 50 yds, fair catch by OJ Clark at the NMxSt 25

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Naveon Mitchell

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Tony Nicholson, broken up by Kevin Atkins

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Adkins pass incomplete to OJ Clark, broken up by Arron Mosby

4th & 10Punt+14 yds

Payton Theisler punt for 54 yds , Ronnie Rivers returns for 14 yds to the FrsSt 39 FRESNO ST Penalty, illegal block (Saevion Johnson) to the FrsSt 11

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.41

Josh Hokit run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 10

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.06

Josh Hokit run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 13

3rd & 8Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.10

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Jared Rice for no gain to the FrsSt 13 FRESNO ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declined

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 48 yds , OJ Clark returns for no gain to the NMxSt 13 NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the NMxSt 29

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Jason Huntley run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 36

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.55

Jason Huntley run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+23 ydsPPA +1.59

Jason Huntley run for 23 yds to the FrsSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.53

Josh Adkins pass complete to OJ Clark for 1 yd to the FrsSt 34

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.08

Tony Nicholson run for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 35

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Christian Gibson run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 32

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+50 yds

Dylan Brown 50 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.10

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Emoryie Edwards for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 32

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Derrion Grim

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.23

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Derrion Grim

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 32 yds, downed at the NMxSt 36

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.60

Josh Adkins pass complete to Jason Huntley for a loss of 4 yards to the NMxSt 32

2nd & 14Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Adkins run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 35

3rd & 11Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.43

Josh Adkins sacked by Mykal Walker and Leevel Tatum III for a loss of 7 yards to the NMxSt 28

4th & 18Punt0 yds

Payton Theisler punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FrsSt 21

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+79 ydsPPA +6.33

Jalen Cropper run for 79 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-7 yds

Gibson, C. rush for 3 yards to the NMSU16 (BRYANT, Jaron;HUGHES, Juju), PENALTY NMSU holding (Wilhite, Max) 7 yards to the NMSU6, NO PLAY.

1st & 17Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.13

Christian Gibson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMxSt 5

2nd & 18Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Josh Adkins pass complete to Izaiah Lottie for 5 yds to the NMxSt 10

3rd & 13Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.14

Josh Adkins pass complete to OJ Clark for 10 yds to the NMxSt 20

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Payton Theisler punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 31

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.01

Reggie Strong run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 39

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.29

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Emoryie Edwards

3rd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.79

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Emoryie Edwards for 8 yds to the FrsSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Derrion Grim for 2 yds to the FrsSt 49

2nd & 8Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Derrion Grim for 8 yds to the NMxSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Josh Hokit run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.69

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Derrion Grim for 11 yds to the NMxSt 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Josh Hokit run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 21

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Ronnie Rivers run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 15

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Jalen Cropper run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 10

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.38

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Ronnie Rivers, broken up by Javahn Fergurson

4th & 3Field Goal Good+28 ydsPPA -0.91

Cesar Silva 28 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.80

Josh Adkins pass complete to Izaiah Lottie for 20 yds to the NMxSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Josh Adkins pass complete to OJ Clark for 4 yds to the NMxSt 49

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.20

Jason Huntley run for 10 yds to the FrsSt 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.61

Josh Adkins pass complete to Tony Nicholson for 20 yds to the FrsSt 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.58

Josh Adkins sacked by Alex Dumais for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 23

2nd & 12Interception Return Touchdown-91 ydsPPA -10.79

Josh Adkins pass intercepted for a TD Wylan Free return for 91 yds for a TD, (Cesar Silva KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Christian Gibson, broken up by Keiti Iakopo

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Josh Adkins pass complete to Naveon Mitchell for 2 yds to the FrsSt 45

3rd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.51

Josh Adkins pass complete to Naveon Mitchell for 16 yds to the FrsSt 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Christian Gibson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.73

Josh Adkins pass incomplete to OJ Clark

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Josh Adkins pass complete to OJ Clark for 5 yds to the FrsSt 24

4th & 5Field Goal Good+42 ydsPPA +0.01

Dylan Brown 42 yd FG GOOD

0th & 5End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Zane Pope for 6 yds to the FrsSt 31

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -1.26

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Zane Pope for no gain Zane Pope fumbled, forced by Devin Richardson, recovered by NMxSt Matthew Young

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.24

Jason Huntley run for 12 yds to the FrsSt 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Josh Adkins pass complete to Tony Nicholson for 9 yds to the FrsSt 10

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.77

Christian Gibson run for 8 yds to the FrsSt 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Jason Huntley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Dylan Brown KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Ronnie Rivers run for no gain to the FrsSt 25

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Ronnie Rivers run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 32

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.71

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Emoryie Edwards for 8 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 42

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Reggie Strong

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Ronnie Rivers

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tony Nicholson at the NMxSt 15

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Izaiah Lottie, broken up by Chris Coleman

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.24

Christian Gibson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMxSt 13

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Josh Adkins pass incomplete to OJ Clark

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Payton Theisler punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Ronnie Rivers at the FrsSt 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jorge Reyna run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.84

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Emoryie Edwards for 14 yds to the NMxSt 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.63

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Emoryie Edwards for 17 yds to the NMxSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Josh Hokit run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 23

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Josh Hokit run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 21

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Zane Pope

4th & 5Field Goal Good+38 ydsPPA -0.22

Cesar Silva 38 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Jonathan Hood, broken up by Justin Rice

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.17

Jason Huntley run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 31

3rd & 4Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.39

Josh Adkins pass intercepted Justin Rice return for no gain to the NMxSt 32

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.32

Derrion Grim run for 18 yds to the NMxSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Ronnie Rivers run for 3 yds to the NMxSt 11

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jalen Cropper run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 7

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Mykal Walker

4th & 3Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -0.99

Cesar Silva 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.84

Josh Adkins run for 10 yds to the NMxSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Josh Adkins pass complete to Caleb Mills for 7 yds to the NMxSt 42

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.35

Christian Gibson run for 4 yds to the NMxSt 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.92

Josh Adkins pass complete to Caleb Mills for 8 yds to the FrsSt 46

2nd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.21

Jason Huntley run for 9 yds to the FrsSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Naveon Mitchell

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Josh Adkins pass complete to Tony Nicholson for a loss of 1 yard to the FrsSt 38

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Josh Adkins pass complete to OJ Clark for 10 yds to the FrsSt 28

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.13

Josh Adkins run for 1 yd to the FrsSt 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.22

Josh Adkins pass complete to Tony Nicholson for 16 yds to the FrsSt 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Josh Adkins run for 4 yds to the FrsSt 7

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Cedric Wilcots II

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Matthew Young, broken up by Justin Rice

4th & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -3.84

Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Tony Nicholson

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Josh Hokit run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 12

2nd & 5Penalty-5 yds

FRESNO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 7

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.09

Josh Hokit run for 2 yds to the FrsSt 9

3rd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.07

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Josh Hokit for 1 yd to the FrsSt 10

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tony Nicholson at the FrsSt 48

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Jason Huntley, broken up by Levelle Bailey

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.92

Josh Adkins pass complete to Jason Huntley for 17 yds to the FrsSt 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.58

Tony Nicholson pass incomplete to OJ Clark

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Christian Gibson run for 3 yds to the FrsSt 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Josh Adkins pass complete to OJ Clark for 6 yds to the FrsSt 22

4th & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.91

Jason Huntley run for 7 yds to the FrsSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Josh Adkins pass complete to Caleb Mills for 4 yds to the FrsSt 11

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Josh Adkins pass incomplete to Jason Huntley

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

NEW MEXICO ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FrsSt 16

3rd & 11Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +3.34

Josh Adkins pass complete to Tony Nicholson for 16 yds for a TD, (Dylan Brown KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.70

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Emoryie Edwards for no gain to the FrsSt 25

2nd & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.43

Josh Hokit run for a loss of 2 yards to the FrsSt 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.46

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Emoryie Edwards for 17 yds to the FrsSt 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jalen Cropper run for 5 yds to the FrsSt 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.17

Jorge Reyna pass complete to Jamal Glaspie for 10 yds to the NMxSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Jorge Reyna run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 44

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Jorge Reyna run for 6 yds to the NMxSt 38

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Jorge Reyna pass incomplete to Jalen Cropper

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Blake Cusick punt for 38 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Josh Adkins pass complete to OJ Clark for 6 yds to the NMxSt 26

2nd & 4Pass Interception Return-13 ydsPPA -0.90

Josh Adkins pass intercepted Wylan Free return for 13 yds to the NMxSt 29

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Ronnie Rivers run for 2 yds to the NMxSt 27

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Ronnie Rivers run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 20

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Josh Hokit run for 7 yds to the NMxSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Josh Hokit run for 5 yds to the NMxSt 8

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Josh Hokit run for 1 yd to the NMxSt 7

Situational Analysis

Fresno State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
30 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
54%
13 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
0%
1 play

New Mexico State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
43%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
20%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
60%
5 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays