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← Back to GamesSep 7, 2019Week 2

House Prediction

Model Margin

NC State by 24.1

Home Win Probability

NC State 91%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Sep 7, 2019

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Western Carolina
00000
NC StateNC State
32110741

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-010-017-027-034-041-0
NC StateWestern Carolina

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20WCNSWCNSWCNSWCNSWCNSWCNSWCNSWCNSWCNSWCNSWCNSWCNSPUNT839ydPUNT37ydPUNT53ydFG641ydPUNT611ydPUNT39ydPUNT313ydPUNT422ydPUNT31ydTD765ydPUNT35ydTD662ydPUNT516ydTD868ydEND12ydFG1065ydPUNT35ydTD1798ydPUNT30ydTD1274ydPUNT37ydDOWNS1131ydTO3-11ydEND1-1yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Western Carolina and NC State
StatisticWestern CarolinaNC State
Passing15-2722-33
Pass Yards98231
Rush Yards8309
Total Yards106540
Turnovers10
3rd Down2-136-14
Penalties8-553-29
Possession23:0136:59

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Western Carolina
passing
Will Jones
15/27, 98 YDS
rushing
Connell Young
7 CAR, 26 YDS
receiving
Mahari Stribling
3 REC, 28 YDS
defense
NC State
passing
Matt McKay
18/28, 200 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Zonovan Knight
18 CAR, 119 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Cary Angeline
4 REC, 47 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connell Young run for no gain to the WCaro 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.22

Will Jones pass complete to Kasimir Absolu for 17 yds to the WCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.99

Will Jones pass complete to Mahari Stribling for 8 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.33

Will Jones pass incomplete to Connell Young

3rd & 2Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.80

Connell Young run for 12 yds to the NCSt 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Will Jones pass complete to Connell Young for 2 yds to the NCSt 36

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Will Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Will Jones pass incomplete to Mahari Stribling, broken up by Tyler Baker-Williams

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 24 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Matthew McKay pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Ricky Person Jr. run for 7 yds to the NCSt 20

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Matthew McKay pass incomplete

4th & 3Punt-2 yds

Trenton Gill punt for 52 yds , Nate Mullen returns for a loss of 2 yards to the WCaro 26

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Will Jones pass complete to Mahari Stribling for 8 yds to the WCaro 34

2nd & 2Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.51

Will Jones pass complete to Kasimir Absolu for 8 yds to the WCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WCaro 37

1st & 15Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.36

Will Jones sacked by Alim McNeill for a loss of 7 yards to the WCaro 30

2nd & 22Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.07

D.J. Atkins run for 3 yds to the WCaro 33

3rd & 19Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.16

Will Jones sacked by Xavier Lyas for a loss of 4 yards to the WCaro 29

4th & 23Punt+16 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 43 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 16 yds to the NCSt 44

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.18

Matthew McKay pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 16 yds to the WCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.60

Keyon Lesane run for 22 yds to the WCaro 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Ricky Person Jr. run for 2 yds to the WCaro 16

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the WCaro 15

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Matthew McKay pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.42

Christopher Dunn 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connell Young run for no gain to the WCaro 25

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Will Jones pass incomplete to Nate Mullen

3rd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.89

Connell Young run for 10 yds to the WCaro 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Will Jones pass incomplete to Mahari Stribling

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Donnavan Spencer run for 1 yd to the WCaro 36

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Connell Young run for no gain to the WCaro 36

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Zonovan Knight run for no gain to the NCSt 21

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Matthew McKay pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 6 yds to the NCSt 27

3rd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Matthew McKay pass complete to Cary Angeline for 3 yds to the NCSt 30

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Trenton Gill punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Nate Mullen at the WCaro 32

1st & 10Penalty+10 yds

NC STATE Penalty, Defensive holding (Chris Ingram) to the WCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Will Jones pass incomplete to Mahari Stribling

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Will Jones pass complete to Donnavan Spencer for 3 yds to the WCaro 45

3rd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.68

Will Jones pass complete to Donnavan Spencer for no gain to the WCaro 45

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 20

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.34

Zonovan Knight run for 17 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NC STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NCSt 32

1st & 15Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Matthew McKay pass complete to Dylan Autenrieth for 7 yds to the NCSt 39

2nd & 8Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Matthew McKay pass complete to Devin Carter for 3 yds to the NCSt 42

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas, broken up by Trevor Childers

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Trenton Gill punt for 58 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Will Jones pass complete to Kasimir Absolu for 1 yd to the WCaro 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Will Jones pass incomplete

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.14

Will Jones run for no gain to the WCaro 21

4th & 9Punt+43 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 43 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 35

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +1.95

Matthew McKay pass complete to Cecil Powell for 8 yds to the WCaro 43 for a 1ST down WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Michael Murphy) to the WCaro 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.88

Zonovan Knight run for 9 yds to the WCaro 33

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.38

Zonovan Knight run for 4 yds to the WCaro 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.20

Ricky Person Jr. run for 11 yds to the WCaro 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Ricky Person Jr. run for 11 yds to the WCaro 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the WCaro 6

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Ricky Person Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WCaro 20

1st & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Connell Young run for 2 yds to the WCaro 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Will Jones pass complete to Nate Mullen for 6 yds to the WCaro 28

3rd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Will Jones pass complete to Nate Mullen for 2 yds to the WCaro 30

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NCSt 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.48

Matthew McKay pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 17 yds to the WCaro 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the WCaro 43

2nd & 8Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Zonovan Knight run for 7 yds to the WCaro 36

3rd & 1Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.94

Zonovan Knight run for 21 yds to the WCaro 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.34

Zonovan Knight run for 13 yds to the WCaro 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Donnavan Spencer run for 2 yds to the WCaro 12

2nd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.75

Will Jones pass complete to Nate Mullen for 10 yds to the WCaro 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Will Jones pass incomplete to Daquan Patten, broken up by Stephen Griffin

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Donnavan Spencer run for 4 yds to the WCaro 26

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Will Jones pass incomplete WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declined

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 43 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.33

Matthew McKay pass complete to Cary Angeline for 28 yds to the WCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.05

Trent Pennix run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 41

2nd & 11Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.54

Matthew McKay pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 16 yds to the WCaro 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Matthew McKay pass complete to Trent Pennix for 6 yds to the WCaro 19

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Emeka Emezie

3rd & 4Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +2.06

Matthew McKay pass complete to Devin Carter for 18 yds to the WCaro 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Zonovan Knight run for no gain to the WCaro 1

2nd & 1Passing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Matthew McKay pass complete to Cary Angeline for 1 yd for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Connell Young run for 2 yds to the WCaro 16

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Ricky Person Jr. run for 5 yds to the NCSt 32

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.98

Matthew McKay pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 7 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.61

Matthew McKay pass complete to Dylan Autenrieth for 20 yds to the WCaro 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.48

Jordan Houston run for 13 yds to the WCaro 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jordan Houston run for 6 yds to the WCaro 22

2nd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.14

Tabari Hines run for 13 yds to the WCaro 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Trent Pennix run for 1 yd to the WCaro 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Emeka Emezie

4th & 8Field Goal Good+25 ydsPPA -0.70

Christopher Dunn 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Jacob Combs) to the WCaro 30

1st & 15Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.91

Will Jones sacked by Joseph Boletepeli and Ibrahim Kante for a loss of 6 yards to the WCaro 24

2nd & 21Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.01

Will Jones pass complete to Connell Young for 5 yds to the WCaro 29

3rd & 16Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Will Jones pass complete to D.J. Thorpe for 11 yds to the WCaro 40

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 59 yds, downed at the NCSt 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the NCSt 4

2nd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.48

Zonovan Knight run for 10 yds to the NCSt 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.94

Zonovan Knight run for 9 yds to the NCSt 23

2nd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds to the NCSt 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Dylan Parham

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Matthew McKay pass complete to Keyon Lesane for 2 yds to the NCSt 27

3rd & 8Penalty-14 yds

NC STATE Penalty, personal foul (Joe Sculthorpe) to the NCSt 13

3rd & 22Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +0.40

Matthew McKay pass complete to Tabari Hines for 19 yds to the NCSt 32

4th & 3Penalty+5 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Ricky Person Jr. run for 1 yd to the NCSt 38

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Matthew McKay pass complete to Tabari Hines for 8 yds to the NCSt 46

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.42

Ricky Person Jr. run for 6 yds to the WCaro 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.78

Jordan Houston run for 15 yds to the WCaro 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.64

Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.95

Matthew McKay pass complete to Cary Angeline for 15 yds to the WCaro 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Cary Angeline

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.40

Zonovan Knight run for 9 yds to the WCaro 9

3rd & 1Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.33

Zonovan Knight run for 7 yds to the WCaro 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Zonovan Knight run for 2 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Will Jones pass incomplete to D.J. Thorpe

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Will Jones pass incomplete to D.J. Thorpe

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Will Jones pass incomplete to Daquan Patten, broken up by Tyler Baker-Williams

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 25

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.61

Bailey Hockman run for 1 yd to the NCSt 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.47

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Tabari Hines for 9 yds to the NCSt 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.14

Jordan Houston run for 12 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.87

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Dylan Autenrieth for 13 yds to the WCaro 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Bailey Hockman pass incomplete to Max Fisher

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.23

Trent Pennix run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 40

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.16

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Trent Pennix for 10 yds to the WCaro 30

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.28

Zonovan Knight run for 3 yds to the WCaro 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Jordan Houston run for 8 yds to the WCaro 19

2nd & 2Rush+10 ydsPPA -0.17

Jordan Houston run for 10 yds to the WCaro 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Jordan Houston run for 6 yds to the WCaro 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Jordan Houston run for 3 yds for a TD, (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

D.J. Atkins run for no gain to the WCaro 25

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Isaiah Helms) to the WCaro 20

2nd & 15Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Will Jones pass complete to Austin Phillips for 5 yds to the WCaro 25

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

WESTRN CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WCaro 20

3rd & 15Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Will Jones pass complete to Mahari Stribling for 12 yds to the WCaro 32

4th & 3Punt+9 yds

Brandon Dickerson punt for 43 yds , Tabari Hines returns for 9 yds to the NCSt 34

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Will Dabbs run for 6 yds to the NCSt 40

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Will Dabbs run for 3 yds to the NCSt 43

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.46

Will Dabbs run for 6 yds to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Will Dabbs run for 4 yds to the WCaro 47

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Will Dabbs run for 3 yds to the WCaro 44

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.29

Will Dabbs run for 4 yds to the WCaro 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Will Dabbs run for 11 yds to the WCaro 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Will Dabbs run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 30

2nd & 11Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Will Dabbs run for 7 yds to the WCaro 23

3rd & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.87

Bailey Hockman pass complete to Eric Collins for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 24

4th & 5Sack-11 ydsPPA -2.99

Bailey Hockman sacked by Roman Johnson for a loss of 11 yards to the WCaro 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Caleb Ferguson run for 2 yds to the WCaro 37

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Caleb Ferguson run for 1 yd to the WCaro 38

3rd & 7Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-9 ydsPPA -0.48

Bubba Williamson sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the WCaro 24 Bubba Williamson fumbled, forced by Xavier Lyas, recovered by NCSt C.J. Hart

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.54

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WCaro 25

Situational Analysis

Western Carolina

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
14%
14 plays
0%
3 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
20%
10 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
13%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
4th

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
3 plays
57%
40 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
40%
5 plays
50%
6 plays
62%
13 plays
100%
2 plays
3rd
83%
6 plays
25%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays