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← Back to GamesDec 1, 2018Week 14
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Buffalo by 7.6

Home Win Probability

Buffalo 67%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Dec 1, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois
01071330
BuffaloBuffalo
7157029

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-013-013-719-719-1029-1029-2429-30
BuffaloNorthern Illinois

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NIBUFNIBUFNIBUFNIBUFNIBUFNIBUFNIBUFNIBUFNIBUFNIBUFNIBUFNIPUNT831ydTD1394ydPUNT437ydTD1194ydTD1275ydTD975ydFG1253ydDOWNS870ydUncategorized00ydTD875ydPUNT716ydPUNT3-4ydTO10ydPUNT60ydTD534ydPUNT34ydTD463ydPUNT516ydPUNT617ydPUNT6-9ydTD870ydDOWNS634ydUncategorized1-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northern Illinois and Buffalo
StatisticNorthern IllinoisBuffalo
Passing21-3318-35
Pass Yards300252
Rush Yards109142
Total Yards409394
Turnovers10
3rd Down5-137-15
Penalties7-913-20
Possession24:4835:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northern Illinois
passing
Marcus Childers
21/33, 300 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Marcus Childers
15 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
D.J. Brown
4 REC, 84 YDS, 2 TD
Buffalo
passing
Tyree Jackson
18/35, 252 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Kevin Marks
17 CAR, 72 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Anthony Johnson
7 REC, 124 YDS, 2 TD
defense
Khalil Hodge
0.5 TFL, 1 PD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Marcus Childers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 7 yds to the NoIll 32

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Jordan Nettles run for 6 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer Tears

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Jordan Nettles run for 2 yds to the NoIll 40

3rd & 8Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.65

Marcus Childers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the Buff 49

2nd & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Marcus Childers run for 5 yds to the Buff 44

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Jauan Wesley

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 38 yds, downed at the Buff 6

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.41

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 12 yds to the Buff 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.51

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.66

Jaret Patterson run for 16 yds to the Buff 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.56

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Jaret Patterson for 17 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the NoIll 46

3rd & 7Penalty+15 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the NoIll 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Zac Lefebvre for 6 yds to the NoIll 25

2nd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Kevin Marks run for no gain to the NoIll 25

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Tyree Jackson run for 3 yds to the NoIll 22

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.85

Kevin Marks run for 2 yds to the NoIll 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the NoIll 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Kevin Marks run for 2 yds to the NoIll 3

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+34 ydsPPA +2.84

Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 34 yds to the Buff 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.47

Marcus Childers run for 2 yds to the Buff 39

2nd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Marcus Childers run for 1 yd to the Buff 38

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Marcus Childers pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 32 yds, fair catch by K.J. Osborn at the Buff 6

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Jaret Patterson run for 1 yd to the Buff 7

2nd & 9Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.27

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Zac Lefebvre for 8 yds to the Buff 15

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.38

Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the Buff 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds to the Buff 23

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.55

Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds to the Buff 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +2.34

Tyree Jackson run for 24 yds to the BUFFALO 48 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the NoIll 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.15

Jaret Patterson run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 36

2nd & 13Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.57

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 8 yds to the NoIll 28

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.94

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 15 yds to the NoIll 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 13 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty PAT MISSED)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

D.J. Brown run for 4 yds to the NoIll 29

2nd & 6Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.94

Marcus Childers sacked by Jordan Collier for a loss of 4 yards to the NoIll 25

3rd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.57

Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 17 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the NoIll 47

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.96

Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the NoIll 48

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Marcus Childers run for 3 yds to the Buff 49

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +2.10

Tre Harbison run for 1 yd to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.00

Marcus Childers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 24 yds to the Buff 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

Marcus Childers run for 3 yds to the Buff 21

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Marcus Jones run for 1 yd to the Buff 20

3rd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.64

Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 7 yds to the Buff 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 13 yds for a TD (Andrew Gantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the Buff 29

2nd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.24

Kevin Marks run for 9 yds to the Buff 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.03

Kevin Marks run for 9 yds to the Buff 47

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +1.00

Kevin Marks run for 1 yd to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 8 yds to the NoIll 44

2nd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.28

Kevin Marks run for 13 yds to the NoIll 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Kevin Marks run for 5 yds to the NoIll 26

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +2.76

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 26 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.11

Marcus Childers sacked by James Patterson for a loss of 6 yards to the NoIll 19

2nd & 16Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.45

Marcus Childers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 11 yds to the NoIll 30

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Marcus Childers run for 4 yds to the NoIll 34

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.65

Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the NoIll 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Marcus Childers run for 6 yds to the NoIll 42

2nd & 4Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.82

Tre Harbison run for 7 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

Tre Harbison run for 2 yds to the Buff 49

2nd & 8Rush+33 ydsPPA +2.00

Marcus Childers run for 33 yds to the Buff 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 5 yds to the Buff 11

2nd & 5Penalty-11 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ryan Roberts) to the Buff 22

2nd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Jauan Wesley

3rd & 16Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Marcus Childers pass incomplete to D.J. Brown

4th & 16Field Goal Good+39 ydsPPA +1.04

Andrew Gantz 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the Buff 27

2nd & 6Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.12

Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the Buff 30 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Weston Kramer) to the Buff 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.23

Jaret Patterson run for 9 yds to the NoIll 46

2nd & 1Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +0.49

Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 31 yds to the NoIll 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Tyree Jackson run for 8 yds to the NoIll 7

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn

4th & 2Field Goal Good+24 ydsPPA -1.05

Adam Mitcheson 24 yd FG GOOD

0th & 2End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

No play data available
1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.32

Jaret Patterson run for 15 yds to the Buff 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Jaret Patterson for 2 yds to the Buff 42

2nd & 8Rush0 ydsPPA -0.93

Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the Buff 42

3rd & 8Pass Reception+36 ydsPPA +3.72

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 36 yds to the NoIll 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.22

Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the NoIll 20

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn

3rd & 8Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, False Start (Evin Ksiezarczyk) to the NoIll 25

3rd & 13Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.62

Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 16 yds to the NoIll 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Jaret Patterson run for 9 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Jordan Nettles run for 9 yds to the NoIll 34

2nd & 1Sack-5 ydsPPA -2.02

Marcus Childers sacked by Myles Nicholas for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 29

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Marcus Childers run for 5 yds to the NoIll 34

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.85

Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the NoIll 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Marcus Childers pass complete to Ty Harmston for 1 yd to the NoIll 39

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Jordan Nettles run for 2 yds to the NoIll 41

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Dennis Robinson

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 43 yds, downed at the Buff 16

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.57

Jaret Patterson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 14

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Antonio Nunn

3rd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.08

Jaret Patterson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Buff 12

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 44

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+13 ydsPPA -2.63

Marcus Childers pass intercepted Tatum Slack return for a loss of 13 yards to the Buff 5

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Kevin Marks run for 2 yds to the Buff 7

2nd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.26

Tyree Jackson sacked by Sutton Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the Buff 2

3rd & 13Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.78

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 14 yds to the Buff 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.46

Kevin Marks run for 7 yds to the Buff 23

2nd & 3Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.20

Tyree Jackson sacked by Josh Corcoran for a loss of 10 yards to the Buff 13

3rd & 13Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.08

Tyree Jackson sacked by Josh Corcoran for a loss of 8 yards to the Buff 5

4th & 21Punt+4 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 33 yds , Cole Tucker returns for 4 yds to the Buff 34

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Marcus Childers pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Marcus Childers pass complete to Dennis Robinson for 6 yds to the Buff 28

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.72

Tre Harbison run for 5 yds to the Buff 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.01

Marcus Jones run for a loss of 5 yards to the Buff 28

2nd & 15Passing Touchdown+28 ydsPPA +3.67

Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 28 yds for a TD (Andrew Gantz KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.70

Jaret Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Buff 21

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds to the Buff 26

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Jaret Patterson

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.64

Marcus Childers pass complete to Cole Tucker for 19 yds to the Buff 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.71

Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 8 yds to the Buff 36

2nd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Tre Harbison run for 4 yds to the Buff 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+32 ydsPPA +2.87

Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 32 yds for a TD (Andrew Gantz KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Kevin Marks for 7 yds to the Buff 32

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.52

Kevin Marks run for 6 yds to the Buff 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.09

Kevin Marks run for no gain to the Buff 38

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.69

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, False Start (James O'Hagan) to the Buff 33

3rd & 15Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.22

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Charlie Jones for 8 yds to the Buff 41

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 56 yds, downed at the NoIll 3

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Tre Harbison run for 3 yds to the NoIll 6

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.40

Marcus Childers pass complete to Spencer Tears for 8 yds to the NoIll 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.65

Marcus Childers run for 12 yds to the NoIll 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, False Start (Mitchell Brinkman) to the NoIll 21

1st & 15Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.55

Marcus Childers sacked by Khalil Hodge and DeShondrick Foxworth for a loss of 7 yards to the NoIll 14

1st & 15Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.55

Marcus Childers sacked by Khalil Hodge and DeShondrick Foxworth for a loss of 7 yards to the NoIll 14

2nd & 22Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Marcus Childers pass incomplete to D.J. Brown

3rd & 22Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.01

Marcus Childers run for 6 yds to the NoIll 20

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Matt Ference punt for 40 yds, fair catch by K.J. Osborn at the Buff 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Kevin Marks for 6 yds to the Buff 46

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.46

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the Buff 49

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.13

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, Offensive Holding (Paul Nosworthy) to the Buff 42

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the Buff 45

2nd & 17Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Tyler Mabry

3rd & 17Sack-14 ydsPPA -0.56

Tyree Jackson sacked by Sutton Smith for a loss of 14 yards to the Buff 31

4th & 31Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Cole Tucker at the NoIll 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Marcus Childers pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 8 yds to the NoIll 38

2nd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.13

Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 4 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Dennis Robinson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Jauan Wesley

3rd & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.99

Marcus Childers pass complete to Marcus Jones for 12 yds to the Buff 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.03

Marcus Childers pass incomplete to Spencer Tears

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.60

Marcus Childers pass complete to Mitchell Brinkman for 11 yds to the Buff 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+35 ydsPPA +2.97

Marcus Childers pass complete to D.J. Brown for 35 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 19 yds to the Buff 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

NORTHERNIL Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Jalen Embry) to the NoIll 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to K.J. Osborn

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.69

TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoIll 38

Situational Analysis

Northern Illinois

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
29 plays
0%
2 plays
2nd
50%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
50%
6 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays
100%
1 play

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
45%
31 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
6 plays
67%
6 plays
45%
11 plays
50%
4 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
50%
6 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play