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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2018Week 13
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Buffalo by 16.1

Home Win Probability

Bowling Green 16%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
BuffaloBuffalo
13217344
Bowling GreenBowling Green
700714

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-77-137-197-277-347-417-4414-44
Bowling GreenBuffalo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BGBUFBGBUFBGBUFBGBGBUFBGBUFBGBUFBGBUFBGBUFBGBUFBGBUFPUNT3-2ydPUNT33ydPUNT33ydTD556ydTD775ydTD1075ydTD644ydPUNT33ydTD880ydPUNT3-10ydTD1760ydTO23ydTO10ydUncategorized1-2ydPUNT34ydPUNT35ydTD1292ydPUNT3-4ydFG1467ydTD375ydUncategorized1246yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Buffalo and Bowling Green
StatisticBuffaloBowling Green
Passing12-229-18
Pass Yards151147
Rush Yards33258
Total Yards483205
Turnovers12
3rd Down11-181-8
Penalties4-254-40
Possession42:3016:09

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Buffalo
passing
Tyree Jackson
12/20, 151 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Emmanuel Reed
15 CAR, 109 YDS
receiving
Charlie Jones
1 REC, 47 YDS
defense
Bowling Green
passing
Jarret Doege
8/17, 84 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Grant Loy
5 CAR, 36 YDS
receiving
Scott Miller
4 REC, 115 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Andrew Clair run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 30

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Quintin Morris

3rd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.59

Jarret Doege sacked by Ledarius Mack for a loss of 7 yards to the BwGrn 23

4th & 12Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 37 yds, downed at the Buff 40

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Jaret Patterson run for 3 yds to the Buff 43

2nd & 7Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for no gain to the Buff 43

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.62

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 57 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Andrew Clair run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 19

2nd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Grant Loy run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 23

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Scott Miller

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the Buff 48

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 47

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.95

Jaret Patterson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jaret Patterson run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 40

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+40 ydsPPA +3.38

Jaret Patterson run for 40 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jarret Doege pass complete to Justin Sawmiller for 5 yds to the BwGrn 30

2nd & 5Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.30

Rico Frye run for 22 yds to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

Rico Frye run for no gain to the Buff 48

2nd & 10Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +2.25

Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 38 yds to the Buff 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Bryson Denley run for 3 yds to the Buff 7

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Quintin Morris, broken up by Joey Banks

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.88

Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 7 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Kevin Marks run for no gain to the Buff 25

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the Buff 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.38

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 14 yds to the Buff 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 2 yds to the Buff 45

2nd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.35

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Kevin Marks for 6 yds to the BwGrn 49

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.45

Jaret Patterson run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Kevin Marks run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 42

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.06

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson

3rd & 9Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Kevin Marks for 5 yds to the BwGrn 37

4th & 4Passing Touchdown+37 ydsPPA +5.07

Tyree Jackson pass complete to George Rushing for 37 yds for a TD (Adam Mitcheson PAT BLOCKED)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.10

Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 17 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Grant Loy run for 11 yds to the Buff 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Grant Loy run for 6 yds to the Buff 38

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Bryson Denley

3rd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+69 ydsPPA -2.92

Jarret Doege pass complete to Scott Miller for 6 yds for a TD Scott Miller fumbled, forced by Khalil Hodge, recovered by Buff Brandon Williams , return for 69 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jarret Doege pass complete to Jordan Wayne-Prather for 3 yds to the BwGrn 28

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Rico Frye run for no gain to the BwGrn 28

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Rico Frye

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 72 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.69

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Anthony Johnson for 10 yds to the Buff 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.00

Jaret Patterson run for 8 yds to the Buff 38

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.27

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson, broken up by Marcus Milton

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.40

Jaret Patterson run for 4 yds to the Buff 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.82

Jaret Patterson run for no gain to the Buff 42

3rd & 10Pass Reception+47 ydsPPA +4.01

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Charlie Jones for 47 yds to the BwGrn 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

Jaret Patterson run for 11 yds for a TD (Tyree Jackson pass to K.J. Osborn for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jarret Doege pass complete to Jordan Wayne-Prather for 5 yds to the BwGrn 30

2nd & 5Penalty-15 yds

DOEGE, Jarret pass complete to MORRIS, Quintin for 5 yards to the BGSU35 (WILLIAMS, Brand), PENALTY BGSU pass interference (MILLER, Scott) 15 yards to the BGSU15, NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Quintin Morris, broken up by Tatum Slack

3rd & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.03

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Justin Sawmiller

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 45 yds , K.J. Osborn returns for no gain to the Buff 40

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.34

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Johnathan Hawkins for 9 yds to the Buff 49

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.80

Tyree Jackson pass complete to K.J. Osborn for 8 yds to the BwGrn 40

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to George Rushing

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.95

Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 33

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Kevin Marks run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 27

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.30

Tyree Jackson run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Kevin Marks run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 23

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 19

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.45

Kevin Marks run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Kevin Marks run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 9

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Kevin Marks run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 5

3rd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.64

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

Kevin Marks run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Kevin Marks run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Bryson Denley run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 26

2nd & 7Pass Interception Return-11 ydsPPA -0.52

Jarret Doege pass intercepted Tatum Slack return for 11 yds to the BwGrn 24

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -4.32

Tyree Jackson pass intercepted, touchback. Clint Stephens return for no gain

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.70

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 18

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Kevin Marks run for 1 yd to the Buff 26

2nd & 9Penalty+5 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Buff 31

2nd & 4Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Buff 26

2nd & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the Buff 29

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Tyree Jackson pass incomplete to Anthony Johnson

4th & 6Punt+6 yds

Evan Finegan punt for 33 yds , Marcus Milton returns for 6 yds to the BwGrn 44

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jarret Doege pass complete to Quintin Morris for 2 yds to the BwGrn 49

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Quintin Morris

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 8

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the Buff 9

2nd & 9Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.73

Emmanuel Reed run for 11 yds to the Buff 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Tyler Mabry for 6 yds to the Buff 26

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.49

Emmanuel Reed run for 5 yds to the Buff 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.51

Emmanuel Reed run for 16 yds to the Buff 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +1.38

Emmanuel Reed run for 12 yds to the BOWLGREEN 41 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the BwGrn 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.36

Kevin Marks run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 25

2nd & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

Emmanuel Reed run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 24

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Tyree Jackson pass complete to Kevin Marks for 7 yds to the BwGrn 17

4th & 1Penalty+5 yds

BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Defensive offside (Nico Lautanen) to the BwGrn 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Kevin Marks run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 6

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 3

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.47

Kevin Marks run for 3 yds for a TD (Alex McNulty KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Grant Loy run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 38

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Andrew Clair run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 41

3rd & 4Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.28

Jarret Doege sacked by Malcolm Koonce for a loss of 10 yards to the BwGrn 31

4th & 14Punt0 yds

Matt Naranjo punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Buff 29

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Buff 24

1st & 15Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.53

Emmanuel Reed run for 8 yds to the Buff 32

2nd & 7Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.11

Emmanuel Reed run for 16 yds to the Buff 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Theo Anderson run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 44

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Theo Anderson run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Emmanuel Reed run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 35

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete

3rd & 7Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.57

Emmanuel Reed run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

BUFFALO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 27

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Emmanuel Reed run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 21

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Emmanuel Reed run for no gain to the BwGrn 21

3rd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.02

Emmanuel Reed run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Emmanuel Reed run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 4

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Kyle Vantrease pass incomplete

3rd & 4Rush0 ydsPPA -0.29

Emmanuel Reed run for no gain to the BwGrn 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 ydsPPA -1.02

Alex McNulty 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Andrew Clair run for no gain to the BwGrn 25

2nd & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.73

Grant Loy run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+63 ydsPPA +5.05

Grant Loy pass complete to Scott Miller for 63 yds for a TD (Nate Needham KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.93

Dylan McDuffie run for 8 yds to the Buff 34

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.03

Dylan McDuffie run for 3 yds to the Buff 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Dylan McDuffie run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Theo Anderson run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 47

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Theo Anderson run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 44

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.88

Dylan McDuffie run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 43

4th & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.37

Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Dylan McDuffie run for 11 yds to the BwGrn 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Dylan McDuffie run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 24

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.26

Dylan McDuffie run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

MYERS, Matt rush for 14 yards to the BGSU0, clock 01:21, PENALTY UB holding 10 yards to the BGSU24, NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.89

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 26

2nd & 22Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.37

TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 28

Situational Analysis

Buffalo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
52%
31 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
50%
6 plays
57%
7 plays
29%
14 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
86%
7 plays
40%
5 plays
83%
6 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
50%
2 plays

Bowling Green

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
38%
16 plays
2nd
33%
3 plays
38%
8 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
0%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
1 play
4th