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← Back to GamesNov 17, 2018Week 12
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

NC State by 18.7

Home Win Probability

Louisville 12%

No market line posted for this game.

fitted_v1 · Nov 17, 2018

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
NC StateNC State
710211452
LouisvilleLouisville
300710

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-03-73-103-173-243-313-4510-52
LouisvilleNC State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NSLOUNSLOUNSLOUNSLOUNSLOULOUNSLOUNSLOUNSLOUNSLOUNSLOUNSLOUPUNT37ydFG940ydTD1076ydPUNT516ydPUNT610ydPUNT3-6ydFG946ydMISS859ydTD1380ydEND544ydTO30ydTD222ydPUNT31ydPUNT419ydPUNT31ydTD239ydPUNT39ydTD470ydTO445ydTD1399ydTD675ydTD1375ydEND1395yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing NC State and Louisville
StatisticNC StateLouisville
Passing0-013-25
Pass Yards0157
Rush Yards0254
Total Yards0411
Turnovers02
3rd Down0-00-0
Penalties0-00-0
Possession--

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

NC State
defense
Louisville
passing
Malik Cunningham
8/14, 90 YDS
rushing
Malik Cunningham
14 CAR, 100 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Jaylen Smith
3 REC, 56 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 2 yds to the NCSt 24

3rd & 8Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Ryan Finley pass complete to Reggie Gallaspy II for 5 yds to the NCSt 29

4th & 3Punt+26 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 41 yds NC STATE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Lvile 45

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the Lvile 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.22

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 7 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Colin Wilson run for 4 yds to the NCSt 41

2nd & 6Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.87

Malik Cunningham run for 15 yds to the NCSt 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.16

Jeremy Smith run for 11 yds to the NCSt 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.46

Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 17

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.37

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Colin Wilson for 2 yds to the NCSt 15

4th & 10Field Goal Good+32 ydsPPA -0.18

Blanton Creque 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.43

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the NCSt 26

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 2 yds to the NCSt 28

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, (5 Yards) to the NCSt 33

3rd & 1Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.31

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 6 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 5 yds to the NCSt 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.82

Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 5 yds to the NCSt 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.72

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 12 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Ricky Person Jr. run for 5 yds to the Lvile 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.31

Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 8 yds to the Lvile 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 25 yds for a TD LOUISVILLE Penalty, (1 Yards) to the Lvile 2 (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Malik Cunningham run for 6 yds to the Lvile 31

2nd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.60

Colin Wilson run for 5 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Malik Cunningham run for 6 yds to the Lvile 42

3rd & 4Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.86

Malik Cunningham sacked by Xavier Lyas and Germaine Pratt for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 41

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 52 yds, downed at the NCSt 7

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.31

Ricky Person Jr. run for no gain to the NCSt 7

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.15

Ricky Person Jr. run for 7 yds to the NCSt 14

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.64

Ryan Finley pass complete to Cary Angeline for 6 yds to the NCSt 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.75

Ricky Person Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the NCSt 17

2nd & 13Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.15

Ryan Finley pass complete to Dylan Autenrieth for no gain to the NCSt 17

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon, broken up by Anthony Johnson

4th & 13Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 52 yds , Rodjay Burns returns for no gain to the Lvile 17 LOUISVILLE Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) declined

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.88

Tutu Atwell sacked by Eurndraus Bryant for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 16

2nd & 15Rush-6 ydsPPA -0.17

Colin Wilson run for 3 yds to the Lvile 19 LOUISVILLE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-9 Yards) to the Lvile 10

3rd & 21Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.00

Jeremy Smith run for 5 yds to the Lvile 15

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 49

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Maurice Trowell run for 9 yds to the Lvile 42

2nd & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.68

Reggie Gallaspy II run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 44

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.38

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 6 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 5 yds to the Lvile 33

2nd & 5Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +0.96

Ryan Finley pass complete to Dylan Autenrieth for 27 yds to the Lvile 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Dylan Autenrieth

2nd & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.23

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd to the Lvile 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas, broken up by Dorian Etheridge

4th & 5Field Goal Good+23 ydsPPA -0.95

Christopher Dunn 23 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.97

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Micky Crum for 12 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the Lvile 38

2nd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.17

Malik Cunningham run for 17 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +0.94

Hassan Hall run for 32 yds to the NCSt 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (Mekhi Becton) to the NCSt 18

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Hassan Hall, broken up by James Smith-Williams

2nd & 15Penalty-5 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (Micky Crum) to the NCSt 23

2nd & 20Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the NCSt 22

3rd & 19Penalty-11 yds

Cunningham, Mal rush left for 22 yards to the ST0, clock 06:19, PENALTY LOU holding (Thomas, Ken.) 11 yards to the ST33, NO PLAY.

3rd & 30Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.93

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Hassan Hall for 15 yds to the NCSt 18

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Blanton Creque 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 9 yds to the NCSt 29

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Ricky Person Jr. run for 6 yds to the NCSt 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Ricky Person Jr. run for 6 yds to the NCSt 41

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.45

Ricky Person Jr. run for 3 yds to the NCSt 44

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.20

Ricky Person Jr. run for 3 yds to the NCSt 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Thayer Thomas, broken up by Chandler Jones

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.11

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 14 yds to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Ricky Person Jr. run for 5 yds to the Lvile 34

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon

3rd & 5Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.23

Ryan Finley pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 11 yds to the Lvile 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.20

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 20 yds to the Lvile 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Ryan Finley run for 2 yds to the Lvile 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Malik Cunningham run for 6 yds to the Lvile 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.18

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 11 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the Lvile 45

2nd & 7Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.70

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Hassan Hall for 13 yds to the NCSt 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.45

Malik Cunningham run for 11 yds to the NCSt 31 for a 1ST down

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Colin Wilson run for 3 yds to the Lvile 25

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Seth Dawkins, broken up by Chris Ingram

3rd & 7Sack-3 ydsPPA -0.30

Malik Cunningham sacked by James Smith-Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 22 Malik Cunningham fumbled, recovered by NCSt Isaiah Moore , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 4 yds to the Lvile 18

2nd & 6Rushing Touchdown+18 ydsPPA +2.68

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 18 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Colin Wilson run for 1 yd to the Lvile 26

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.41

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick

4th & 9Punt+7 yds

Mason King punt for 38 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 7 yds to the NCSt 33 NC STATE Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the NCSt 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +2.29

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 28 yds to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.71

Ryan Finley sacked by Tabarius Peterson and Dorian Etheridge for a loss of 9 yards to the Lvile 48

2nd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi Meyers

3rd & 19Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Jakobi Meyers

4th & 19Punt0 yds

A.J. Cole III punt for 47 yds, downed at the Lvile 1

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jeremy Smith run for 3 yds to the Lvile 4

2nd & 7Penalty-2 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (Micky Crum) to the Lvile 2

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Jawon Pass pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Jawon Pass pass incomplete, broken up by Shug Frazier

4th & 9Punt+1 yds

Mason King punt for 38 yds , Thayer Thomas returns for 1 yd to the Lvile 39

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +0.61

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 27 yds to the Lvile 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

Ryan Finley pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 12 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

Hassan Hall run for 2 yds to the Lvile 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.40

Jawon Pass pass complete to Micky Crum for 7 yds to the Lvile 32

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.64

Jawon Pass run for no gain to the Lvile 32

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mason King punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Thayer Thomas at the NCSt 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.68

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 18 yds to the NCSt 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.77

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 11 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +1.19

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 35 yds to the Lvile 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.05

Ryan Finley pass complete to Reggie Gallaspy II for 6 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Jawon Pass pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 16 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +1.84

Jawon Pass pass complete to Jaylen Smith for 29 yds to the NCSt 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Jeremy Smith

2nd & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -3.63

Jawon Pass pass intercepted Jarius Morehead return for no gain to the NCSt 1

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.15

Ricky Person Jr. run for 2 yds to the NCSt 3

2nd & 8Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.66

Ricky Person Jr. run for no gain to the NCSt 3 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Amonte Caban) to the NCSt 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Finley, R. deep pass incomplete to Harmon, K., PENALTY LOU 12 men on the field 5 yards to the ST23, NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Ricky Person Jr. run for 3 yds to the NCSt 26

2nd & 2Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.88

Ryan Finley pass complete to C.J. Riley for 13 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Ricky Person Jr. run for 7 yds to the NCSt 46

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -1.30

Ricky Person Jr. run for no gain to the NCSt 46

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.15

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 12 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Ryan Finley pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.49

Reggie Gallaspy II run for 7 yds to the Lvile 35

3rd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.97

Ryan Finley run for 8 yds to the Lvile 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Ryan Finley pass incomplete to Kelvin Harmon

2nd & 10Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +1.77

Ryan Finley pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 24 yds to the Lvile 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Ryan Finley pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 3 yds for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 4 yds to the Lvile 29

2nd & 6Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +2.72

Malik Cunningham pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 26 yds to the NCSt 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.80

Malik Cunningham run for 21 yds to the NCSt 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.65

Jeremy Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCSt 26

2nd & 12Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.16

Jeremy Smith run for 6 yds to the NCSt 20

3rd & 6Rushing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +3.18

Malik Cunningham run for 20 yds for a TD (Blanton Creque KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Brady Bodine run for 3 yds to the NCSt 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Matthew McKay pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 5 yds to the NCSt 33

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.25

Matthew McKay run for 4 yds to the NCSt 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Matthew McKay pass complete to Emeka Emezie for 8 yds to the NCSt 45

2nd & 2Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.77

Brady Bodine run for 14 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Matthew McKay pass incomplete to Jakobi Meyers

2nd & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.45

Matthew McKay pass complete to Kelvin Harmon for 18 yds to the Lvile 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.32

Matthew McKay run for 1 yd to the Lvile 22

2nd & 9Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Matthew McKay pass complete to Jakobi Meyers for 2 yds to the Lvile 20

3rd & 7Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.79

Matthew McKay run for 17 yds to the Lvile 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.06

Brady Bodine run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 6

2nd & 6Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Matthew McKay pass complete to Thayer Thomas for 5 yds to the Lvile 1

3rd & 1Penalty0 yds

LOUISVILLE Penalty, ( Yards) to the Lvile 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Brady Bodine run for 1 yd for a TD (Christopher Dunn KICK)

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.27

Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 2 Malik Cunningham fumbled, recovered by Lvile Malik Cunningham , return for no gain to the Lvile 2

2nd & 12Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.14

Jawon Pass pass complete to Seth Dawkins for 8 yds to the Lvile 10

3rd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jawon Pass pass complete to Keion Wakefield for 7 yds to the Lvile 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Jeremy Smith

2nd & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.59

Jeremy Smith run for 16 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

Jawon Pass pass incomplete to Seth Dawkins

2nd & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +3.25

Jeremy Smith run for 28 yds to the NCSt 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.02

Colin Wilson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCSt 40

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Jawon Pass run for 3 yds to the NCSt 37

3rd & 8Rush+29 ydsPPA +2.20

Colin Wilson run for 29 yds to the NCSt 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.21

Jeremy Smith run for 2 yds to the NCSt 6

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Jeremy Smith run for 5 yds to the NCSt 1

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jeremy Smith run for no gain to the NCSt 1

Situational Analysis

NC State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
33%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
55%
31 plays
2nd
67%
6 plays
63%
8 plays
73%
11 plays
0%
2 plays
3rd
100%
8 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
32%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
100%
5 plays
64%
11 plays
33%
6 plays
3rd
0%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
0%
1 play