House Prediction
Model Margin
Even matchup
Home Win Probability
Murray State 47%
Market (DraftKings)
Murray State -14
fitted_v1 · Sep 12, 2026
Line Movement
Line opened at Murray State -14 · O/U 51.5 · DraftKings, Sep 12, 1:26 PM
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valparaiso | 0 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 18 |
Murray State | 7 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 27 |
Scoring Timeline
Drive Chart
Box Score
| Statistic | Valparaiso | Murray State |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 20-35 | 18-30 |
| Pass Yards | 249 | 194 |
| Rush Yards | 78 | 194 |
| Total Yards | 327 | 388 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
| 3rd Down | 1-11 | 7-17 |
| Penalties | 3-19 | 8-86 |
| Possession | 27:35 | 32:25 |
Player Leaders
Player Leaders
Play-by-Play
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Shannon pass complete short right to #1 D.Embry caught at MUR37, for 9 yards to the MUR46 (#0 N.Lendino; #4 A.Feltrinelli)
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Campbell rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MUR48 (#1 M.Samuel; #15 G.Batres), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Campbell rush middle for 7 yards gain to the VAL45 (#6 J.Salman)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Shannon pass incomplete short middle thrown to VAL43 broken up by #98 A.Morris
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Campbell rush left for 6 yards loss to the MUR49 (#15 G.Batres)
#31 V.Kyatt punt 51 yards to the VAL00, Touchback
#2 R.Keefe pass complete short middle to #14 D.White caught at VAL26, for 6 yards to the VAL26 (#7 R.McCall)
#20 M.Rumoro rush left for 12 yards gain to the VAL38 (#25 A.McGill), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass complete short right to #20 M.Rumoro caught at VAL33, for 4 yards loss to the VAL34 (#12 T.Lewis II)
Shotgun #20 M.Rumoro rush middle for 0 yards to the VAL34 (#1 K.Ingram; #15 J.Walker)
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass incomplete deep right to #9 C.Gundy thrown to MUR40
#88 W.Orlando punt 25 yards to the MUR41, out of bounds at MUR41
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Shannon pass complete short left to #13 T.Firestone caught at MUR36, for 9 yards to the MUR50 (#19 C.Cervantes)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Shannon pass complete short middle to #13 T.Firestone caught at VAL45, for 6 yards to the VAL44 (#0 N.Lendino), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Shannon pass incomplete short middle thrown to VAL45 PENALTY MUR Illegal Shift (#0 K.Vaka) 5 yards from VAL44 to VAL49. NO PLAY
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Shannon pass complete short right to #9 M.Allen caught at MUR45, for 3 yards loss to the MUR48 (#1 M.Samuel; #4 A.Feltrinelli)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Shannon pass complete short right to #6 D.Howard caught at MUR48, for 8 yards to the VAL44 (#8 O.Nurse), out of bounds
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Shannon pass complete short middle to #12 T.Brown caught at VAL36, for 8 yards to the VAL36 (#6 J.Salman)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Shannon rush right for 2 yards gain to the VAL34 (#0 N.Lendino), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Shannon pass complete short right to #6 D.Howard caught at VAL30, for 9 yards to the VAL25 (#3 M.Johnson), out of bounds
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Shannon pass incomplete short right to #18 H.Simsir thrown to VAL22 QB hurried by #15 G.Batres
No Huddle-Shotgun #30 J.Northington rush middle for 7 yards gain to the VAL18 (#37 C.Baczek), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #30 J.Northington rush left for 3 yards gain to the VAL15 (#8 O.Nurse)
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Allen rush right for 2 yards gain to the VAL13 (#4 A.Feltrinelli; #8 O.Nurse)
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Shannon pass complete short right to #7 L.Green caught at VAL04, for 11 yards to the VAL02 (#4 A.Feltrinelli; #3 M.Johnson), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #30 J.Northington rush middle for 2 yards gain to the VAL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:51 #29 R.Devita kick attempt good (H: #19 S.Ashby, LS: #47 C.Ford)
Shotgun #20 M.Rumoro rush right for 1 yard gain to the VAL32 (#90 C.Daniels; #42 C.Henderson)
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass complete short right to #20 M.Rumoro caught at VAL26, for 0 yards to the VAL32 (#7 R.McCall)
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass incomplete deep left to #9 C.Gundy thrown to MUR45 broken up by #12 T.Lewis II
PENALTY VAL Delay Of Game (#88 W.Orlando) 5 yards from VAL32 to VAL27. NO PLAY
#88 W.Orlando punt 46 yards to the MUR27 #82 P.Williams return 9 yards to the MUR36 (#42 A.Goworowski), out of bounds
Shotgun #2 C.Shannon rush right for 2 yards gain to the MUR38 (#4 A.Feltrinelli)
Shotgun #5 T.Campbell rush middle for 0 yards to the MUR38 (#1 M.Samuel)
Shotgun #2 C.Shannon pass incomplete short middle to #8 J.Potter thrown to MUR50
#31 V.Kyatt punt 34 yards to the VAL28 fair catch by #9 C.Gundy at VAL28
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass complete short middle to #9 C.Gundy caught at VAL45, for 31 yards to the MUR41 (#9 D.Rowsey), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass complete short right to #9 C.Gundy caught at MUR43, for 6 yards to the MUR35 (#26 R.Hemphill), out of bounds
Shotgun #24 A.Allen rush middle for 3 yards loss to the MUR38 (#15 J.Walker; #57 D.Condie)
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass complete short right to #27 M.Mackay caught at MUR37, for 4 yards to the MUR34 (#7 R.McCall) PENALTY MUR Roughing The Passer (#4 M.White, Jr.) 15 yards from MUR34 to MUR19, 1ST DOWN
#9 C.Gundy rush left for 7 yards gain to the MUR12 (#8 B.Esplin)
#24 A.Allen rush middle for 0 yards to the MUR12 (#1 K.Ingram)
#2 R.Keefe pass intercepted by #25 A.McGill at MUR00 #25 A.McGill return 100 yards to the VAL00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 12:33 PENALTY MUR Holding (#12 T.Lewis II) 6 yards from MUR12 to MUR06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
#19 C.Benning III rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MUR04 (#1 K.Ingram)
#2 R.Keefe rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:41 #26 L.Scoma kick attempt good (H: #88 W.Orlando, LS: #30 H.Hourany)
Shotgun #2 C.Shannon pass complete deep middle to #13 T.Firestone caught at VAL18, for 47 yards to the VAL15, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #9 M.Allen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the VAL11 (#19 C.Cervantes)
Shotgun #6 D.Howard rush right for 4 yards gain to the VAL07 (#91 G.Risley; #5 W.Little) PENALTY MUR Holding (#12 T.Brown) 10 yards from VAL11 to VAL21. NO PLAY
Shotgun #2 C.Shannon pass complete short right to #5 T.Campbell caught at VAL20, for 9 yards to the VAL12 (#5 W.Little)
Shotgun #9 M.Allen rush middle for 12 yards gain to the VAL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:23, 1ST DOWN #29 R.Devita kick attempt good (H: #19 S.Ashby, LS: #47 C.Ford)
#2 R.Keefe pass complete short left to #18 K.Fouty-Koonce caught at VAL30, for 5 yards to the VAL30, End Of Play
#19 C.Benning III rush left for 0 yards to the VAL30 (#90 C.Daniels)
#2 R.Keefe pass complete short right to #27 M.Mackay caught at VAL38, for 12 yards to the VAL42 (#2 T.Cline), 1ST DOWN
#19 C.Benning III rush left for 1 yard gain to the VAL43 (#6 D.Girard)
#2 R.Keefe pass incomplete short middle to #17 D.Yeats thrown to VAL50 broken up by #1 K.Ingram
#2 R.Keefe rush middle for 7 yards gain to the VAL50 (#42 C.Henderson)
#88 W.Orlando punt 46 yards to the MUR04
Shotgun #30 J.Northington rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MUR09 (#98 A.Morris; #6 J.Salman)
Shotgun #30 J.Northington rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MUR12 (#8 O.Nurse; #6 J.Salman)
Shotgun #30 J.Northington rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MUR18 (#15 G.Batres), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #2 C.Shannon sacked for loss of 2 yards to the MUR16 (#42 A.Goworowski, #84 B.Thorp)
Shotgun #30 J.Northington rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MUR17 (#42 A.Goworowski; #1 M.Samuel)
Shotgun #2 C.Shannon pass incomplete short right to #83 T.Walker thrown to MUR30 QB hurried by #1 M.Samuel
#31 V.Kyatt punt 48 yards to the VAL35 fair catch by #9 C.Gundy at VAL35
#2 R.Keefe pass complete short right to #27 M.Mackay caught at VAL43, for 8 yards to the VAL43, out of bounds at VAL43. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". PLAY OVERTURNED. (Original Play: #2 R.Keefe pass incomplete deep right to #27 M.Mackay thrown to MUR40)
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass complete deep left to #9 C.Gundy caught at MUR34, for 32 yards to the MUR25 (#12 T.Lewis II), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass complete short right to #9 C.Gundy caught at MUR26, for 3 yards loss to the MUR28 (#15 J.Walker; #1 K.Ingram)
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe rush middle for 22 yards gain to the MUR06 (#15 J.Walker), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass incomplete short left to #27 M.Mackay thrown to MUR00
Shotgun #20 M.Rumoro rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MUR01 (#9 D.Rowsey; #1 K.Ingram)
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass incomplete short left to #11 C.Hayes thrown to MUR00
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass incomplete short right to #13 M.O'Keeffe thrown to MUR00 broken up by #12 T.Lewis II, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Shotgun #5 T.Campbell rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MUR05 (#4 A.Feltrinelli)
Shotgun #20 M.Rumoro rush middle for 5 yards gain to the VAL30 (#1 K.Ingram; #36 J.Murphy)
Shotgun #20 M.Rumoro rush left for 2 yards loss to the VAL28 (#12 T.Lewis II)
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass complete short right to #18 K.Fouty-Koonce caught at VAL32, for 6 yards to the VAL34 (#26 R.Hemphill)
#88 W.Orlando punt 31 yards to the MUR35 fair catch by #82 P.Williams at MUR35. The previous play is under automatic review - "Proper down". PLAY STANDS
Shotgun #5 T.Campbell rush middle for 12 yards gain to the MUR47 (#3 M.Johnson; #23 K.Wilhelm), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #6 D.Howard rush right for 20 yards gain to the VAL33 (#4 A.Feltrinelli), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #2 C.Shannon pass incomplete short middle to #13 T.Firestone thrown to VAL27 broken up by #0 N.Lendino
Shotgun #5 T.Campbell rush middle for 12 yards gain to the VAL21 (#0 N.Lendino), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #5 T.Campbell rush middle for 6 yards gain to the VAL15 (#3 M.Johnson)
Shotgun #5 T.Campbell rush middle for 2 yards gain to the VAL13 (#3 M.Johnson; #37 C.Baczek)
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Allen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the VAL12 (#4 A.Feltrinelli; #1 M.Samuel)
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Allen rush middle for 2 yards gain to the VAL10 (#1 M.Samuel; #4 A.Feltrinelli), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Shannon pass complete short left to #1 D.Embry caught at VAL11, for 8 yards to the VAL02 (#8 O.Nurse), out of bounds
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Embry rush left for 2 yards gain to the VAL00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 08:27 PENALTY MUR Holding (#78 M.Martin) 10 yards from VAL02 to VAL12. NO PLAY
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Shannon pass incomplete short left to #13 T.Firestone thrown to VAL03
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 C.Shannon sacked for loss of 9 yards to the VAL21 (#1 M.Samuel)
#29 R.Devita field goal attempt from 39 yards NO GOOD blocked by #15 G.Batres (H: #19 S.Ashby, LS: #47 C.Ford), clock 07:43 recovered by VAL #8 O.Nurse at VAL27 (#29 R.Devita), out of bounds
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass complete deep left to #17 D.Yeats caught at MUR20, for 37 yards to the MUR14 (#26 R.Hemphill), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass incomplete short left to #17 D.Yeats thrown to MUR03
Shotgun #25 R.Tye rush right for 3 yards gain to the MUR11 (#2 T.Cline)
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass incomplete short middle to #17 D.Yeats thrown to MUR00 broken up by #1 K.Ingram
#26 L.Scoma field goal attempt from 28 yards NO GOOD (H: #88 W.Orlando, LS: #30 H.Hourany), clock 06:04
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Allen rush middle for 3 yards loss to the MUR17 (#1 M.Samuel)
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass incomplete short right to #13 T.Firestone thrown to MUR23
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass incomplete deep right to #13 T.Firestone thrown to MUR45
#31 V.Kyatt punt 56 yards to the VAL27
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass complete deep left to #9 C.Gundy caught at MUR40, for 41 yards to the MUR32 (#36 J.Murphy), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass complete short left to #11 C.Hayes caught at MUR30, for 4 yards to the MUR28, out of bounds at MUR28
Shotgun #25 R.Tye rush middle for 7 yards gain to the MUR21 (#3 D.Boykin; #9 D.Rowsey), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass incomplete deep middle to #14 D.White thrown to MUR00
Shotgun #25 R.Tye rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MUR20 (#15 J.Walker)
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass incomplete short middle to #17 D.Yeats thrown to MUR05
#26 L.Scoma field goal attempt from 37 yards GOOD (H: #88 W.Orlando, LS: #30 H.Hourany), clock 02:27
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass incomplete short right to #30 J.Northington thrown to MUR24
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass complete short right to #12 T.Brown caught at MUR22, for 1 yard to the MUR26 (#8 O.Nurse)
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass intercepted by #1 M.Samuel at MUR34, End Of Play
Shotgun #19 C.Benning III rush left for 4 yards gain to the MUR30 (#3 D.Boykin)
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass incomplete short left to #19 C.Benning III thrown to MUR35
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass incomplete deep right to #17 D.Yeats thrown to MUR10
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass intercepted by #8 B.Esplin at MUR08 #8 B.Esplin return 10 yards to the MUR18 (#14 D.White)
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Campbell rush right for 30 yards gain to the MUR48 (#6 J.Salman), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Campbell rush middle for 6 yards gain to the VAL46 (#4 A.Feltrinelli; #3 M.Johnson)
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Campbell rush middle for 0 yards to the VAL46 (#15 G.Batres)
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Campbell rush middle for 1 yard gain to the VAL45 (#4 A.Feltrinelli; #3 M.Johnson)
#31 V.Kyatt punt 40 yards to the VAL05, out of bounds at VAL05
Shotgun #24 A.Allen rush middle for 6 yards gain to the VAL11 (#42 C.Henderson)
PENALTY VAL False Start 5 yards from VAL11 to VAL06. NO PLAY
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass incomplete deep left to #17 D.Yeats thrown to VAL45
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe rush middle for 6 yards gain to the VAL12 (#15 J.Walker; #6 D.Girard)
#88 W.Orlando punt 44 yards to the MUR44, out of bounds at MUR44
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass incomplete short right to #13 T.Firestone thrown to MUR37
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass complete short right to #5 T.Campbell caught at MUR45, for 10 yards to the VAL46 (#8 O.Nurse), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass complete short right to #6 D.Howard caught at VAL49, for 0 yards to the VAL46 (#0 N.Lendino)
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass incomplete short left to #6 D.Howard thrown to VAL30 broken up by #8 O.Nurse
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass complete short right to #9 M.Allen caught at VAL40, for 16 yards to the VAL30 (#0 N.Lendino; #3 M.Johnson), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass complete short to #6 D.Howard caught at VAL12, for 19 yards to the VAL11 (#8 O.Nurse), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass incomplete short middle to #13 T.Firestone thrown to VAL00 PENALTY VAL Pass Interference (#0 N.Lendino) 9 yards from VAL11 to VAL02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Allen rush middle for 0 yards to the VAL02 (#3 M.Johnson)
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.Wright rush middle for 1 yard gain to the VAL01 (#98 A.Morris)
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.Wright rush middle for 1 yard gain to the VAL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:06 #29 R.Devita kick attempt good (H: #19 S.Ashby, LS: #47 C.Ford)
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass complete short left to #27 M.Mackay caught at VAL22, for 4 yards to the VAL29 (#1 K.Ingram)
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass complete short middle to #24 A.Allen caught at VAL32, for 17 yards to the VAL46 (#7 R.McCall), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass incomplete short middle to #9 C.Gundy thrown to MUR42 broken up by #7 R.McCall PENALTY MUR Pass Interference (#2 T.Cline) 15 yards from VAL46 to MUR39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe sacked for loss of 11 yards to the MUR50 (#26 R.Hemphill)
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass complete short right to #14 D.White caught at VAL48, for 11 yards to the MUR39 (#36 J.Murphy)
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MUR38 (#70 C.Foster)
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass incomplete deep left to #9 C.Gundy thrown to MUR05 broken up by #6 D.Girard PENALTY MUR Face Mask (#42 C.Henderson) 15 yards from MUR38 to MUR23, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass incomplete deep middle to #14 D.White thrown to MUR00
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass complete deep left to #16 I.Tran caught at MUR00, for 23 yards to the MUR00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:57, 1ST DOWN #11 C.Hayes pass attempt Successful
No Huddle-Shotgun #5 T.Campbell rush middle for 41 yards gain to the VAL34 (#0 N.Lendino), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Allen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the VAL30 (#37 C.Baczek; #6 J.Salman)
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Allen rush middle for 2 yards gain to the VAL28 (#98 A.Morris)
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass complete short left to #83 T.Walker caught at VAL25, for 22 yards to the VAL06 (#3 M.Johnson), 1ST DOWN
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Allen rush left for 6 yards gain to the VAL00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 02:46 PENALTY MUR Holding (#78 M.Martin) 10 yards from VAL06 to VAL16. NO PLAY
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Allen rush middle for 5 yards gain to the VAL11 (#8 O.Nurse; #98 A.Morris)
No Huddle-Shotgun #9 M.Allen rush middle for 2 yards gain to the VAL09 (#98 A.Morris; #1 M.Samuel)
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 B.Wright rush middle for 4 yards gain to the VAL05 (#42 A.Goworowski)
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Ogle pass complete short left to #9 M.Allen caught at VAL05, for 5 yards to the VAL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:19 Timeout Murray State, clock 00:25 #29 R.Devita kick attempt failed ( blocked by #37 C.Baczek) (H: #19 S.Ashby, LS: #47 C.Ford) recovered by VAL #19 C.Cervantes at VAL21, End Of Play
Shotgun #2 R.Keefe pass complete short left to #17 D.Yeats caught at MUR39, for 9 yards to the MUR39 (#42 C.Henderson)