House Prediction
Model Margin
Fresno State by 13.1
Home Win Probability
Fresno State 71%
No market line posted for this game.
fitted_v1 · Sep 12, 2026
Line Movement
Line opened at Fresno State -18.0 · O/U 45.5 · Bovada, Sep 8, 2:25 PM
Fresno State Dominates Sacramento State 49-3 in Week 2
Fresno State overwhelmed Sacramento State 49-3 on Saturday in a lopsided matchup that saw the Bulldogs score 32 points in the second quarter alone. Quarterback Jayden Mandal led the offensive onslaught, completing 316 passing yards while also contributing 8 rushing yards.
The game's pivotal moment came in the second quarter when Mandal connected with Ezekiel Avit on a 73-yard touchdown pass, extending Fresno State's lead before finding Rayshon Luke for an 18-yard touchdown reception. The Bulldogs' dominant performance continued into the third quarter with a 56-yard rushing touchdown that put the game completely out of reach.
Sacramento State's offense struggled throughout, managing only a field goal in the third quarter. The Hornet's receiving leader Jordan Williams caught 9 passes but had little impact on the lopsided affair.
Fresno State's defense stymied Sacramento State's limited offensive opportunities, particularly in the second and third quarters where they forced multiple turnovers on downs. The Bulldogs' convincing victory covered the 18.5-point spread while pushing the total over the 43.5-point over/under.
AI-generated recap · Sep 13, 2026
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sacramento State | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
 Fresno State | 0 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 49 |
Scoring Timeline
Drive Chart
Box Score
| Statistic | Sacramento State | Fresno State |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 15-31 | 26-30 |
| Pass Yards | 150 | 349 |
| Rush Yards | 112 | 193 |
| Total Yards | 262 | 542 |
| Turnovers | 1 | 0 |
| 3rd Down | 3-13 | 4-8 |
| Penalties | 7-60 | 4-35 |
| Possession | 28:47 | 31:13 |
Player Leaders
Player Leaders
Play-by-Play
Shotgun #2 R.Luke rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FRES38 (#33 A.Rocha)
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass complete short right to #5 J.Freeman caught at FRES45, for 28 yards to the SACST34, out of bounds at SACST34, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #6 B.Donelson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SACST30 (#90 A.Chambers)
Shotgun #6 B.Donelson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the SACST23 (#2 D.Thornton), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass complete short left to #2 R.Luke caught at SACST31, for 8 yards to the SACST15 (#3 A.Wallace; #6 W.Smith Jr.)
(11:50) Shotgun #2 R.Luke rush middle for 0 yards to the SACST15 (#18 F.Puloka; #26 T.Thomas)
Shotgun #6 B.Donelson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SACST14 (#3 A.Wallace; #6 W.Smith Jr.)
#24 J.Gillick rush middle for 2 yards loss to the SACST16 (#93 M.Kindle; #6 W.Smith Jr.), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
No Huddle-Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short middle to #16 J.Williams caught at SACST21, for 6 yards to the SACST22 (#8 M.Owusu; #1 K.Thunderbird)
No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Curtis rush left for 9 yards gain to the SACST31 (#1 K.Thunderbird), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete short right to #10 J.Wilson thrown to SACST40
Shotgun #1 J.Curtis rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SACST33 (#8 M.Owusu)
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short right to #2 M.Coleman caught at SACST39, for 7 yards to the SACST40 (#4 E.Tierney), out of bounds
#37 H.Adams punt 49 yards to the FRES11
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass complete short left to #5 J.Freeman caught at FRES15, for 27 yards to the FRES38, out of bounds at FRES38, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #6 B.Donelson rush left for 6 yards gain to the FRES44, out of bounds at FRES44
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass complete short left to #87 J.Appleget caught at FRES47, for 5 yards to the FRES49 (#26 T.Thomas), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass incomplete short left to #0 E.Avit thrown to SACST45
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass complete short middle to #1 J.McClain caught at SACST45, for 6 yards to the SACST45 (#18 F.Puloka)
(04:48) Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass incomplete short right to #5 J.Freeman thrown to SACST42
#41 N.Verdugo punt 42 yards to the SACST03
Shotgun #0 D.Swinney rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SACST06 (#8 M.Owusu; #11 D.Hampsten)
Shotgun #3 C.Rhaney rush left for 7 yards gain to the SACST13 (#8 M.Owusu), 1ST DOWN
(03:24) Shotgun #3 C.Rhaney rush middle for 4 yards loss to the SACST09 (#0 D.Laffitte)
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short left to #22 I.Ene caught at SACST12, for 3 yards to the SACST12 (#27 G.Grimes)
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete short left to #12 O.Smith Jr. thrown to SACST25
#37 H.Adams punt 43 yards to the FRES45 #10 J.Malau’ulu return 1 yard to the FRES46 (#23 C.Scott)
Shotgun #6 B.Donelson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FRES48 (#52 I.Chala Jr.)
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass complete deep left to #5 J.Freeman caught at SACST24, for 28 yards to the SACST24, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #6 B.Donelson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SACST22 (#22 E.Mullican)
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass complete short left to #5 J.Freeman caught at SACST20, for 4 yards to the SACST18 (#22 E.Mullican)
Rayshon Luke 18 Yd pass from Jayden Mandal (Manaki Watanabe Kick)
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete short middle to #2 M.Coleman thrown to SACST28
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short left to #12 O.Smith Jr. caught at SACST34, for 9 yards to the SACST34 (#7 L.Mouzon)
(14:11) #0 D.Swinney rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SACST36 (#7 L.Mouzon; #1 K.Thunderbird), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #1 J.Curtis rush middle for 1 yard loss to the SACST35 (#5 S.Harris)
#8 J.Sharman pass complete short right to #2 M.Coleman caught at SACST44, for 9 yards to the SACST44, out of bounds at SACST44
(12:42) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete short right to #16 J.Williams thrown to SACST44
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short middle to #12 O.Smith Jr. caught at SACST47, for 3 yards to the SACST47, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
PENALTY SACST Holding (#54 S.Key) 10 yards from SACST44 to SACST34. NO PLAY
#37 H.Adams punt 43 yards to the FRES23 #10 J.Malau’ulu return 4 yards to the FRES27 (#16 J.Williams)
Ezekiel Avit 73 Yd pass from Jayden Mandal (Jayden Mandal Pass to Gavin Correia for Two-Point Conversion)
Shotgun #1 J.Curtis rush left for 1 yard loss to the SACST24 (#43 N.Baumgartner; #6 J.Jacks)
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete short right thrown to SACST35 QB hurried by #8 M.Owusu PENALTY SACST Intentional Grounding
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short right to #5 R.Brown caught at SACST21, for 11 yards to the SACST21, out of bounds at SACST21
#37 H.Adams punt 37 yards to the FRES42 fair catch by #10 J.Malau’ulu at FRES42
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass complete short right to #5 J.Freeman caught at FRES40, for 8 yards to the FRES50 (#58 J.Howard Jr.; #26 T.Thomas)
Shotgun #24 J.Gillick rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SACST46 (#2 D.Thornton; #1 B.Silvera), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass complete short right to #0 E.Avit for 32 yards to the SACST14 (#6 W.Smith Jr.), 1ST DOWN
(09:08) Shotgun #6 B.Donelson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SACST13 (#33 A.Rocha; #45 X.Williams)
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass complete short left to #1 J.McClain caught at SACST14, for 9 yards to the SACST04 (#1 B.Silvera; #6 W.Smith Jr.), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #6 B.Donelson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SACST01 (#9 M.Tullis; #33 A.Rocha)
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal rush middle for 0 yards to the SACST01 (#55 M.Bailey; #3 A.Wallace)
#7 J.Mandal rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SACST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 06:19 #38 M.Watanabe kick attempt good (H: #7 J.Mandal, LS: #52 E.Rossetti)
Shotgun #22 I.Ene rush middle for 7 yards gain to the SACST32 (#1 K.Thunderbird)
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short left to #22 I.Ene caught at SACST37, for 5 yards to the SACST37, out of bounds at SACST37, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass intercepted by #5 S.Harris at FRES45 #5 S.Harris return 19 yards to the SACST36 (#54 S.Key) PENALTY FRES Illegal Block in Back (#6 J.Jacks) 10 yards from FRES47 to FRES37
#2 R.Luke rush middle for 0 yards to the FRES37 (#26 T.Thomas)
#7 J.Mandal rush left for 1 yard gain to the FRES38 (#1 B.Silvera), out of bounds
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass complete short middle to #5 J.Freeman caught at FRES38, for 5 yards to the FRES43 (#3 A.Wallace; #9 M.Tullis) PENALTY SACST UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#1 B.Silvera) 15 yards from FRES43 to SACST42, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass complete short right to #6 B.Donelson caught at SACST43, for 1 yard loss to the SACST43 QB hurried by #9 M.Tullis (#33 A.Rocha)
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass complete short right to #86 G.Correia caught at SACST38, for 5 yards to the SACST38, End Of Play
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass complete short middle to #1 J.McClain caught at SACST30, for 11 yards to the SACST27 (#3 A.Wallace; #9 M.Tullis), 1ST DOWN
(02:00) Shotgun #11 J.Farrar rush left for 16 yards gain to the SACST11 (#29 C.Reese), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #6 B.Donelson rush middle for 11 yards gain to the SACST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:28, 1ST DOWN #38 M.Watanabe kick attempt good (H: #41 N.Verdugo, LS: #52 E.Rossetti)
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short middle to #82 K.Koontz caught at SACST30, for 8 yards to the SACST33 (#35 T.Khajavi)
Shotgun #3 C.Rhaney rush middle for 8 yards gain to the SACST41 (#9 M.Xepera), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short middle to #12 O.Smith Jr. caught at FRES45, for 14 yards to the FRES45 (#4 E.Tierney), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman rush right for 0 yards to the FRES45, out of bounds at FRES45
(00:43) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short right to #16 J.Williams caught at FRES40, for 3 yards to the FRES42 (#31 K.Harris), out of bounds
(00:37) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete short middle to #2 M.Coleman thrown to FRES25 QB hurried by #6 J.Jacks
(00:31) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete short left to #2 M.Coleman thrown to FRES32, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal rush left for 6 yards gain to the FRES48 (#3 A.Wallace; #9 M.Tullis)
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass complete short right to #2 R.Luke caught at FRES47, for 6 yards to the SACST46 (#3 A.Wallace), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass complete short middle to #87 J.Appleget caught at SACST34, for 12 yards to the SACST34, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass incomplete, Spike
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass complete short to #2 R.Luke for 1 yard to the SACST33, out of bounds at SACST33
Manaki Watanabe 51 Yd Field Goal
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman rush middle for 2 yards loss to the SACST17 (#11 D.Hampsten)
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short middle to #12 O.Smith Jr. caught at SACST24, for 7 yards to the SACST24, End Of Play
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short right to #2 M.Coleman caught at SACST31, for 13 yards to the SACST37, out of bounds at SACST37, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #1 J.Curtis rush middle for 12 yards gain to the SACST49 (#31 K.Harris; #95 M.Noonan), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #22 I.Ene rush middle for 6 yards gain to the FRES45 (#4 E.Tierney; #5 S.Harris)
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete short right to #2 M.Coleman thrown to FRES42
(12:06) Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete short middle to #99 D.Blake thrown to FRES44 broken up by #99 L.Goodspeed
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete short middle to #16 J.Williams thrown to FRES35, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass complete short left to #2 R.Luke caught at FRES44, for 13 yards to the SACST42, out of bounds at SACST42, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #2 R.Luke rush right for 42 yards gain to the SACST00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 11:15 PENALTY FRES Holding (#71 R.Fullwood) 10 yards from SACST42 to FRES48. NO PLAY
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass complete short right to #11 J.Farrar caught at FRES46, for 5 yards to the SACST47 (#29 C.Reese)
Shotgun #10 J.Malau’ulu pass complete short right to #7 J.Mandal caught at SACST49, for 21 yards to the SACST26, out of bounds at SACST26, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #6 B.Donelson rush middle for 0 yards to the SACST26 (#33 A.Rocha)
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass incomplete short right thrown to SACST17 QB hurried by #33 A.Rocha
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass incomplete deep left to #5 J.Freeman thrown to SACST00 PENALTY SACST Pass Interference (#29 C.Reese) 16 yards from SACST26 to SACST10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
PENALTY SACST Offside (#93 M.Kindle) 5 yards from SACST10 to SACST05. NO PLAY
Shotgun #6 B.Donelson rush right for 5 yards gain to the SACST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:02, 1ST DOWN #38 M.Watanabe kick attempt good (H: #41 N.Verdugo, LS: #52 E.Rossetti)
Shotgun rush left for 10 yards gain to the SACST35 (#4 E.Tierney), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #22 I.Ene rush middle for 5 yards gain to the SACST40 (#18 L.Studt)
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete deep left to #12 O.Smith Jr. caught at FRES24, for 36 yards to the FRES24, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #3 C.Rhaney rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FRES22 (#27 G.Grimes; #95 M.Noonan)
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete short middle to #12 O.Smith Jr. thrown to FRES17
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete deep right to #2 M.Coleman thrown to FRES00 PENALTY FRES Holding (#27 G.Grimes) 10 yards from FRES22 to FRES12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman rush for 2 yards loss to the FRES14 fumbled by #8 J.Sharman at FRES15 recovered by SACST #1 J.Curtis at FRES14, End Of Play
Shotgun #1 J.Curtis rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FRES12 (#11 D.Hampsten)
PENALTY SACST False Start (#71 B.Summers) 5 yards from FRES12 to FRES17. NO PLAY
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete short middle thrown to FRES15 broken up by #6 J.Jacks
#49 G.Meadors field goal attempt from 35 yards GOOD (H: #37 H.Adams, LS: #48 K.Sutton), clock 04:50
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass complete short middle to #2 R.Luke caught at FRES23, for 3 yards to the FRES28 (#25 N.Mitchell; #11 I.Moore Jr.)
Shotgun #7 J.Mandal pass complete short middle to #1 J.McClain caught at FRES30, for 12 yards to the FRES40 (#23 C.Scott), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #24 J.Gillick rush left for 4 yards gain to the FRES44 (#5 N.Dimitris; #18 F.Puloka)
(03:07) Shotgun #6 B.Donelson rush right for 56 yards gain to the SACST00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:43, 1ST DOWN #38 M.Watanabe kick attempt good (H: #41 N.Verdugo, LS: #52 E.Rossetti)
Shotgun #1 J.Curtis rush middle for 18 yards gain to the SACST43 (#2 A.Cobb), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete deep right to #12 O.Smith Jr. thrown to FRES37
Shotgun #1 J.Curtis rush middle for 7 yards gain to the SACST50 (#13 C.Cole; #6 J.Jacks)
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short middle to #2 M.Coleman caught at FRES35, for 18 yards to the FRES32 (#3 J.Carrillo), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #0 D.Swinney rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FRES29 (#56 J.Satele; #27 G.Grimes)
Shotgun #0 D.Swinney rush middle for 7 yards gain to the FRES22 (#99 L.Goodspeed), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass complete short left to #0 D.Swinney caught at FRES24, for 1 yard to the FRES21 (#18 L.Studt; #54 S.Noa)
Shotgun #1 J.Curtis rush middle for 0 yards to the FRES21 (#8 M.Owusu; #54 S.Noa)
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete deep left to #5 R.Brown thrown to FRES00
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete deep right to #5 R.Brown thrown to FRES00 PENALTY SACST Holding declined, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
Shotgun #3 K.Martin pass complete short left to #1 J.McClain caught at FRES20, for 8 yards to the FRES29 (#16 L.Holani)
Shotgun #24 J.Gillick rush left for 33 yards gain to the SACST38 (#21 A.Taylor), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #41 A.Chavez rush right for 11 yards gain to the SACST27 (#29 C.Reese), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #27 T.Thomas rush middle for 6 yards gain to the SACST21 (#23 C.Scott)
Shotgun #3 K.Martin rush for 0 yards to the SACST21 fumbled by #3 K.Martin at SACST21 recovered by FRES #3 K.Martin at SACST21, End Of Play
Shotgun #3 K.Martin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SACST17 (#8 D.Jeanty; #44 D.Davis), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY SACST Personal Foul (#23 C.Scott) 9 yards from SACST17 to SACST08, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #6 B.Donelson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SACST06 (#29 C.Reese)
Shotgun #24 J.Gillick rush middle for 3 yards loss to the SACST09 (#94 A.Aten; #11 I.Moore Jr.)
Shotgun #3 K.Martin rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SACST05 (#29 C.Reese; #8 D.Jeanty)
PENALTY FRES Delay Of Game (#41 N.Verdugo) 5 yards from SACST05 to SACST10. NO PLAY
#38 M.Watanabe field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #41 A.Chavez, LS: #52 E.Rossetti), clock 07:09
Shotgun #0 D.Swinney rush middle for 5 yards gain to the SACST30, End Of Play
Shotgun #0 D.Swinney rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SACST34 (#3 J.Carrillo; #20 R.Regan)
Shotgun #3 C.Rhaney rush right for 0 yards to the SACST34 (#25 J.Johnson; #95 M.Noonan)
#0 D.Swinney rush middle for 6 yards gain to the SACST40 (#20 R.Regan; #13 C.Cole), 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #0 D.Swinney rush right for 1 yard gain to the SACST41 (#54 S.Noa; #95 M.Noonan)
Shotgun rush left for 0 yards to the SACST41 (#95 M.Noonan)
Shotgun #8 J.Sharman pass incomplete deep right to #2 M.Coleman thrown to FRES38
#37 H.Adams punt 48 yards to the FRES11
Shotgun #24 J.Gillick rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FRES15 (#14 J.Holani; #25 N.Mitchell)
Shotgun #24 J.Gillick rush middle for 1 yard loss to the FRES14 (#14 J.Holani)
(02:00) Shotgun #3 K.Martin pass complete short left to #25 K.Cotton caught at FRES13, for 4 yards to the FRES18 (#23 C.Scott)
#41 N.Verdugo punt 32 yards to the FRES50
#23 E.Brown rush middle for 5 yards gain to the FRES45 (#95 M.Noonan; #25 J.Johnson)
Shotgun #23 E.Brown rush right for 5 yards gain to the FRES40, out of bounds at FRES40, 1ST DOWN
Shotgun #23 E.Brown rush middle for 0 yards to the FRES40 (#93 B.Harrington; #33 T.Powell)