House Prediction
Model Margin
Fresno State by 0.7
Home Win Probability
Fresno State 47%
Market (Bovada)
Fresno State -5
fitted_v1 · Dec 27, 2025
Line Movement
No line movement to chart
Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miami (OH) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 Fresno State | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 18 |
Scoring Timeline
Drive Chart
Box Score
| Statistic | Miami (OH) | Fresno State |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 6-22 | 15-22 |
| Pass Yards | 72 | 219 |
| Rush Yards | 120 | 177 |
| Total Yards | 192 | 396 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| 3rd Down | 4-12 | 6-16 |
| Penalties | 4-39 | 8-70 |
| Possession | 21:20 | 38:40 |
Player Leaders
Player Leaders
Play-by-Play
(14:57) Shotgun #6 B.Donelson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the FSU26 (#3 M.McCain)
(14:22) Shotgun #13 E.Warner pass complete short middle to #5 J.Freeman caught at FSU30, for 6 yards to the FSU32 (#33 J.Kuwatch)
(13:40) Shotgun #13 E.Warner pass complete short left to #88 R.Anderson III caught at FSU40, for 5 yards loss to the FSU27 (#16 C.McKinney) PENALTY FSU Illegal Touch-Pass (#88 R.Anderson III) 5 yards from FSU32 to FSU27
(12:49) #41 N.Verdugo punt 33 yards to the MIA40 fair catch by #10 L.Billups-Williams at MIA40
(12:35) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass incomplete deep right to #84 C.Weaver thrown to FSU30
(12:00) Shotgun #0 K.Reynolds rush middle for 32 yards gain to the FSU28 (#5 S.Harris), 1ST DOWN
(11:35) Shotgun #0 K.Reynolds rush middle for 9 yards gain to the FSU19 (#39 J.Pearson)
(11:09) Shotgun #6 J.Brunson rush middle for 0 yards to the FSU19 (#5 S.Harris; #99 M.Jordan Jr.)
(09:37) Shotgun #14 D.Jones rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FSU15 (#22 C.Bracha), 1ST DOWN
(09:14) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski sacked for loss of 1 yard to the FSU16 (#94 J.Gandy)
(09:09) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski rush right for 1 yard gain to the FSU15 (#22 C.Bracha)
(09:09) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass incomplete short left to #8 K.Perry thrown to FSU00
(09:09) #31 D.Dzioban field goal attempt from 33 yards GOOD (H: #34 P.Stainton, LS: #89 B.Boeing), clock 09:09
(09:09) Shotgun #2 R.Luke rush left for 3 yards gain to the FSU28 (#32 J.Schott)
(08:32) Shotgun #13 E.Warner pass incomplete short left to #5 J.Freeman thrown to FSU32 broken up by #24 M.Yharbrough
(08:28) Shotgun #13 E.Warner pass incomplete short right to #84 E.Avit thrown to FSU42
(08:26) #41 N.Verdugo punt 37 yards to the MIA35 fair catch by #10 L.Billups-Williams at MIA35
(08:19) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass intercepted by #1 J.Embry at FSU18, End Of Play
(08:10) Shotgun #13 E.Warner pass incomplete short left to #5 J.Freeman thrown to FSU25
(08:02) Shotgun #2 R.Luke rush right for 4 yards gain to the FSU22 (#22 B.Jobe)
(07:25) Shotgun #13 E.Warner pass complete short middle to #15 K.Beachem caught at FSU28, for 0 yards to the FSU22 PENALTY FSU Holding 10 yards from FSU22 to FSU12. NO PLAY
(07:11) Shotgun #13 E.Warner pass complete short left to #5 J.Freeman caught at FSU28, for 21 yards to the FSU33 (#29 S.Walters; #17 K.Martin), 1ST DOWN
(06:34) Shotgun #6 B.Donelson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the FSU35 (#3 M.McCain)
(05:55) Shotgun #13 E.Warner pass complete short right to #10 J.Malau’ulu caught at FSU38, for 3 yards to the FSU38, End Of Play
(05:14) Shotgun #13 E.Warner sacked for loss of 2 yards to the FSU36 (#52 N.Washington)
(04:42) #41 N.Verdugo punt 39 yards to the MIA25 fair catch by #10 L.Billups-Williams at MIA25
(04:30) Shotgun #6 J.Brunson rush middle for 12 yards gain to the MIA37 (#37 R.Wilson; #5 S.Harris), 1ST DOWN
(03:46) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass complete short right to #84 C.Weaver caught at MIA50, for 19 yards to the FSU44 (#5 S.Harris), 1ST DOWN
(03:09) Shotgun #6 J.Brunson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the FSU38 (#9 M.Xepera; #22 C.Bracha)
(02:27) Shotgun #0 K.Reynolds rush left for 0 yards to the FSU38 (#22 C.Bracha) PENALTY MIA Holding 10 yards from FSU38 to FSU48. NO PLAY
(01:59) Shotgun #6 J.Brunson rush right for 3 yards gain to the FSU45 (#99 M.Jordan Jr.)
(01:11) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass incomplete deep left to #4 D.Colzie thrown to FSU05
(01:03) #34 P.Stainton punt 38 yards to the FSU07 fair catch by #10 J.Malau’ulu at FSU07
(00:57) Shotgun #2 R.Luke rush middle for 4 yards gain to the FSU11 (#97 W.Goodvine II; #99 O.Alexander)
(00:17) Shotgun #13 E.Warner pass complete short left to #84 E.Avit caught at FSU14, for 3 yards to the FSU14, End Of Play
(11:55) Shotgun #13 E.Warner pass complete short right to #5 J.Freeman caught at FSU12, for 3 yards to the FSU17 (#8 K.Beasley; #2 D.Bell), 1ST DOWN
(10:33) #0 J.Arceneaux rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FSU20 (#2 D.Bell; #33 J.Kuwatch)
(08:39) Shotgun #13 E.Warner pass complete short middle to #88 R.Anderson III caught at FSU34, for 25 yards to the FSU45 fumbled by #88 R.Anderson III at FSU45 forced by #1 E.Blakey recovered by FSU #84 E.Avit at FSU45, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
(08:39) Shotgun #31 B.Ramirez rush middle for 8 yards gain to the MIA47 (#1 E.Blakey)
(08:39) Shotgun #31 B.Ramirez rush middle for 7 yards gain to the MIA40 (#22 B.Jobe), 1ST DOWN
(08:39) Shotgun #33 E.Gilliam rush middle for 8 yards gain to the MIA32 (#29 S.Walters; #33 J.Kuwatch)
(08:39) Shotgun #31 B.Ramirez rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MIA26 (#3 M.McCain; #23 O.McWood), 1ST DOWN
(08:39) Shotgun #0 J.Arceneaux rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MIA27 (#29 S.Walters; #92 R.Andrews)
(08:39) Shotgun #13 E.Warner pass complete short left to #5 J.Freeman caught at MIA19, for 11 yards to the MIA16 (#29 S.Walters), 1ST DOWN
(08:39) Shotgun #6 B.Donelson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MIA11 (#1 E.Blakey; #3 M.McCain)
(08:18) Shotgun #13 E.Warner pass incomplete short right to #6 B.Donelson thrown to MIA12
(08:04) Shotgun #13 E.Warner pass complete short right to #31 B.Ramirez caught at MIA11, for 0 yards to the MIA11 (#29 S.Walters)
(07:54) #46 D.Lynch field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #41 N.Verdugo, LS: #52 W.Brown), clock 07:54
(07:54) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski rush left for 4 yards gain to the MIA29 (#89 M.Hines)
(07:17) Shotgun #14 D.Jones rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MIA32 (#99 M.Jordan Jr.; #6 J.Jacks)
(06:41) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass incomplete short left to #0 K.Reynolds thrown to MIA35 broken up by #22 C.Bracha
(06:25) Miami (OH) punt 0 yards to the MIA32 blocked by #17 E.Tierney recovered by FSU #0 J.Arceneaux at MIA10, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was inbounds". CALL UPHELD
(06:15) Shotgun #33 E.Gilliam rush right for 0 yards to the MIA10 (#29 S.Walters)
(05:41) Shotgun #13 E.Warner pass incomplete short left to #5 J.Freeman thrown to MIA00 broken up by #6 A.Walker Jr.
(05:30) Shotgun #13 E.Warner rush right for 5 yards gain to the MIA05 (#24 M.Yharbrough; #3 M.McCain)
(04:59) #46 D.Lynch field goal attempt from 23 yards GOOD (H: #41 N.Verdugo, LS: #52 W.Brown), clock 05:00
(04:54) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass complete short left to #0 K.Reynolds caught at MIA23, for 4 yards to the MIA29 (#39 J.Pearson; #35 T.Khajavi)
(04:14) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass complete short right to #8 K.Perry caught at MIA23, for 10 yards to the MIA39 (#1 J.Embry; #20 R.Regan), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY FSU Personal Foul (#1 J.Embry) 15 yards from MIA39 to FSU46, 1ST DOWN
(03:52) Shotgun #6 J.Brunson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FSU43 (#9 M.Xepera)
(03:26) Shotgun #0 K.Reynolds rush middle for 5 yards gain to the FSU38 (#35 T.Khajavi)
(02:45) Shotgun #14 D.Jones rush middle for 5 yards gain to the FSU33 (#17 E.Tierney), 1ST DOWN
(02:20) Shotgun #14 D.Jones rush right for 2 yards gain to the FSU31 (#39 J.Pearson) PENALTY FSU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from FSU33 to FSU28. NO PLAY
(01:33) Shotgun #6 J.Brunson rush left for 3 yards gain to the FSU25 (#22 C.Bracha; #6 J.Jacks)
(01:22) Shotgun #6 J.Brunson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FSU22 fumbled by #6 J.Brunson at FSU22 forced by #39 J.Pearson recovered by FSU #1 J.Embry at FSU22, End Of Play
(00:59) PENALTY FSU False Start (#88 R.Anderson III) 5 yards from FSU22 to FSU17. NO PLAY
(01:00) Shotgun #13 E.Warner pass complete short right to #5 J.Freeman caught at FSU25, for 47 yards to the MIA36 (#24 M.Yharbrough), 1ST DOWN
(01:00) Shotgun #13 E.Warner pass complete short right to #84 E.Avit caught at MIA31, for 20 yards to the MIA16 (#33 J.Kuwatch), 1ST DOWN
(01:00) Shotgun #6 B.Donelson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MIA12 (#3 M.McCain)
(00:54) Shotgun #13 E.Warner pass complete short right to #5 J.Freeman caught at MIA09, for 4 yards to the MIA08 (#1 E.Blakey; #24 M.Yharbrough)
(00:49) Shotgun #33 E.Gilliam rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MIA07 (#29 S.Walters; #92 R.Andrews)
Dylan Lynch 25 Yd Field Goal
(14:48) Shotgun #6 J.Brunson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MIA25 (#22 C.Bracha; #6 J.Jacks)
(14:12) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski rush left for 2 yards gain to the MIA27 (#35 T.Khajavi), out of bounds
(13:32) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass complete short left to #4 D.Colzie caught at MIA38, for 11 yards to the MIA38, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN
(12:59) Shotgun #14 D.Jones rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MIA41 (#22 C.Bracha; #39 J.Pearson)
(12:30) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass incomplete deep left to #84 C.Weaver thrown to FSU30
(12:19) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass incomplete deep right to #0 K.Reynolds thrown to FSU30
(12:14) #34 P.Stainton punt 59 yards to the FSU00, Touchback
PENALTY FSU False Start (#71 R.Fullwood) 5 yards from FSU20 to FSU15. NO PLAY
(12:03) Shotgun #2 R.Luke rush left for 3 yards gain to the FSU18 (#33 J.Kuwatch)
(11:27) Shotgun #6 B.Donelson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FSU21 (#1 E.Blakey)
(10:45) Shotgun #13 E.Warner pass complete short right to #5 J.Freeman caught at FSU18, for 51 yards to the MIA28 (#8 K.Beasley; #6 A.Walker Jr.), 1ST DOWN
(09:58) #31 B.Ramirez rush left for 9 yards gain to the MIA19 (#29 S.Walters)
(09:24) Shotgun #31 B.Ramirez rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MIA17 (#3 M.McCain; #52 N.Washington), 1ST DOWN
(08:47) #33 E.Gilliam rush right for 2 yards gain to the MIA15 (#1 E.Blakey; #92 R.Andrews)
(08:04) #6 B.Donelson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MIA10 (#8 K.Beasley)
(07:28) #33 E.Gilliam rush left for 0 yards to the MIA10 (#99 O.Alexander)
(06:52) #46 D.Lynch field goal attempt from 28 yards NO GOOD (H: #41 N.Verdugo, LS: #52 W.Brown), clock 06:52
(06:48) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass incomplete short left to #8 K.Perry thrown to MIA15 broken up by #5 S.Harris
(06:42) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass complete short right to #86 B.Shane caught at MIA23, for 4 yards to the MIA24 (#39 J.Pearson)
(06:04) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass incomplete deep right to #84 C.Weaver thrown to MIA48 broken up by #3 A.Hamilton. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (06:04) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass complete short right to #84 C.Weaver for 24 yards to the MIA48 (#3 A.Hamilton), 1ST DOWN)
(05:31) #34 P.Stainton punt 56 yards to the FSU20 fair catch by #10 J.Malau’ulu at FSU20
(05:26) Shotgun #0 J.Arceneaux rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FSU23 (#3 M.McCain; #33 J.Kuwatch)
(04:53) Shotgun #13 E.Warner pass complete short middle to #84 E.Avit caught at FSU29, for 6 yards to the FSU29 (#17 K.Martin)
(04:11) #31 B.Ramirez rush middle for 2 yards loss to the FSU27 (#33 J.Kuwatch; #47 B.Rice)
(03:33) #41 N.Verdugo punt 40 yards to the MIA33 fair catch by #10 L.Billups-Williams at MIA33
(03:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #14 D.Jones rush left for 0 yards to the MIA33 (#99 M.Jordan Jr.; #35 T.Khajavi)
(02:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass incomplete short right to #30 J.Ringer thrown to MIA38
(02:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass incomplete short left to #8 K.Perry thrown to MIA40 broken up by #22 C.Bracha
(02:35) #34 P.Stainton punt 37 yards to the FSU30 fair catch by #10 J.Malau’ulu at FSU30
(02:31) #13 E.Warner pass incomplete short right thrown to FSU25
(02:24) Shotgun #31 B.Ramirez rush middle for 3 yards gain to the FSU33 (#1 E.Blakey)
(01:40) Shotgun #13 E.Warner rush left for 7 yards gain to the FSU40 (#3 M.McCain; #8 K.Beasley), 1ST DOWN
(00:59) Shotgun #13 E.Warner pass incomplete deep right to #0 J.Arceneaux thrown to MIA35
(00:54) Shotgun #5 J.Freeman rush right for 9 yards gain to the FSU49 (#1 E.Blakey; #17 K.Martin)
(00:10) #13 E.Warner rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MIA48 (#23 O.McWood), 1ST DOWN
(14:53) #13 E.Warner pass complete short right to #19 H.Duvall caught at MIA31, for 17 yards to the MIA31, out of bounds at MIA31, 1ST DOWN
(14:22) #31 B.Ramirez rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MIA28 (#2 D.Bell; #99 O.Alexander)
(13:47) #13 E.Warner pass incomplete short right to #5 J.Freeman thrown to MIA30 PENALTY MIA Roughing The Passer (#2 D.Bell) 14 yards from MIA28 to MIA14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
(13:40) #0 J.Arceneaux rush middle for 8 yards gain to the MIA06 (#33 J.Kuwatch; #1 E.Blakey)
(12:58) Shotgun #31 B.Ramirez rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MIA05 (#3 M.McCain; #23 O.McWood)
(12:24) #13 E.Warner rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MIA03 (#52 N.Washington), 1ST DOWN
(11:44) #33 E.Gilliam rush right for 1 yard gain to the MIA02 (#3 M.McCain; #29 S.Walters)
E.J. Warner pass to R. Anderson III for 2 yds, for a TD
(11:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass incomplete short left thrown to MIA40 PENALTY MIA Holding (#70 J.Schorsch) 10 yards from MIA25 to MIA15. NO PLAY
(11:03) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass incomplete short right to #0 K.Reynolds thrown to MIA17
(10:56) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski rush right for 8 yards gain to the MIA23 (#35 T.Khajavi), out of bounds
(10:17) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass complete short right to #84 C.Weaver caught at MIA38, for 24 yards to the MIA47 (#39 J.Pearson; #1 J.Embry), 1ST DOWN
(10:05) Shotgun #6 J.Brunson rush middle for 10 yards gain to the FSU43 (#22 C.Bracha; #39 J.Pearson), 1ST DOWN
(09:33) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass incomplete short right thrown to FSU35 PENALTY FSU Roughing The Passer (#96 N.Yeh) 15 yards from FSU43 to FSU28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
(09:32) PENALTY MIA False Start 5 yards from FSU28 to FSU33. NO PLAY
(09:33) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass incomplete short right thrown to FSU30
(09:22) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski rush right for 5 yards gain to the FSU28 (#3 A.Hamilton), out of bounds
(08:37) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass incomplete short right to #84 C.Weaver thrown to FSU25 QB hurried by #35 T.Khajavi
(08:32) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski sacked for loss of 9 yards to the FSU37 (#6 J.Jacks), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
(08:25) Shotgun #0 J.Arceneaux rush middle for 8 yards gain to the FSU45 (#1 E.Blakey; #22 B.Jobe)
(07:35) Shotgun #31 B.Ramirez rush right for 17 yards gain to the MIA38 (#1 E.Blakey; #29 S.Walters), 1ST DOWN
(06:47) Shotgun #33 E.Gilliam rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MIA36 (#29 S.Walters; #3 M.McCain)
(06:05) Shotgun #0 J.Arceneaux rush middle for 5 yards gain to the MIA31 (#1 E.Blakey; #24 M.Yharbrough)
(05:23) Shotgun #33 E.Gilliam rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MIA29 (#1 E.Blakey; #11 B.Uihlein)
(04:37) #13 E.Warner rush middle for 2 yards gain to the MIA27 (#22 B.Jobe), 1ST DOWN
(03:54) #31 B.Ramirez rush middle for 1 yard loss to the MIA28 (#3 M.McCain)
(03:48) #33 E.Gilliam rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MIA25 (#29 S.Walters; #16 C.McKinney)
(03:36) Shotgun #13 E.Warner rush right for 6 yards gain to the MIA19 (#22 B.Jobe)
(02:56) #46 D.Lynch field goal attempt from 37 yards GOOD (H: #41 N.Verdugo, LS: #52 W.Brown), clock 02:56
(02:46) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass incomplete short right to #84 C.Weaver thrown to MIA35, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY FSU Pass Interference (#39 J.Pearson) 10 yards from MIA20 to MIA30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY
(02:37) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski rush left for 9 yards gain to the MIA39 (#5 S.Harris), out of bounds
(02:15) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass incomplete short left to #10 L.Billups-Williams thrown to MIA45 broken up by #22 C.Bracha
(02:10) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski pass incomplete deep left to #84 C.Weaver thrown to FSU30
(02:04) Shotgun #13 T.Gotkowski sacked for loss of 3 yards to the MIA36 (#54 S.Noa), TURNOVER ON DOWNS
(01:59) #24 J.Gillick rush left for 2 yards gain to the MIA34 (#11 B.Uihlein)
(01:59) Shotgun #24 J.Gillick rush middle for 14 yards gain to the MIA20 (#11 B.Uihlein; #32 J.Schott), 1ST DOWN
(01:18) Kneel down by #17 C.Conklin at MIA21 for loss of 1 yard
(00:53) Kneel down by #17 C.Conklin at MIA22 for loss of 1 yard
(00:19) Kneel down by #17 C.Conklin at MIA23 for loss of 1 yard