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← Back to GamesDec 23, 2025Week 1

House Prediction

Model Margin

Louisville by 2.1

Home Win Probability

Louisville 51%

Market (Bovada)

Louisville -8.5

Edge: Toledo +8.5 (6.4 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 23, 2025

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
ToledoToledo
3001922
LouisvilleLouisville
7071327

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-07-314-321-1121-1427-22
LouisvilleToledo

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20LOUTOLLOUTOLLOUTOLLOUTOLLOUTOLLOUTOLLOUTOLLOUTOLLOUTOLLOUTOLLOUTOLLOUTD875ydTO524ydMISS713ydFG1034ydPUNT636ydPUNT845ydTO1-5ydPUNT34ydPUNT713ydPUNT31ydPUNT516ydPUNT3-5ydEND217ydMISS1370ydTD977ydPUNT3-21ydTD522ydTD1074ydPUNT3-6ydFG618ydTD375ydTD668ydEND630yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Toledo and Louisville
StatisticToledoLouisville
Passing17-2816-24
Pass Yards167153
Rush Yards169180
Total Yards336333
Turnovers11
3rd Down4-131-9
Penalties14-1006-47
Possession31:4628:14

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Toledo
passing
Kalieb Osborne
17/28, 167 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Kalieb Osborne
18 CAR, 77 YDS
receiving
Junior Vandeross
7 REC, 61 YDS
defense
Louisville
passing
Miller Moss
16/24, 153 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Keyjuan Brown
15 CAR, 112 YDS
receiving
Caullin Lacy
6 REC, 88 YDS
defense
TJ Quinn
1.5 TFL

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+31 ydsPPA +2.66

(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush middle for 31 yards gain to the TOL44 (#3 A.Fuller), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +0.67

(14:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short left to #5 C.Lacy caught at TOL41, for 17 yards to the TOL27 (#0 N.Bowers), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

(13:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short right to #5 C.Lacy caught at TOL25, for 4 yards to the TOL23 (#0 N.Bowers; #39 D.Hohler)

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

(13:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush left for 2 yards gain to the TOL21 (#58 A.Dunn Jr)

3rd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 M.Moss rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TOL18 (#22 N.Thompson)

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.68

(11:47) No Huddle #7 M.Moss rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TOL17 (#39 D.Hohler; #38 K.Sherman), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.34

(11:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush right for 0 yards to the TOL17 (#58 A.Dunn Jr; #4 A.Smith)

2nd & 10Passing Touchdown+17 ydsPPA +2.92

(10:26) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short middle to #2 T.Hurry caught at TOL00, for 17 yards to the TOL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:26, 1ST DOWN #36 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #93 D.Chapeau, LS: #48 S.Kochav)

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

(10:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TOL29 (#17 A.Green; #21 D.Hutchinson)

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

(09:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush right for 3 yards gain to the TOL32 (#34 T.Quinn)

3rd & 3Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.10

(09:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short left to #9 T.Rudolph caught at TOL44, for 12 yards to the TOL44, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.38

(09:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush right for 1 yard loss to the TOL43 (#34 T.Quinn)

2nd & 11Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+6 ydsPPA -1.25

(08:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush right for 6 yards gain to the TOL49 fumbled by #7 K.Osborne at TOL46 forced by #50 C.Lubin recovered by LOU #27 J.Evans Jr. at TOL49, End Of Play

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

(07:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short right thrown to TOL38 QB hurried by

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

(06:45) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short right to #5 C.Lacy thrown to TOL38 QB hurried by #58 A.Dunn Jr

2nd & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.95

(06:29) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short middle to #15 A.Meeks caught at TOL35, for 16 yards to the TOL33 (#20 L.Long), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

(06:12) PENALTY LOU False Start 5 yards from TOL33 to TOL38. NO PLAY

1st & 15Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.81

(05:55) Shotgun #7 M.Moss sacked for loss of 10 yards to the TOL48 (#97 A.Dunn)

2nd & 25Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.58

(05:37) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short right to #5 C.Lacy caught at TOL49, for 13 yards to the TOL35 (#20 L.Long; #58 A.Dunn Jr)

3rd & 12Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.90

(05:14) Shotgun #7 M.Moss sacked for loss of 6 yards to the TOL41 (#8 M.Poynter)

4th & 18Penalty+5 yds

(05:14) #93 D.Chapeau punt 41 yards to the TOL00, Touchback PENALTY TOL Equipment Violation 5 yards from TOL41 to TOL36. NO PLAY

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush left for 1 yard gain to the TOL44 (#95 J.Lawson)

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

(04:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short left to #1 C.Trayanum thrown to TOL45 QB hurried by #95 J.Lawson

3rd & 9Penalty+5 yds

(04:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short left to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to TOL49 PENALTY LOU Offside (#17 A.Green) 5 yards from TOL44 to TOL49. NO PLAY

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.77

(04:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush right for 5 yards gain to the LOU46 (#27 J.Evans Jr.), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.73

(03:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at LOU30, for 16 yards to the LOU30 (#27 J.Evans Jr.), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.42

(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short left to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at LOU34, for 1 yard to the LOU29 (#24 C.Gordon; #4 J.Mack)

2nd & 9Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.71

(02:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush middle for 17 yards gain to the LOU12 (#21 D.Hutchinson), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush middle for 0 yards to the LOU12 (#50 C.Lubin)

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.03

(01:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush middle for 4 yards gain to the LOU08 (#34 T.Quinn)

3rd & 5Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY TOL False Start (#89 J.Petersen) 5 yards from LOU08 to LOU13. NO PLAY

3rd & 11Penalty+10 yds

(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush left for 5 yards gain to the LOU08 (#27 J.Evans Jr.) PENALTY TOL Illegal Formation declined TOL Holding 10 yards from LOU13 to LOU23. NO PLAY

3rd & 21Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short middle to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to LOU17

4th & 21Field Goal Good+41 yds

(00:11) #37 R.Hammond III field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #39 A.Ruggles, LS: #40 J.Roe), clock 00:11

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

(00:01) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LOU23 (#12 E.Carter; #38 K.Sherman)

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.10

(15:00) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short left to #5 C.Lacy caught at LOU18, for 9 yards to the LOU32, out of bounds at LOU32, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

(14:28) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 8 yards gain to the LOU40 (#22 N.Thompson) PENALTY TOL Face Mask (#55 D.Ray Jr.) 15 yards from LOU40 to TOL45, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

(14:03) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete deep left to #15 A.Meeks thrown to TOL03 broken up by #3 A.Fuller. #15 A.Meeks injured on the play

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

(13:53) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush left for 1 yard gain to the TOL44 (#12 E.Carter)

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

(13:15) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short middle to #5 C.Lacy thrown to TOL38

4th & 9Punt0 yds

(13:11) #93 D.Chapeau punt 38 yards to the TOL06 fair catch by #12 B.Hammer at TOL06

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.36

(13:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush right for 2 yards loss to the TOL04 (#34 T.Quinn; #50 C.Lubin)

2nd & 12Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.12

(12:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short middle to #11 R.Treadway caught at TOL16, for 20 yards to the TOL24 (#25 T.Holloway), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.29

(11:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush right for 15 yards gain to the TOL39 (#4 J.Mack), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #10 K.Christian caught at TOL35, for 6 yards to the TOL45 (#34 T.Quinn), out of bounds

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.69

(10:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush left for 6 yards gain to the LOU49 (#24 C.Gordon), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -1.78

(10:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short left to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at TOL49, for 3 yards loss to the TOL48 (#17 A.Green)

2nd & 13Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY TOL False Start (#65 S.Gales) 5 yards from TOL48 to TOL43. NO PLAY

2nd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

(09:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short left to #1 C.Trayanum thrown to TOL41

3rd & 18Penalty+5 yds

(09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short left to #89 J.Petersen caught at LOU44, for 13 yards to the LOU44 (#24 C.Gordon), out of bounds PENALTY TOL Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#9 T.Rudolph) 5 yards from TOL43 to TOL38. NO PLAY

3rd & 23Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.57

(09:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 13 yards gain to the LOU49 (#34 T.Quinn)

4th & 10Punt0 yds

(08:21) #39 A.Ruggles punt 0 yards to the LOU49 blocked by #17 A.Green recovered by TOL #39 D.Hohler at TOL37, End Of Play PENALTY TOL Equipment Violation declined

1st & 9Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-5 ydsPPA -4.06

(08:10) #15 A.Meeks rush right for 5 yards loss to the TOL42 fumbled by #15 A.Meeks at TOL40 recovered by TOL #40 H.Miller at TOL42, End Of Play

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

(08:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TOL46 (#6 S.Clark; #95 J.Lawson)

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -1.13

(07:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush right for 0 yards to the TOL46 (#12 K.Perry)

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short left to #11 R.Treadway thrown to LOU44. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short left to #11 R.Treadway caught at LOU44, for 10 yards to the LOU44, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN)

4th & 6Punt0 yds

(06:38) #7 K.Osborne punt 45 yards to the LOU09

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.14

(06:38) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush left for 3 yards gain to the LOU12 (#3 A.Fuller; #20 L.Long)

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.16

(06:00) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short right to #2 T.Hurry caught at LOU16, for 6 yards to the LOU18 (#3 A.Fuller; #22 N.Thompson)

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

(05:23) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush middle for 0 yards to the LOU18 (#20 L.Long; #46 J.Peters)

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.82

(04:39) #7 M.Moss rush middle for 3 yards gain to the LOU21 (#40 H.Miller), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.49

(04:03) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush right for 1 yard gain to the LOU22 (#8 M.Poynter; #9 L.Julien)

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

(03:27) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short middle to #2 T.Hurry thrown to LOU38

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

(03:23) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short left to #88 J.Skinner thrown to LOU19

4th & 9Punt Return+17 yds

(03:19) #93 D.Chapeau punt 44 yards to the TOL34 #12 B.Hammer return 17 yards to the LOU49 (#14 K.Hughes)

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.56

(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne sacked for loss of 2 yards to the TOL49 (#27 J.Evans Jr.)

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

(02:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short left to #9 T.Rudolph thrown to LOU46

3rd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

(02:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush left for 3 yards gain to the LOU48 (#24 C.Gordon; #17 A.Green)

4th & 9Punt Return+1 yds

(01:57) #39 A.Ruggles punt 34 yards to the LOU14 #5 C.Lacy return 1 yard to the LOU15 (#40 J.Roe)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.45

(01:46) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short left to #1 I.Brown caught at LOU14, for 7 yards to the LOU22, out of bounds at LOU22

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

(01:42) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short left to #15 A.Meeks thrown to LOU28 broken up by #55 D.Ray Jr.

3rd & 3Penalty+15 yds

(01:36) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete deep left to #1 I.Brown thrown to LOU43 PENALTY TOL Roughing The Passer (#8 M.Poynter) 15 yards from LOU22 to LOU37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

(01:31) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short left to #2 T.Hurry caught at LOU42, for 5 yards to the LOU42 (#97 A.Dunn)

2nd & 5Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.30

(01:08) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short left to #1 I.Brown caught at LOU41, for 1 yard loss to the LOU41 (#3 A.Fuller), out of bounds

3rd & 6Penalty+5 yds

(01:01) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short left to #82 T.McWilliams Jr. caught at LOU44, for 3 yards to the LOU44 (#27 D.Kelly) PENALTY TOL Illegal Substitution 5 yards from LOU41 to LOU46. NO PLAY

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.07

(00:55) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush left for 0 yards to the LOU46 (#97 A.Dunn; #38 K.Sherman) PENALTY LOU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#1 I.Brown) 15 yards from LOU46 to LOU31

4th & 16Punt Return0 yds

(00:42) #93 D.Chapeau punt 41 yards to the TOL28 #12 B.Hammer return 0 yards to the TOL28 (#7 R.Johnson)

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.51

(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #1 C.Trayanum caught at TOL23, for 2 yards to the TOL30 (#24 C.Gordon), out of bounds

2nd & 8Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.80

(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne sacked for loss of 7 yards to the TOL23 (#99 J.Guerad, #50 C.Lubin)

3rd & 15Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.04

(00:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TOL26 (#50 C.Lubin)

4th & 12Punt Return0 yds

(00:14) #39 A.Ruggles punt 38 yards to the LOU36 #5 C.Lacy return 0 yards to the LOU36, End Of Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.53

(00:09) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short right to #5 C.Lacy caught at LOU33, for 17 yards to the TOL47 (#38 K.Sherman), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

(00:02) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete deep left thrown to TOL09 PENALTY LOU Illegal Use Of Hands declined

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

(14:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TOL11 (#25 T.Holloway; #45 D.Lowry)

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush right for 6 yards gain to the TOL17, out of bounds at TOL17, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

(13:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TOL23 (#34 T.Quinn)

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

(13:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short left to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to TOL27 broken up by #24 C.Gordon

3rd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.29

(13:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TOL31 (#24 C.Gordon), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

(13:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TOL38 (#24 C.Gordon)

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.36

(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush right for 4 yards gain to the TOL42 (#21 D.Hutchinson), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.02

(12:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush middle for 12 yards gain to the LOU46 (#24 C.Gordon), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +0.96

(11:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush middle for 29 yards gain to the LOU17 (#21 D.Hutchinson), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.58

(10:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short middle to #74 C.Rhett caught at LOU22, for 3 yards loss to the LOU20 (#24 C.Gordon)

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

(10:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush right for 4 yards gain to the LOU16 (#6 S.Clark)

3rd & 9Penalty+10 yds

(09:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short middle to #12 B.Hammer caught at LOU01, for 15 yards to the LOU01 (#21 D.Hutchinson) PENALTY TOL Holding (#74 C.Rhett) 10 yards from LOU16 to LOU26. NO PLAY

3rd & 19Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.38

(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #1 C.Trayanum caught at LOU24, for 3 yards to the LOU23 (#7 R.Johnson)

4th & 16Field Goal Missed+41 yds

(08:34) #37 R.Hammond III field goal attempt from 41 yards NO GOOD (H: #36 E.Duran, LS: #40 J.Roe), clock 08:35

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

(08:32) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short middle to #88 J.Skinner caught at LOU28, for 5 yards to the LOU28 (#20 L.Long)

2nd & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.79

(07:57) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush left for 1 yard loss to the LOU27 (#12 E.Carter; #8 M.Poynter)

3rd & 6Pass Reception+28 ydsPPA +3.43

(07:15) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete deep middle to #5 C.Lacy caught at TOL49, for 28 yards to the TOL45 (#0 N.Bowers), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

(06:27) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TOL37 (#38 K.Sherman; #7 E.McNeil-Warren)

2nd & 2Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA -0.13

(05:58) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short left to #15 A.Meeks caught at TOL32, for 5 yards to the TOL32 (#3 A.Fuller), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

(05:39) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TOL29 (#55 D.Ray Jr.; #8 M.Poynter)

2nd & 7Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.55

(05:03) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush right for 19 yards gain to the TOL10 (#4 A.Smith; #22 N.Thompson), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

(04:26) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TOL05 (#40 H.Miller)

2nd & 5Passing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

(03:39) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short left to #15 A.Meeks caught at TOL01, for 5 yards to the TOL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:40, 1ST DOWN #36 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #93 D.Chapeau, LS: #48 S.Kochav)

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -1.07

(03:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush left for 5 yards loss to the TOL20 (#95 J.Lawson)

2nd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

(03:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short middle thrown to TOL24 broken up by #95 J.Lawson

3rd & 15Fumble Recovery (Own)-16 ydsPPA -0.11

(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne sacked for loss of 16 yards to the TOL04 (#50 C.Lubin), fumble by #7 K.Osborne recovered by TOL #72 E.Spoth at TOL04, End Of Play. #7 K.Osborne injured on the play

4th & 31Punt Return+13 yds

(02:30) #39 A.Ruggles punt 36 yards to the TOL40 #5 C.Lacy return 13 yards to the TOL27 (#36 E.Williams) PENALTY TOL Illegal Formation 5 yards from TOL27 to TOL22

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.46

(02:17) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TOL14 (#38 K.Sherman)

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.42

(01:41) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TOL13 (#4 A.Smith)

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

(01:00) #7 M.Moss rush middle for 0 yards to the TOL13 (#38 K.Sherman; #58 A.Dunn Jr)

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.54

(00:12) #7 M.Moss rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TOL11 (#12 E.Carter; #58 A.Dunn Jr), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+11 ydsPPA +2.52

(14:54) #1 I.Brown rush right for 11 yards gain to the TOL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:53, 1ST DOWN #36 C.Ranvier kick attempt good (H: #93 D.Chapeau, LS: #48 S.Kochav)

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

(14:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at TOL28, for 9 yards to the TOL34 (#27 J.Evans Jr.; #11 T.Capers)

2nd & 1Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.13

(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short right to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at TOL34, for 4 yards to the TOL38 (#7 R.Johnson; #17 A.Green), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY TOL False Start (#5 T.Crosby Jr.) 5 yards from TOL38 to TOL33. NO PLAY

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

(13:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short middle to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to TOL50 broken up by #7 R.Johnson

2nd & 15Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.48

(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush right for 13 yards gain to the TOL46 (#7 R.Johnson)

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.60

(12:54) #7 K.Osborne rush middle for 6 yards gain to the LOU48, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.04

(12:23) #10 K.Christian rush left for 9 yards gain to the LOU39 (#99 J.Guerad)

2nd & 1Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA -0.05

(11:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short left to #89 J.Petersen caught at LOU34, for 14 yards to the LOU25 (#11 T.Capers; #7 R.Johnson), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.56

(11:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush left for 1 yard loss to the LOU26 (#7 R.Johnson)

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

(10:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short right to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to LOU28

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short right to #87 J.Brown thrown to LOU19

4th & 11Passing Touchdown+26 ydsPPA +4.85

Jacob Petersen 26 Yd pass from Kalieb Osborne (Chip Trayanum Run for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

(10:38) #22 K.Brown rush right for 1 yard loss to the LOU24 (#8 M.Poynter; #20 L.Long)

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

(09:58) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass incomplete short middle to #5 C.Lacy thrown to LOU28 broken up by #7 E.McNeil-Warren

3rd & 11Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.13

(09:56) Shotgun #7 M.Moss pass complete short left to #22 K.Brown caught at LOU20, for 0 yards to the LOU24 (#8 M.Poynter)

4th & 11Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY LOU False Start (#29 B.Ruffin) 5 yards from LOU24 to LOU19. NO PLAY

4th & 16Punt Return+12 yds

(09:04) #93 D.Chapeau punt 43 yards to the TOL38 #12 B.Hammer return 12 yards to the TOL50 (#14 K.Hughes; #34 T.Quinn)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.87

(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 C.Trayanum rush right for 1 yard gain to the LOU49 (#27 J.Evans Jr.)

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.64

(08:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 K.Christian rush left for 2 yards gain to the LOU47 (#27 J.Evans Jr.; #50 C.Lubin) PENALTY LOU Targeting (#50 C.Lubin) 15 yards from LOU47 to LOU32, 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.69

(07:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne sacked for loss of 6 yards to the LOU38 (#92 M.Carter)

2nd & 16Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.26

(07:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short left to #10 K.Christian caught at LOU41, for 6 yards to the LOU32 (#27 J.Evans Jr.), out of bounds

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

(06:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass incomplete short middle to #2 J.Vandeross III thrown to LOU32

4th & 10Field Goal Good+50 yds

(06:35) #37 R.Hammond III field goal attempt from 50 yards GOOD (H: #36 E.Duran, LS: #40 J.Roe), clock 06:35

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

(06:29) Shotgun #5 C.Lacy rush right for 11 yards gain to the LOU36 (#20 L.Long; #22 N.Thompson), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

(05:48) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 11 yards gain to the LOU47 (#7 E.McNeil-Warren), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+53 ydsPPA +4.10

Isaac Brown 53 Yd Run (Cooper Ranvier PAT blocked)

0th & 0Defensive 2pt Conversion0 yds

A. Smith return for defensive PAT

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.76

(04:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short middle to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at TOL40, for 19 yards to the LOU49 (#27 J.Evans Jr.; #29 B.Ruffin), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.97

(03:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short left to #89 J.Petersen caught at LOU35, for 20 yards to the LOU29 (#21 D.Hutchinson), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

(03:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush left for 5 yards gain to the LOU24 (#12 K.Perry)

2nd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.29

(03:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne pass complete short middle to #2 J.Vandeross III caught at LOU09, for 15 yards to the LOU09, End Of Play, 1ST DOWN

1st & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

(02:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 K.Osborne rush left for 6 yards gain to the LOU03 (#12 K.Perry)

2nd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.21

C. Trayanum run for 3 yds, for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Fumble+17 ydsPPA +1.52

(02:19) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush right for 17 yards gain to the LOU42 fumbled by #22 K.Brown at LOU42 forced by #4 A.Smith, out of bounds at LOU42, 1ST DOWN. #3 A.Fuller injured on the play

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.15

(02:13) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush right for 14 yards gain to the TOL44 (#7 E.McNeil-Warren; #58 A.Dunn Jr), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.51

(01:57) Shotgun #22 K.Brown rush right for 11 yards gain to the TOL33 (#4 A.Smith; #7 E.McNeil-Warren), 1ST DOWN

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

(01:56) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush right for 6 yards gain to the TOL27 (#38 K.Sherman) PENALTY TOL UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting LOU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting

2nd & 4Penalty0 yds

(01:50) Shotgun #1 I.Brown rush middle for 0 yards to the TOL27 (#4 A.Smith) PENALTY TOL Offside 5 yards from TOL27 to TOL22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.96

(01:24) Kneel down by Louisville at TOL27 for loss of 5 yards

2nd & 15Penalty+5 yds

(01:17) Kneel down by Louisville at TOL29 for loss of 2 yards PENALTY TOL Illegal Substitution 5 yards from TOL27 to TOL22. NO PLAY

2nd & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY TOL Delay Of Game 5 yards from TOL22 to TOL17. NO PLAY

2nd & 5Rush-28 ydsPPA -4.53

(00:13) Kneel down by Louisville at TOL45 for loss of 28 yards

Situational Analysis

Toledo

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
4 plays
50%
6 plays
20%
5 plays
33%
9 plays
3rd
100%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
0%
1 play
14%
7 plays
4th
100%
1 play

Louisville

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
60%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
20%
5 plays
71%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
3 plays