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← Back to GamesDec 7, 2024Week 15

House Prediction

Model Margin

North Dakota State by 22.1

Home Win Probability

North Dakota State 89%

Market (ESPN Bet)

North Dakota State -21.5

Edge: North Dakota State -21.5 (0.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Abilene Christian
1437731
North Dakota StateNorth Dakota State
317211051

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142842563-03-73-1413-1720-1727-1734-2441-3151-31
North Dakota StateAbilene Christian

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NDSACNDSACNDSACNDSACACNDSACNDSACACNDSACNDSACNDSACNDSACNDSACACFG1272ydTD1275ydPUNT525ydTD190ydPUNT39ydPUNT36ydTO10ydFG41ydDOWNS48ydFG625ydPUNT66ydTD966ydEND19ydTO519ydTD428ydPUNT30ydTD460ydTD539ydTD575ydTD1075ydPUNT736ydTO311ydFG43ydTD10ydUncategorized37yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Abilene Christian and North Dakota State
StatisticAbilene ChristianNorth Dakota State
Passing20-3120-29
Pass Yards153274
Rush Yards192100
Total Yards345374
Turnovers31
3rd Down5-131-9
Penalties8-624-30
Possession28:0928:26

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Abilene Christian
passing
Maverick McIvor
20/31, 153 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
Sam Hicks
16 CAR, 153 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
JJ Henry
7 REC, 70 YDS, 1 TD
North Dakota State
passing
Cam Miller
20/29, 274 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
rushing
CharMar Brown
16 CAR, 58 YDS
receiving
Bryce Lance
5 REC, 70 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

CharMar Brown run for 2 yds to the NDSU 27

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.07

Cam Miller pass complete to Truman Werremeyer for 16 yds to the NDSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.99

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 12 yds to the ACU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+29 ydsPPA +0.91

Barika Kpeenu run for 29 yds to the ACU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, False Start (Cam Miller) to the ACU 21

1st & 15Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.18

CharMar Brown run for 7 yds to the ACU 14

2nd & 8Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.53

Bryce Lance run for a loss of 2 yards to the ACU 16

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.38

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 9 yds to the ACU 7

4th & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.84

Cam Miller run for 1 yd to the ACU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Cam Miller run for 1 yd to the ACU 5

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

CharMar Brown run for 2 yds to the ACU 3

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 3Field Goal Good+21 yds

Griffin Crosa 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 6 yds to the ACU 31

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.87

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.15

Maverick McIvor pass complete to J.J. Henry for 12 yds to the ACU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.98

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 8 yds to the NDSU 49

2nd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.57

Sam Hicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard line

3rd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +1.65

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 6 yds to the NDSU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Sam Hicks run for 6 yds to the NDSU 38

2nd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.97

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Sam Hicks for no gain to the NDSU 38

3rd & 4Penalty-5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NDSU 43

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Maverick McIvor run for 7 yds to the NDSU 36

4th & 2Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.07

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 15 yds to the NDSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.46

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 8 yds to the NDSU 13

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.17

Maverick McIvor pass complete to J.J. Henry for 13 yds for a TD (Ritse Vaes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.02

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for a loss of 4 yards to the NDSU 21

2nd & 14Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.91

Cam Miller pass complete to Barika Kpeenu for 25 yds to the NDSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.16

CharMar Brown run for no gain to the NDSU 46

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Cam Miller pass complete to Chris Harris for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Nehemiah Martinez I at the ACU 10

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+90 ydsPPA +6.79

Sam Hicks run for 90 yds for a TD (Ritse Vaes KICK)

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, Delay Of Game (Will Shaffer) to the NDSU 30

1st & 5Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.53

Barika Kpeenu run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDSU 29

2nd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Cam Miller run for 4 yds to the NDSU 33

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

CharMar Brown run for 1 yd to the NDSU 34

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 49 yds, downed at the ACU 17

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.25

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for a loss of 1 yard to the ACU 16

3rd & 11Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.08

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Sam Hicks for 7 yds to the ACU 23

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+22 ydsPPA -2.44

Cam Miller pass intercepted Kaghen Roach return for 22 yds to the NDSU 13

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.24

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Sam Hicks for 1 yd to the NDSU 12

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Good+29 yds

Ritse Vaes 29 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush-18 ydsPPA -2.20

TEAM run for a loss of 18 yards to the ACU 18

2nd & 28Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.02

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Trey Cleveland for 2 yds to the ACU 20

3rd & 26Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.12

Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 13 yds to the ACU 33

4th & 13Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.25

Nehemiah Martinez I run for 11 yds to the ACU 44

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

CharMar Brown run for 5 yds to the ACU 39

2nd & 5Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.62

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 14 yds to the ACU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

CharMar Brown run for 6 yds to the ACU 19

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+37 yds

Griffin Crosa 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

Sam Hicks run for 6 yds to the ACU 30

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.41

Maverick McIvor pass complete to J.J. Henry for 5 yds to the ACU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Maverick McIvor run for 4 yds to the ACU 39

2nd & 6Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.46

Sam Hicks run for a loss of 4 yards to the ACU 35

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ACU 30

3rd & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.13

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jackson Williams at the NDSU 34

1st & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +2.40

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 32 yds to the ACU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 7 yds to the ACU 27

2nd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.07

CharMar Brown run for 7 yds to the ACU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 7 yds to the ACU 13

2nd & 3Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.74

Barika Kpeenu run for a loss of 3 yards to the ACU 16

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, False Start (Braylon Henderson) to the ACU 21

3rd & 11Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.60

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 10 yds to the ACU 11

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.80

CharMar Brown run for 4 yds to the ACU 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 1 yd to the ACU 6

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+6 ydsPPA +2.53

Cam Miller pass complete to RaJa Nelson for 6 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Sam Hicks run for 9 yds to the ACU 34

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Nehemiah Martinez I for 9 yds to the ACU 34

2nd & 1Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Sam Hicks run for 8 yds to the ACU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Abilene Christian Penalty, False Start (Alan Hatten) to the ACU 37

1st & 15Penalty+15 yds

(13:27) MCIVOR, Maverick pass deep up the middle intercepted by CRUMBY, Jaylin at the NDSU30 intended for TAYLOR, Blayne. Crumby return for 0 yards to the NDSU30, End of Play, clock 13:21. PENALTY NDSU Pass Interference on GIVANCE, Darius enforced 15 yards to the NDSU48 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Sam Hicks run for 4 yds to the NDSU 44

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack-12 ydsPPA -2.25

Maverick McIvor sacked for a loss of 12 yards to the ACU 28 Maverick McIvor fumbled, recovered by NDSU Logan Kopp , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.18

CharMar Brown run for 11 yds to the ACU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Cam Miller pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty+15 yds

MILLER, Cam pass deep to the left incomplete intended for LANCE, Bryce thrown to the ACU0, clock 11:13. PENALTY ACU Pass Interference on MUKES, Jordan enforced at the spot of the foul for 15 yards to the ACU2 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.69

CharMar Brown run for 1 yd to the ACU 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Cam Miller run for 1 yd for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.67

Sam Hicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the ACU 20

2nd & 11Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.34

Maverick McIvor pass complete to J.J. Henry for 8 yds to the ACU 28

3rd & 3Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.66

Maverick McIvor sacked by Eli Mostaert for a loss of 7 yards to the ACU 21

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Grant Nickel punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jackson Williams at the NDSU 40

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

CharMar Brown run for no gain to the NDSU 40

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.12

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 11 yds to the ACU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(07:03) MILLER, Cam pass deep to the left incomplete intended for LANCE, Bryce thrown to the ACU18, clock 06:58. PENALTY ACU Pass Interference on WILLIAMS, Tyson enforced 15 yards to the ACU34 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

CharMar Brown run for 4 yds to the ACU 30

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+30 ydsPPA +3.00

Cam Miller pass complete to TK Marshall for 30 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.62

Maverick McIvor pass complete to J.J. Henry for 8 yds to the NDSU 31

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.80

Sam Hicks run for no gain to the NDSU 31

3rd & 2Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.79

Sam Hicks run for 19 yds to the NDSU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Maverick McIvor pass complete to J.J. Henry for 9 yds to the NDSU 3

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.92

Sam Hicks run for 3 yds for a TD (Ritse Vaes KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.07

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 23 yds to the NDSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

CharMar Brown run for 5 yds to the ACU 47

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Barika Kpeenu run for 1 yd to the ACU 46

3rd & 4Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.82

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 10 yds to the ACU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Cam Miller pass complete to Bryce Lance for 36 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.93

Sam Hicks run for 11 yds to the ACU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Sam Hicks for 4 yds to the ACU 40

2nd & 6Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.96

Jordon Vaughn run for 17 yds to the NDSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Sam Hicks run for 3 yds to the NDSU 40

2nd & 7Penalty+5 yds

North Dakota State Penalty, Offsides (Kelton McCaslin) to the NDSU 35

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.73

Sam Hicks run for 4 yds to the NDSU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +0.30

Maverick McIvor pass complete to Blayne Taylor for 18 yds to the NDSU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 7 yds to the NDSU 6

2nd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.02

Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 4 yds to the NDSU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD (Ritse Vaes KICK)

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Barika Kpeenu run for 6 yds to the NDSU 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.28

Cam Miller pass complete to Braylon Henderson for 12 yds to the NDSU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

TK Marshall run for 5 yds to the NDSU 48

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.22

Cam Miller pass complete to Joe Stoffel for 13 yds to the ACU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

CharMar Brown run for no gain to the ACU 39

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Cam Miller pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Kaedin Steindorf punt for 19 yds

1st & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.80

Sam Hicks run for a loss of 4 yards to the ACU 16

2nd & 14Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.57

Maverick McIvor pass complete to J.J. Henry for 15 yds to the ACU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Interception Return+37 ydsPPA -1.39

Maverick McIvor pass intercepted Marcus Gulley return for 37 yds to the ACU 9

1st & 9Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

CharMar Brown run for 3 yds to the ACU 6

2nd & 6Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Cam Miller run for no gain to the ACU 6

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Cam Miller pass incomplete

4th & 6Field Goal Good+24 yds

Griffin Crosa 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Interception Return Touchdown+31 ydsPPA -7.92

Maverick McIvor pass intercepted Logan Kopp return for 31 yds for a TD (Griffin Crosa KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-4 yds

(03:18) HICKS, Sam rush to the left for a gain of 18 yards to the ACU26 (JONES, Ryan), out of bounds, clock 03:11. PENALTY ACU Holding on THIELEN, Jacob enforced half the distance from the goal, 4 yards from the ACU8 to the ACU4 [SG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 14Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 6 yds to the ACU 10

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.20

Maverick McIvor pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Rovaughn Banks Jr. run for 5 yds to the ACU 15

Situational Analysis

Abilene Christian

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
54%
24 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
57%
7 plays
17%
6 plays
0%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play

North Dakota State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
0%
2 plays
57%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
33%
3 plays
50%
10 plays
40%
5 plays
100%
1 play
3rd
0%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
100%
2 plays