House Prediction
Model Margin
Liberty by 13
Home Win Probability
Liberty 82%
Market (Bovada)
Liberty +4
fitted_v1 · Jan 4, 2025
Line Movement
No line movement to chart
Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Buffalo | 6 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 26 |
 Liberty | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 |
Scoring Timeline
Drive Chart
Box Score
| Statistic | Buffalo | Liberty |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 9-19 | 6-21 |
| Pass Yards | 137 | 80 |
| Rush Yards | 222 | 162 |
| Total Yards | 359 | 242 |
| Turnovers | 0 | 3 |
| 3rd Down | 6-19 | 3-15 |
| Penalties | 6-53 | 2-20 |
| Possession | 37:01 | 22:59 |
Player Leaders
Player Leaders
Play-by-Play
Julian Gray run for a loss of 5 yards to the LIB 20
Ryan Burger pass incomplete
Ryan Burger run for 6 yds to the LIB 26
Max Morgan punt for 45 yds , Victor Snow returns for 8 yds to the BUF 37
Al-Jay Henderson run for 3 yds to the BUF 40
Buffalo Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the BUF 35
C.J. Ogbonna run for 6 yds to the BUF 41
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Al-Jay Henderson for 35 yds to the LIB 24 for a 1ST down
Al-Jay Henderson run for no gain to the LIB 24
HENDERSON, Al-Jay rush up the middle for a gain of 3 yards to the LIB21 (JONES, A'Khori). PENALTY BUF Holding enforced 10 yards from the LIB24 to the LIB34 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
Upton Bellenfant 52 yd FG GOOD
Buffalo Penalty, Offsides (Victor Snow) to the LIB 30
Vaughn Blue run for 6 yds to the LIB 36
Vaughn Blue run for a loss of 2 yards to the LIB 34
Ryan Burger pass incomplete
Max Morgan punt for 33 yds, downed at the BUF 33
C.J. Ogbonna sacked by Teylor Jackson and Mike Jarvis for a loss of 8 yards to the BUF 25
C.J. Ogbonna run for 8 yds to the BUF 33
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Taji Johnson for 30 yds to the LIB 37 for a 1ST down
OGBONNA, C.J. pass deep to the left incomplete intended for JOHNSON, Taji thrown to the LIB18. PENALTY LIB Pass Interference on SWEENEY, Jayden enforced 15 yards to the LIB22 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
Al-Jay Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 23
Al-Jay Henderson run for 2 yds to the LIB 21
Buffalo Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the LIB 26
C.J. Ogbonna run for 1 yd to the LIB 25
Upton Bellenfant 43 yd FG GOOD
Buffalo Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the LIB 40 for a 1ST down
Julian Gray run for no gain to the LIB 40
Ryan Burger pass incomplete
Ryan Burger pass incomplete
Max Morgan punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Victor Snow at the BUF 25
Jack Shields run for 7 yds to the BUF 32
Terrance Shelton Jr. run for 2 yds to the BUF 34
Al-Jay Henderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the BUF 32
Ethan Duane punt for 68 yds for a touchback
Ryan Burger pass incomplete
Vaughn Blue run for 3 yds to the LIB 23
Ryan Burger sacked by Dion Crawford for a loss of 4 yards to the LIB 19
Max Morgan punt for 38 yds, downed at the BUF 43
Al-Jay Henderson run for 1 yd to the BUF 44
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Victor Snow for 22 yds to the LIB 34 for a 1ST down
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Lamar Sperling for 28 yds to the LIB 6 for a 1ST down
Lamar Sperling run for 3 yds to the LIB 3
C.J. Ogbonna run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 4
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Victor Snow for 2 yds to the LIB 2
Upton Bellenfant 20 yd FG GOOD
Upton Bellenfant kickoff for 53 yds , Julian Gray return for 3 yds to the LIB 15 Julian Gray fumbled, recovered by LIB A'Khori Jones A. Jones return for 3 yds , return for no gain to the LIB 15
Billy Lucas run for 55 yds to the BUF 30 for a 1ST down
Billy Lucas run for a loss of 1 yard to the BUF 31
Billy Lucas run for 3 yds to the BUF 28
Ryan Burger run for a loss of 2 yards to the BUF 35 Ryan Burger fumbled, recovered by BUF Cornell Evans C. Evans return for 5 yds
C.J. Ogbonna run for 1 yd to the BUF 36
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Victor Snow for 12 yds to the BUF 48 for a 1ST down
C.J. Ogbonna run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line
C.J. Ogbonna run for 2 yds to the LIB 48
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Victor Snow for 5 yds to the LIB 43
C.J. Ogbonna run for 3 yds to the LIB 40 for a 1ST down
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
Al-Jay Henderson run for 2 yds to the LIB 38
Ethan Duane punt for 30 yds
Vaughn Blue run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 7
Ryan Burger pass complete to Treon Sibley for 6 yds to the LIB 13
BURGER, Ryan pass up the middle incomplete intended for SMITH, Reese broken up by FUQUA, Marcus at the LIB26. PENALTY BUF Pass Interference on FUQUA, Marcus enforced at the spot of the foul for 13 yards to the LIB26 and results in automatic 1ST DOWN [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).
Ryan Burger pass incomplete
Julian Gray run for 1 yd to the LIB 27
Ryan Burger pass complete to Billy Lucas for 11 yds to the LIB 38 for a 1ST down
Julian Gray run for no gain to the LIB 38
Ryan Burger run for a loss of 5 yards to the LIB 33
Ryan Burger sacked by Shaun Dolac and Malin White for a loss of 9 yards to the LIB 24
Max Morgan punt for 63 yds , Victor Snow returns for 28 yds to the BUF 41
Messiah Burch run for a loss of 9 yards to the BUF 32
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
Al-Jay Henderson run for 5 yds to the BUF 37
Ethan Duane punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Julian Gray at the LIB 35
Ryan Burger run for 6 yds to the LIB 41
Vaughn Blue run for 3 yds to the LIB 44
Caden Williams run for 4 yds to the LIB 48 for a 1ST down
Ryan Burger pass incomplete
Ryan Burger pass incomplete
Ryan Burger pass complete to Bentley Hanshaw for 18 yds to the BUF 34 for a 1ST down
Ryan Burger run for no gain to the BUF 34
Ryan Burger pass complete to Treon Sibley for 5 yds to the BUF 29
Ryan Burger sacked by Jacari Bennett for a loss of 2 yards to the BUF 31
Colin Karhu 49 yd FG MISSED
[NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at BUF29 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.
End of 2nd Quarter
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Al-Jay Henderson for 1 yd to the BUF 26
Al-Jay Henderson run for 10 yds to the BUF 36 for a 1ST down
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
Al-Jay Henderson run for 7 yds to the BUF 43
Al-Jay Henderson run for 3 yds to the BUF 46 for a 1ST down
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
Al-Jay Henderson run for 3 yds to the BUF 49
C.J. Ogbonna run for 6 yds to the LIB 45
Al-Jay Henderson run for 45 yds for a TD (Upton Bellenfant KICK)
Liberty Penalty, Delay Of Game (Ryan Burger) to the LIB 28
Upton Bellenfant kickoff for 49 yds , Julian Gray return for 17 yds to the LIB 33
Ryan Burger run for 57 yds to the BUF 15 for a 1ST down
Vaughn Blue run for 5 yds to the BUF 10
Ryan Burger run for no gain to the BUF 10
Ryan Burger run for 10 yds Ryan Burger fumbled, recovered by BUF Daishon Folsom D. Folsom return for 0 yds
C.J. Ogbonna run for 2 yds to the BUF 22
Al-Jay Henderson run for 7 yds to the BUF 29
Al-Jay Henderson run for 7 yds to the BUF 36 for a 1ST down
Al-Jay Henderson run for 4 yds to the BUF 40
Lamar Sperling run for 4 yds to the BUF 44
Lamar Sperling run for 3 yds to the BUF 47 for a 1ST down
C.J. Ogbonna run for 4 yds to the LIB 49
Lamar Sperling run for 9 yds to the LIB 40 for a 1ST down
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Messiah Burch for 2 yds to the LIB 38
Messiah Burch run for 4 yds to the LIB 34
Messiah Burch run for 1 yd to the LIB 33
C.J. Ogbonna run for 5 yds to the LIB 28 for a 1ST down
Al-Jay Henderson run for 12 yds to the LIB 16 for a 1ST down
C.J. Ogbonna run for no gain to the LIB 16
Al-Jay Henderson run for 1 yd to the LIB 15
Al-Jay Henderson run for 3 yds to the LIB 12
Upton Bellenfant 30 yd FG MISSED
Caden Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 19
Nate Hampton pass incomplete
Nate Hampton pass incomplete
Max Morgan punt for 15 yds, downed at the LIB 34
Al-Jay Henderson run for 4 yds to the LIB 30
Al-Jay Henderson run for 3 yds to the LIB 27
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete
Upton Bellenfant 45 yd FG GOOD
Nate Hampton pass incomplete
Nate Hampton pass intercepted Red Murdock return for 31 yds for a TD (Upton Bellenfant KICK)
Caden Williams run for 4 yds to the LIB 29
Caden Williams run for 9 yds to the LIB 38 for a 1ST down
Caden Williams run for no gain to the LIB 38
Caden Williams run for 9 yds to the LIB 47
Caden Williams run for no gain to the LIB 47
Caden Williams run for 2 yds to the LIB 49 for a 1ST down
Nate Hampton pass incomplete
Caden Williams run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line
Nate Hampton run for 7 yds to the BUF 43
Nate Hampton pass complete to Tyson Mobley for 4 yds to the BUF 39 for a 1ST down
Caden Williams run for 3 yds to the BUF 36
Nate Hampton pass incomplete
Nate Hampton pass incomplete
Nate Hampton pass complete to Reese Smith for 36 yds for a TD (Colin Karhu KICK)
Max Morgan kickoff for 18 yds , return for no gain to the BUF 47
Jacqez Barksdale run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line
Jacqez Barksdale run for 12 yds to the LIB 38 for a 1ST down
C.J. Ogbonna run for 1 yd to the LIB 37
Jacqez Barksdale run for 4 yds to the LIB 33
Mark-Anthony Scott Jr. run for 3 yds to the LIB 30
James McNeil Jr. run for 13 yds to the LIB 17 for a 1ST down
James McNeil Jr. run for 2 yds to the LIB 15
Jacqez Barksdale run for 1 yd to the LIB 14
Mark-Anthony Scott Jr. run for 3 yds to the LIB 11
Mark-Anthony Scott Jr. run for 10 yds to the LIB 1 for a 1ST down
[NHSG] Kneel down by TEAM at LIB3 (team loss of 2), clock 00:00.