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← Back to GamesDec 7, 2024Week 15
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Arizona State by 3.2

Home Win Probability

Arizona State 56%

Market (Bovada)

Arizona State -1.5

Edge: Arizona State -1.5 (1.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Dec 7, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Iowa StateIowa State
730919
Arizona StateArizona State
101421045

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428423-03-710-710-1017-1031-1038-1045-1345-19
Arizona StateIowa State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20ASISASISASISASISASISISASISASISASISASISASISASFG760ydTD1175ydTD775ydFG1057ydTD575ydMISS1247ydPUNT430ydPUNT34ydTD472ydEND224ydTO518ydTD1143ydTO1-5ydTD326ydTO513ydTD338ydFG1370ydPUNT36ydTD868ydDOWNS832ydPUNT34ydEND3-3yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Iowa State and Arizona State
StatisticIowa StateArizona State
Passing21-3812-18
Pass Yards214219
Rush Yards127245
Total Yards341464
Turnovers30
3rd Down7-145-12
Penalties2-107-64
Possession29:3330:27

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Iowa State
passing
Rocco Becht
21/35, 214 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Carson Hansen
10 CAR, 52 YDS
receiving
Jayden Higgins
7 REC, 115 YDS
defense
Arizona State
passing
Sam Leavitt
12/17, 219 YDS, 3 TD
rushing
Cameron Skattebo
16 CAR, 170 YDS, 2 TD
receiving
Melquan Stovall
4 REC, 91 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.46

Cam Skattebo run for 28 yds to the ISU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Cam Skattebo run for 3 yds to the ISU 44

2nd & 7Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +1.32

Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 22 yds to the ISU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Kyson Brown run for no gain to the ISU 22

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Xavier Guillory

3rd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.29

Sam Leavitt run for 7 yds to the ISU 15

4th & 3Field Goal Good+32 yds

Carston Kieffer 32 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jayden Higgins

2nd & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.54

Abu Sama III run for 10 yds to the ISU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 5 yds to the ISU 40

2nd & 5Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.99

Carson Hansen run for 6 yds to the ASU 46 for a 1ST down Arizona State Penalty, Personal Foul (Keyshaun Elliott) to the ASU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.38

Carson Hansen run for 11 yds to the ASU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for 7 yds to the ASU 21

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Abu Sama III run for 2 yds to the ASU 19

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.14

Rocco Becht run for 1 yd to the ASU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Rocco Becht run for 5 yds to the ASU 13

2nd & 5Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 7 yds to the ASU 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 0Penalty+3 yds

Hansen, Carson rush for 3 yards to the ASU3, PENALTY ASU substitution infraction 3 yards to the ASU3, NO PLAY.

1st & 3Passing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Carson Hansen 3 Yd pass from Rocco Becht (Kyle Konrardy Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 5 yds to the ASU 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ASU 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Cam Skattebo run for no gain to the ASU 34

4th & 1Pass Reception+63 ydsPPA +5.34

Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 63 yds to the ISU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Cam Skattebo pass incomplete

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.41

Cam Skattebo run for no gain to the ISU 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Sam Leavitt 3 Yd Run (Carston Kieffer Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +1.71

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 19 yds to the ISU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Gabe Burkle

2nd & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +2.39

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 17 yds to the ASU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.44

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 14 yds to the ASU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Carson Hansen run for 4 yds to the ASU 21

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.31

Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 12 yds to the ASU 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.25

Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ASU 8

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jayden Higgins

3rd & 0Penalty-5 yds

Iowa State Penalty, False Start (Jayden Higgins) to the ASU 13

3rd & 13Pass Reception-5 ydsPPA -1.55

Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for a loss of 5 yards to the ASU 18

4th & 0Field Goal Good+36 yds

Kyle Konrardy 36 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+47 ydsPPA +3.31

Cam Skattebo run for 47 yds to the ISU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.27

Kyson Brown run for 2 yds to the ISU 26

2nd & 8Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.46

Sam Leavitt pass complete to Kyson Brown for 9 yds to the ISU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.12

Sam Leavitt run for 14 yds to the ISU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +1.46

Cam Skattebo 3 Yd Run (Carston Kieffer Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Carson Hansen run for 9 yds to the ISU 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jayden Higgins

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.25

Carson Hansen run for 5 yds to the ISU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.35

Jaylon Jackson run for 9 yds to the ISU 48

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.41

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jayden Higgins

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.07

Rocco Becht run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Abu Sama III run for 3 yds to the ASU 47

2nd & 7Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.41

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 17 yds to the ASU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Carson Hansen run for no gain to the ASU 30

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.41

Jaylin Noel run for 2 yds to the ASU 28

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.92

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Carson Brown

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Kyle Konrardy 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+43 ydsPPA +3.07

Sam Leavitt pass complete to Malik McClain for 43 yds to the ISU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Xavier Guillory

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Cam Skattebo run for no gain to the ISU 29

3rd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.44

Sam Leavitt sacked by Domonique Orange for a loss of 8 yards to the ISU 37

4th & 18Penalty-5 yds

Arizona State Penalty, Delay of Game (TEAM) to the ISU 42

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Kanyon Floyd punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jaylin Noel at the ISU 10

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Jaylon Jackson run for no gain to the ISU 10

2nd & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 4 yds to the ISU 14

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.14

Rocco Becht pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 48 yds , Melquan Stovall returns for no gain to the ASU 14 Arizona State Penalty, Illegal Block (Kyan McDonald) to the ASU 28

1st & 10Rush+53 ydsPPA +3.25

Cam Skattebo run for 53 yds to the ISU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cam Skattebo for 5 yds to the ISU 14

2nd & 5Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.32

Sam Leavitt run for 12 yds to the ISU 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Cam Skattebo 2 Yd Run (Carston Kieffer Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 8 yds to the ISU 33

2nd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Abu Sama III run for 16 yds to the ISU 49 for a 1ST down

0th & 2End of Half+16 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jaylin Noel

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Abu Sama III run for 2 yds to the ISU 27

3rd & 8Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.96

Rocco Becht run for 10 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 6 yds to the ISU 43

2nd & 4Fumble Recovery (Opponent)0 ydsPPA -2.35

Abu Sama III run for no gain to the ISU 43 Abu Sama III fumbled, forced by Javan Robinson, recovered by ASU Jeff Clark

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.29

Cam Skattebo run for 6 yds to the ISU 37

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Cam Skattebo run for 2 yds to the ISU 35

3rd & 2Rush-4 ydsPPA -1.94

Sam Leavitt run for a loss of 4 yards to the ISU 39

4th & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +2.70

Sam Leavitt run for 9 yds to the ISU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Melquan Stovall

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Cam Skattebo run for 7 yds to the ISU 23

3rd & 3Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.45

Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ISU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Chamon Metayer

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.22

Cam Skattebo run for 7 yds to the ISU 12

3rd & 3Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.43

Sam Leavitt pass complete to Kyson Brown for 4 yds to the ISU 8 for a 1ST down

1st & 8Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.32

Xavier Guillory 8 Yd pass from Sam Leavitt (Carston Kieffer Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

Ian Hershey kickoff for 65 yds , Jaylon Jackson return for 22 yds to the ISU 22

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Iowa State Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the ISU 17

1st & 15Pass Interception Return+8 ydsPPA -0.08

Rocco Becht pass intercepted Keith Abney II return for 8 yds to the ISU 26

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.47

Sam Leavitt pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 5 yds to the ISU 21

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+21 ydsPPA +3.14

Xavier Guillory 21 Yd pass from Sam Leavitt (Carston Kieffer Kick)

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Carson Hansen run for 9 yds to the ISU 34

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.28

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jaylin Noel

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.05

Carson Hansen run for 3 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 8 yds to the ISU 45

2nd & 2Fumble Recovery (Opponent)-7 ydsPPA -2.99

Abu Sama III run for a loss of 7 yards to the ISU 38 Abu Sama III fumbled, forced by Clayton Smith, recovered by ASU Justin Wodtly

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Cam Skattebo run for 4 yds to the ISU 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Sam Leavitt pass complete to Melquan Stovall for 1 yd to the ISU 33

3rd & 5Passing Touchdown+33 ydsPPA +3.81

Cam Skattebo 33 Yd pass from Sam Leavitt (Carston Kieffer Kick)

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.22

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 14 yds to the ISU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Carson Hansen run for 5 yds to the ISU 44

2nd & 5Pass Reception-4 ydsPPA -1.82

Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for a loss of 4 yards to the ISU 40

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.27

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 18 yds to the ASU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.91

Carson Hansen run for no gain to the ASU 42

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.05

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Beni Ngoyi

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 7 yds to the ASU 35

4th & 3Penalty+15 yds

Becht, Rocco pass sacked for loss of 10 yards to the ASU45 (Simmons, Shamari), PENALTY ASU personal foul (Simmons, Shamari) 15 yards to the ASU20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWAST.

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.55

Aiden Flora run for a loss of 2 yards to the ASU 22

2nd & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Connor Moberly run for 2 yds to the ASU 20

3rd & 10Penalty+11 yds

Moberly, Connor pass incomplete to Noel, Jaylin, PENALTY ASU pass interference (Robinson, Javan) 11 yards to the ASU9, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWAST.

1st & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.32

Jaylon Jackson run for no gain to the ASU 9

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Connor Moberly run for 4 yds to the ASU 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Connor Moberly pass incomplete to Jayden Higgins

4th & 5Field Goal Good+24 yds

Kyle Konrardy 24 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

DeCarlos Brooks run for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 26

2nd & 11Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

DeCarlos Brooks run for 3 yds to the ASU 29

3rd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

DeCarlos Brooks run for 4 yds to the ASU 33

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kanyon Floyd punt for 35 yds, downed at the ISU 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Jayden Higgins

2nd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Jaylon Jackson run for 6 yds to the ISU 38

3rd & 4Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.76

Rocco Becht run for 5 yds to the ISU 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Carson Brown

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Brett Eskildsen

3rd & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jaylin Noel for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

4th & 3Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +3.41

Rocco Becht pass complete to Jayden Higgins for 25 yds to the ASU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+25 ydsPPA +2.70

Jaylin Noel 25 Yd pass from Rocco Becht (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.69

Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the ISU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.54

DeCarlos Brooks run for 11 yds to the ISU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.29

Jeff Sims run for 12 yds to the ISU 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.96

DeCarlos Brooks run for a loss of 5 yards to the ISU 27

2nd & 15Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the ISU 23

3rd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.06

Jeff Sims run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 24

4th & 12Penalty-5 yds

Arizona State Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ISU 29

4th & 17Rush+6 ydsPPA -1.19

Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the ISU 23

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Connor Moberly run for 4 yds to the ISU 27

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

Connor Moberly pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Connor Moberly pass incomplete to Tripp Walsh

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Tyler Perkins punt for 57 yds, downed at the ASU 16

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.52

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 15

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.20

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 14

3rd & 12Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.07

TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 13

Situational Analysis

Iowa State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
52%
29 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
17%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
36%
11 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
4 plays
25%
4 plays
80%
5 plays
0%
1 play
4th
100%
1 play

Arizona State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
67%
3 plays
52%
23 plays
2nd
0%
1 play
40%
5 plays
71%
7 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
100%
2 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
4th
100%
1 play
100%
1 play
0%
1 play