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← Back to GamesOct 19, 2024Week 8

House Prediction

Model Margin

Howard by 4.1

Home Win Probability

Howard 57%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Howard +2.5

Edge: Howard +2.5 (6.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Tennessee State
7614027
Howard
077014

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-77-1614-20
HowardTennessee State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20TSHOWTSHOWTSHOWHOWTSHOWTSTSHOWTSHOWTSHOWTSHOWTSHOWHOWTSHOWTSHOWTSMISS583ydPUNT518ydPUNT39ydPUNT30ydTD1160ydPUNT620ydTO10ydPUNT39ydTO21ydFG44ydFG410ydTD775ydPUNT33ydPUNT33ydEND26ydDOWNS539ydDOWNS619ydPUNT3-3ydTD981ydTD955ydPUNT35ydDOWNS1387ydPUNT725ydPUNT33ydDOWNS4-4ydEND623yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Tennessee State and Howard
StatisticTennessee StateHoward
Passing19-306-22
Pass Yards28933
Rush Yards123176
Total Yards412209
Turnovers02
3rd Down3-132-12
Penalties11-1076-37
Possession35:1924:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Tennessee State
passing
Draylen Ellis
19/30, 289 YDS
rushing
Jaden McGill
14 CAR, 43 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Chevy Brenson
5 REC, 153 YDS
Howard
passing
Ja'Shawn Scroggins
6/21, 33 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Jarett Hunter
15 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Breylin Smith
4 REC, 15 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+83 ydsPPA +4.85

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 83 yds to the HOW 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.45

CJ Evans run for 1 yd to the HOW 4

2nd & 4Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -0.43

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Gerard Bullock for a loss of 1 yard to the HOW 5

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Jalal Dean, broken up by Carson Hinton

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Mika Levy kickoff for 65 yds , CJ Evans return for 12 yds to the TNST 12

4th & 5Field Goal Missed+22 yds

James Lowery 22 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.11

Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Breylin Smith for 9 yds to the HOW 29

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Jarett Hunter run for 3 yds to the HOW 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.39

Jarett Hunter run for 6 yds to the HOW 38

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Kasey Hawthorne pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass incomplete to Jarett Hunter

4th & 4Punt-5 yds

Jaydon Green punt out-of-bounds, Howard Penalty, illegal formation (Cam Dyson) to the HOW 33

4th & 9Penalty+5 yds

Tennessee State Penalty, off-side (Emmanuel Baez) to the HOW 38

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jaydon Green punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Draylen Ellis run for 1 yd to the TNST 31

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.44

CJ Evans run for 7 yds to the TNST 38

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.63

CJ Evans run for 1 yd to the TNST 39

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mark Shenouda punt for 28 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.23

Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Breylin Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the HOW 31

2nd & 12Penalty-5 yds

Howard Penalty, false start (Samuel Hill) to the HOW 26

2nd & 17Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Jarett Hunter for 12 yds to the HOW 38

3rd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.57

Hunter,Jarett rush middle (Moore,Tyler;Booker,Keandre).

4th & 5Penalty-5 yds

Howard Penalty, false start (Joseph Tabe) to the HOW 33

4th & 10Punt+13 yds

Jaydon Green punt for 40 yds , CJ Evans returns for 13 yds to the TNST 40

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Tennessee State Penalty, personal foul (Boogie Trotter) to the TNST 25

1st & 25Pass Reception-3 ydsPPA -0.23

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jaden McGill for a loss of 3 yards to the TNST 22

2nd & 28Rush-8 ydsPPA -0.07

Jalen Rouse run for 2 yds to the TNST 24 Tennessee State Penalty, Offensive holding (Saidou Ba) to the TNST 14

2nd & 36Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.01

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalal Dean for no gain to the TNST 14

3rd & 36Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.08

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jason Hoath Jr. for 33 yds to the TNST 47

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Jalal Dean

2nd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Draylen Ellis run for 8 yds to the HOW 45

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jaden McGill run for 1 yd to the HOW 44

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +2.15

Jordan Gant run for 4 yds to the HOW 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Bryant Williams for 2 yds to the HOW 38

2nd & 8Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.90

Jordan Gant run for 11 yds to the HOW 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+27 ydsPPA +2.74

Draylen Ellis run for 27 yds for a TD (James Lowery KICK)

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Kasey Hawthorne run for 1 yd to the HOW 28

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+22 yds

James Lowery kickoff for 60 yds , Anthony Reagan Jr. return for 22 yds to the HOW 27

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass incomplete to Se'Quan Osborne

3rd & 9Rush+12 ydsPPA +2.27

Ja'Shawn Scroggins run for 12 yds to the HOW 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.12

James,Eden rush middle (Nelson,Ahmad).

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Ja'Shawn Scroggins run for 7 yds to the HOW 47

3rd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.97

pass incomplete to Kasey Hawthorne

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Jaydon Green punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

CJ Evans run for 5 yds to the TNST 21

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalal Dean for 4 yds to the TNST 25

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Ellis,Draylen rush middle (Brown, Jr.,Derrick).

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Mark Shenouda punt for 45 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Eden James run for 1 yd to the HOW 31

2nd & 9Interception0 ydsPPA -0.59

Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass intercepted

1st & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.38

Draylen Ellis sacked by Kenny Gallop Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the HOW 33

2nd & 16Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee State Penalty, false start (Alex Valbuena) to the HOW 38

2nd & 21Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jaden McGill run for 4 yds to the HOW 34

3rd & 17Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.28

Draylen Ellis pass complete to CJ Evans for 11 yds to the HOW 23

4th & 6Field Goal Good+40 yds

James Lowery 40 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Tennessee State Penalty, substitution infraction (Draylen Ellis) to the HOW 37

1st & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +0.88

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jordan Gant for 15 yds to the HOW 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Jalal Dean, broken up by Derrick Hartley Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Da'Shon Davis, broken up by Carson Hinton

3rd & 10Field Goal Good+39 yds

James Lowery 39 Yd Field Goal

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jarett Hunter run for 3 yds to the HOW 28

2nd & 7Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Jarett Hunter run for 9 yds to the HOW 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.66

Jarett Hunter run for 2 yds to the HOW 39

2nd & 8Rush+22 ydsPPA +2.57

Ja'Shawn Scroggins run for 22 yds to the TNST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+27 ydsPPA +0.61

Eden James run for 14 yds to the TNST 25 Tennessee State Penalty, face mask (13 yards) (Chris Walker) to the TNST 12

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.32

Ja'Shawn Scroggins run for 10 yds to the TNST 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

E. James run for 2 yds for a TD (D. West KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+39 yds

Mika Levy kickoff for 62 yds , CJ Evans return for 39 yds to the TNST 26 Tennessee State Penalty, illegal block (Gerard Bullock) to the TNST 32

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Jaden McGill run for 3 yds to the TNST 35

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

pass incomplete to Bryant Williams

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Jalal Dean, broken up by Jabari Knighten

4th & 7Punt+1 yds

Mark Shenouda punt for 41 yds , Isiah Williams returns for 1 yd to the HOW 25

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Ja'Shawn Scroggins run for a loss of 1 yard to the HOW 24

2nd & 11Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.14

Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Isiah Williams for 6 yds to the HOW 30

3rd & 5Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.16

Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Breylin Smith for 3 yds to the HOW 33

4th & 2Penalty-5 yds

Howard Penalty, false start (Samuel Hill) to the HOW 28

4th & 7Punt+34 yds

Jaydon Green punt for 24 yds Tennessee State Penalty, Offensive holding (Gerard Bullock) to the TNST 38

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Jordan Gant run for 6 yds to the TNST 44

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

James Lowery kickoff for 63 yds , Anthony Reagan Jr. return for 21 yds to the HOW 23

1st & 10Rush+39 ydsPPA +3.12

Jarett Hunter run for 39 yds to the TNST 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

pass incomplete to Breylin Smith

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

pass incomplete to Nathanial Clark

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

pass incomplete to Kasey Hawthorne

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

pass incomplete to Isiah Williams

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Bryant Williams for 5 yds to the TNST 43

2nd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.92

CJ Evans run for 6 yds to the TNST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

pass incomplete to Jalal Dean

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Draylen Ellis pass complete to CJ Evans for 3 yds to the HOW 48

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Draylen Ellis pass complete to CJ Evans for 5 yds to the HOW 43

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.62

pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.68

Ja'Shawn Scroggins run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 3Rush-10 ydsPPA -3.04

Ja'Shawn Scroggins run for a loss of 10 yards to the HOW 40

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass incomplete to Eden James, broken up by Dion Villiers

4th & 13Punt0 yds

Jaydon Green punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

Jaden McGill run for 7 yds to the TNST 26

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.15

Jaden McGill run for 3 yds to the TNST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.12

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 12 yds to the TNST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jaden McGill run for 2 yds to the TNST 43

2nd & 8Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalal Dean for 1 yd to the TNST 44

3rd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.72

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 12 yds to the HOW 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +0.87

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 31 yds to the HOW 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Tevin Carter run for 9 yds to the HOW 4

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +1.93

Jaden McGill run for 4 yds for a TD (James Lowery KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+41 yds

James Lowery kickoff for 61 yds , Anthony Reagan Jr. return for 41 yds to the HOW 45

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Jarett Hunter run for 11 yds to the TNST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jarett Hunter run for 5 yds to the TNST 39

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.38

Jarett Hunter run for 5 yds to the TNST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass incomplete to Isiah Williams, broken up by Jalen McClendon

2nd & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +1.00

for a 1ST down Tennessee State Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Mecca Carr-Bordeaux) to the TNST 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Jarett Hunter run for 3 yds to the TNST 15

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.20

Jarett Hunter run for 2 yds to the TNST 13

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Ja'Shawn Scroggins run for 4 yds to the TNST 9

4th & 1Rushing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.94

Jarett Hunter 9 Yd Run (Dylan West Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

James Lowery kickoff for 53 yds , Anthony Reagan Jr. return for 18 yds to the HOW 45

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jarett Hunter run for 2 yds to the HOW 47

2nd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Jarett Hunter run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

pass incomplete to Jarett Hunter

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Jaydon Green punt for 42 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Bryant Williams

2nd & 10Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.19

Gant,Jordan rush (Lucas,Israel;Hollon,Terrance), PENALTY TSU holding (Smith,Anthony) 4 yards to the TSU12. Tennessee State Penalty, Offensive holding (Anthony Smith) to the TNST 4

2nd & 14Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +3.75

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jalal Dean for 50 yds to the HOW 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Jordan Gant run for 1 yd to the HOW 45

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.30

Jaden McGill run for a loss of 1 yard to the HOW 46

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.79

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Karate Brenson for 15 yds to the HOW 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Jaden McGill run for 5 yds to the HOW 26

2nd & 5Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

McGill,Jaden rush middle (Gallop,Kaleb).

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion+13 ydsPPA +0.83

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Roshawn Lacy for a 1ST down Howard Penalty, personal foul (Jamel Stewart) to the HOW 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

pass incomplete to Jason Hoath Jr.

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Draylen Ellis pass incomplete to Bryant Williams, broken up by Derrick Hartley Jr.

3rd & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.26

Draylen Ellis run for 8 yds to the HOW 5

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -4.09

Gant,Jordan rush middle (Gallop, Jr.,Kenny).

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Eden James run for 3 yds to the HOW 8

2nd & 7Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.30

James,Eden rush (Nelson,Ahmad;Ellis,Sanders), PENALTY HOW holding (May,Camren) 4 yards to the HOW12. Howard Penalty, Offensive holding (Cam May) to the HOW 4

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.10

pass incomplete to Isiah Williams

3rd & 11Rush+41 ydsPPA +3.06

Ja'Shawn Scroggins run for 26 yds to the HOW 30 Tennessee State Penalty, personal foul (Ahmad Nelson) to the HOW 45

1st & 10Sack-4 ydsPPA -1.95

Ja'Shawn Scroggins sacked by Chris Walker and Cameron Blaylock for a loss of 4 yards to the HOW 41

2nd & 14Sack-11 ydsPPA -1.09

Ja'Shawn Scroggins sacked by Eriq George for a loss of 11 yards to the HOW 30

3rd & 25Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.05

Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass incomplete to Kasey Hawthorne, broken up by Jordan Gant Howard Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (Yards) to the HOW 30

4th & 25Punt+8 yds

Jaydon Green punt for 51 yds , CJ Evans returns for 8 yds to the TNST 27

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.88

Jaden McGill run for a loss of 1 yard to the TNST 26

2nd & 11Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jaden McGill run for 5 yds to the TNST 31

3rd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.40

Draylen Ellis run for a loss of 1 yard to the TNST 30

4th & 7Punt+12 yds

Mark Shenouda punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the HOW 35 , Isiah Williams returns for 12 yds to the HOW 35

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.79

Ja'Shawn Scroggins sacked by Keandre Booker for a loss of 7 yards to the HOW 28

2nd & 17Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.02

Ja'Shawn Scroggins pass complete to Breylin Smith for 5 yds to the HOW 33

3rd & 12Sack-2 ydsPPA -0.27

Ja'Shawn Scroggins sacked by Tyler Moore and Sanders Ellis for a loss of 2 yards to the HOW 31

4th & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA +0.29

pass incomplete to Kasey Hawthorne

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.58

Gant,Jordan rush middle (Gallop,Kaleb).

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.60

Tevin Carter run for 1 yd to the HOW 30

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.42

Draylen Ellis pass complete to Jaden McGill for 11 yds to the HOW 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.45

Jaden McGill run for a loss of 1 yard to the HOW 20

2nd & 11Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.73

Jaden McGill run for 12 yds to the HOW 8 for a 1ST down

Situational Analysis

Tennessee State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
42%
24 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
100%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
27%
11 plays
50%
6 plays
3rd
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
83%
6 plays
100%
2 plays
4th
33%
3 plays

Howard

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
35%
23 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
40%
10 plays
60%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
0%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
100%
1 play