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← Back to GamesSep 14, 2024Week 3

House Prediction

Model Margin

Montana by 22.5

Home Win Probability

Montana 89%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Montana -37

Edge: Morehead State +37 (14.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 14, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Morehead State
00202
Montana
152413759

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428425615-022-025-032-039-046-052-059-2
MontanaMorehead State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MSMONMSMONMSMONMSMONMSMONMSMONMSMONMSMONMONMSMONMSMONMSMONMSMONMSPUNT3-2ydTD633ydTO2-5ydTD416ydPUNT532ydTO220ydDOWNS1016ydTD550ydPUNT37ydFG618ydPUNT3-6ydTD749ydPUNT3-12ydTD343ydPUNT39ydMISS1054ydPUNT30ydPUNT31ydTD995ydPUNT36ydTD1075ydPUNT3-6ydTD963ydPUNT31ydDOWNS1160ydEND10yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Morehead State and Montana
StatisticMorehead StateMontana
Passing4-1618-28
Pass Yards59166
Rush Yards-14410
Total Yards45576
Turnovers11
3rd Down1-125-12
Penalties4-251-11
Possession24:0635:54

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Morehead State
passing
Connor Genal
4/14, 59 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
James Louis
6 CAR, 12 YDS
receiving
Nate Garnett
1 REC, 32 YDS
Montana
passing
Logan Fife
9/16, 87 YDS
rushing
Malae Fonoti
24 CAR, 176 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Keelan White
5 REC, 40 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Chance Harris run for 3 yds to the MORE 13

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Chance Harris run for 1 yd to the MORE 14

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.06

Connor Genal pass incomplete

4th & 12Punt+14 yds

Kip Warren punt for 33 yds , Junior Bergen returns for 14 yds to the MORE 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Keelan White for 5 yds to the MORE 28

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Eli Gillman run for 1 yd to the MORE 27

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Keali'i Ah Yat pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.58

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Junior Bergen for 12 yds to the MORE 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.62

Eli Gillman run for 14 yds to the MORE 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Keali'i Ah Yat run for 1 yd for a TD (Ty Morrison KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.61

James Louis run for no gain to the MORE 22

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Genal,Connor pass complete short left to Kleint,Trevon caught at MSU39, for 17 yards to the MSU39, out of bounds at MSU39 PENALTY MSU Illegal Shift 5 yards from MSU22 to MSU17. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Interception0 ydsPPA +0.19

Connor Genal pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

Keali'i Ah Yat run for 1 yd to the MORE 15

2nd & 9Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.77

Nick Ostmo run for 9 yds to the MORE 6 for a 1ST down

1st & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Nick Ostmo run for 4 yds to the MORE 2

2nd & 2Passing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.07

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Keelan White for 2 yds for a TD (L. Fife Run For Two-point Conversion)

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.20

Connor Genal run for 1 yd to the MORE 2

2nd & 9Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +1.86

Connor Genal pass complete to Nathan Garnett Jr. for 32 yds to the MORE 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.81

Chance Harris run for 1 yd to the MORE 33

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Connor Genal pass incomplete

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.24

Connor Genal pass incomplete

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Junior Bergen at the MONT 29

1st & 10Rush+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Eli Gillman run for 20 yds to the MONT 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.08

Keali'i Ah Yat pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.99

Connor Genal pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Connor Genal pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty+11 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Genal,Connor pass incomplete short right to Garnett Jr.,Nathan thrown to MSU50, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UM Pass Interference (Jackson, Jr.,Ronald) 11 yard from MSU34 to MSU45, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.86

Connor Genal pass complete to Ryan Upp for 11 yds to the MONT 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chance Harris run for 5 yds to the MONT 39

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.76

Chance Harris run for 1 yd to the MONT 40

3rd & 6Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.70

Connor Genal run for 9 yds to the MONT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

Chance Harris run for 2 yds to the MONT 29

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Genal pass incomplete

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.73

Jackson Lanier run for 1 yd to the MONT 28

4th & 7Fumble Recovery (Own)-22 ydsPPA -2.42

Connor Genal sacked by Hayden Harris for a loss of 22 yards to the 50 yard line Connor Genal fumbled, recovered by MORE Jackson Lanier , return for 0 yards to the 50 yard line

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.84

Eli Gillman run for 8 yds to the MORE 42

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.03

Eli Gillman run for 7 yds to the MORE 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.27

Logan Fife run for 10 yds to the MORE 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.16

Logan Fife pass complete to Eli Gillman for 12 yds to the MORE 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+13 ydsPPA +2.54

Eli Gillman run for 13 yds for a TD (Ty Morrison KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

James Louis run for 3 yds to the MORE 14

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

James Louis run for 3 yds to the MORE 17

3rd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.18

James Louis run for 1 yd to the MORE 18

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Junior Bergen at the MORE 47

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.89

Nick Ostmo run for 21 yds to the MORE 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.15

Nick Ostmo run for 10 yds to the MORE 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Nick Ostmo run for no gain to the MORE 16

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Logan Fife run for 3 yds to the MORE 19

3rd & 13Sack-10 ydsPPA -2.73

Logan Fife sacked by Kylyn Macklin for a loss of 10 yards to the MORE 29

4th & 23Field Goal Good+46 yds

Ty Morrison 46 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chance Harris run for no gain to the MORE 25

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Chance Harris run for 2 yds to the MORE 27

3rd & 8Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.36

Connor Genal sacked by Ryan Tirrell for a loss of 8 yards to the MORE 19

4th & 16Punt+1 yds

Kip Warren punt for 31 yds , Junior Bergen returns for 1 yd to the MORE 49

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.34

Logan Fife pass complete to Junior Bergen for 6 yds to the MORE 43

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Logan Fife pass incomplete

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.10

Logan Fife pass incomplete

4th & 4Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.88

Logan Fife pass complete to Stevie Rocker Jr. for 15 yds to the MORE 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.25

Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 18 yds to the MORE 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Logan Fife pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rushing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +2.80

Nick Ostmo run for 10 yds for a TD (Ty Morrison KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Genal pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MSU False Start (West,Bradley) 5 yards from MSU25 to MSU20. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.13

Chance Harris run for 1 yd to the MORE 21

3rd & 14Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.12

Connor Genal sacked by Hayden Harris for a loss of 8 yards to the MORE 13

4th & 22Punt+17 yds

Kip Warren punt for 47 yds , Drew Deck returns for 17 yds to the MORE 43

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Logan Fife pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.64

Eli Gillman run for 21 yds to the MORE 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+22 ydsPPA +2.65

Eli Gillman run for 22 yds for a TD (Ty Morrison KICK)

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

James Louis run for 5 yds to the MORE 30

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Connor Genal run for 4 yds to the MORE 34

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

James Louis run for no gain to the MORE 34

4th & 1Punt+3 yds

Kip Warren punt for 38 yds , Drew Deck returns for 3 yds to the MONT 31

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.37

Logan Fife pass complete to Xavier Harris for 3 yds to the MONT 34

2nd & 7Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +1.41

Logan Fife pass complete to Nick Ostmo for 8 yds to the MONT 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.69

Logan Fife pass complete to Sawyer Racanelli for 2 yds to the MONT 44

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.98

Logan Fife pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.99

Logan Fife pass complete to Keelan White for 15 yds to the MORE 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.43

Logan Fife pass complete to Aaron Fontes for 11 yds to the MORE 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Logan Fife pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Logan Fife pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.58

Logan Fife pass complete to Sawyer Racanelli for 15 yds to the MORE 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Field Goal Missed+32 yds

Ty Morrison 32 yd FG MISSED

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Logan Fife pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.28

Nick Ostmo run for 7 yds to the MONT 29

3rd & 3Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.70

Logan Fife sacked by Jihad McCall for a loss of 7 yards to the MONT 22

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Ty Morrison punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MORE 42

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.15

Connor Genal pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Chance Harris run for 1 yd to the MORE 43

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Connor Genal pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 52 yds

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.28

Nick Ostmo run for no gain to the MONT 5

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.31

Nick Ostmo run for 9 yds to the MONT 14

3rd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.50

Nick Ostmo run for 6 yds to the MONT 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Keelan White for 7 yds to the MONT 27

2nd & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.10

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Xavier Harris for 13 yds to the MONT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.40

Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 17 yds to the MORE 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.91

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Stevie Rocker Jr. for 9 yds to the MORE 34

2nd & 1Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA -0.22

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Keelan White for 11 yds to the MORE 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+23 ydsPPA +2.66

Stevie Rocker Jr. run for 23 yds for a TD (Ty Morrison KICK)

1st & 10Sack-5 ydsPPA -1.07

Connor Genal sacked by Caleb Otlewski for a loss of 5 yards to the MORE 20

2nd & 15Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MSU False Start (Spears,Jaxsen) 5 yards from MSU20 to MSU15. NO PLAY.

2nd & 20Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.06

Connor Genal pass complete to Trevon Kleint for 7 yds to the MORE 22

3rd & 13Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.19

Connor Genal pass complete to Ryan Upp for 9 yds to the MORE 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 44 yds, fair catch by BJ Phillips at the MONT 25

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.12

Malae Fonoti run for 13 yds to the MONT 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.37

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Jake Olson for 9 yds to the MONT 47

2nd & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.40

Malae Fonoti run for 13 yds to the MORE 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +0.40

Malae Fonoti run for 11 yds to the MORE 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.23

Malae Fonoti run for 14 yds to the MORE 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.87

Keali'i Ah Yat pass complete to Aaron Fontes for 11 yds to the MORE 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Malae Fonoti run for 3 yds to the MORE 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Malae Fonoti run for no gain to the MORE 1

3rd & 1Rush+1 yds

Malae Fonoti run for 1 yd to the MORE 2

4th & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +2.85

Keali'i Ah Yat 2 Yd Run (Grant Glasgow PAT blocked)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Isaac Stopke run for no gain to the MORE 25

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Isaac Stopke run for no gain to the MORE 25

3rd & 10Sack-6 ydsPPA -0.24

Connor Genal sacked by Matai Mata'afa for a loss of 6 yards to the MORE 19

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 44 yds

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.04

Malae Fonoti run for 8 yds to the MONT 45

2nd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.72

Malae Fonoti run for 13 yds to the MORE 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Malae Fonoti run for 3 yds to the MORE 39

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Malae Fonoti run for 1 yd to the MORE 38

3rd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Malae Fonoti run for 5 yds to the MORE 33

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.44

Kaden Huot run for 2 yds to the MORE 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.33

Malae Fonoti run for 21 yds to the MORE 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Malae Fonoti run for 5 yds to the MORE 5

2nd & 5Rushing Touchdown+5 ydsPPA +2.44

Malae Fonoti 5 Yd Run (Jo Silver Kick)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Jo Silver kickoff for 63 yds , Chance Harris return for 21 yds to the MORE 23

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.54

Jackson Lanier run for 1 yd to the MORE 24

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Bryce Patterson pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.17

Bryce Patterson pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Kip Warren punt for 40 yds, fair catch by BJ Phillips at the MONT 36

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.96

Malae Fonoti run for 24 yds to the MORE 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Malae Fonoti run for 4 yds to the MORE 36

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Malae Fonoti run for 5 yds to the MORE 31

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.45

Malae Fonoti run for 4 yds to the MORE 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Malae Fonoti run for 7 yds to the MORE 20

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Malae Fonoti run for 2 yds to the MORE 18

3rd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.28

Malae Fonoti run for 9 yds to the MORE 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Malae Fonoti run for 6 yds to the MORE 3

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Malae Fonoti run for 1 yd to the MORE 2

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.37

Kneel down by Montana at MSU03 for loss of 1 yard.

4th & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -4.08

Kneel down by Montana at MSU04 for loss of 1 yard, TURNOVER ON DOWNS.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Grant Goodman run for no gain to the MORE 4

Situational Analysis

Morehead State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
18%
17 plays
2nd
0%
2 plays
13%
8 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
50%
2 plays
0%
5 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play

Montana

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
70%
40 plays
2nd
56%
9 plays
50%
4 plays
60%
10 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
33%
3 plays
100%
2 plays
0%
1 play
4th
67%
3 plays
100%
2 plays