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← Back to GamesSep 28, 2024Week 5

House Prediction

Model Margin

Southeast Missouri State by 36.7

Home Win Probability

Southeast Missouri State 97%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Southeast Missouri State -33.5

Edge: Southeast Missouri State -33.5 (3.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 28, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Northwestern State
00000
Southeast Missouri State
1033319

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q40142810-013-016-019-0
Southeast Missouri StateNorthwestern State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20NSSMSNSSMSNSSMSNSSMSNSSMSNSSMSNSSMSNSSMSNSSMSNSSMSPUNT625ydTD937ydPUNT35ydFG953ydPUNT513ydTO616ydDOWNS46ydFG1729ydPUNT33ydMISS1365ydEND13ydFG950ydPUNT39ydPUNT531ydPUNT37ydMISS719ydDOWNS737ydFG1250ydPUNT517ydEND735yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Northwestern State and Southeast Missouri State
StatisticNorthwestern StateSoutheast Missouri State
Passing9-1821-43
Pass Yards67237
Rush Yards53184
Total Yards120421
Turnovers01
3rd Down1-1011-22
Penalties2-228-85
Possession18:1541:45

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Northwestern State
passing
rushing
Zay Davis
7 CAR, 16 YDS
receiving
Travon Jones
3 REC, 26 YDS
Southeast Missouri State
passing
Paxton DeLaurent
21/43, 237 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Darrell Smith
31 CAR, 127 YDS
receiving
Cam Pedro
4 REC, 58 YDS, 1 TD

Play-by-Play

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

DC Pippin kickoff for 61 yds , Twon Hines return for 15 yds to the NWST 19

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Kennieth Lacy run for 3 yds to the NWST 22

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.18

JT Fayard pass complete to Myles Kitt-Denton for 3 yds to the NWST 25

3rd & 4Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.18

Quaterius Hawkins pass complete to Travon Jones for 16 yds to the NWST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Kolbe Burrell run for 1 yd to the NWST 42

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.55

Kennieth Lacy run for 2 yds to the NWST 44

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

JT Fayard pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt+43 yds

Scotty Roblow punt for 36 yds , Khalani Riddick returns for 43 yds to the NWST 37

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

Cam Pedro run for a loss of 1 yard to the NWST 38

3rd & 11Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.27

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Payton Brown for 12 yds to the NWST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Payton Brown run for 4 yds to the NWST 22

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.50

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

3rd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.75

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Mitchell Sellers for 12 yds to the NWST 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

3rd & 10Passing Touchdown+10 ydsPPA +3.08

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Cam Pedro for 10 yds for a TD (DC Pippin KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

JT Fayard pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

JT Fayard pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

JT Fayard pass incomplete

4th & 10Penalty+5 yds

HONSHTEIN, Reed punt 45 yards to the SEMO30, returned by RIDDICK, Khalani. (MACKEY, Kaden). PENALTY SEMO Running Into the kicker on DOLLAR, Slade enforced 5 yards from the NWST25 to the NWST30 [FAKE PUNT]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Khalani Riddick at the SEMO 35

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Payton Brown run for 2 yds to the SEMO 37

2nd & 8Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.73

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Cam Pedro for 24 yds to the NWST 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.44

Payton Brown run for 2 yds to the NWST 37

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.94

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +1.99

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Cam Pedro for 25 yds to the NWST 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.49

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+30 yds

DC Pippin 30 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

DC Pippin kickoff for 63 yds , Zay Davis return for 15 yds to the NWST 17

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.48

Quaterius Hawkins run for 7 yds to the NWST 24

2nd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.36

Kolbe Burrell run for 6 yds to the NWST 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.86

Quaterius Hawkins run for no gain to the NWST 30

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.46

JT Fayard pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

JT Fayard pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 30 yds to SEMO 40, out of bounds

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Southeast Missouri State Penalty, False Start (Kobe Sixkiller) to the SEMO 35

1st & 15Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Payton Brown run for 6 yds to the SEMO 41

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.84

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.27

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Darrell Smith for 18 yds to the NWST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception-1 ydsPPA -1.09

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Cam Pedro for a loss of 1 yard to the NWST 42

2nd & 11Pass Reception-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Tristan Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the NWST 44

3rd & 13Pass Interception Return+13 ydsPPA -1.21

Paxton DeLaurent pass intercepted Antonio Hall return for 13 yds to the NWST 43

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.28

Zay Davis run for 9 yds to the SEMO 48

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -1.34

Zay Davis run for no gain to the SEMO 48

3rd & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.39

Chance Newman run for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMO 49

4th & 2Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.09

Zay Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the NWST 49

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Darrell Smith run for 3 yds to the NWST 46

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.12

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

3rd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Dorian Anderson for 4 yds to the NWST 42

4th & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +2.45

Paxton DeLaurent run for 7 yds to the NWST 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

Southeast Missouri State Penalty, Face mask (15 yards) (Tyler McMillan) to the SEMO 20

1st & 40Penalty+15 yds

Northwestern State Penalty, Block below the waist on WILLIAMS, Christian enforced (Christian Williams) to the NWST 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.68

Darrell Smith run for 13 yds to the NWST 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.74

Darrell Smith run for 9 yds to the NWST 25

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.48

Darrell Smith run for 1 yd to the NWST 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.64

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Tristan Smith for 9 yds to the NWST 15

2nd & 1Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.49

Darrell Smith run for no gain to the NWST 15

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.60

Darrell Smith run for 3 yds to the NWST 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.30

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.29

Paxton DeLaurent sacked by Chancellor Owens for a loss of 8 yards to the NWST 20

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.95

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

4th & 18Field Goal Good+38 yds

DC Pippin 38 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+2 yds

DC Pippin kickoff for 46 yds , Gage Ridgel return for 2 yds to the NWST 21

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.25

Kennieth Lacy run for 3 yds to the NWST 24

2nd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.46

Quaterius Hawkins run for no gain to the NWST 24

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.21

JT Fayard pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt-2 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 53 yds , Khalani Riddick returns for a loss of 2 yards to the SEMO 21

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.67

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Mitchell Sellers for 20 yds to the SEMO 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Darrell Smith run for 10 yds to the NWST 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Mitchell Sellers for 5 yds to the NWST 44

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Darrell Smith run for 4 yds to the NWST 40

3rd & 1Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Darrell Smith run for 11 yds to the NWST 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Dorian Anderson for 6 yds to the NWST 23

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Darrell Smith run for 3 yds to the NWST 20

3rd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.60

Darrell Smith run for no gain to the NWST 20

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.78

Darrell Smith run for 3 yds to the NWST 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Darrell Smith run for 3 yds to the NWST 14

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+32 yds

DC Pippin 32 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Zay Davis run for 3 yds to the NWST 23

0th & 10End of Half0 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

0th & 0Penalty+15 yds

KERN, Evan kickoff 55 yards from the NWST35 to the SEMO10, SMITH, Darrell returned 40 yards to the SEMO50 , out of bounds, clock 14:50. PENALTY SEMO Unnecessary Roughness on DOLLAR, Slade enforced 15 yards from the SEMO46 to the SEMO31. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Darrell Smith run for 2 yds to the SEMO 33

2nd & 8Pass Reception+35 ydsPPA +3.30

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Tristan Smith for 35 yds to the NWST 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.37

Darrell Smith run for 7 yds to the NWST 25

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

3rd & 3Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +0.61

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Tristan Smith for 14 yds to the NWST 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-15 yds

DELAURENT, Paxton pass short to the left incomplete intended for SMITH, Darrell broken up by GOTCHER, Blake at the NWST9. PENALTY SEMO Unnecessary Roughness on MCMILLAN, Tyler enforced 15 yards from the NWST11 to the NWST26 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

1st & 25Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.11

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Darrell Smith for 4 yds to the NWST 22

2nd & 21Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Darrell Smith for 3 yds to the NWST 19

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

4th & 18Field Goal Good+37 yds

DC Pippin 37 yd FG GOOD

0th & 0Kickoff Return (Offense)+14 yds

DC Pippin kickoff for 60 yds , Myles Kitt-Denton return for 14 yds to the NWST 19

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.53

JT Fayard pass complete to Myles Kitt-Denton for no gain to the NWST 19

2nd & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Quaterius Hawkins pass complete to Travon Jones for 3 yds to the NWST 22

3rd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.10

JT Fayard pass complete to Ke'Nard King for 6 yds to the NWST 28

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 55 yds, downed at the SEMO 17

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Dorian Anderson for 12 yds to the SEMO 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.02

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Dorian Anderson for 11 yds to the SEMO 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Darrell Smith run for 4 yds to the SEMO 44

2nd & 6Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.44

Darrell Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the SEMO 42

3rd & 8Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Dorian Anderson for 6 yds to the SEMO 48

4th & 2Punt-2 yds

Logan Leftrick punt for 43 yds , Ke'Nard King returns for a loss of 2 yards to the NWST 7

1st & 16Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.12

Zay Davis run for 7 yds to the NWST 11

2nd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.18

Zay Davis run for no gain to the NWST 11

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

JT Fayard pass incomplete

4th & 9Punt+7 yds

Reed Honshtein punt for 34 yds , Khalani Riddick returns for 7 yds to the NWST 38

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.61

Darrell Smith run for 8 yds to the NWST 30

2nd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

3rd & 2Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.65

Paxton DeLaurent pass complete to Cole Ruble for 10 yds to the NWST 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.29

Darrell Smith run for 1 yd to the NWST 19

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+37 yds

DC Pippin 37 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +1.34

Quaterius Hawkins pass complete to Ke'Nard King for 17 yds to the NWST 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Quaterius Hawkins run for 6 yds to the NWST 43

2nd & 4Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.81

JT Fayard pass complete to Travon Jones for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Kennieth Lacy run for 3 yds to the SEMO 47

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Kennieth Lacy run for 1 yd to the SEMO 46

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Quaterius Hawkins pass complete to Joseph Moreland for 4 yds to the SEMO 42

4th & 2Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.71

Quaterius Hawkins sacked by Bryce Norman and Jeremy Walton for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMO 43

1st & 10Rush+16 ydsPPA +1.22

Darrell Smith run for 16 yds to the NWST 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.65

Darrell Smith run for 8 yds to the NWST 33

2nd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA -0.13

Darrell Smith run for 7 yds to the NWST 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Darrell Smith run for 6 yds to the NWST 20

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Cole Ruble run for 2 yds to the NWST 18

3rd & 2Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.25

Paxton DeLaurent run for 4 yds to the NWST 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Darrell Smith run for 9 yds to the NWST 5

2nd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.00

Darrell Smith run for 4 yds to the NWST 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.13

Darrell Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the NWST 2

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.48

Cole Ruble run for no gain to the NWST 2

3rd & 2Penalty-5 yds

Southeast Missouri State Penalty, False Start (Andrew Civey) to the NWST 7

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.33

Paxton DeLaurent pass incomplete

4th & 7Field Goal Good+24 yds

DC Pippin 24 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Quaterius Hawkins pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.63

Quaterius Hawkins pass complete to Twon Hines for 11 yds to the NWST 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-1 ydsPPA -1.21

Quaterius Hawkins sacked by Jaylon Stone for a loss of 1 yard to the NWST 35

2nd & 11Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.63

Quaterius Hawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the NWST 43

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.97

Zay Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the NWST 42

4th & 4Punt0 yds

JT Fayard punt for 58 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Darrell Smith run for 1 yd to the SEMO 21

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Cole Ruble run for 7 yds to the SEMO 28

3rd & 2Rush+17 ydsPPA +2.28

Cole Ruble run for 17 yds to the SEMO 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.42

Darrell Smith run for 3 yds to the SEMO 48

2nd & 7Penalty-10 yds

RUBLE, Cole rush to the right for a gain of 1 yard to the SEMO49 (MAGEE III, Caesar). PENALTY SEMO Holding on CIVEY, Andrew enforced 10 yards from the SEMO48 to the SEMO38 [NHSG]. NO PLAY (replay the down).

2nd & 17Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Darrell Smith run for 3 yds to the SEMO 41

3rd & 14Rush+15 ydsPPA +3.42

Cole Ruble run for 15 yds to the NWST 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.19

[NH] Kneel down by DELAURENT, Paxton at NWST45 (team loss of 1), clock 00:00.

Situational Analysis

Northwestern State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
29%
14 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
11%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
0%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
17%
6 plays
4th
0%
2 plays

Southeast Missouri State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
48%
31 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
14%
7 plays
0%
5 plays
25%
12 plays
0%
3 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
100%
1 play
44%
9 plays
40%
5 plays
4th
100%
3 plays