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← Back to GamesNov 23, 2024Week 13

House Prediction

Model Margin

Even matchup

Home Win Probability

Fordham 49%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Fordham -3

Edge: Merrimack +3 (3.0 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 23, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Merrimack
907319
Fordham
03003

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-93-93-163-19
FordhamMerrimack

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20FORMERFORMERFORMERFORMERFORMERFORMERFORMERFORMERFORMERFORMERFORMERTO10ydTO719ydPUNT3-10ydTD766ydPUNT3-5ydPUNT36ydPUNT35ydPUNT643ydFG954ydPUNT39ydPUNT3-10ydPUNT34ydEND2-12ydPUNT39ydPUNT33ydTD1384ydPUNT610ydMISS641ydTO4-4ydFG43ydPUNT60ydEND533yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Merrimack and Fordham
StatisticMerrimackFordham
Passing12-153-12
Pass Yards13160
Rush Yards226-29
Total Yards35731
Turnovers12
3rd Down7-141-12
Penalties9-753-35
Possession38:1421:46

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Merrimack
passing
Ayden Pereira
12/15, 131 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Ayden Pereira
17 CAR, 136 YDS
receiving
Jalen McDonald
4 REC, 67 YDS, 1 TD
Fordham
passing
Jack Capaldi
3/12, 60 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Ricky Parks
5 CAR, 14 YDS
receiving
Mekai Felton
1 REC, 50 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jack Capaldi pass intercepted Tre Jordan III return for no gain to the FOR 30

1st & 10Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.92

Jack Capaldi pass intercepted Tre Jordan III return for no gain to the FOR 30

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.17

Jermaine Corbett run for 3 yds to the FOR 27

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Jalen McDonald run for 3 yds to the FOR 24

3rd & 4Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.62

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Seth Sweitzer for 9 yds to the FOR 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Ayden Pereira run for 3 yds to the FOR 12

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jermaine Corbett run for 4 yds to the FOR 8

3rd & 3Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.75

Jermaine Corbett run for 7 yds to the FOR 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MC False Start (Smith Jr.,James) 5 yards from Ford01 to Ford06. NO PLAY.

1st & 6Fumble Recovery (Own)+5 ydsPPA +0.15

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Cade Callahan for 5 yds Cade Callahan fumbled, recovered by MRMK Jaylen Dawson

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Julius Loughridge run for 2 yds to the FOR 13

2nd & 8Rush-4 ydsPPA -0.33

Jacob Rodriguez run for a loss of 4 yards to the FOR 9

3rd & 12Sack-8 ydsPPA -0.07

Jack Capaldi sacked by Jay Thompson for a loss of 8 yards to the FOR 1

4th & 20Blocked Punt0 yds

Will Haslett punt blocked by Kendal Sims, punt out-of-bounds at the FOR 0 for a SAFETY blocked by Kendal Sims for a SAFETY

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Bennett Henderson kickoff for 63 yds , Jermaine Corbett return for 17 yds to the MRMK 34

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jermaine Corbett run for 5 yds to the MRMK 39

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.04

Ayden Pereira pass incomplete to Jermaine Corbett

3rd & 5Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.99

Jermaine Corbett run for 6 yds to the MRMK 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+24 ydsPPA +1.43

Jalen McDonald run for 24 yds to the FOR 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +0.33

Brendon Wyatt run for 21 yds to the FOR 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Ayden Pereira run for 9 yds to the FOR 1

2nd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +1.90

Jermaine Corbett run for 1 yd for a TD (Lliam Davis KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+13 yds

Lliam Davis kickoff for 60 yds , KJ Reed return for 13 yds to the FOR 18

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Ricky Parks run for 2 yds to the FOR 20

2nd & 8Penalty-10 yds

Fordham Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Mekai Felton) to the FOR 10

3rd & 18Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.01

Ricky Parks run for 3 yds to the FOR 13

4th & 15Punt0 yds

Will Haslett punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Ayden Pereira run for 1 yd to the MRMK 47

2nd & 9Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.17

Jermaine Corbett run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRMK 46

3rd & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Trevor Shorter for 6 yds to the FOR 48

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Cole Peterson punt for 48 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jacob Rodriguez run for no gain to the FOR 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jack Capaldi pass complete to Jacob Rodriguez for 5 yds to the FOR 25

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Jack Capaldi pass incomplete to Jacob Rodriguez

4th & 5Punt0 yds

Will Haslett punt for 53 yds , Jermaine Corbett returns for no gain to the MRMK 17 Jermaine Corbett fumbled, recovered by MRMK Jermaine Corbett

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.02

Ayden Pereira run for 9 yds to the MRMK 26

2nd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Jermaine Corbett run for 3 yds to the MRMK 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+32 ydsPPA +2.64

Ayden Pereira run for 32 yds to the FOR 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.44

Jermaine Corbett run for a loss of 3 yards to the FOR 42

2nd & 13Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Ayden Pereira run for 3 yds to the FOR 39

3rd & 10Penalty-10 yds

(11:17) No Huddle-Shotgun Pereira,Ayden rush right for 3 yards gain to the Ford36 (Minich,Drew) PENALTY MC Holding (Birdow,Cole) 10 yards from Ford39 to Ford49. NO PLAY.

3rd & 20Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.58

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Jared Dunn for 14 yds to the FOR 35

4th & 6Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY MC Delay Of Game (Pereira,Ayden) 5 yards from Ford35 to Ford40. NO PLAY.

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Cole Peterson punt for 20 yds, fair catch by Cole Thornton at the FOR 20

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jacob Rodriguez run for no gain to the FOR 20

2nd & 10Pass Reception+50 ydsPPA +4.13

Jack Capaldi pass complete to Mekai Felton for 50 yds to the MRMK 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jacob Rodriguez run for no gain to the MRMK 30

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

Jack Capaldi pass incomplete to Cole Thornton

3rd & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.53

Jack Capaldi run for 11 yds to the MRMK 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.11

Ricky Parks run for 3 yds to the MRMK 16

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.48

Ricky Parks run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRMK 17

3rd & 8Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.34

Jack Capaldi sacked by Favor Bate for a loss of 9 yards to the MRMK 26

4th & 17Field Goal Good+43 yds

Bennett Henderson 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Bennett Henderson kickoff for 64 yds , Jermaine Corbett return for 17 yds to the MRMK 18

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.43

Brendon Wyatt run for 1 yd to the MRMK 19

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Ayden Pereira pass incomplete to Myles Wilson

3rd & 9Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.19

Ayden Pereira run for 8 yds to the MRMK 27

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Cole Peterson punt for 23 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Jack Capaldi pass incomplete to Matt Buron

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.02

Jacob Rodriguez run for no gain to the 50 yard line

3rd & 10Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.29

Jack Capaldi sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the FOR 40

4th & 20Punt0 yds

Will Haslett punt for 47 yds , Garry Rosemond Jr. returns for no gain to the MRMK 11 Garry Rosemond Jr. fumbled, recovered by MRMK Garry Rosemond Jr.

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Jermaine Corbett run for 4 yds to the MRMK 15

2nd & 6Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.38

Brendon Wyatt run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRMK 14

3rd & 7Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Ayden Pereira pass complete to LJ Robinson for 1 yd to the MRMK 15

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Cole Peterson punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FOR 39

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Jack Capaldi sacked by Nicholas Lenon for a loss of 2 yards to the FOR 37 Jack Capaldi fumbled, recovered by MRMK Jack Capaldi , return for 0 yards

2nd & 12Sack-10 ydsPPA -0.99

Jack Capaldi sacked by Nicholas Lenon for a loss of 10 yards to the FOR 27

0th & 12End of Half-10 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Bennett Henderson kickoff for 65 yds , Jermaine Corbett return for 17 yds to the MRMK 17

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Brendon Wyatt run for 1 yd to the MRMK 18

2nd & 9Penalty-9 yds

(14:18) No Huddle-Shotgun Pereira,Ayden pass complete short right to Sweitzer,Seth caught at MC30, for 15 yards to the MC33 (Kemper,Alex), out of bounds PENALTY MC Pass Interference (Sweitzer,Seth) 9 yards from MC18 to MC09. NO PLAY.

2nd & 18Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.04

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Jalen McDonald for 1 yd to the MRMK 10

3rd & 17Rush+16 ydsPPA +0.34

Ayden Pereira run for 16 yds to the MRMK 26

4th & 1Punt0 yds

Cole Peterson punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.36

Jacob Rodriguez run for a loss of 1 yard to the FOR 41

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Jack Capaldi pass incomplete to Mekai Felton

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Jacob Rodriguez run for 4 yds to the FOR 45

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Will Haslett punt for 39 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+30 ydsPPA +2.39

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Jalen McDonald for 30 yds to the MRMK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -1.79

Ayden Pereira run for a loss of 3 yards to the MRMK 43

2nd & 13Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

Jermaine Corbett run for 1 yd to the MRMK 44

3rd & 12Rush+14 ydsPPA +3.27

Ayden Pereira run for 14 yds to the FOR 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Jermaine Corbett run for 3 yds to the FOR 39

2nd & 7Penalty-5 yds

(07:09) No Huddle-Shotgun Pereira,Ayden pass complete short left to Robinson,LJ caught at Ford26, for 19 yards to the Ford20, out of bounds at Ford20 PENALTY MC Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Smith,Christian) 5 yards from Ford39 to Ford44. NO PLAY.

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.39

Ayden Pereira run for 3 yds to the FOR 41

3rd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +2.22

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Seth Sweitzer for 11 yds to the FOR 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

Jermaine Corbett run for 2 yds to the FOR 28

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.19

Ayden Pereira run for 6 yds to the FOR 22

3rd & 2Penalty-2 yds

(03:58) No Huddle-Shotgun Pereira,Ayden rush left for 2 yards gain to the Ford20 (Barletta,Jackson) PENALTY MC Holding (Johnson,Amir) 11 yard from Ford22 to Ford33. NO PLAY.

3rd & 13Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +2.32

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Jalen McDonald for 24 yds to the FOR 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Sack-7 ydsPPA -0.75

Ayden Pereira sacked by Nahil Perkins for a loss of 7 yards to the FOR 16

2nd & 16Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Jermaine Corbett run for 4 yds to the FOR 12

3rd & 12Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +3.23

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Jalen McDonald for 12 yds for a TD (Lliam Davis KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Lliam Davis kickoff for 50 yds , KJ Reed return for 16 yds to the FOR 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Jack Capaldi pass incomplete to Cole Thornton

2nd & 10Rush-3 ydsPPA -0.66

Jacob Rodriguez run for a loss of 3 yards to the FOR 28

3rd & 13Penalty+15 yds

Merrimack Penalty, Personal Foul (DJ Frazier) to the MRMK 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.69

Jack Capaldi sacked by Jay Thompson for a loss of 8 yards to the FOR 46

2nd & 18Sack-1 ydsPPA -0.68

Jack Capaldi sacked by Deon Houston for a loss of 1 yard to the FOR 45

3rd & 19Sack-4 ydsPPA -0.38

Tripp Holley sacked for a loss of 4 yards to the FOR 41

4th & 23Punt0 yds

Will Haslett punt for 22 yds

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.71

Ayden Pereira run for 7 yds to the MRMK 44

2nd & 3Rush+33 ydsPPA +1.68

Ayden Pereira run for 33 yds to the FOR 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(12:02) No Huddle-Shotgun Corbett,Jermaine rush left for 7 yards gain to the Ford16 (Owens,Boogie) PENALTY MC Holding (Urbaniak,AJ) 10 yards from Ford23 to Ford33. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Jermaine Corbett run for 3 yds to the FOR 30

2nd & 17Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.49

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Jared Dunn for 8 yds to the FOR 22

3rd & 9Penalty0 yds

Merrimack Penalty, Offensive Holding (Garry Rosemond Jr.) declined

4th & 9Field Goal Missed+39 yds

Lliam Davis 39 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.92

Jack Capaldi run for 5 yds to the FOR 27 Fordham Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mekai Felton) to the FOR 17

1st & 15Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jack Capaldi pass incomplete to Cole Thornton

2nd & 15Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.10

Jack Capaldi run for 1 yd to the FOR 18

3rd & 14Pass Interception Return+16 ydsPPA +0.30

Jack Capaldi pass intercepted Deon Houston return for 16 yds to the FOR 7

1st & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.33

Jermaine Corbett run for 1 yd to the FOR 6

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Ayden Pereira run for 3 yds to the FOR 3

3rd & 3Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.36

Ayden Pereira run for a loss of 1 yard to the FOR 4

4th & 4Field Goal Good+21 yds

Lliam Davis 21 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jack Capaldi pass complete to Cole Thornton for 5 yds to the FOR 30

2nd & 5Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.23

Jack Capaldi sacked by Brandon Roberts for a loss of 7 yards to the FOR 23

3rd & 12Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.23

Jack Capaldi run for 9 yds to the FOR 32

4th & 3Penalty+5 yds

(05:12) No Huddle-Shotgun Capaldi,Jack pass intercepted by Cooper,Rajahn at Ford30 Cooper,Rajahn return 0 yards to the Ford30 (Rodriguez,Jacob) PENALTY MC Offside 5 yards from Ford32 to Ford37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.99

Jack Capaldi sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the FOR 29

2nd & 18Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.17

Ricky Parks run for 7 yds to the FOR 36

3rd & 11Sack-11 ydsPPA -0.50

Jack Capaldi sacked by Jay Thompson for a loss of 11 yards to the FOR 25

4th & 22Punt0 yds

Will Haslett punt for 25 yds

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.35

Jermaine Corbett run for a loss of 1 yard to the MRMK 49

2nd & 11Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Jermaine Corbett run for no gain to the MRMK 49

3rd & 11Penalty+15 yds

(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Pereira,Ayden sacked for loss of 3 yards to the MC46 (Buerkle,Sam) PENALTY Ford Face Mask (Buerkle,Sam) 15 yards from MC49 to Ford36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.44

Ayden Pereira pass complete to Jared Dunn for 20 yds to the FOR 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.33

Jermaine Corbett run for no gain to the FOR 16

2nd & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.49

A. Pereira takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Merrimack

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
39%
23 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
3 plays
0%
3 plays
17%
6 plays
14%
7 plays
3rd
50%
2 plays
100%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
100%
5 plays
4th

Fordham

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
6%
16 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
0%
1 play
29%
7 plays
20%
5 plays
3rd
0%
1 play
33%
3 plays
29%
7 plays
4th