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← Back to GamesNov 16, 2024Week 12
Columbia
21
-Final
12
Brown
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Columbia by 9.7

Home Win Probability

Brown 27%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Brown +5

Edge: Columbia -5 (4.7 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 16, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Columbia
077721
Brown
030912

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-73-14
BrownColumbia

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BROCOLBROCOLBROCOLBROCOLCOLBROBROCOLBROCOLBROBROBROCOLCOLPUNT1045ydMISS956ydTO1142ydDOWNS1173ydPUNT624ydPUNT420ydPUNT522ydPUNT747ydTD373ydPUNT417ydFG310ydMISS814ydPUNT621ydTD879ydDOWNS1133ydDOWNS49ydDOWNS49ydMISS716ydUncategorized26yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Columbia and Brown
StatisticColumbiaBrown
Passing13-2821-28
Pass Yards220137
Rush Yards16290
Total Yards382227
Turnovers11
3rd Down2-105-14
Penalties5-403-32
Possession23:1723:41

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Columbia
passing
Caleb Sanchez
11/26, 189 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Joey Giorgi
17 CAR, 100 YDS
receiving
Bryson Canty
5 REC, 131 YDS, 1 TD
Brown
passing
Jake Willcox
16/20, 89 YDS, 1 INT
rushing
Jake Willcox
7 CAR, 43 YDS
receiving
Mark Mahoney
7 REC, 46 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

Columbia Penalty, off-side (Patrick Passalacqua) to the BRWN 7

1st & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.48

Stockton Owen run for 5 yds to the BRWN 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-5 ydsPPA -0.56

Stockton Owen run for a loss of 5 yards to the BRWN 7

2nd & 15Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.58

Jake Willcox run for 14 yds to the BRWN 21

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.71

Stockton Owen run for 5 yds to the BRWN 26 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Jordan DeLucia run for 3 yds to the BRWN 29

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jake Willcox pass complete to Jordan DeLucia for 6 yds to the BRWN 35

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.28

Matt Childs run for 5 yds to the BRWN 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jake Willcox pass complete to Mark Mahoney for 4 yds to the BRWN 44

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Matt Childs run for 3 yds to the BRWN 47

3rd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.97

Matt Childs run for no gain to the BRWN 47

4th & 3Punt0 yds

Austin Alley punt for 35 yds

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +1.25

Joey Giorgi run for 17 yds to the COLU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Joey Giorgi run for 6 yds to the COLU 41

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.75

Joey Giorgi run for 6 yds to the COLU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Malcolm Terry II run for 5 yds to the BRWN 48

2nd & 5Rush+19 ydsPPA +1.20

Malcolm Terry II run for 4 yds to the BRWN 44 for a 1ST down Brown Penalty, personal foul (Owen Clarke) to the BRWN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Caleb Sanchez pass incomplete to Jack Larsen, broken up by Elias Archie

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.73

Malcolm Terry II run for no gain to the BRWN 29

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.34

Malcolm Terry II run for 3 yds to the BRWN 26

4th & 7Field Goal Missed+45 yds

Hugo Merry 45 yd FG MISSED

2nd & 7Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.17

Jake Willcox pass complete to Stockton Owen for 7 yds to the BRWN 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.31

Stockton Owen run for 3 yds to the BRWN 29

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Stockton Owen run for 1 yd to the BRWN 37

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.53

Jake Willcox pass complete to Ben Moseley for 7 yds to the BRWN 44

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.28

Jake Willcox run for 2 yds to the BRWN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Stockton Owen run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

2nd & 6Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.68

Jake Willcox pass complete to Mark Mahoney for 2 yds to the COLU 48

3rd & 4Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.84

Jake Willcox pass complete to Ty Pezza for 1 yd to the COLU 47

4th & 3Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.93

Jake Willcox pass complete to Mark Mahoney for 13 yds to the COLU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Matt Childs run for 2 yds to the COLU 32

2nd & 8Interception0 ydsPPA -3.71

Jake Willcox pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Joey Giorgi run for 8 yds to the COLU 33

2nd & 2Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.02

Caleb Sanchez run for 3 yds to the COLU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.85

Joey Giorgi run for 1 yd to the COLU 37

2nd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.46

AJ Simpkins run for 2 yds to the COLU 39

3rd & 7Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.98

Caleb Sanchez pass complete to Griffin Johnson for 16 yds to the BRWN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Caleb Sanchez pass complete to Marcus Libman for 1 yd to the BRWN 44

2nd & 9Pass Reception+39 ydsPPA +2.36

Caleb Sanchez pass complete to Bryson Canty for 39 yds to the BRWN 5 for a 1ST down

1st & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.55

pass incomplete to Bryson Canty

2nd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.26

AJ Simpkins run for 1 yd to the BRWN 4

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Caleb Sanchez pass incomplete to Bryson Canty, broken up by Noble Cooper III

4th & 4Penalty+2 yds

Brown Penalty, off-side (Kyai Cook) to the BRWN 2

4th & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -4.15

Caleb Sanchez pass incomplete to Jordan Kelley, broken up by Nick Hudson

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.35

Matt Childs run for no gain to the BRWN 10

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.15

pass incomplete to Ty Pezza

3rd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +1.69

James Murphy pass complete to Ty Pezza for 21 yds to the BRWN 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.57

Ty Holtz run for 2 yds to the BRWN 33

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.65

James Murphy pass incomplete to Solomon Miller, broken up by Carter McCray

3rd & 8Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

James Murphy run for 1 yd to the BRWN 34

4th & 7Punt0 yds

Austin Alley punt for 39 yds , Aidan Shinfeld returns for no gain to the COLU 25

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Joey Giorgi run for 12 yds to the COLU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Caleb Sanchez pass incomplete to Jordan Kelley, broken up by Elias Archie

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.28

Joey Giorgi run for 3 yds to the COLU 40

3rd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Caleb Sanchez pass complete to Bryson Canty for 5 yds to the COLU 45

4th & 2Punt0 yds

William Hughes punt for 55 yds

1st & 10Rush+21 ydsPPA +1.73

Jake Willcox run for 21 yds to the BRWN 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Jake Willcox pass complete to Jordan DeLucia for 5 yds to the BRWN 46

2nd & 5Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Jake Willcox pass complete to Matt Childs for 4 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush-15 ydsPPA -2.56

Matt Childs run for no gain to the 50 yard line Brown Penalty, illegal block (Hayden Bozich) to the BRWN 35

3rd & 16Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.14

Jake Willcox pass complete to Mark Mahoney for 7 yds to the BRWN 42

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Austin Alley punt for 31 yds

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.32

Joey Giorgi run for 12 yds to the COLU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.58

Caleb Sanchez pass complete to Braden Dougherty for 11 yds to the COLU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.91

Joey Giorgi run for 8 yds to the COLU 33

2nd & 2Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.24

Caleb Sanchez pass complete to Bryson Canty for 16 yds to the COLU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Griffin Johnson run for 5 yds to the BRWN 46

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Caleb Sanchez pass incomplete to Titus Evans, broken up by Nick Hudson

3rd & 5Penalty-5 yds

Columbia Penalty, false start (Pat Colicchio) to the COLU 49

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

pass incomplete to Bryson Canty

4th & 10Punt0 yds

William Hughes punt for 41 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.49

Joey Giorgi run for 2 yds to the COLU 29

2nd & 8Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.15

Caleb Sanchez pass complete to Bryson Canty for 16 yds to the COLU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+55 ydsPPA +4.28

Caleb Sanchez pass complete to Bryson Canty for 55 yds for a TD (Hugo Merry KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jake Willcox pass complete to Stockton Owen for 7 yds to the BRWN 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.01

Jake Willcox pass complete to Jordan DeLucia for 11 yds to the BRWN 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.37

Stockton Owen run for a loss of 1 yard to the BRWN 42

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.77

pass incomplete

3rd & 11Punt+1 yds

Austin Alley punt for 29 yds , Lucas Mireur returns for 1 yd to the COLU 30

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jake Willcox pass incomplete to Ben Moseley Brown Penalty, roughing passer (Anthony Roussos) to the COLU 30

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.20

James Murphy pass complete to Mark Mahoney for 10 yds to the COLU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Joey Giorgi run for 5 yds to the BRWN 31

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Caleb Sanchez pass incomplete to Bryson Canty, broken up by Nick Hudson

3rd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.52

Joey Giorgi run for 2 yds to the BRWN 29

4th & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.51

Caleb Sanchez pass complete to Marcus Libman for 5 yds to the BRWN 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Caleb Sanchez pass incomplete to Marcus Libman, broken up by Noble Cooper III

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.30

AJ Simpkins run for 2 yds to the BRWN 22

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.74

Caleb Sanchez pass incomplete to Marcus Libman, broken up by Elias Archie

4th & 8Field Goal Missed+40 yds

Hugo Merry 40 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Matt Childs run for 3 yds to the BRWN 25

2nd & 7Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.55

Jake Willcox run for a loss of 1 yard to the BRWN 24

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion+15 ydsPPA +2.22

Jake Willcox pass incomplete to Solomon Miller, broken up by Levi Robins for a 1ST down Columbia Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Aaron Brebnor) to the BRWN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-2 ydsPPA -1.46

Jake Willcox sacked by Scott Rosati for a loss of 2 yards to the BRWN 37

2nd & 12Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Jake Willcox pass complete to Stockton Owen for 6 yds to the BRWN 43

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.67

Jake Willcox pass incomplete to Ben Moseley, broken up by Carter McCray

4th & 6Punt0 yds

Austin Alley punt for 36 yds

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.09

Joey Giorgi run for 4 yds to the COLU 25

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.90

Griffin Johnson run for 7 yds to the COLU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.58

Griffin Johnson run for 2 yds to the COLU 34

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.68

Caleb Sanchez pass incomplete to James Miller, broken up by Nick Hudson

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

pass incomplete to Marcus Libman

4th & 8Rush+28 ydsPPA +4.03

Joshua Powell run for 28 yds to the BRWN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +0.90

AJ Simpkins pass complete to Marcus Libman for 31 yds to the BRWN 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Penalty-5 yds

Columbia Penalty, false start (Noah Jordan) to the BRWN 12

1st & 12Passing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.66

Jordan Kelley 12 Yd pass from Caleb Sanchez (Hugo Merry Kick)

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Stockton Owen run for 3 yds to the BRWN 41

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Stockton Owen run for 1 yd to the BRWN 21

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.31

James Murphy pass incomplete to Najih Rahman, broken up by Aaron Brebnor

3rd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.14

James Murphy run for 7 yds to the BRWN 28

4th & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.51

James Murphy pass complete to Mark Mahoney for 4 yds to the BRWN 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.39

James Murphy pass complete to Mark Mahoney for 6 yds to the BRWN 38

3rd & 1Rush+5 ydsPPA +1.38

Matt Childs run for 5 yds to the BRWN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Matt Childs run for 1 yd to the BRWN 47

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

James Murphy pass complete to Matt Childs for 7 yds to the COLU 46

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jordan DeLucia run for 1 yd to the COLU 45

4th & 1Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.57

Matt Childs run for a loss of 2 yards to the COLU 47

1st & 10Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.77

Jake Willcox pass complete to Jordan DeLucia for no gain to the BRWN 27

2nd & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Jake Willcox pass complete to Dillon Golden for 2 yds to the BRWN 29

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.23

Jake Willcox pass complete to Ty Pezza for 7 yds to the BRWN 36

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Jordan DeLucia run for no gain to the BRWN 36

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jake Willcox run for 3 yds to the BRWN 28

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Jake Willcox pass incomplete to Chason Barber, broken up by Carter McFadden

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.13

Jake Willcox run for 6 yds to the BRWN 34

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.20

James Murphy run for no gain to the BRWN 34

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.83

Joey Giorgi run for a loss of 1 yard to the BRWN 35

2nd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.93

pass incomplete to Jordan Kelley

3rd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.05

Caleb Sanchez pass complete to Braylon Gardoni for 13 yds to the BRWN 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.40

Caleb Sanchez pass incomplete to Bryson Canty, broken up by Nevaeh Gattis

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Joey Giorgi run for 4 yds to the BRWN 18

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.57

Caleb Sanchez pass incomplete, broken up by Kyle Philbin

4th & 6Field Goal Missed+36 yds

Hugo Merry 36 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Joey Giorgi run for 6 yds to the BRWN 47

2nd & 4Rush-5 ydsPPA -2.31

Joey Giorgi run for 5 yds to the BRWN 42 Columbia Penalty, Offensive holding (CJ Brown) to the BRWN 47

Situational Analysis

Columbia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
57%
23 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
100%
2 plays
43%
7 plays
25%
8 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
0%
3 plays
33%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Brown

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
0%
1 play
23%
22 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
4 plays
36%
11 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
57%
7 plays
0%
2 plays
83%
6 plays
100%
1 play
4th
40%
5 plays