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← Back to GamesOct 5, 2024Week 6
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Princeton by 4.3

Home Win Probability

Columbia 40%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Columbia +1.5

Edge: Princeton -1.5 (2.8 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 5, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Princeton
730717
Columbia
33141434

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428420-73-76-76-1013-1020-1027-17
ColumbiaPrinceton

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20PRICOLPRICOLPRICOLPRICOLPRICOLPRICOLPRICOLPRICOLPRICOLTD1275ydDOWNS735ydTO48ydFG530ydPUNT428ydPUNT31ydTO836ydFG1474ydFG951ydDOWNS626ydTO34ydTD1253ydPUNT30ydTD667ydTD775ydTD985ydPUNT32ydUncategorized26yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Princeton and Columbia
StatisticPrincetonColumbia
Passing15-2618-29
Pass Yards168171
Rush Yards111201
Total Yards279372
Turnovers30
3rd Down7-137-14
Penalties2-302-25
Possession20:2530:02

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Princeton
passing
Blaine Hipa
15/26, 168 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
rushing
John Volker
13 CAR, 61 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
AJ Barber
6 REC, 78 YDS, 1 TD
Columbia
passing
Chase Goodwin
18/29, 171 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Joey Giorgi
14 CAR, 142 YDS
receiving
Edan Stagg
5 REC, 53 YDS

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.33

Blaine Hipa pass complete to Tamatoa Falatea for 6 yds to the PRIN 31

2nd & 4Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.36

Blaine Hipa pass complete to AJ Barber for 3 yds to the PRIN 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

John Volker run for 4 yds to the PRIN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

Blaine Hipa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.51

John Volker run for 7 yds to the PRIN 45

3rd & 3Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +2.06

Blaine Hipa pass complete to Luke Colella for 10 yds to the COLU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.12

Blaine Hipa pass complete to Luke Colella for 4 yds to the COLU 41

2nd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Ethan Clark run for 7 yds to the COLU 34 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.66

Blaine Hipa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.68

Blaine Hipa run for 1 yd to the COLU 35

3rd & 11Pass Reception+23 ydsPPA +2.17

Blaine Hipa pass complete to Tamatoa Falatea for 23 yds to the COLU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rushing Touchdown+12 ydsPPA +2.53

John Volker run for 12 yds for a TD (Sam Massick KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Joey Giorgi run for 2 yds to the COLU 23

2nd & 12Rush+18 ydsPPA +2.30

Joey Giorgi run for 18 yds to the COLU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +0.90

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Edan Stagg for 10 yds to the PRIN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.38

Joey Giorgi run for 3 yds to the PRIN 46

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Jordan Kelley for 5 yds to the PRIN 41

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Cole Freeman run for 1 yd to the PRIN 40

4th & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -2.05

Cole Freeman run for no gain to the PRIN 40

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Blaine Hipa run for 1 yd to the PRIN 41

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.58

Blaine Hipa pass complete to Matthew Mahoney for 7 yds to the PRIN 48

3rd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -1.06

Ethan Clark run for no gain to the PRIN 48

4th & 2Pass Interception Return0 ydsPPA -0.85

Blaine Hipa pass intercepted Hayden McDonald return for no gain to the COLU 49

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

Princeton Penalty, Personal Foul (Payton Tally) to the PRIN 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Joey Giorgi run for 2 yds to the PRIN 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.06

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Bryson Canty for 4 yds to the PRIN 21

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.63

Chase Goodwin pass incomplete

4th & 4Field Goal Good+39 yds

Hugo Merry 39 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+28 ydsPPA +2.46

AJ Barber run for 28 yds to the COLU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.32

John Volker run for 6 yds to the COLU 41

2nd & 4Sack-6 ydsPPA -2.43

Blaine Hipa sacked by Justin Townsend for a loss of 6 yards to the COLU 47

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.80

Blaine Hipa pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt0 yds

Brady Clark punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Carter McFadden at the COLU 11

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Malcolm Terry II run for 1 yd to the COLU 12

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

Chase Goodwin pass incomplete

3rd & 9Sack0 ydsPPA -0.08

Chase Goodwin sacked for 0 yards to the COLU 12

4th & 9Punt+4 yds

William Hughes punt for 37 yds , AJ Barber returns for 4 yds to the COLU 45

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.69

Blaine Hipa pass complete to AJ Barber for 16 yds to the COLU 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.05

Ethan Clark run for 4 yds to the COLU 25

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.18

Ethan Clark run for 3 yds to the COLU 22

3rd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.43

Blaine Hipa run for 5 yds to the COLU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

Blaine Hipa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

John Volker run for 4 yds to the COLU 13

3rd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Blaine Hipa pass complete to AJ Barber for 4 yds to the COLU 9

4th & 2Interception0 ydsPPA -4.00

Blaine Hipa pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Joey Giorgi run for 3 yds to the COLU 4

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Jordan Kelley for 5 yds to the COLU 9

3rd & 2Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.96

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Titus Evans for 16 yds to the COLU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Malcolm Terry II run for no gain to the COLU 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.02

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Marcus Libman for 15 yds to the COLU 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.02

Joey Giorgi run for 8 yds to the COLU 48

2nd & 2Penalty-15 yds

(08:23) No Huddle-Shotgun Terry II,Malcolm rush right for 4 yards loss to the COL44 (Ford,Jackson; Taylor,Collin) PENALTY COL Personal Foul (Matthew,Will) 15 yards from COL48 to COL33. NO PLAY.

2nd & 17Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.13

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Marcus Libman for 3 yds to the COLU 36

3rd & 14Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +3.46

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Edan Stagg for 18 yds to the PRIN 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Malcolm Terry II run for 5 yds to the PRIN 41

2nd & 5Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.68

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Edan Stagg for 13 yds to the PRIN 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Griffin Johnson for 4 yds to the PRIN 24

2nd & 6Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.08

Griffin Johnson run for 5 yds to the PRIN 19

3rd & 1Penalty-10 yds

(04:13) No Huddle-Shotgun Goodwin,Chase rush right for 2 yards gain to the PRI17 (Sanders,Robert) PENALTY COL Holding 10 yards from PRI19 to PRI29. NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Chase Goodwin run for 4 yds to the PRIN 25

4th & 7Field Goal Good+43 yds

Hugo Merry 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Blaine Hipa pass complete to John Volker for 2 yds to the PRIN 27

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.31

John Volker run for 2 yds to the PRIN 29

3rd & 6Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +2.57

Blaine Hipa pass complete to Luke Colella for 16 yds to the PRIN 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Blaine Hipa pass complete to AJ Barber for 6 yds to the COLU 49

2nd & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Blaine Hipa run for 3 yds to the COLU 46

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +0.92

John Volker run for 2 yds to the COLU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.57

Blaine Hipa pass complete to Luke Colella for 13 yds to the COLU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.36

Blaine Hipa run for 7 yds to the COLU 24

2nd & 3Field Goal Good+41 yds

Jeffrey Sexton 41 yd FG GOOD Columbia Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declined

0th & 3End of Half-41 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.03

Joey Giorgi run for 12 yds to the COLU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +1.13

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Edan Stagg for 12 yds to the COLU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Joey Giorgi run for 3 yds to the PRIN 48

2nd & 7Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Braden Dougherty for 5 yds to the PRIN 43

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Chase Goodwin pass incomplete

4th & 2Sack-6 ydsPPA -1.62

Chase Goodwin sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the PRIN 49

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.35

John Volker run for 6 yds to the COLU 45

2nd & 4Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

John Volker run for 1 yd to the COLU 44

3rd & 3Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+3 ydsPPA -2.52

Asher Weiner run for 3 yds to the COLU 47 Asher Weiner fumbled, recovered by COLU Charlie Newton

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Malcolm Terry II run for 2 yds to the COLU 49

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.08

Chase Goodwin pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +2.70

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Titus Evans for 12 yds to the PRIN 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.81

Chase Goodwin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Malcolm Terry II run for 3 yds to the PRIN 36

3rd & 7Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.60

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Marcus Libman for 11 yds to the PRIN 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.35

Griffin Johnson run for 1 yd to the PRIN 24

2nd & 9Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.27

Joey Giorgi run for 7 yds to the PRIN 17

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.25

Joey Giorgi run for 6 yds to the PRIN 11 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.29

Chase Goodwin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.09

Malcolm Terry II run for 3 yds to the PRIN 8

3rd & 7Passing Touchdown+8 ydsPPA +2.90

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Marcus Libman for 8 yds for a TD (Hugo Merry KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Blaine Hipa pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Blaine Hipa pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.16

Blaine Hipa pass incomplete

4th & 10Punt+14 yds

Brady Clark punt for 56 yds , Carter McFadden returns for 14 yds to the COLU 33

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Joey Giorgi run for 2 yds to the COLU 35

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.71

Chase Goodwin pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.82

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Titus Evans for 14 yds to the COLU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.12

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Jordan Kelley for 9 yds to the PRIN 42

2nd & 1Rush+40 ydsPPA +1.59

Joey Giorgi run for 40 yds to the PRIN 2 for a 1ST down

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Malcolm Terry II run for 2 yds for a TD (Hugo Merry KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

John Volker run for no gain to the PRIN 25

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.68

Blaine Hipa pass complete to Joey Wassler for 9 yds to the PRIN 34

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.15

John Volker run for 4 yds to the PRIN 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.03

John Volker run for 11 yds to the PRIN 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+33 ydsPPA +1.33

Blaine Hipa pass complete to AJ Barber for 33 yds to the COLU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Ethan Clark run for 2 yds to the COLU 16

2nd & 8Passing Touchdown+16 ydsPPA +2.79

Blaine Hipa pass complete to AJ Barber for 16 yds for a TD (Sam Massick KICK)

1st & 10Rush+34 ydsPPA +2.70

Joey Giorgi run for 34 yds to the COLU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.13

Chase Goodwin pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Malcolm Terry II run for no gain to the COLU 49

3rd & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +3.27

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Edan Stagg for 7 yds to the PRIN 44 for a 1ST down Princeton Penalty, Personal Foul (Payton Tally) to the PRIN 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.18

Malcolm Terry II run for 10 yds to the PRIN 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Malcolm Terry II run for 5 yds to the PRIN 14

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.39

Chase Goodwin pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Chase Goodwin pass incomplete

4th & 5Rushing Touchdown+14 ydsPPA +3.38

Chase Goodwin run for 14 yds for a TD (Hugo Merry KICK)

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

John Volker run for 2 yds to the PRIN 27

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.48

Blaine Hipa pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

Blaine Hipa pass incomplete

4th & 8Punt+8 yds

Brady Clark punt for 40 yds , Carter McFadden returns for 8 yds to the COLU 41

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.40

Joey Giorgi run for 6 yds to the COLU 47

2nd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.24

Chase Goodwin pass incomplete

Situational Analysis

Princeton

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
22 plays
2nd
17%
6 plays
44%
9 plays
3rd
71%
7 plays
50%
2 plays
0%
3 plays
100%
1 play
4th
0%
2 plays

Columbia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
42%
24 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
50%
4 plays
42%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
50%
4 plays
0%
2 plays
83%
6 plays
50%
2 plays
4th
0%
2 plays
100%
1 play