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← Back to GamesSep 21, 2024Week 4

House Prediction

Model Margin

Lafayette by 6.4

Home Win Probability

Columbia 34%

Market (ESPN Bet)

Columbia +8

Edge: Columbia +8 (1.6 pts)

fitted_v1 · Sep 21, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Lafayette
633820
Columbia
1077731

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014287-010-010-617-1224-1231-20
ColumbiaLafayette

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20COLLAFCOLLAFCOLCOLCOLLAFCOLLAFCOLLAFLAFLAFCOLLAFLAFCOLCOLLAFLAFCOLLAFCOLCOLTD575ydPUNT58ydFG1346ydTD875ydEND10ydTO10ydUncategorized620ydTO312ydTD880ydPUNT69ydDOWNS834ydPUNT517ydFG48ydFG1456ydPUNT520ydDOWNS929ydPUNT38ydTD260ydTD549ydTD679ydMISS1140ydPUNT38ydTO543ydUncategorized10ydDOWNS844yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Lafayette and Columbia
StatisticLafayetteColumbia
Passing23-3521-27
Pass Yards272243
Rush Yards122204
Total Yards394447
Turnovers22
3rd Down6-164-10
Penalties2-103-25
Possession31:4828:12

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Lafayette
passing
Dean DeNobile
23/35, 272 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Jamar Curtis
25 CAR, 102 YDS
receiving
Chris Carasia
4 REC, 114 YDS, 1 TD
Columbia
passing
Chase Goodwin
16/19, 180 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Joey Giorgi
17 CAR, 90 YDS
receiving
Bryson Canty
6 REC, 95 YDS, 2 TD

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Joey Giorgi run for 3 yds to the COLU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Jordan Kelley for 6 yds to the COLU 34

3rd & 1Rush+19 ydsPPA +2.49

Joey Giorgi run for 19 yds to the LAF 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+27 ydsPPA +1.00

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Edan Stagg for 27 yds to the LAF 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Braden Dougherty for 20 yds for a TD (Hugo Merry KICK)

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Jamar Curtis run for 7 yds to the LAF 32

2nd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +0.23

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 3 yds to the LAF 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Mason Kuehner for 4 yds to the LAF 39

2nd & 6Pass Reception-6 ydsPPA -1.61

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Mason Kuehner for a loss of 6 yards to the LAF 33

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.22

pass incomplete to Chris Carasia

4th & 12Punt+3 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 41 yds , Carter McFadden returns for 3 yds to the COLU 29

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.66

Joey Giorgi run for 7 yds to the COLU 36

2nd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.92

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Edan Stagg for 1 yd to the COLU 37

3rd & 2Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.85

Joey Giorgi run for 9 yds to the COLU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.37

Malcolm Terry II run for 6 yds to the LAF 48

2nd & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.46

Malcolm Terry II run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 49

3rd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.86

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Malcolm Terry II for 5 yds to the LAF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion-10 ydsPPA -2.99

Chase Goodwin pass incomplete to Bryson Canty Columbia Penalty, Offensive holding (John Iannuzzi) to the COLU 46

1st & 20Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.35

Malcolm Terry II run for 3 yds to the COLU 49

2nd & 17Pass Reception+24 ydsPPA +3.16

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Jordan Kelley for 24 yds to the LAF 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.74

Joey Giorgi run for a loss of 2 yards to the LAF 29

2nd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Titus Evans for 4 yds to the LAF 25

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

pass incomplete to Joey Giorgi

4th & 8Field Goal Good+43 yds

Hugo Merry 43 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the LAF 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.32

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Dallas Holmes for 9 yds to the LAF 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.53

Dean DeNobile sacked by Keller Patterson for a loss of 3 yards to the LAF 34

2nd & 13Rush+12 ydsPPA +1.48

Jamar Curtis run for 12 yds to the LAF 46

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.10

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the LAF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.88

Jamar Curtis run for 8 yds to the COLU 44

2nd & 2Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.28

Jamar Curtis run for 13 yds to the COLU 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+31 ydsPPA +2.84

Chris Carasia 31 Yd pass from Dean DeNobile (Jack Simonetta PAT blocked)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+5 yds

Jakob Trestik kickoff for 42 yds , Malcolm Terry II return for 5 yds to the COLU 28

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Chase Goodwin pass incomplete, broken up by Jaylon Joseph

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+33 yds

Jakob Trestik kickoff for 63 yds , Edan Stagg return for 33 yds to the COLU 35

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Malcolm Terry II run for 4 yds to the COLU 39

2nd & 6Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.13

Malcolm Terry II run for 6 yds to the COLU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Joey Giorgi run for 4 yds to the COLU 49

2nd & 6Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Joey Giorgi run for 3 yds to the LAF 48

3rd & 3Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA +1.39

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Braden Dougherty for 3 yds to the LAF 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-4 ydsPPA -1.90

Chase Goodwin sacked by Tim O'Hearn for a loss of 4 yards to the LAF 49 Chase Goodwin fumbled, recovered by LAF Semaj Cross , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.60

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 7 yds to the COLU 44

2nd & 3Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.18

Troy Bruce run for 5 yds to the COLU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -3.86

Dean DeNobile pass intercepted

1st & 10Pass Reception+29 ydsPPA +2.46

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Bryson Canty for 29 yds to the COLU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Malcolm Terry II run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line

2nd & 9Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.62

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Bryson Canty for 10 yds to the LAF 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.45

Chase Goodwin run for 7 yds to the LAF 33

2nd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.04

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Edan Stagg for 8 yds to the LAF 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.48

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Braylon Gardoni for 8 yds to the LAF 17

2nd & 2Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.20

Chase Goodwin run for 8 yds to the LAF 9 for a 1ST down

1st & 9Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.42

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Bryson Canty for 9 yds for a TD (Hugo Merry KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)0 yds

Hugo Merry kickoff for 45 yds , Ethan Weber return for no gain to the LAF 20

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.24

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the LAF 23

2nd & 7Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.07

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Chris Carasia for 4 yds to the LAF 27

3rd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +1.00

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the LAF 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.72

Jamar Curtis run for 1 yd to the LAF 31

2nd & 9Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.67

Jamar Curtis run for a loss of 2 yards to the LAF 29

3rd & 11Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.19

pass incomplete to Carson Persing

4th & 11Punt0 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 33 yds

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.09

pass incomplete to Bryson Canty

2nd & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.35

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Jordan Kelley for 14 yds to the LAF 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.68

Chase Goodwin run for 12 yds to the LAF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.72

Giorgi,Joey rush left (Port,Adam).

2nd & 10Rush-9 ydsPPA -2.69

Joey Giorgi run for 1 yd to the LAF 35 Columbia Penalty, Offensive holding (James Miller) to the LAF 45

2nd & 19Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.47

Chase Goodwin run for 7 yds to the LAF 38

3rd & 12Pass Reception+10 ydsPPA +1.12

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Jordan Kelley for 10 yds to the LAF 28

4th & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -3.01

Freeman,Cole rush left (Cannon,Terell;Brown,Neriyan).

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.51

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the LAF 30

2nd & 8Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.00

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 14 yds to the LAF 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Jamar Curtis run for 1 yd to the LAF 45

2nd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.96

pass incomplete to Dallas Holmes

3rd & 9Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.59

pass incomplete to Chris Carasia

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 30 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.33

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 7 yds to the COLU 18

2nd & 3Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.40

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Jamar Curtis for 1 yd to the COLU 17

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.52

pass incomplete to Chris Carasia

4th & 2Field Goal Good+34 yds

Jack Simonetta 34 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+25 yds

Hugo Merry kickoff for 54 yds , Ethan Weber return for 25 yds to the LAF 36

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the LAF 40

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +1.47

Jamar Curtis run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.10

Jamar Curtis run for 5 yds to the COLU 45

2nd & 5Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.69

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 8 yds to the COLU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.59

Jamar Curtis run for 8 yds to the COLU 29

2nd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.58

Jamar Curtis run for 1 yd to the COLU 28

3rd & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.34

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the COLU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Troy Bruce run for 2 yds to the COLU 23

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Troy Bruce run for 2 yds to the COLU 21

3rd & 6Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.67

Dean DeNobile run for 7 yds to the COLU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Troy Bruce run for 3 yds to the COLU 11

2nd & 7Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 3 yds to the COLU 8

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

pass incomplete to Carson Persing

4th & 4Field Goal Good+25 yds

Jack Simonetta 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Joey Giorgi run for 3 yds to the COLU 28

2nd & 7Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.52

Chase Goodwin run for 11 yds to the COLU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Chase Goodwin pass complete to Joey Giorgi for 2 yds to the COLU 41

2nd & 8Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Cole Freeman pass complete to Bryson Canty for 4 yds to the COLU 45

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.85

pass incomplete to Joey Giorgi

4th & 4Punt0 yds

William Hughes punt for 32 yds

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Hugo Merry kickoff for 61 yds , Devin Paige return for 16 yds to the LAF 20

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Jamar Curtis run for 5 yds to the LAF 25

2nd & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the LAF 27

3rd & 3Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +1.17

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 5 yds to the LAF 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 5 yds to the LAF 37

2nd & 5Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.85

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 5 yds to the LAF 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Mason Kuehner for 5 yds to the LAF 47

2nd & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.44

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 2Rush-1 ydsPPA -1.28

Jamar Curtis run for a loss of 1 yard to the LAF 49

4th & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.82

pass incomplete to Chris Carasia

1st & 12Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.34

Nahjee Adams run for 2 yds to the LAF 25

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Nahjee Adams run for 5 yds to the LAF 30

3rd & 5Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.31

Nahjee Adams run for 1 yd to the LAF 31

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Jakob Trestik punt for 29 yds

1st & 10Rush+53 ydsPPA +2.56

Malcolm Terry II run for 53 yds to the LAF 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Cole Freeman pass complete to Ethan Hebb for 7 yds for a TD (Hugo Merry KICK)

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.82

Joey Giorgi run for 8 yds to the LAF 41

2nd & 2Sack0 ydsPPA -1.10

Cole Freeman sacked by Preston Forney for 0 yards to the LAF 41

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.91

Joey Giorgi run for 1 yd to the LAF 40

4th & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.86

Joey Giorgi run for 2 yds to the LAF 38 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+38 ydsPPA +3.09

Cole Freeman pass complete to Bryson Canty for 38 yds for a TD (Hugo Merry KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+20 yds

Hugo Merry kickoff for 64 yds , Devin Paige return for 20 yds to the LAF 21

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.38

Jamar Curtis run for 2 yds to the LAF 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Carson Persing Columbia Penalty, off-side (Joshua Powell) to the LAF 28

2nd & 3Rush+3 ydsPPA +0.18

Jamar Curtis run for 3 yds to the LAF 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

Lafayette Penalty, substitution infraction (Darson Jeanty) to the COLU 8

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+69 ydsPPA +5.61

Mason Kuehner 69 Yd pass from Dean DeNobile (Dean DeNobile Pass to Jamar Curtis for Two-Point Conversion)

1st & 10Pass Reception0 yds

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for no gain to the COLU 8 Columbia Penalty, illegal forward pass (Dean DeNobile) to the COLU 8

1st & 10Pass Reception-57 yds

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Jamar Curtis for no gain to the LAF 35

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

pass incomplete to Mason Kuehner

2nd & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.41

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Carson Persing for 1 yd to the LAF 32

3rd & 9Pass Reception+38 ydsPPA +4.10

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Chris Carasia for 38 yds to the COLU 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.76

pass incomplete to Savion McKinnon

3rd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.73

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Jamar Curtis for 9 yds to the COLU 21

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +0.83

Jamar Curtis run for 4 yds to the COLU 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.34

pass incomplete to Chris Carasia

2nd & 10Sack-8 ydsPPA -1.63

Dean DeNobile sacked by Levi Robins for a loss of 8 yards to the COLU 25

3rd & 18Pass Incompletion-5 ydsPPA -1.87

Dean DeNobile pass incomplete to Mason Kuehner, broken up by Carter McFadden Lafayette Penalty, illegal forward pass (Dean DeNobile) to the COLU 29

4th & 22Field Goal Missed+46 yds

Jack Simonetta 46 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Malcolm Terry II run for 2 yds to the COLU 31

2nd & 8Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.10

Malcolm Terry II run for 4 yds to the COLU 35

3rd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.35

Joey Giorgi run for 2 yds to the COLU 37

4th & 2Punt+7 yds

William Hughes punt for 43 yds , Mason Kuehner returns for 7 yds to the LAF 27

1st & 10Pass Reception+41 ydsPPA +3.06

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Chris Carasia for 41 yds to the COLU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.90

Dean DeNobile sacked by Ben Corniello for a loss of 7 yards to the COLU 39

2nd & 17Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Avery Jones for 4 yds to the COLU 35

3rd & 13Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.05

Dean DeNobile pass complete to Savion McKinnon for 5 yds to the COLU 30

4th & 8Fumble Recovery (Opponent)+11 ydsPPA -2.11

Dean DeNobile run for 11 yds to the COLU 19 Dean DeNobile fumbled, recovered by COLU Anthony Roussos

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.60

Cole Freeman run for a loss of 1 yard to the COLU 19

1st & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Cole Freeman pass complete to Jack Larsen for 9 yds to the COLU 34

2nd & 1Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.64

Joey Giorgi run for 12 yds to the COLU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.21

Joey Giorgi run for 9 yds to the LAF 45

2nd & 1Rush+9 ydsPPA -0.03

Joey Giorgi run for 9 yds to the LAF 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

pass incomplete to Braden Dougherty

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.94

Terry II,Malcolm rush middle (Crawley,Ahmir).

3rd & 10Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Cole Freeman pass complete to Bryson Canty for 5 yds to the LAF 31

4th & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -2.38

Cole Freeman pass incomplete to Jordan Kelley, broken up by Saiku White

Situational Analysis

Lafayette

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
43%
28 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
67%
6 plays
50%
6 plays
33%
12 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
67%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
67%
3 plays
25%
4 plays
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play

Columbia

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
30 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
33%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
8 plays
67%
3 plays
3rd
75%
4 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
4th
50%
2 plays
0%
1 play