Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 26, 2024Week 9

House Prediction

Model Margin

Wagner by 0.2

Home Win Probability

Massachusetts 45%

Market (DraftKings)

Massachusetts -23

Edge: Wagner +23 (23.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 26, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Wagner
00707
MassachusettsMassachusetts
71401435

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q401428427-014-021-021-728-735-7
MassachusettsWagner

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20MASWAGMASWAGMASWAGMASWAGMASWAGWAGMASWAGMASWAGWAGMASWAGTO10ydPUNT31ydTD492ydPUNT516ydPUNT746ydTO3-1ydTD744ydDOWNS1344ydTD1369ydEND1-1ydTD1575ydPUNT3-4ydDOWNS946ydPUNT520ydTD33ydPUNT3-2ydTD544ydEND412yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Wagner and Massachusetts
StatisticWagnerMassachusetts
Passing5-910-18
Pass Yards56129
Rush Yards162197
Total Yards218326
Turnovers11
3rd Down9-165-8
Penalties4-303-25
Possession39:1420:46

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Wagner
passing
Jack Stevens
4/6, 52 YDS
rushing
Rickey Spruill
18 CAR, 90 YDS
receiving
Malik Cooper
2 REC, 24 YDS
defense
Massachusetts
passing
Taisun Phommachanh
10/18, 129 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
rushing
Brandon Campbell
8 CAR, 63 YDS, 1 TD
receiving
Ty Harding
3 REC, 49 YDS, 1 TD
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.92

Taisun Phommachanh pass intercepted

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Spruill,Rickey rush left for 8 yards gain to the Wagner45 (Rudolph,Tyler) PENALTY Wagner Holding (Sneh,Brandon) 10 yards from Wagner37 to Wagner27. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.39

Rickey Spruill run for 8 yds to the WAG 35

2nd & 12Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.22

Rickey Spruill run for 3 yds to the WAG 38

3rd & 9Rush0 ydsPPA -0.40

Jake Cady run for no gain to the WAG 38

4th & 9Punt0 yds

Bailey Marzola punt for 54 yds

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 4 yds to the MASS 12

2nd & 6Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.62

Jalen John run for 10 yds to the MASS 22 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+42 ydsPPA +3.26

Jalen John run for 42 yds to the WAG 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+36 ydsPPA +3.01

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 36 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

CJ Kolodziey kickoff for 55 yds , Sam Martin return for 21 yds to the WAG 31

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.38

Rickey Spruill run for 6 yds to the WAG 37

2nd & 4Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +0.57

Jake Cady pass complete to Teree McDonald for 4 yds to the WAG 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.70

Rickey Spruill run for 7 yds to the WAG 48

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -1.03

Jake Cady run for 1 yd to the WAG 47

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.91

Jake Cady pass incomplete to Teree McDonald

4th & 4Punt+3 yds

Bailey Marzola punt for 43 yds , T.Y. Harding returns for 3 yds to the MASS 3

1st & 10Rush+12 ydsPPA +0.34

CJ Hester run for 12 yds to the MASS 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+15 ydsPPA +0.93

CJ Hester run for 15 yds to the MASS 30 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

CJ Hester run for 4 yds to the MASS 34

2nd & 6Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +1.17

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jacquon Gibson for 7 yds to the MASS 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.68

CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the MASS 43

2nd & 8Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY Wagner Offside (Adeyemi,Olanrewaju) 5 yards from UMass43 to UMass48. NO PLAY.

2nd & 3Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.75

CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.95

CJ Hester run for 1 yd to the MASS 49

4th & 2Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 22 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Sekou Kamau run for 2 yds to the WAG 27

2nd & 12Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Sekou Kamau run for 1 yd to the WAG 28

3rd & 11Penalty0 yds

Wagner Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declined

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.53

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Sterling Galban for 2 yds to the WAG 42

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.30

Brandon Campbell run for 6 yds to the WAG 36

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.86

Brandon Campbell run for 7 yds to the WAG 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+26 ydsPPA +1.32

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 26 yds to the WAG 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 yds

Taisun Phommachanh run for 6 yds to the WAG 9 Taisun Phommachanh fumbled, recovered by WAG Ethan Mottinger

2nd & 9Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.12

Brandon Campbell run for 6 yds to the WAG 3

3rd & 3Rushing Touchdown+3 ydsPPA +2.62

Taisun Phommachanh run for 3 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Rickey Spruill run for 3 yds to the WAG 22

2nd & 13Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.74

Jack Stevens pass complete to Teree McDonald for 11 yds to the WAG 33

3rd & 2Rush+7 ydsPPA +1.54

Jack Stevens run for 7 yds to the WAG 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Andre Hines Jr. run for 5 yds to the WAG 45

2nd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Andre Hines Jr. run for 4 yds to the WAG 49

3rd & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.20

Andre Hines Jr. run for 4 yds to the MASS 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.82

Andre Hines Jr. run for 1 yd to the MASS 48

2nd & 11Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.83

Rickey Spruill run for 1 yd to the MASS 49

3rd & 12Pass Reception+17 ydsPPA +3.23

Jack Stevens pass complete to Jeremiah Colclough for 17 yds to the MASS 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Rickey Spruill run for 6 yds to the MASS 26

2nd & 4Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.86

Jack Stevens sacked by Louce Julien for a loss of 7 yards to the MASS 33

3rd & 11Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Jack Stevens pass complete to Malik Cooper for 4 yds to the MASS 29

4th & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -2.33

Jack Stevens run for 2 yds to the MASS 31

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.89

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Jakobie Keeney-James

2nd & 10Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.94

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 11 yds to the MASS 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun Paradis,Jackson rush left for 15 yards gain to the Wagner43 (Martin,Sam) PENALTY UMass Holding (Rohme,Brayden) 10 yards from UMass42 to UMass32. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.43

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Jacquon Gibson

2nd & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.09

Taisun Phommachanh run for 6 yds to the MASS 38

3rd & 14Rush+17 ydsPPA +3.47

Taisun Phommachanh run for 17 yds to the WAG 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Jakobie Keeney-James

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.07

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Jakobie Keeney-James

3rd & 10Pass Reception+21 ydsPPA +2.86

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Dominick Mazotti for 21 yds to the WAG 24 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.47

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 8 yds to the WAG 16

2nd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA -0.31

Jackson Paradis run for 6 yds to the WAG 10 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.01

Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds to the WAG 6

2nd & 6Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.17

Taisun Phommachanh run for 2 yds to the WAG 4

3rd & 4Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.70

Taisun Phommachanh run for 4 yds for a TD Wagner Penalty, Defensive Offside (Sekou Kamau) declined (Jacob Lurie KICK)

1st & 10Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.80

Kneel down by Wagner at Wagner24 for loss of 1 yard.

0th & 10End of Half-1 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.45

Andre Hines Jr. run for 2 yds to the WAG 27

2nd & 8Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.23

Andre Hines Jr. run for 6 yds to the WAG 33

3rd & 2Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.05

Andre Hines Jr. run for 2 yds to the WAG 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.41

Rickey Spruill run for 3 yds to the WAG 38

2nd & 7Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.14

Rickey Spruill run for 4 yds to the WAG 42

3rd & 3Rush+13 ydsPPA +2.32

Andre Hines Jr. run for 13 yds to the MASS 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.73

Andre Hines Jr. run for 8 yds to the MASS 37

2nd & 2Rush+5 ydsPPA -0.13

Rickey Spruill run for 5 yds to the MASS 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.22

Malik Cooper run for 6 yds to the MASS 38

2nd & 16Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.26

Rickey Spruill run for 6 yds to the MASS 32

3rd & 10Penalty-10 yds

Shotgun Stevens,Jack pass incomplete short right to McDonald,Teree thrown to UMass20 PENALTY Wagner Holding (Sneh,Brandon) 10 yards from UMass32 to UMass42. NO PLAY.

3rd & 20Rush+21 ydsPPA +3.66

Rickey Spruill run for 21 yds to the MASS 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.32

Rickey Spruill run for 7 yds to the MASS 14

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.37

Andre Hines Jr. run for 1 yd to the MASS 13

3rd & 2Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.49

Jack Stevens run for 6 yds to the MASS 7 for a 1ST down

1st & 7Rushing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.20

Andre Hines Jr. run for 7 yds for a TD (Matthew Schwindt KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

No Huddle-Shotgun John,Jalen rush right for 14 yards gain to the UMass39 (Martin,Sam) PENALTY UMass Holding (Mottinger,Ethan) 10 yards from UMass25 to UMass15. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

CJ Hester run for 6 yds to the MASS 21

2nd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.18

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to Jakobie Keeney-James

3rd & 14Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.08

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete to T.Y. Harding

4th & 14Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Mark Didio at the WAG 47

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.67

Rickey Spruill run for 2 yds to the WAG 49

2nd & 8Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.65

Rickey Spruill run for 2 yds to the MASS 49

3rd & 6Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.62

Jack Stevens pass complete to Malik Cooper for 20 yds to the MASS 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.21

Rickey Spruill run for 6 yds to the MASS 23

2nd & 4Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.02

Jack Stevens run for 8 yds to the MASS 15 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Andre Hines Jr. run for 5 yds to the MASS 10

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jack Stevens pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.37

Jack Stevens pass incomplete

4th & 5Rush+3 ydsPPA -3.79

Joshua Brown run for 3 yds to the MASS 7

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

CJ Hester run for 4 yds to the MASS 11

2nd & 6Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.70

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to Jakobie Keeney-James for 12 yds to the MASS 23 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.42

CJ Hester run for 2 yds to the MASS 25

2nd & 8Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.28

Taisun Phommachanh pass complete to T.Y. Harding for 2 yds to the MASS 27

3rd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Taisun Phommachanh pass incomplete

4th & 6Punt0 yds

CJ Kolodziey punt for 58 yds

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Rickey Spruill run for 2 yds to the WAG 17

2nd & 8Sack-5 ydsPPA -0.42

Jack Stevens sacked by Kofi Asare for a loss of 5 yards to the WAG 12

3rd & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.03

Rickey Spruill run for 6 yds to the WAG 18

4th & 7Punt+58 yds

Bailey Marzola punt for 40 yds , T.Y. Harding returns for 58 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.70

Julio Tatis run for no gain to the WAG 25

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.15

Julio Tatis run for 3 yds to the WAG 28

3rd & 7Rush0 ydsPPA -0.27

Julio Tatis run for no gain to the WAG 28

4th & 7Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY Wagner False Start (Smith,Justin) 5 yards from Wagner28 to Wagner23. NO PLAY.

4th & 12Punt+18 yds

Bailey Marzola punt for 39 yds , T.Y. Harding returns for 18 yds to the WAG 44

1st & 10Rush+17 ydsPPA +0.67

Brandon Campbell run for 17 yds to the WAG 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.34

Brandon Campbell run for 7 yds to the WAG 20

2nd & 3Rush+8 ydsPPA -0.13

Brandon Campbell run for 8 yds to the WAG 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Brandon Campbell run for 8 yds to the WAG 4

2nd & 2Rushing Touchdown+4 ydsPPA +2.08

Brandon Campbell run for 4 yds for a TD (Jacob Lurie KICK)

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

David Lonergan run for 3 yds to the WAG 28

2nd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.27

David Lonergan run for 6 yds to the WAG 34

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.86

Gavin Hatfield run for 1 yd to the WAG 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Gavin Hatfield run for 2 yds to the WAG 37

Situational Analysis

Wagner

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
48%
21 plays
100%
1 play
2nd
0%
3 plays
40%
5 plays
33%
6 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
100%
6 plays
33%
3 plays
0%
2 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
0%
1 play

Massachusetts

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
47%
19 plays
50%
2 plays
2nd
25%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
60%
5 plays
50%
2 plays
3rd
100%
3 plays
50%
2 plays
100%
1 play
50%
2 plays
4th