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← Back to GamesNov 6, 2024Week 11
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Bowling Green by 11.8

Home Win Probability

Central Michigan 23%

Market (Bovada)

Central Michigan +16

Edge: Central Michigan +16 (4.2 pts)

fitted_v1 · Nov 6, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Bowling GreenBowling Green
367723
Central MichiganCentral Michigan
070613

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014280-30-60-97-167-2313-23
Central MichiganBowling Green

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BGCMBGCMBGCMBGCMBGCMBGCMBGCMBGCMBGCMBGCMBGFG1264ydPUNT617ydPUNT38ydPUNT33ydFG959ydPUNT622ydPUNT824ydPUNT3-3ydFG535ydTD675ydPUNT3-4ydTO113ydTD639ydPUNT36ydMISS864ydDOWNS1042ydPUNT415ydPUNT35ydTD833ydTD1175ydEND341yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Bowling Green and Central Michigan
StatisticBowling GreenCentral Michigan
Passing19-306-14
Pass Yards20763
Rush Yards181187
Total Yards388250
Turnovers01
3rd Down4-155-13
Penalties12-887-75
Possession35:5324:07

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Bowling Green
passing
Connor Bazelak
19/30, 207 YDS, 1 TD
rushing
Terion Stewart
20 CAR, 117 YDS
receiving
Harold Fannin
7 REC, 86 YDS
defense
Central Michigan
passing
Jadyn Glasser
5/7, 57 YDS
rushing
Marion Lukes
20 CAR, 72 YDS
receiving
Chris Parker
3 REC, 25 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+17 yds

Tristan Mattson kickoff for 60 yds , Rahkeem Smith return for 17 yds to the BGSU 22

1st & 10Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.31

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 6 yds to the BGSU 28

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.50

Rahkeem Smith run for 2 yds to the BGSU 30

3rd & 2Rush+16 ydsPPA +2.28

Terion Stewart run for 16 yds to the BGSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.65

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 7 yds to the CMU 47

2nd & 3Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.23

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

3rd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.89

Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the CMU 46

4th & 2Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +2.79

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 14 yds to the CMU 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +0.34

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 20 yds to the CMU 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.30

Rahkeem Smith run for no gain to the CMU 12

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.16

Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the CMU 14

3rd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 12Field Goal Good+32 yds

Zach Long 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+18 yds

Zach Long kickoff for 61 yds , Marion Lukes return for 18 yds to the CMU 22

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.40

Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the CMU 24

2nd & 8Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.06

Marion Lukes run for 5 yds to the CMU 29

3rd & 3Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.37

Marion Lukes run for 6 yds to the CMU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

B.J. Harris run for 2 yds to the CMU 33

3rd & 12Fumble Recovery (Own)+6 ydsPPA +0.10

Tyler Jefferson run for 6 yds to the CMU 39 Tyler Jefferson fumbled, recovered by CMU Davis Heinzen

4th & 6Punt+15 yds

David Chapeau punt for 51 yds , Justin Pegues returns for 15 yds to the BGSU 8

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BGSU 9

2nd & 9Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.19

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 7 yds to the BGSU 16

3rd & 2Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.28

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 2Punt0 yds

John Henderson punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMU 45

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.37

B.J. Harris run for 3 yds to the CMU 48

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.78

Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

David Chapeau punt for 52 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Pass Reception+31 ydsPPA +2.62

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 31 yds to the CMU 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.75

Terion Stewart run for 13 yds to the CMU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.72

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.41

Terion Stewart run for 7 yds to the CMU 29

3rd & 3Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.71

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 9 yds to the CMU 20 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

(00:33) No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass complete short middle to Gazarek,Levi caught at CMU15, for 19 yards to the CMU01 (Cochran,Dakota) PENALTY BGSU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Burns,Jake) 5 yards from CMU20 to CMU25. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.47

Terion Stewart run for no gain to the CMU 25

2nd & 15Penalty0 yds

PENALTY CMU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting BGSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct offsetting. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Lucian Anderson III run for 2 yds to the CMU 27

3rd & 17Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BGSU Delay Of Game (Bazelak,Connor) 5 yards from CMU27 to CMU32. NO PLAY.

3rd & 22Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +1.29

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for 11 yds to the CMU 21

4th & 11Field Goal Good+40 yds

Zach Long 40 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the CMU 28

2nd & 7Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.27

Tyler Jefferson pass complete to Chris Parker for 6 yds to the CMU 34

3rd & 1Rush+25 ydsPPA +2.86

Myles Bailey run for 40 yds to the BGSU 26 for a 1ST down Central Michigan Penalty, Personal Foul (Dominic Serapiglia III) to the CMU 44 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.16

Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.36

B.J. Harris run for 3 yds to the CMU 47

3rd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.75

Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete

4th & 7Punt0 yds

David Chapeau punt for 43 yds , Justin Pegues returns for no gain to the BGSU 10

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Finn Hogan for 7 yds to the BGSU 17

2nd & 3Rush0 ydsPPA -0.56

Terion Stewart run for no gain to the BGSU 17

3rd & 3Pass Reception+8 ydsPPA +0.90

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Rahkeem Smith for 8 yds to the BGSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BGSU Illegal Substitution (Patterson,Jaison) 5 yards from BGSU25 to BGSU20. NO PLAY.

2nd & 15Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.90

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Rahkeem Smith for 15 yds to the BGSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.01

Terion Stewart run for no gain to the BGSU 35

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.60

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

3rd & 10Penalty-5 yds

(07:06) No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass complete short right to Smith,Rahkeem caught at BGSU32, for 16 yards to the CMU49 (Whiteside,Justin; Wiliams,Jason) PENALTY BGSU Illegal Formation (Wollschlaeger,Alex) 5 yards from BGSU35 to BGSU30. NO PLAY.

3rd & 15Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.03

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 4 yds to the BGSU 34

4th & 11Punt0 yds

John Henderson punt for 66 yds for a touchback

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY CMU False Start (Serapiglia III,Dominic) 5 yards from CMU20 to CMU15. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush0 ydsPPA -0.24

Myles Bailey run for no gain to the CMU 15

2nd & 15Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.07

Myles Bailey run for 2 yds to the CMU 17

3rd & 13Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.07

Tyler Jefferson pass incomplete

4th & 13Punt0 yds

David Chapeau punt for 37 yds

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

PENALTY CMU Personal Foul (White,Xavier) 15 yards from BGSU46 to CMU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.09

Terion Stewart run for 5 yds to the CMU 34

2nd & 5Penalty+15 yds

(03:33) No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete deep middle to Hogan,Finn thrown to CMU12 broken up by McKinney,Da'Raun PENALTY CMU Targeting (Brown,Lawai'a) 15 yards from CMU34 to CMU19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.36

Terion Stewart run for no gain to the CMU 19

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.45

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+37 yds

Zach Long 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.30

Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the CMU 28

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.47

Tyler Jefferson run for 1 yd to the CMU 29

3rd & 6Rush+44 ydsPPA +4.10

Tyler Jefferson run for 44 yds to the BGSU 27 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+14 yds

(01:45) Shotgun Jefferson,Tyler pass incomplete short left to Parker,Chris thrown to BGSU10 PENALTY BGSU Pass Interference (Benjamin,Jacorey) 14 yards from BGSU27 to BGSU13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

Marion Lukes run for 6 yds to the BGSU 7

2nd & 4Rush+6 ydsPPA +1.42

Marion Lukes run for 6 yds to the BGSU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Tyler Jefferson run for 1 yd for a TD (Tristan Mattson KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+4 yds

Tristan Mattson kickoff for 29 yds , Patrick Day return for 4 yds to the BGSU 40

1st & 10Penalty-10 yds

(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete short left to Johnson Jr.,Malcolm thrown to CMU44 PENALTY BGSU Holding (Fatukasi,Tunde) 10 yards from BGSU40 to BGSU30. NO PLAY.

1st & 20Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.51

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jaison Patterson for 13 yds to the BGSU 43

2nd & 7Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

3rd & 7Sack-7 ydsPPA -1.03

Connor Bazelak sacked by Jonah Pace for a loss of 7 yards to the BGSU 36

4th & 14Punt+15 yds

John Henderson punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMU 31 , Donte Kent returns for 15 yds to the CMU 49 Central Michigan Penalty, Illegal Block (Bryce Rowe) to the CMU 31

4th & 14Punt+15 yds

John Henderson punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMU 11 , Donte Kent returns for 15 yds to the CMU 49 Central Michigan Penalty, Illegal Block (Bryce Rowe) to the CMU 11

0th & 0End of Half-89 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+15 yds

Zach Long kickoff for 54 yds , Marion Lukes return for 15 yds to the CMU 26

1st & 10Fumble Recovery (Own)-13 ydsPPA -1.33

Tyler Jefferson sacked by Anthony Hawkins for a loss of 13 yards to the CMU 39 Tyler Jefferson fumbled, recovered by BGSU Joseph Sipp Jr. , return for 0 yards

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.81

Terion Stewart run for no gain to the CMU 39

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

3rd & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.28

Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the CMU 33

4th & 4Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +2.14

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 20 yds to the CMU 13 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Terion Stewart run for 4 yds to the CMU 9

2nd & 6Passing Touchdown+9 ydsPPA +2.56

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Levi Gazarek for 9 yds for a TD (Zach Long KICK)

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+8 yds

Zach Long kickoff for 45 yds , Da'Raun McKinney return for 8 yds to the CMU 28

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.66

Marion Lukes run for 1 yd to the CMU 29

2nd & 9Fumble Recovery (Own)+9 ydsPPA +1.57

Marion Lukes run for 9 yds to the CMU 20 Marion Lukes fumbled, recovered by CMU Marion Lukes

3rd & 18Rush+14 ydsPPA +0.35

Marion Lukes run for 14 yds to the CMU 34

4th & 4Punt+3 yds

David Chapeau punt for 41 yds , Justin Pegues returns for 3 yds to the BGSU 28

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.33

Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the BGSU 31

2nd & 7Rush+41 ydsPPA +3.42

Jaison Patterson run for 41 yds to the CMU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+1 ydsPPA -0.39

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 1 yd to the CMU 27

2nd & 9Pass Reception+11 ydsPPA +0.59

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 11 yds to the CMU 16 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the CMU 12

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BGSU False Start (Gazarek,Levi) 5 yards from CMU12 to CMU17. NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.41

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 9 yds to the CMU 8

4th & 2Blocked Field Goal+23 yds

Zach Long 27 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jonah Pace (05:45) Long,Zach field goal attempt from 27 yards NO GOOD blocked by Pace,Jonah (H: Kenner,Travis, LS: Carlson,George), clock 05:35 recovered by CMU Spann,Caleb at CMU08 Spann,Caleb return 23 yards to the CMU31 (Porter,Jordan). , Caleb Spann return for 23 yds to the CMU 31

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.89

B.J. Harris run for no gain to the CMU 31

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.21

Jadyn Glasser run for 3 yds to the CMU 34

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +2.15

B.J. Harris run for 8 yds to the CMU 42 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

B.J. Harris run for 1 yd to the CMU 43

2nd & 9Penalty+15 yds

Bowling Green Penalty, (15 Yards) to the BGSU 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.24

Marion Lukes run for 6 yds to the BGSU 30

2nd & 4Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.39

Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the BGSU 32

3rd & 6Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.13

Marion Lukes run for 4 yds to the BGSU 28

4th & 2Penalty-10 yds

Central Michigan Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the BGSU 30

4th & 4Rush+3 ydsPPA -2.60

Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the BGSU 27

1st & 10Rush+10 ydsPPA +0.88

Terion Stewart run for 10 yds to the BGSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Sack-3 ydsPPA -1.53

Connor Bazelak sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the BGSU 34

2nd & 13Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Jaison Patterson run for 5 yds to the BGSU 39

3rd & 8Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.20

Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the BGSU 42

4th & 5Punt0 yds

John Henderson punt for 56 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Marion Lukes run for 3 yds to the CMU 5

2nd & 7Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.12

Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the CMU 7

3rd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Jadyn Glasser pass incomplete

4th & 5Punt0 yds

David Chapeau punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CMU 33

1st & 10Rush+7 ydsPPA +0.38

Terion Stewart run for 7 yds to the CMU 26

2nd & 3Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.50

Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the CMU 27

3rd & 4Rush+13 ydsPPA +0.78

Jaison Patterson run for 13 yds to the CMU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Jaison Patterson run for 2 yds to the CMU 16

2nd & 12Pass Reception+5 ydsPPA +0.03

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Justin Pegues for 5 yds to the CMU 11

3rd & 7Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.11

Terion Stewart run for 6 yds to the CMU 5

4th & 1Rush+4 ydsPPA +1.92

Jaison Patterson run for 4 yds to the CMU 1 for a 1ST down

1st & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +0.94

Jaison Patterson run for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Long KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+25 ydsPPA +2.24

Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Gavin Harris for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Solomon Davis for 7 yds to the BGSU 43

2nd & 3Pass Reception+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Jesse Prewitt III for 6 yds to the BGSU 37 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.35

Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Chris Parker for 12 yds to the BGSU 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.24

Marion Lukes run for 2 yds to the BGSU 23

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Jadyn Glasser pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.30

Jadyn Glasser pass complete to Chris Parker for 7 yds to the BGSU 16

4th & 1Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.71

Marion Lukes run for 9 yds to the BGSU 7 for a 1ST down Bowling Green Penalty, (4 Yards) to the BGSU 3 for a 1ST down

1st & 3Penalty+2 yds

(02:29) Shotgun Glasser,Jadyn sacked for loss of 9 yards to the BGSU12 (Brown,Dontrez, Rosser,Charles) PENALTY BGSU Holding (Horne,Brock) 2 yards from BGSU03 to BGSU01, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.96

Marion Lukes run for no gain to the BGSU 1

2nd & 1Rush0 ydsPPA -0.55

Jadyn Glasser run for no gain to the BGSU 1

3rd & 1Rushing Touchdown+1 ydsPPA +2.45

Jadyn Glasser run for 1 yd for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)

1st & 10Rush+18 ydsPPA +0.78

Terion Stewart run for 18 yds to the CMU 28 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY CMU Delay Of Game (Kostus,Kade) 5 yards from CMU28 to CMU23. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Penalty-10 yds

(00:41) Stewart,Terion rush middle for 2 yards gain to the CMU21 (Wiliams,Jason) PENALTY BGSU Holding (Fatukasi,Tunde) 10 yards from CMU23 to CMU33. NO PLAY.

1st & 15Rush+29 ydsPPA +1.63

Terion Stewart run for 29 yds to the CMU 4 for a 1ST down

1st & 4Rush-1 ydsPPA -0.75

C. Bazelak takes a knee

Situational Analysis

Bowling Green

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
43%
23 plays
67%
3 plays
2nd
0%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
44%
9 plays
75%
4 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
100%
1 play
40%
5 plays
50%
4 plays
4th
100%
2 plays
100%
1 play

Central Michigan

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
50%
2 plays
29%
17 plays
0%
1 play
2nd
50%
2 plays
50%
2 plays
30%
10 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
100%
3 plays
33%
3 plays
50%
4 plays
67%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
1 play