Skip to main content
← Back to GamesOct 19, 2024Week 8
Conference Game

House Prediction

Model Margin

Bowling Green by 22.5

Home Win Probability

Bowling Green 91%

Market (Bovada)

Bowling Green -24

Edge: Kent State +24 (1.5 pts)

fitted_v1 · Oct 19, 2024

Line Movement

No line movement to chart

Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.

Team1Q2Q3Q4QFinal
Kent StateKent State
33006
Bowling GreenBowling Green
10100727

Scoring Timeline

Q1Q2Q3Q4014283-010-313-313-620-627-6
Bowling GreenKent State

Drive Chart

Own 20Own 4050Opp 40Opp 20BGKSBGKSBGKSBGKSBGKSBGKSKSBGKSBGKSBGKSBGKSBGKSBGPUNT426ydPUNT725ydFG984ydFG665ydTD575ydPUNT32ydFG860ydPUNT521ydPUNT39ydFG951ydTD1073ydEND1-1ydPUNT30ydDOWNS4-3ydPUNT73ydMISS1564ydTO417ydTD963ydTO416ydDOWNS4-9ydDOWNS40ydPUNT33ydTO35ydEND3-6yd

Box Score

Team statistics comparing Kent State and Bowling Green
StatisticKent StateBowling Green
Passing7-2923-27
Pass Yards78313
Rush Yards126121
Total Yards204434
Turnovers30
3rd Down2-145-14
Penalties3-254-25
Possession22:3137:29

Player Leaders

Player Leaders

Kent State
passing
Tommy Ulatowski
7/27, 78 YDS, 2 INT
rushing
Ky Thomas
14 CAR, 121 YDS
receiving
Luke Floriea
2 REC, 35 YDS
defense
Bowling Green
passing
Connor Bazelak
23/27, 313 YDS, 2 TD
rushing
Terion Stewart
25 CAR, 124 YDS
receiving
Harold Fannin
10 REC, 171 YDS
defense

Play-by-Play

1st & 10Rush+26 ydsPPA +2.32

Terion Stewart run for 26 yds to the KENT 49 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.10

Terion Stewart run for no gain to the KENT 49

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -1.04

Jaison Patterson run for no gain to the KENT 49

3rd & 10Penalty0 yds

Bowling Green Penalty, (Yards) declined

4th & 10Punt0 yds

John Henderson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 12

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.07

Ky Thomas run for 5 yds to the KENT 17

2nd & 5Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.42

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete

3rd & 5Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +1.56

Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 15 yds to the KENT 32 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.05

Ky Thomas run for 11 yds to the KENT 43 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.17

Ky Thomas run for 4 yds to the KENT 47

2nd & 6Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete

3rd & 6Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.48

Tommy Ulatowski sacked by Myles Bradley for a loss of 10 yards to the KENT 37

4th & 16Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 61 yds

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.64

Terion Stewart run for 19 yds to the BGSU 21 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.59

Terion Stewart run for no gain to the BGSU 21

2nd & 10Pass Reception+32 ydsPPA +3.30

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 32 yds to the KENT 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +0.77

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 16 yds to the KENT 31 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.31

Jaison Patterson run for 19 yds to the KENT 12 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.10

Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the KENT 15

2nd & 13Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.04

Malcolm Johnson Jr. run for 4 yds to the KENT 19

3rd & 17Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Connor Bazelak run for 5 yds to the KENT 14

4th & 12Field Goal Good+32 yds

Zach Long 32 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+16 yds

Zach Long kickoff for 65 yds , Dashawn Martin return for 16 yds to the KENT 16

1st & 10Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY BGSU Delay Of Game (Davis,Chace) 5 yards from KentSt16 to KentSt21. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+38 ydsPPA +2.22

Ky Thomas run for 38 yds to the BGSU 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+22 ydsPPA +0.64

Ky Thomas run for 22 yds to the BGSU 19 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.36

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush0 ydsPPA -0.45

Ky Thomas run for no gain to the BGSU 19

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete

4th & 10Field Goal Good+37 yds

Will Hryszko 37 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+14 ydsPPA +1.93

Terion Stewart run for 14 yds to the BGSU 39 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the BGSU 42

2nd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.44

Terion Stewart run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Passing Touchdown+50 ydsPPA +3.84

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 50 yds for a TD (Zach Long KICK)

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.70

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.23

Tommy Ulatowski run for 2 yds to the KENT 23

3rd & 12Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.02

Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Jahzae Kimbrough for 4 yds to the KENT 27

4th & 8Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Justin Pegues at the BGSU 33

1st & 10Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.60

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Justin Pegues for 2 yds to the BGSU 35

2nd & 8Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +2.02

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 13 yds to the BGSU 48 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.00

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Malcolm Johnson Jr. for 16 yds to the KENT 36 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.46

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 22 yds to the KENT 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.61

Terion Stewart run for 9 yds to the KENT 5

2nd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.25

Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the KENT 6

3rd & 2Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.27

Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the KENT 7

4th & 3Field Goal Good+25 yds

Zach Long 25 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +1.25

Ky Thomas run for 9 yds to the KENT 34

2nd & 1Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.07

Ky Thomas run for 6 yds to the KENT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+3 ydsPPA -0.43

Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 3 yds to the KENT 43

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.40

Ky Thomas run for 3 yds to the KENT 46

3rd & 4Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.88

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Justin Pegues at the BGSU 10

4th & 4Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Justin Pegues at the BGSU 10

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.35

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Reception+9 ydsPPA +0.37

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 9 yds to the BGSU 19

3rd & 1Fumble Recovery (Own)0 ydsPPA -0.36

Jaison Patterson run for no gain to the BGSU 19 Jaison Patterson fumbled, recovered by KENT Elijah Boyd

4th & 1Punt0 yds

John Henderson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 37

1st & 10Pass Reception+18 ydsPPA +1.57

Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Charlie Skehan for 18 yds to the BGSU 45 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.00

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+9 ydsPPA +0.98

Ky Thomas run for 9 yds to the BGSU 36

3rd & 1Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY KentSt False Start 5 yards from BGSU36 to BGSU41. NO PLAY.

3rd & 6Rush+8 ydsPPA +1.73

Ky Thomas run for 8 yds to the BGSU 33 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+19 ydsPPA +0.35

Curtis Douglas run for 19 yds to the BGSU 14 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.18

Curtis Douglas run for 2 yds to the BGSU 12

2nd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.32

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete

3rd & 8Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.44

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete

4th & 8Field Goal Good+30 yds

Will Hryszko 30 yd FG GOOD

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+21 yds

Will Hryszko kickoff for 59 yds , Rahkeem Smith return for 21 yds to the BGSU 27

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.64

Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BGSU 28

2nd & 9Pass Reception+19 ydsPPA +2.48

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 19 yds to the BGSU 47 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 4 yds to the KENT 49

2nd & 6Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA -0.16

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Justin Pegues for 4 yds to the KENT 45

3rd & 2Pass Reception+4 ydsPPA +1.17

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Justin Pegues for 4 yds to the KENT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.45

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 12 yds to the KENT 29 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.53

Connor Bazelak pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.23

Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the KENT 32

3rd & 13Pass Reception+15 ydsPPA +2.07

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jared Merk for 15 yds to the KENT 17 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Penalty+15 yds

(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Bazelak,Connor pass incomplete short right to Davis,Chace thrown to KentSt00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY KentSt Pass Interference (Williams,Canaan) 15 yards from KentSt17 to KentSt02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 2Rushing Touchdown+2 ydsPPA +1.21

Lucian Anderson III run for 2 yds for a TD (Zach Long KICK)

1st & 10Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BGSU False Start (Porter,Jordan) 5 yards from KentSt03 to KentSt08. NO PLAY.

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.59

run for 1 yd to the KENT 24

0th & 10End of Half-1 yds

End of 2nd Quarter

1st & 10Kickoff Return (Offense)+12 yds

Zach Long kickoff for 64 yds , Dashawn Martin return for 12 yds to the KENT 13

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.26

Tommy Ulatowski run for 2 yds to the KENT 11

2nd & 12Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.12

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete

3rd & 12Pass Reception+2 ydsPPA -0.03

Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 2 yds to the KENT 13

4th & 10Punt+23 yds

Josh Smith punt for 49 yds , Justin Pegues returns for 23 yds to the KENT 39

4th & 10Punt+23 yds

Josh Smith punt for 49 yds , Justin Pegues returns for 23 yds to the KENT 39

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.26

Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the KENT 36

2nd & 7Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.29

Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the KENT 33

3rd & 4Pass Reception0 ydsPPA -0.99

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Rahkeem Smith for no gain to the KENT 33

4th & 4Sack-9 ydsPPA -2.32

Connor Bazelak sacked by Kameron Olds for a loss of 9 yards to the KENT 42

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.93

Ky Thomas run for 1 yd to the KENT 43

2nd & 9Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Ky Thomas run for 4 yds to the KENT 47

3rd & 5Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.15

Tommy Ulatowski run for 4 yds to the BGSU 49

4th & 1Rush+3 ydsPPA +2.25

Jahzae Kimbrough run for 3 yds to the BGSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.79

Ky Thomas run for 1 yd to the BGSU 45

2nd & 9Penalty0 yds

Kent State Penalty, (Yards) declined

3rd & 9Sack-10 ydsPPA -1.76

Tommy Ulatowski sacked for a loss of 10 yards to the KENT 45

4th & 19Punt0 yds

Josh Smith punt for 49 yds

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.12

Terion Stewart run for 3 yds to the BGSU 9

2nd & 7Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.19

Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the BGSU 10

3rd & 6Penalty-5 yds

PENALTY BGSU False Start (Sharp,Winn) 5 yards from BGSU10 to BGSU05. NO PLAY.

3rd & 11Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +0.84

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 13 yds to the BGSU 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+4 ydsPPA -0.08

Terion Stewart run for 4 yds to the BGSU 22

2nd & 6Pass Reception+13 ydsPPA +1.32

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 13 yds to the BGSU 35 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Connor Bazelak run for 2 yds to the BGSU 33

2nd & 12Rush+11 ydsPPA +1.26

Terion Stewart run for 11 yds to the BGSU 44

3rd & 1Rush+2 ydsPPA +1.11

Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the BGSU 46 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+14 ydsPPA +1.00

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 14 yds to the KENT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.27

Jaison Patterson run for 3 yds to the KENT 37

2nd & 7Pass Reception+12 ydsPPA +0.76

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 12 yds to the KENT 25 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.20

Jaison Patterson run for 6 yds to the KENT 19

2nd & 4Penalty-10 yds

(14:57) No Huddle-Shotgun Stewart,Terion rush left for 4 yards gain to the KentSt15 (Hamdan,Zaid), out of bounds PENALTY BGSU Holding (Pabst,Nate) 10 yards from KentSt19 to KentSt29. NO PLAY.

2nd & 14Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.31

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 7 yds to the KENT 22

3rd & 7Sack-8 ydsPPA -2.35

Connor Bazelak sacked by Kameron Olds for a loss of 8 yards to the KENT 30

4th & 15Field Goal Missed+48 yds

Zach Long 48 yd FG MISSED

1st & 10Pass Reception+20 ydsPPA +1.85

Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Luke Floriea for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.11

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Penalty0 yds

Kent State Penalty, (Yards) declined

3rd & 13Interception0 ydsPPA -0.53

Tommy Ulatowski pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+13 ydsPPA +1.21

Terion Stewart run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.63

Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the KENT 48

2nd & 8Pass Reception+7 ydsPPA +0.59

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Justin Pegues for 7 yds to the KENT 41

3rd & 1Rush+1 ydsPPA +0.69

Terion Stewart run for 1 yd to the KENT 40 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Reception+22 ydsPPA +0.60

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Harold Fannin Jr. for 22 yds to the KENT 18 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.45

Terion Stewart run for 8 yds to the KENT 10

2nd & 2Rush0 ydsPPA -0.50

Terion Stewart run for no gain to the KENT 10

3rd & 2Penalty+5 yds

PENALTY KentSt Offside (Dial,Garrett) 5 yards from KentSt10 to KentSt05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.

1st & 5Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.33

Terion Stewart run for 2 yds to the KENT 7

3rd & 7Rush+8 ydsPPA +0.87

Terion Stewart run for 8 yds to the KENT 7 for a 1ST down

2nd & 7Passing Touchdown+7 ydsPPA +2.61

Connor Bazelak pass complete to Jamal Johnson for 7 yds for a TD (Zach Long KICK)

1st & 10Pass Reception+16 ydsPPA +1.42

Tommy Ulatowski pass complete to Chrishon McCray for 16 yds to the KENT 41 for a 1ST down

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.14

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.79

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete

3rd & 10Interception0 ydsPPA -0.41

Tommy Ulatowski pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.11

Justin Pegues run for 5 yds to the BGSU 46

2nd & 5Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.79

Lucian Anderson III run for 5 yds to the BGSU 41

3rd & 10Rush+3 ydsPPA -0.19

Lucian Anderson III run for 3 yds to the BGSU 38

4th & 13Rush+6 ydsPPA +0.18

John Henderson run for 6 yds to the BGSU 32

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.61

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete

2nd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.83

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete

3rd & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.01

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.68

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete

4th & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -1.68

Tommy Ulatowski pass incomplete

1st & 10Rush+1 ydsPPA -0.77

Mar'Kel Porter run for 1 yd to the BGSU 31

2nd & 11Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.29

Mar'Kel Porter run for 2 yds to the BGSU 33

3rd & 9Rush+2 ydsPPA -0.19

Mar'Kel Porter run for 2 yds to the BGSU 35

4th & 7Punt0 yds

John Henderson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Luke Floriea at the KENT 20

1st & 10Pass Incompletion0 ydsPPA -0.56

Ruel Tomlinson pass incomplete

2nd & 10Rush+5 ydsPPA +0.04

Ruel Tomlinson run for 5 yds to the KENT 25

3rd & 5Interception0 ydsPPA -0.09

Ruel Tomlinson pass intercepted

1st & 10Rush-2 ydsPPA -0.97

(01:35) Kneel down by Bowling Green at KentSt35 for loss of 2 yards.

2nd & 12Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.38

(00:49) Kneel down by Bowling Green at KentSt37 for loss of 2 yards.

3rd & 14Rush-2 ydsPPA -1.22

(00:28) Kneel down by Bowling Green at KentSt39 for loss of 2 yards.

Situational Analysis

Kent State

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
36%
22 plays
2nd
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays
22%
9 plays
0%
1 play
3rd
33%
6 plays
0%
5 plays
0%
3 plays
4th
100%
1 play
0%
2 plays

Bowling Green

Down
1-3
Short
4-6
Med
7-10
Long
11+
XLong
1st
100%
1 play
0%
1 play
45%
33 plays
2nd
50%
2 plays
67%
3 plays
69%
13 plays
40%
5 plays
3rd
60%
5 plays
0%
1 play
25%
4 plays
75%
4 plays
4th
0%
1 play
100%
1 play