House Prediction
Model Margin
Toledo by 12.8
Home Win Probability
Buffalo 19%
Market (Bovada)
Buffalo +10.5
fitted_v1 · Oct 12, 2024
Line Movement
No line movement to chart
Sportsbook snapshots publish once a line is posted for this game.
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toledo | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
 Buffalo | 7 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 30 |
Scoring Timeline
Drive Chart
Box Score
| Statistic | Toledo | Buffalo |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 30-49 | 11-20 |
| Pass Yards | 372 | 127 |
| Rush Yards | 46 | 242 |
| Total Yards | 418 | 369 |
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| 3rd Down | 4-16 | 7-16 |
| Penalties | 1-5 | 8-64 |
| Possession | 26:29 | 33:31 |
Player Leaders
Player Leaders
Play-by-Play
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 11 yds to the TOL 36 for a 1ST down
Connor Walendzak run for 3 yds to the TOL 39
Connor Walendzak run for a loss of 4 yards to the TOL 35 Connor Walendzak fumbled, recovered by TOL Connor Walendzak
Tucker Gleason run for 7 yds to the TOL 42 Tucker Gleason fumbled, recovered by TOL Carter Fouty
Emilio Duran punt for 41 yds
pass incomplete to Victor Snow
Al-Jay Henderson run for 5 yds to the BUF 22
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to JJ Jenkins for 6 yds to the BUF 28 for a 1ST down
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete, broken up by D'Andre Ragin
Henderson,Al-Jay rush left (Bolden,Daniel;Alexander,Darius).
pass incomplete to Victor Snow
Ethan Duane punt for 39 yds
Walendzak,Connor rush left (Dolac,Shaun).
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for no gain to the TOL 33
pass incomplete to Junior Vandeross III
Emilio Duran punt for 48 yds
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Messiah Burch for 30 yds to the BUF 49 for a 1ST down
Terrance Shelton Jr. run for 3 yds to the TOL 48
Messiah Burch run for 11 yds to the TOL 37 for a 1ST down
Al-Jay Henderson run for 23 yds to the TOL 14 for a 1ST down
C.J. Ogbonna run for 4 yds to the TOL 10
C.J. Ogbonna run for 2 yds to the TOL 8
C.J. Ogbonna run for 5 yds to the TOL 2 C.J. Ogbonna fumbled, recovered by BUF Jake Orlando for a 1ST down Jake Orlando run for 1 yd to the TOL 2 for a 1ST down
Victor Snow 2 Yd Run (Upton Bellenfant Kick)
Tucker Gleason run for 11 yds to the TOL 36 for a 1ST down
Sevaughn Clark run for 2 yds to the TOL 38
pass incomplete to Junior Vandeross III
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Sevaughn Clark for a loss of 4 yards to the TOL 34
Emilio Duran punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BUF 27 , Victor Snow returns for 6 yds to the BUF 27
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Victor Snow for 13 yds to the BUF 40 for a 1ST down
Henderson,Al-Jay rush middle (Barrow,Jackson;Carter,Esean).
C.J. Ogbonna run for a loss of 3 yards to the BUF 37
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Chance Morrow for 5 yds to the BUF 42
Ethan Duane punt for 49 yds
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Sevaughn Clark for 23 yds to the TOL 32 for a 1ST down
Clark,Sevaughn rush left (Crawford,Dion;Murdock,Red).
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Sevaughn Clark for 4 yds to the TOL 36
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 7 yds to the TOL 43 for a 1ST down
Connor Walendzak run for 2 yds to the TOL 45
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Eric Holley III for 8 yds to the BUF 47 for a 1ST down
pass incomplete to Eric Holley III
Connor Walendzak run for 2 yds to the BUF 45
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 9 yds to the BUF 36 for a 1ST down
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 9 yds to the BUF 27
Walendzak,Connor rush middle (Dolac,Shaun).
Walendzak,Connor rush left (Colclough,Antonio;Dolac,Shaun).
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Jerjuan Newton, broken up by Solomon Brown
pass incomplete to JJ Jenkins
Al-Jay Henderson run for 5 yds to the BUF 32
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Victor Snow for a loss of 3 yards to the BUF 29
Ethan Duane punt for 59 yds
Sevaughn Clark run for 1 yd to the TOL 13
pass incomplete to Jerjuan Newton
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Anthony Torres, broken up by SaVeon Brown
Emilio Duran punt for 40 yds
Jacqez Barksdale run for a loss of 2 yards to the BUF 45
pass incomplete to JJ Jenkins
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete to JJ Jenkins, broken up by Avery Smith
Ethan Duane punt for 40 yds
Connor Walendzak run for 4 yds to the TOL 19
Tucker Gleason run for 16 yds to the TOL 35 for a 1ST down
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Eric Holley III for 10 yds to the TOL 45 for a 1ST down
pass incomplete to Anthony Torres
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Connor Walendzak for 2 yds to the TOL 47
pass incomplete to Sevaughn Clark
punt for 34 yds Buffalo Penalty, Offensive holding (Marquis Cooper) to the BUF 10
Jacqez Barksdale run for 1 yd to the BUF 11
Buffalo Penalty, false start (Javien Cuff) to the BUF 6
Jacqez Barksdale run for 7 yds to the BUF 13
C.J. Ogbonna run for 9 yds to the BUF 22 for a 1ST down
pass incomplete to Messiah Burch
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Victor Snow for 5 yds to the BUF 27
C.J. Ogbonna run for 11 yds to the BUF 38 for a 1ST down
Jacqez Barksdale run for 5 yds to the BUF 43
Jacqez Barksdale run for 2 yds to the BUF 45
C.J. Ogbonna run for 2 yds to the BUF 47
Ethan Duane punt for 34 yds
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 48 yds to the BUF 33 for a 1ST down
pass incomplete
Tucker Gleason sacked by Dion Crawford and Kobe Stewart for a loss of 7 yards to the BUF 40
pass incomplete to Sevaughn Clark
Toledo Penalty, delay of game (Jacquez Stuart) to the BUF 45
Emilio Duran punt for 45 yds
C.J. Ogbonna 2 Yd Run (Upton Bellenfant Kick)
Messiah Burch run for 2 yds to the BUF 21
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Victor Snow for 12 yds to the BUF 33 for a 1ST down
pass incomplete to Chance Morrow
Al-Jay Henderson run for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
Terrance Shelton Jr. run for 4 yds to the TOL 46
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Al-Jay Henderson for 6 yds to the TOL 40 for a 1ST down
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to JJ Jenkins for 37 yds to the TOL 3 for a 1ST down Toledo Penalty, Defensive holding (Nasir Bowers) to the TOL 3 for a 1ST down
C.J. Ogbonna run for a loss of 2 yards to the TOL 5
Al-Jay Henderson run for 3 yds to the TOL 2
Michael Denning kickoff for 65 yds , Lamar Sperling return for 19 yds to the BUF 19
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Jake Orlando for 2 yds for a TD (Upton Bellenfant KICK)
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for a loss of 1 yard to the TOL 24
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Anthony Torres for 19 yds to the TOL 43 for a 1ST down
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Junior Vandeross III for a 1ST down Buffalo Penalty, roughing passer (Red Murdock) to the BUF 42 for a 1ST down
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete, broken up by C.J. Bazile
Connor Walendzak run for 6 yds to the BUF 36
Tucker Gleason run for 3 yds to the BUF 33
Clark,Sevaughn rush middle (Murdock,Red;Souza,Tristan).
Al-Jay Henderson run for 1 yd to the BUF 34
Al-Jay Henderson run for 10 yds to the BUF 44 for a 1ST down
Messiah Burch run for 13 yds to the TOL 43 for a 1ST down
Shelton,Terrance rush middle (Barrow,Jackson;Carter,Esean).
Burch,Messiah rush (Poynter,Martez), PENALTY BUF holding (Tabansi,Henry) 10 yards to the TOL33. Buffalo Penalty, Offensive holding (Henry Tabansi) to the BUF 47
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete, broken up by Jackson Barrow Buffalo Penalty, intentional grounding (C.J. Ogbonna) to the BUF 37
Messiah Burch run for 8 yds to the BUF 45
Ethan Duane punt for 41 yds
Sevaughn Clark run for 2 yds to the TOL 16
pass incomplete to Anthony Torres
Tucker Gleason sacked by Kobe Stewart for a loss of 10 yards to the TOL 2 Tucker Gleason fumbled, recovered by BUF Antonio Colclough , return for 0 yards
Upton Bellenfant kickoff for 64 yds , Zy'marion Lang return for 15 yds to the TOL 16
John Alan Richter run for 7 yds to the TOL 23
John Alan Richter pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 10 yds to the TOL 33 for a 1ST down
John Alan Richter pass complete to Jaden Dottin for 41 yds to the BUF 26 for a 1ST down
John Alan Richter pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 26 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
C.J. Ogbonna pass complete to Javien Cuff for 14 yds to the TOL 19 for a 1ST down
Buffalo Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BUF 46
Al-Jay Henderson run for 12 yds to the TOL 42
C.J. Ogbonna pass incomplete to JJ Jenkins, broken up by Avery Smith
Al-Jay Henderson run for 6 yds to the TOL 36 for a 1ST down
C.J. Ogbonna run for 3 yds to the TOL 33
Terrance Shelton Jr. run for 17 yds to the TOL 2 for a 1ST down
Terrance Shelton Jr. run for 1 yd to the TOL 1
C.J. Ogbonna 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
Ethan Duane pass incomplete to Andrew Schnackenberg
Upton Bellenfant kickoff for 65 yds , Jerjuan Newton return for 41 yds to the TOL 41 Jerjuan Newton fumbled, recovered by BUF Terrance Shelton Jr. , return for no gain to the TOL 41
Henderson,Al-Jay rush middle (Poynter,Martez).
Al-Jay Henderson run for 5 yds to the TOL 36
Al-Jay Henderson run for 17 yds to the TOL 19 for a 1ST down
Henderson,Al-Jay rush middle (Poynter,Martez).
C.J. Ogbonna run for a loss of 1 yard to the TOL 20
Al-Jay Henderson run for 10 yds to the TOL 10
Buffalo Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the TOL 15
Upton Bellenfant 33 Yd Field Goal
John Alan Richter pass complete to Sevaughn Clark for 3 yds to the TOL 28
John Alan Richter pass complete to Thomas Zsiros for 6 yds to the TOL 34
John Alan Richter pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 6 yds to the TOL 40 for a 1ST down
John Alan Richter pass complete to Eric Holley III for 2 yds to the TOL 42
John Alan Richter pass complete to Anthony Torres for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
John Alan Richter pass incomplete to Jerjuan Newton
John Alan Richter pass complete to Jaden Dottin for 8 yds to the BUF 42
Connor Walendzak run for 1 yd to the BUF 41
John Alan Richter pass complete to Jaden Dottin for 7 yds to the BUF 34 for a 1ST down
John Alan Richter pass incomplete to Anthony Torres, broken up by Jalen McNair
John Alan Richter pass incomplete to Junior Vandeross III, broken up by Solomon Brown
John Alan Richter pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 11 yds to the BUF 23 for a 1ST down
Jerjuan Newton 23 Yd pass from John Alan Richter (John Alan Richter Pass to Anthony Torres for Two-Point Conversion)
John Alan Richter pass complete to Anthony Torres for no gain to the TOL 3 Buffalo Penalty, off-side (Antonio Colclough) to the TOL 35
Al-Jay Henderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TOL 48
Jacqez Barksdale run for a loss of 1 yard to the TOL 49
C.J. Ogbonna run for 3 yds to the TOL 46
Ethan Duane punt for 44 yds , Bryson Hammer returns for 11 yds to the TOL 13
Richter,John Alan rush right (Evans,Cornell).
John Alan Richter pass incomplete to Connor Walendzak, broken up by Solomon Brown
John Alan Richter pass complete to Jerjuan Newton for 39 yds to the BUF 48 for a 1ST down
John Alan Richter pass complete to Connor Walendzak for 2 yds to the BUF 46
John Alan Richter run for 4 yds to the BUF 42
John Alan Richter pass incomplete to Thomas Zsiros
John Alan Richter pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 29 yds to the BUF 13 for a 1ST down
John Alan Richter pass incomplete
John Alan Richter pass incomplete to Jaden Dottin
John Alan Richter pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 6 yds to the BUF 7
John Alan Richter sacked by Antonio Colclough for a loss of 4 yards to the BUF 11
Al-Jay Henderson run for 29 yds to the BUF 40 for a 1ST down